AGGREGATE: Strength of Schedule 2018 (Who has the hardest fixture)

[Always Ballin]

Source: Footyology

Source: Matterofstats

The formula
Playing the same club twice: points are allocated in reverse PROJECTED* ladder order (eg. Adelaide 18 points, Sydney 17 points, GWS 16 points) then added together.

Six day breaks or less time between matches (2 points per game, per club)

Consecutive six day breaks (2 in a row = 5 points)

Road trips: 2 points per long trip (eg. Victoria-WA, Victoria-Queensland, Victoria-NT, WA-anywhere, Queensland-WA, Queensland-Victoria,
Queensland-SA, etc). 1 point for shorter trips

Home state team versus interstate team: 3 points for 10+ games, 4 points for 8-9 games, 5 points for 6-7 games, 6 points for 4-5 games, 7 points for 1-3 games

*PROJECTED LADDER
(based on odds)
Adelaide, Sydney, GWS Giants, Richmond, Geelong, Port Adelaide, Essendon, Melbourne, Collingwood, Western Bulldogs, Hawthorn, West Coast, St Kilda, Fremantle, Carlton, Brisbane Lions, Gold Coast, North Melbourne
https://www.theage.com.au/sport/afl...nier-days-for-gold-coast-20171031-gzc0b5.html

West Coast appears to be the toughest schedule across the board.

Other teams with tough draws include Adelaide, Richmond, Essendon, GWS. Collingwood has one of the easiest.

 

[kaiserchief13]

Should've lost to Port dammit

 

[mattymac]

Why do 6 clubs have 5x consecutive 6-day breaks and everyone else has none?

Surely that can't be right

 

[Nutsngum]

Why do 6 clubs have 5x consecutive 6-day breaks and everyone else has none?

Surely that can't be right

Yeah must be an issue. Youde have to play monday night then sunday, sat, friday, thursday and then finally a wednesday all in a row to have 5 of those consecutively.

 

[Donakebab]

Why do 6 clubs have 5x consecutive 6-day breaks and everyone else has none?

Surely that can't be right

It's not, try reading the whole post.

 

[Quinz]

Why do 6 clubs have 5x consecutive 6-day breaks and everyone else has none?

Surely that can't be right

That formula awards 5 points for having back to back 6-day breaks, 0 otherwise.

 

[Always Ballin]

It's going to be a hard season for us. The odds are stacked against WCE.

As usual...

 

[aussierulesrules]

So much for teams draws the following year depending on which 3rd of the ladder you finish in.

Last year our draw was rated 3rd-hardest by Champion Data going into the season- despite the fact we finished in the middle third the year before, and hadn't played finals for years- and this year we again look to have one of the 4 or 5 hardest draws, despite finishing even lower the year before this time (11th- in the bottom third of the middle third).

The system (that's supposed to give the best teams from the season before the hardest draws and vice-versa) ain't working the way it's supposed to when a team that hasn't played finals for years gets one of the hardest draws two years in a row.

 

[mattymac]

That formula awards 5 points for having back to back 6-day breaks, 0 otherwise.

Should've actually read it

 

[mattymac]

It's going to be a hard season for us. The odds are stacked against WCE.

As usual...

At least you'll beat port

 

[Topkent]

What a sook thread. Playing Sydney and Hawthorn last year in the first 4 rounds would have been considered hard and playing Richmond twice would have been considered easy.

I'm not surprised old mates having a sook though he's sooked it up about everything else on this website

 

[PowerForGood]

I dont get this bit.

Home state team versus interstate team: 3 points for 10+ games, 4 points for 8-9 games, 5 points for 6-7 games, 6 points for 4-5 games, 7 points for 1-3 games

Having a home state advantage for half your games constitutes an "easier draw", so how does having a "away state disadvantage" for the other half of games not constitute a harder draw, thereby balancing out?

 

[baldandbroke]

Source: Footyology

Source: Matterofstats

West Coast appears to be the toughest schedule across the board.

Other teams with tough draws include Adelaide, Richmond, Essendon, GWS. Collingwood has one of the easiest.

Would love to see this system applied in hindsight to the final ladder from 2017 - for the 2017 fixture.

 

[Farang83150]

What a sook thread. Playing Sydney and Hawthorn last year in the first 4 rounds would have been considered hard and playing Richmond twice would have been considered easy.

I'm not surprised old mates having a sook though he's sooked it up about everything else on this website

Why are you whinging about stats being posted?
He didn't make them up.

 

[Topkent]

Why are you whinging about stats being posted?
He didn't make them up.

Cuz they are stupid and pointless

 

[Farang83150]

Cuz they are stupid and pointless

why are they stupid and pointless?
If your going to have a go at someone for posting some stats that many find interesting at least back up your "they are stupid and pointless" comment with some reasons.

 

[Topkent]

why are they stupid and pointless?
If your going to have a go at someone for posting some stats that many find interesting at least back up your "they are stupid and pointless" comment with some reasons.

I already did guy

 

[kranky al]

I already did guy

No you didnt - all you have done is state an opinion as fact.

 

[Collingwoodity]

What a sook thread. Playing Sydney and Hawthorn last year in the first 4 rounds would have been considered hard and playing Richmond twice would have been considered easy.

I'm not surprised old mates having a sook though he's sooked it up about everything else on this website

A bit like every Melbourne thread at the end of last season. Swings and roundabouts.

 

[Always Ballin]

kranky al just knocked Topkent out cold.

 

[kranky al]

kranky al just knocked Topkent out cold.

Meh

Glass jaw - i take no pride in that

 

[Farang83150]

I already did guy

No, you didn't.

 

[Furn2]

I dont get this bit.

Home state team versus interstate team: 3 points for 10+ games, 4 points for 8-9 games, 5 points for 6-7 games, 6 points for 4-5 games, 7 points for 1-3 games

Having a home state advantage for half your games constitutes an "easier draw", so how does having a "away state disadvantage" for the other half of games not constitute a harder draw, thereby balancing out?

2 points for long away trips, 1 for shorter trips.