- Mar 15, 2009
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I have put together a few profile for a couple of prospects, probably only a top 30 or so. I generally go off my own ratings and there are a few that I don't rate highly this year. I don't rate McCarthy at all as a key forward, he reminds me of Tom Lee and more of an athletic third tall. I rate Salem extremely highly but he would not go to Brisbane generally at pick 7 factoring in homesickness (but I pretend that doesn't exist! as mine are ratings purely on playing ability outside of Dayle Garlett, who I would only have as a late first round player on talent only not top 10). I think Cripps will go top 15, he is a gun, and Eli Templeton is also right up there.
Pick 1: Greater Western Sydney Giants – Thomas Boyd
Height: 199cm, Weight: 102kg, DOB: 22/08/1995
Club: Eastern Ranges (Vic Metro)
Thomas Boyd is the best player in this years draft and even at this stage looks certain to go at pick 1. He is a big strong full forward, who has the dominant presence and goal kicking ability to be the number 1 target in the AFL, and he projects as a future Coleman medallist. He has also shown the ability, and has the size and strength to be the second ruckman and give a chop out to the main ruckman, perhaps for just 10% of the game. I think GWS will take him and possibly develop him this way, although it might be best to just leave him at full forward. Boyd is almost the perfect full forward imo, and although he has a few weaknesses, most of them can be worked on and will develop over time. His junior form has been excellent when he has played this year, averaging over 4.5 goals a game in TAC cup and the U18 champs show his elite goal kicking ability.
Strengths
Weaknesses/Areas of Improvement
Pick 2: Greater Western Sydney Giants – Matthew Scharenberg
Height: 190cm, Weight: 89kg, DOB: 18/09/1995
Club: Glenelg (SA)
GWS pick up the next best player on my list in Matt Scharenberg. I am not sure at this stage where he will play, he looks like he could be an excellent third tall in defence, he can rotate forward and kick goals, and he is also capable of playing as tall midfielder. He may not be exactly what GWS need (what do they need?), yet he has class, skill, athleticism and is a dominant two-way player who will help the Giants win games. His form this year in the U18 champs was exceptional and highlighted all his skills, he played mainly as a half-back but also showed that he could perform at a high level off a wing and through the midfield. His form in the seniors at SANFL level has also been pretty decent and he has shown the ability to provide elite rebound. I expect that Scharenberg will start his career off at half-back and then move into the midfield, yet even if he stays at half-back he will still be an elite player imo.
Strengths:
Weaknesses/ Areas of Improvement
Pick 3: Saint Kilda– Josh Kelly
Height: 182cm, Weight: 73kg, DOB: 12/02/1995
Club: Sandringham Dragons (Vic Metro)
The Saints take the next best mid and the best midfielder in the draft imo. Kelly is an elite outside mid with the ability to go inside and win his own disposal, he has excellent disposal, finds a ton of the ball and wins most of the one on one contests he is in. His work-rate is brilliant and he really sets a strong example, I expect him to start from day 1 for the Saints and be one of their better players. He was excellent at the U18 champs averaging 27 disposals and using the ball excellently on his preferred left foot. At the moment he is quite skinny, 182cm and 73kg, so I expect that he will start as an outside mid and play a role similar to Andrew Gaff at West Coast, he does have a reasonable inside game and I would still expect him to overtime become a good all round mid.
Strengths
Weaknesses/ Areas of Improvement
Pick 1: Greater Western Sydney Giants – Thomas Boyd
Height: 199cm, Weight: 102kg, DOB: 22/08/1995
Club: Eastern Ranges (Vic Metro)
Thomas Boyd is the best player in this years draft and even at this stage looks certain to go at pick 1. He is a big strong full forward, who has the dominant presence and goal kicking ability to be the number 1 target in the AFL, and he projects as a future Coleman medallist. He has also shown the ability, and has the size and strength to be the second ruckman and give a chop out to the main ruckman, perhaps for just 10% of the game. I think GWS will take him and possibly develop him this way, although it might be best to just leave him at full forward. Boyd is almost the perfect full forward imo, and although he has a few weaknesses, most of them can be worked on and will develop over time. His junior form has been excellent when he has played this year, averaging over 4.5 goals a game in TAC cup and the U18 champs show his elite goal kicking ability.
