- Jun 23, 2014
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- AFL Club
- Essendon
General advice: if you can't understand why a team are favourites or why a line has moved so much to one team, it's often because sharp money is moving the line that way, against your opinion. I'd advise you not to bet on your gut feel in these scenarios because the big dogs who bet full time are moving these lines, especially on game day and these blokes have put a heap of time & effort into their predictive algorithms and it's going to win far more than the average joe's gut feel long term.