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- Sep 13, 2017
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- West Coast
I hate to Generalize....
There was this thread that started in mid 2015. I could tell this was a Ross Lyon bashing post.
It was about this mumbo jumbo thing of to win a Premiership, you have to average 100 points a game and concede no more than 86. Which to me was Bull****.
Allow you to tell you the last few teams.
the 2016 premiership team of the Bulldogs scored 84 points a game conceded 72 points a game in the regular season.
Richmond won the 2017 flag. During the regular season, they were averaging 90.5 points a game, conceding 76.5 points a game. Didn't prevent The tigers scoring 100 points in both the prelim and Grand final.
Then you have west coast.....Actually, lets post both 2018 GF sides in Eagles and Collingwood.
Collingwood were scoring an average of 93 points a game, conceding 77.22 points a game.
West Coast were scoring an average of 91.45 points a game, conceding 75.31 points a game.
Yet in the 2018 GF, both sides kicked 11 goals each. Yeah a typical High scoring game.
I remember to >100pt attack and <90 defence being bandied about in 2015 (I wasnt on BF then- mainstream media). It probably has merit in that the statistics showed a high likelihood of a flag for teams achieving these targets. However that wasnt my point. You still have a much better chance at a flag if you have the ability to score well and Ross Lyon teams dont do that well. You now have the cattle to put a score on the board in the forward line if you can keep Mundy and Fyfe fit and get some help from Hill and/or Walters through the middle but that will depend on if Lyon can implement a game plan that allows it.
Freo, if they keep a fit list, can push for finals at their best but realistically the list has too many holes and not enough depth to expect this to be a reasonable KPI. The point I was making is that for Freo to have confidence that Lyon is still the guy to help build this list into a contending list in the coming years, he will need to demonstrate some more diverse game plans that move beyond just defensive strategies and have a few back up plans for when things arent working. I think this is what they will look at this year in making their determination rather than a simple win loss ratio.





