Fixture The next 6. Where will we be after Round 12.

[SupermanCapes]

A much truer 'danger game' then the Doomers fretting about North. GC are basically a top 8 / top 6 side at home. Will be a good win

I mean, every game we go into as favourites can be construed as a 'danger game'. While we were much less likely to lose to North, the impact if we had would have been more severe.

If we play to potential we should absolutely beat GC - the win in Geelong means all away games against teams other than Brisbane and Melbourne should be wins. We probably won't win them all, but we should.

 

[Snuffaluphagus]

I mean, every game we go into as favourites can be construed as a 'danger game'. While we were much less likely to lose to North, the impact if we had would have been more severe.

If we play to potential we should absolutely beat GC - the win in Geelong means all away games against teams other than Brisbane and Melbourne should be wins. We probably won't win them all, but we should.

North was a danger game in the same sense as you're in danger of walking down the street and getting flattened by piano falling off a balcony. Has it happened before? Sure, but there's no point fretting about it.

GC is more like driving a car, if your not careful or vigilant something could actually happen

 

[theGav56]

North was a danger game in the same sense as your in danger of walking down the street and getting flattened by piano falling off a balcony. Has it happened before? Sure, but there's no point fretting about it.

GC is more like driving a car, if your not careful or vigilant something could actually happen

Adjusting your analogy for geographical relevance, and substituting "cow" for "piano", makes me feel nervous. It just might happen.

And I won't comment on the car bit.

 

[Kapow!!!]

Huge danger game. How does our game plan, which relies and some clean hands, hold up in the wet away from home in the longest road trip against a side full of confidence and looking for another big scalp to get them back in the hunt for the 8. Genuinely not confident this week but I'll be there regardless.

 

[theGav56]

Clearly they are more talented as we have come to rely on players they did not want such as Brayshaw and Brodie, plus the excess draft picks (19) that they had no use for.

If I was Longmuir I would be aware that on the Gold Coast it is full of high rise apartments, and they all have balconies. He needs to keep a watch out for pianos and cows or we are in trouble.

 

[Fred Ziffel]

Clearly they are more talented as we have come to rely on players they did not want such as Brayshaw and Brodie, plus the excess draft picks (19) that they had no use for.

If I was Longmuir I would be aware that on the Gold Coast it is full of high rise apartments, and they all have balconies. He needs to keep a watch out for pianos and cows or we are in trouble.

Wow, we have two competing analogies then some quick wit. time for a metaphor; we’re burning up here.

 

[BStaff17]

Is everyone scared over losing to GC or losing easy games.

Because of the PTSD caused from that St Kilda game back in 2014 where everything was travelling nicely 8 wins in a row & would have gone to top of the table with a win over the last place saints. And only just lost by lazy 10 goals.

 

[ilikepotatoes]

Is everyone scared over losing to GC or losing easy games.

Because of the PTSD caused from that St Kilda game back in 2014 where everything was travelling nicely 8 wins in a row & would have gone to top of the table with a win over the last place saints. And only just lost by lazy 10 goals.

Oh for me it's definitely PTSD.

Not from 2014. But from 2016-2021.

 

[ubiquitous226]

Is everyone scared over losing to GC or losing easy games.

Because of the PTSD caused from that St Kilda game back in 2014 where everything was travelling nicely 8 wins in a row & would have gone to top of the table with a win over the last place saints. And only just lost by lazy 10 goals.

I still remember getting destroyed by Richmond at home after a similar streak.
They kicked like 7 or 8 goals straight in the first quarter.

 

[freo84]

I still remember getting destroyed by Richmond at home after a similar streak.
They kicked like 7 or 8 goals straight in the first quarter.

I was there.... even in our dominant years every time i go we lose.. i stopped going this year and look.... so maybe it's me?

 

[Taylor]

I was there.... even in our dominant years every time i go we lose.. i stopped going this year and look.... so maybe it's me?

We acknowledge and thank you for your sacrifice.

bugle plays

 

[Purple Jesus]

Oh for me it's definitely PTSD.