Strengths
- Great mark – Boyd has excellent hands and rarely drops marks when he gets both hands to them. His contested marking is good, although it stands that he could use his body a little better and he will take some time to develop this aspect of his game at AFL level. On the lead Boyd is elite, he extends his hands high and takes the ball at the highest point.
- Strong at the contest – Boyd hits the contest hard and always makes a contest if he doesn’t mark it he will bring it too ground.
- Elite Goal Kicker – Boyd is a great goal kicker at junior level, he looked set for a dominant under 18 carnival before hurting his ankle kicking 9 goals in 5 quarters of footy.
- Strength - Looks to be a big strong power forward with a well developed body and is supreme physical presence, will end up similar to Tom Hawkins/Travis Cloke. At 199cm and over 100kg Boyd is already a beast and when he extends is arms up at the ball very few defenders can spoil him.
- Skills – Boyd is an excellent set shot, his technique is great (has a lot of practice!), around the ground his disposal is reasonably good and he is definitely above average for a player his size.
- Versatility to play in the ruck – Boyd has shown that he can occasionally play in the ruck and give a chop out (primarily at AIS level), he actually performed quite solidly and this could bee beneficial moving forward.
- Work Rate – Boyd looks to have a very good work rate for a key forward, he pumps multiple leads out and he works up the ground well. Endurance wise he seems to be reasonably good, this will improve in an AFL environment though.
Weaknesses/Areas of Improvement
- Athletically – Boyd is not an elite athlete yet is probably just above average for a kid his size. Speed wise he still seems to get separation on the lead, yet will this be an issue at AFL level with faster defenders? His turning circle is not the best (or the worst), but he is capable of picking the ball up on the half volley and spinning round and snapping the ball round the corner. He is probably a better athlete than Cloke or Brown and similar to Roughead, although not the endurance base yet.
- Ground work – Boyd is solid but not elite with his hands, he can fumble occasionally below his knees, yet more often than not he is very clean (nit-picking a bit here). Boyd kicks most of his goals from marks and set shots.
- Forward pressure needs improvement – this is common with most young forwards so not that much of a concern.
Pick 2: Greater Western Sydney Giants – Matthew Scharenberg
Height: 190cm, Weight: 89kg, DOB: 18/09/1995
Club: Glenelg (SA)
GWS pick up the next best player on my list in Matt Scharenberg. I am not sure at this stage where he will play, he looks like he could be an excellent third tall in defence, he can rotate forward and kick goals, and he is also capable of playing as tall midfielder. He may not be exactly what GWS need (what do they need?), yet he has class, skill, athleticism and is a dominant two-way player who will help the Giants win games. His form this year in the U18 champs was exceptional and highlighted all his skills, he played mainly as a half-back but also showed that he could perform at a high level off a wing and through the midfield. His form in the seniors at SANFL level has also been pretty decent and he has shown the ability to provide elite rebound. I expect that Scharenberg will start his career off at half-back and then move into the midfield, yet even if he stays at half-back he will still be an elite player imo.
Strengths:
- Versatility – Scharenberg can play most positions on the ground to a high level, he has shown the ability to play on both talls and smalls in defence, he is capable of playing forward and being a target. His midfield work is also very good and always improving.
- Overhead skills – Scharenberg is very strong overhead, his marking is great, and if played as a third tall I would be surprised if he did not become an excellent intercept marker. He is also pretty decent defensively one on one when the ball comes in to a contest and he is a good spoiler.
- Athleticism – He is one of the best all round athletes in this years draft class, his pace is above average (I wouldn’t expect him to be a line breaker however he provides excellent run from defence), he is very agile and steps round players well (his movement in traffic is exceptional), his vertical leap and power off the mark are similarly good. All in all Scharenberg is a smooth mover and athletically he should have no problems in the AFL.
