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Prediction The next six - round 7 through 12

How many wins R7-12


  • Total voters
    58

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If we can somehow win 3 of the next 5 the fixture will then open up and we'll have a real crack at the top 4.
Saints - Win
Collingwood Win
Giants Loss
Port Adelaide Win
Gold Coast Loss
You are an enormous optimist to think we could beat Collingwood. I would give us more chance against GWS who don’t seem to be travelling all that well.
 
I’m seeing a lot of puff pieces about how good we were on Friday, how we have “rediscovered our identity”, how the dockers are back on track, lots of positives - Kane Cornes said we were unbelievable v Adelaide that’s how impressed he was.

I don’t like it, at all.

Red alert blaring right now for a classic dockers shit the bed effort this Friday night on primetime v Saints. I’ve lost count of the number of times this side has turned in a soft performance after a week of drinking their own bathwater.

Please please JL and the boys - prove to us all this isn’t another false dawn.
 
So far this season, the only game we have won on the road was against Richmond in gather round. It remains to me seen if we can put in good performances away from Optus.
 

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I should be working but here's a bit of analysis showing that we're not far off.

Screenshot 2025-04-29 at 12.48.22.png
Personnel / list tweaks
• Key forward depth – Jye Amiss (54 goals in 54 games) is progressing, but Fremantle’s forward-half still collapses when Josh Treacy is absent. Keeping a third contested target fit (e.g., Treacy all year, or a mid-season key-position recruit) is the simplest path to +1 goal a game. The club’s own list preview flags Treacy’s elite 71 % accuracy.
• Small-forward pressure – Frederick & Switkowski generate front-half turnovers; use at least two genuine pressure smalls every week to lock the ball in and create repeat shots.
• Wing/half-back overlap runners – When Young, Clark and Chapman all play, inside-50 numbers and scoring both spike. Keep that trio on the park.



The scoreboard target
Premiership sides of the last decade average ~105 ppg for and ≤ 80 ppg against.

For Fremantle that means either:
• Add ~10-12 points of offence while holding defence steady, or
• Trim another 3-5 points from defence and add ~6 points up forward.

Both scenarios are a single-goal swing each way – well within reach if the Dockers tidy their front-half efficiency and keep their current defensive standards intact.

Do that, and the purple anchor drops squarely into the green band labelled THE PREMIERSHIP WINDOW.
 
We've had our win for this stretch of games in my opinion. Last night was more of the same bad Freo we saw against the cats and demons. It's about to get very ugly this Thursday.
 
Adelaide - 50/50. Can see us losing because they score easily and our backline is pathetic, but for now I'll somehow put this down as a win.

Saints - 35/65. We haven't put in one good performance on the road this year and Ross can easily outcoach JL in his sleep. Winnable game, but also losable given Saints are flakey and we choke on prime time.


Pies - 1/99. Daicos and their running game will without doubt embarrass us. Fly's gameplan will make a mockery of us.

Giants - 8/92. Redemption for Cox, lol as if. Giants easily.

Port - 60/40. Not buying into their form and although we struggle against them recently, at home we should be better.

Suns - 25/75. Suns at home is actually one of the harder games for anybody.

2-3 wins is a possibility (3 max), further confirming we have proper cooked this season already.
100% accuracy so far.

One winnable game at best and I mean absolute best.
Our back line .. "pathetic" Really.
I consider it one of our strengths.

IF, the forwrds refused to let the opposition just strool the ball down the length og the field, what cahnce do the backs have.
Our forward pressure on Saturday was lamentable. What 4 tackles!!!!! We used to thrive on forward pressure. Almost non existant now.
Whilst the midfield is clearly still the huge issue, the defenders again have been poor and conceded another huge score to a very average forward line. Midfield cop the blame first, but we can't pretend the defenders haven't been pathetic either. Surely you agree now mate?
 
100% accuracy so far.

One winnable game at best and I mean absolute best.

Whilst the midfield is clearly still the huge issue, the defenders again have been poor and conceded another huge score to a very average forward line. Midfield cop the blame first, but we can't pretend the defenders haven't been pathetic either. Surely you agree now mate?
I am not sure just what you would like from the backs. With no pressure, zip, zilch, zero, being applied further up the field, it is only a short time before a trickle becomes a torrent and then a flood.Our forwards do not defend, the mids are not working hard enough with the backs to alleviate the problem.
Easy to pick on the backs , but the problem begins further up the field.
 
Pies - 1/99. Daicos and their running game will without doubt embarrass us. Fly's gameplan will make a mockery of us.

Giants - 8/92. Redemption for Cox, lol as if. Giants easily.

Port - 60/40. Not buying into their form and although we struggle against them recently, at home we should be better.

Suns - 25/75. Suns at home is actually one of the harder games for anybody.

After 3 honourable losses, I can actually see everything completely breaking down if they haven't already and the Suns pumping us by like 100 points.
 
So we've gone 3/5 so far with a diabolical loss and semi-respectable showing against an undermanned Collingwood, albeit with some frustration on the opportunity to make up some ground we lost in the early part of the fixture.

This Gold Coast game to close out the sextet will be a tough one, and is the lead in to our bye.
If we manage to find a win it would leave our season with some possibilities, lose it and we're gonna be fighting an uphill battle to do something meaningful.
 

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Well well well, that lays the foundation for a season if we're good enough to fight it out from here.
I was on the season over bandwagon after the Melbourne loss, but this gives us a fighting chance.

We have found our Mojo. The road wins have been super special.
 

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Prediction The next six - round 7 through 12

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