Not from 2014. But from 2016-2021.

Mines from 1995-2021

 

[RonnieRaven]

I’ll be confident going in to every game.
Won’t win them all but players can’t afford to be complacent when the depth is there.

 

[purplerunsdeep2]

10-3 is my hope at the bye, with knocking off one of brizzy or Dees (likely brizzy here)

Hope the players are more grounded than us..


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[poshman]

7-2

Big game this week against the Pies. I think we win and move to 8-2. If we can split the following two games we turn at 9-3.

Fyfe would have been bloody handy today.

 

[freo_leo29]

Is this the right thread to review the season so far?

It doesn't look as good as it seems right now


Crows - 14th
Saints - 5th
West Coast - 18th
GWS - 15th
Bombers- 16th
Carlton - 4th
Cats - 7th
North - 17th
GC - 12th

It was a good streak but we have knocked off the bottom 5 teams so far

Upcoming
Pies - 11th
Lions- 2nd
Dees - 1st

Then we still have games against teams like Dogs, Port, Tigers, Dees (again), Swans


Hawks game should be a win but they are dangerous on their day too

is there a reality check coming over the next couple of months or was it already delivered today?

 

[Spirit Level]

We're a young team and still developing, reality checks are going to come every so often.

That is how you grow

 

[freo_leo29]

We're a young team and still developing, reality checks are going to come every so often.

That is how you grow

I don't mean to the team, I mean to the supporters who have locked us in for finals already

 

[Snuffaluphagus]

I don't mean to the team, I mean to the supporters who have locked us in for finals already

This is some next level negative stuff, I saw you wrote off the wins against Carlton and Geelong for whatever reason in the game thread, it was bizarre. You dont think we are winning another 6 games this year?

 

[clivenator26]

We got carried away thinking we were a lock at the top 4, we should be aiming for 3-4th that is true but likely will end up 5-7th and with our draw who knows.

Melbourne and Brisbane are so far ahead of us. We have a workmanlike forward line which is our Achilles heal. I think we match up ok against those two teams with our backline but kicking scores will be very tough.

If Fyfe comes back 75% then the top 4 is a sniff. If he doesn’t quite work out then we will be scrapping. The suggestion he will throw us off balance is ludicrous, he will help us immensely and take some what off Andy.

We’ve had our issues with covid but overall injuries have been kind but that can change. We have ok depth but a very hard draw to finish the season.

8-2 is better than we’d all hoped, today was a big flop but there’s been a lot to like about us. The Carlton and Geelong games especially show we are a legit team, despite us having played a lot of the dud sides as well. We took Essendon to pieces in 20mins, Adelaide & Stk we feel asleep for 20mins and the wins over gws, wce and north were business like.

 

[freo_leo29]

This is some next level negative stuff, I saw you wrote off the wins too Carlton and Geelong for whatever reason in the game thread, it was bizarre. You dont think we are winning another 6 games this year?

Carlton win looks fairly good but they should be about the same level as us, will be impressed if we knock them off away.

the Geelong win is the one that I'm not sure on, don't rate them this year and a bit like the Eagles they haven't been winning at home/in Melbourne as much recently, could be a sign of a drop off.

I just think that realistically we are where we should be right now due to our draw, the hardest part of the year is coming up, we need to knock off the pies (and should, don't rate them either) and go from there.

I'll take a look at our remaining games and see if 6 is a given or not, we should make finals from here though, if we don't then its panic stations and get on the phone to Clarko sort of stuff IMO, just think some were locking us away into the top 4 already.