- Reading of the play – Scharenberg reads the play very well, he picks up a lot of disposals in the back half, he spoils contests well as the third man up a lot, and runs the lines well. Scharenberg also has a lot of time with the footy and makes good decisions, his footy IQ is very good.
- Defensive ability – Defensively Scharenberg looks to be an excellent prospect as a third tall type, he out played Jesse Hogan last year and has shown the ability to match up on taller types and win one on one contests. His intercept marking is the best in this years draft imo and he is very good when the ball hits the ground. His rebound out of defence is also top notch.
- Disposal – I actually rate Scharenberg’s disposal and the times I have seen him play he looks like his disposal by foot is reasonably good, although by no means elite. He generally makes excellent decisions although he can go safe on occasions.
- Consistency – Scharenberg is a consistent player, he always seems to perform each week and plays his role well. He seems to consistently rack up the disposals and this is impressive for a young kid.
Weaknesses/ Areas of Improvement
- Where is his best position and where will he end up? Will Scharenberg ever take the next step and become a dominant midfielder as he is capable of or will he grow an inch and hold down CHB?
- Inside ball winning ability – At this stage Scharenberg has not shown much in the way of inside clearance ball winning ability. Still he has a lot of potential and given that he has not played much inside mid, and the way that the game seems to slow down a lot when he has the footy.
Pick 3: Saint Kilda– Josh Kelly
Height: 182cm, Weight: 73kg, DOB: 12/02/1995
Club: Sandringham Dragons (Vic Metro)
The Saints take the next best mid and the best midfielder in the draft imo. Kelly is an elite outside mid with the ability to go inside and win his own disposal, he has excellent disposal, finds a ton of the ball and wins most of the one on one contests he is in. His work-rate is brilliant and he really sets a strong example, I expect him to start from day 1 for the Saints and be one of their better players. He was excellent at the U18 champs averaging 27 disposals and using the ball excellently on his preferred left foot. At the moment he is quite skinny, 182cm and 73kg, so I expect that he will start as an outside mid and play a role similar to Andrew Gaff at West Coast, he does have a reasonable inside game and I would still expect him to overtime become a good all round mid.
Strengths
- Footy IQ – Kelly has excellent footy smarts, and his reading of the game and game sense are elite. He runs and spreads to the right spots, always puts himself in the right position and makes excellent decisions when he has the ball.
- Athleticism – Kelly is an elite endurance athlete, probably the best in the draft, he run a 9minute and 48second 3km at the draft camp last year which placed him no. 1. He uses his endurance in continually running to the right spots and in gut running as well. Kelly has good pace, in particular a decent top end speed and uses it to run the lines well, although he didn’t test well last year on the field speed is not really a problem.
- Skills – His skills by foot are elite, Josh rarely misses a target and is a super smart ball user. Whilst not a penetrating kick he still hits his targets very well and weights the ball well. His use of the ball by hand is excellent.
- Work ethic – Josh has a super work ethic and from all reports he is an excellent trainer.
- Outside game – Kelly’s outside game is elite, he is damaging by foot, finds a ton of the ball and is really creative.
- Defensive game – As an outside mid, Kelly is a willing tackler and chases hard, he still could run a bit harder and lock his man down defensively more however.
Weaknesses/ Areas of Improvement
- Inside game – Josh Kelly’s inside game is not as bad as it is made out to be, yet he plays similar to a lesser Mark Murphy, as that player who is not a genuine in and under player but is still capable of winning clearances. It is still an area that he is working on, yet should not be too much of an issue imo as he should be more of a receiver with his ability to carry the footy and his elite skill set.
- Size – At the moment Kelly is quite skinny and I would expect that he will need to put on a fair bit more muscle to compete well at AFL level.
- Marking – as a shorter mid Josh’s marking is not a feature of his game. He could improve a little in contested situations yet will never be a great marking midfielder.