 

[freo_leo29]

Pies at home - 85% W
Dees away - 85% L
Lions home - 75% L (But they look like they're missing two of their key pillars so 65% L if still the case)
Hawks home - 80% W (don't really rate the Hawks but they are on of those sides that can show up on a day and be a threat)
Blues Away - 55% L (away tips into their side)
Port Home - 50/50
Saints away - 60% L (away tips into their side, they're very good at Marvel)
Swans Home - 55% W (wish we had them now while they are going through a form drop)
Tigers away - 55% L (Marvel not our best ground tbh, ground swings it their way, possibility that their current form drops off though)
Dees Home - 70% L
Dogs away - 50/50 (Really wish we had them during the form slump, instead we get them likely making a finals charge at Marvel)
Eagles Home - 90% W (derbies are never 90% and their crisis will surely be over by then? probably have to adjust this down if so)
Giants away - 65% W (Manuka worries me, hopefully they are out of finals and don't have any retiring heroes)

So 5 wins but then probably drop atleast one of those realistically = 4

about 5 50/50 (or close to 50/50 L games) so 2 or 3 wins there =2 or 3

Then 3 not expected at all really, realistically a chance to pickup maybe 1/3 = 1


Got about 7 or 8 wins for the rest of the season, would be enough for top 8 but top 4 would have to fall our way

Basically with the way our draw was, we had most of our winnable games to begin the season, the 2 top teams in Lions/Dees are to come and all the 50/50 games take place in the second half with teams who will be around where we are on the ladder.

I'd be stunned if we don't make top 8 from here

 

[poshman]

Pies at home - 85% W
Dees away - 85% L
Lions home - 75% L (But they look like they're missing two of their key pillars so 65% L if still the case)
Hawks home - 80% W (don't really rate the Hawks but they are on of those sides that can show up on a day and be a threat)
Blues Away - 55% L (away tips into their side)
Port Home - 50/50
Saints away - 60% L (away tips into their side, they're very good at Marvel)
Swans Home - 55% W (wish we had them now while they are going through a form drop)
Tigers away - 55% L (Marvel not our best ground tbh, ground swings it their way, possibility that their current form drops off though)
Dees Home - 70% L
Dogs away - 50/50 (Really wish we had them during the form slump, instead we get them likely making a finals charge at Marvel)
Eagles Home - 90% W (derbies are never 90% and their crisis will surely be over by then? probably have to adjust this down if so)
Giants away - 65% W (Manuka worries me, hopefully they are out of finals and don't have any retiring heroes)

So 5 wins but then probably drop atleast one of those realistically = 4

about 5 50/50 (or close to 50/50 L games) so 2 or 3 wins there =2 or 3

Then 3 not expected at all really, realistically a chance to pickup maybe 1/3 = 1


Got about 7 or 8 wins for the rest of the season, would be enough for top 8 but top 4 would have to fall our way

Basically with the way our draw was, we had most of our winnable games to begin the season, the 2 top teams in Lions/Dees are to come and all the 50/50 games take place in the second half with teams who will be around where we are on the ladder.

I'd be stunned if we don't make top 8 from here

7 wins for the rest of the season - 14 wins would need a good percentage and we are 4th or 5th. Great result for the season.

Bris - we have played well against them the last couple of seasons when our team was poor. I think we should be favoured to beat them here especially with their injuries.
Tigers at Marvel doesn't suit them either.

I wouldn't be surprised if we win 7 more for the season but am expecting 8.

Cats and Carlton are good wins. The rest are as well purely from the consistency pov. Good teams put winning streaks together. We need a couple of two win and a three win streak from here.

 

[Belnakor]

We should at most drop 2 home games out of the remaining 7, so thats 5 wins straight there.

Carlton are very very overrated, i could see us knocking them off. Jag another of GWS/Saints/Dogs and we're on 7 wins. Seems reasonable. Melbourne winning every game will allow a team to sneak into 4 on 14wins. The problem then your playing Melbourne at the MCG lol.

 

[Freomaniac]

7-2

Big game this week against the Pies. I think we win and move to 8-2. If we can split the following two games we turn at 9-3.

Fyfe would have been bloody handy today.

I hope we beat Collingwood at home. That's 8-2.

I won't be surprised losing to both demons at MCG and Lions at home so that's 8-4.

If Freo have their form from rounds 3-8, we should beat the Hawks and post a 9-4 record. Before our round 14 bye