AFL 2020 - AFL Finals week two (no aftertiming allowed)

[benji21]

But then that makes your bet an all or nothing bet versus mine bet which is only risking 1 of my 2 units.
I'm only risking half my units in week 1 (so long as port are no greater than around $2.30 after the prelim thanks to cashout), whereas you are risking all your units in week 1

I like the 4.20 purely as it equates to about 2.2 in the gf which it they beat Richmond they should be shorter than. For that reason and that reason alone you should back it.

Cash outs are terrible value you are better off betting the 4.2 then backing Brisbane in the GF to hedge but then you are double dipping in their margins which gets rid of most the value of the 4.2.

Best bet would be 1U on port v tigers. 0.5 unit on port premiers. If you think port can go the whole way

 

[freo_leo29]

Fyi. Topsport has O/U goals for 4 players.

I knew it wasn't banned!

Wonder why its taken so long for someone to put up these markets, I do wonder if someone requested them maybe

 

[freo_leo29]

Theres an arb available Ablett AGS Ned 1.90
and U0.5 goals topsport 2.28

I'm not gonna try as I doubt they will let anyone get on for much for such new markets

 

[mouncey2franklin]

I can't visit topsport due, I believe, to my using a VPN.

Which is a shame, I'd take a bet on every single unders goals markets they offer.

It would be nice to cheer on the shithouse kicking for goal we've been seeing this season.

 

[toenail11]

Degoey 3+
Hawkins 2+
@ 10 sb

Hawkins 3+
Degoey 2+
Mihocek ags
@11.50 powered sb

Tom to bounce back and Degoey looked dangerous last week whenever he touched it. Mihocek pretty reliable for a goal
Go pies

 

[NutnButAPnut]

cox u1.5 at 1.34 on Topsport (was 1.39) and 2+ on SB at $5

 

[The_Steadier]

Pretty cut up that they have pushed the u/o total goals from 16.5 to 17.5 (at fractionally worse odds of 1.73) since wednesday.

I'd much rather the extra goal up my sleeve than a measly 6 cents!



Riding home a chess match, arm wrestle of a game! (And of course my mate lachie)

 

[benji21]

I can't visit topsport due, I believe, to my using a VPN.

Which is a shame, I'd take a bet on every single unders goals markets they offer.

It would be nice to cheer on the shithouse kicking for goal we've been seeing this season.

Try without vpn. They don't really check

 

[GROTTO]

Maybe I havent been paying attention to the odds markets, but I am surprised that the Pies SU price has moved out, yet the line has stayed the same at +6.5

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Can somebody talk me out of loading up on Cox 2+ @ 5?

So far as I can tell, he is 3/5 at the Gabba this year for 2+.

And 2/3 in finals matches, including his most recent outing.

How is he $5? Seems like $2.50 - $3 would be more appropriate.

What do Sportsbet know that I don't?

 

[GROTTO]

Can somebody talk me out of loading up on Cox 2+ @ 5?

So far as I can tell, he is 3/5 at the Gabba this year for 2+.

And 2/3 in finals matches, including his most recent outing.

How is he $5? Seems like $2.50 - $3 would be more appropriate.

What do Sportsbet know that I don't?

Im surprised at the odds too tbh.

Cox is a great overhead mark and this was DeGoey's strength in the last time they played them, where Cox didnt play.

The game should be played in less dewy conditions too given the timeslot as well.

 

[Robo87]

How is he $5? Seems like $2.50 - $3 would be more appropriate.

What do Sportsbet know that I don't?

agreed. so im adding a sgm multi with it in it to get bb back if 'cox 2g' fails but a good return if it succeeds.
3u sgm- cox 2g+, pendels 15+, danger 15+ @6.50 sb powered.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Here's my bets for tonight.

Cox 2+ @ 5 (SB), 3+ @ 19 (TAB), 4+ @ 67 (SB).

Decided not to load up, only put a little bit on each, the odds seem too good to be true.

I know how illogical that sounds but I don't trust SB, their models and statisticians must know something I don't.



Three small SB 'lose one leg get money back' multis:

Coll SU, Under 118.5, Tuohy AGS @ 16

Hawkins 2+, De Goey 2+, Stephenson 2+ @ 25

Hawkins AGS, De Goey AGS, draw @ 90

And finally Collingwood SU @ 2.5, Collingwood 24.5+ @ 8, Collingwood 39.5+ @ 22

This seems to me to be at worst a 50/50 game for the Pies. I don't get why their odds are so out.

Greenwood to shut down one of the Cat mids.

Geelong's selected team is neither tall enough to quell the Pies size or fast enough to outrun them imo.

 

[GROTTO]

Here's my bets for tonight.

Cox 2+ @ 5 (SB), 3+ @ 19 (TAB), 4+ @ 67 (SB).

Decided not to load up, only put a little bit on each, the odds seem too good to be true.

I know how illogical that sounds but I don't trust SB, their models and statisticians must know something I don't.

View attachment 982025

Three small SB 'lose one leg get money back' multis:

Coll SU, Under 118.5, Tuohy AGS @ 16

Hawkins 2+, De Goey 2+, Stephenson 2+ @ 25

Hawkins AGS, De Goey AGS, draw @ 90

And finally Collingwood SU @ 2.5, Collingwood 24.5+ @ 8, Collingwood 39.5+ @ 22

This seems to me to be at worst a 50/50 game for the Pies. I don't get why their odds are so out.

Greenwood to shut down one of the Cat mids.

Geelong's selected team is neither tall enough to quell the Pies size or fast enough to outrun them imo.

This is what Sportsbet has planned for your ship.

 

[Bazza97]

Last bet for tonight
De Goey AGS, Thomas AGS & Miers AGS $8.14 NEDS

 

[iluvparis]

Im surprised at the odds too tbh.

Cox is a great overhead mark and this was DeGoey's strength in the last time they played them, where Cox didnt play.

The game should be played in less dewy conditions too given the timeslot as well.

he did nothing in the 2018 grand final didn’t he after tearing the tiges a new one in the prelim?

just flukes a good game every now and then

 

[NonPhixion]

Ok * it. De Goey train is on.
Hopefully my ticket isn’t turned to confetti at the end of the night

 

[NonPhixion]

he did nothing in the 2018 grand final didn’t he after tearing the tiges a new one in the prelim?

just flukes a good game every now and then

He honestly wasn’t too bad in the GF. Trust me I’ve analysed it from all angles he was one of our better players

 

[GROTTO]

Ok fu** it. De Goey train is on.
Hopefully my ticket isn’t turned to confetti at the end of the night

Ive got a train (De Goey) a missile (Tomahawk) and a ship (Cox)

Yet why do I get the feeling it will be the crying game for me around 10pm tonight.

 

[tangolikelama]

Hawkins 2+
De Goey 2+
Mihocek AGS
Cox AGS

@23.5

 

[GROTTO]

He honestly wasn’t too bad in the GF. Trust me I’ve analysed it from all angles he was one of our better players

10 games in 2020, his gone 2+, 5 times.

14 games in 2019, he went 2+ 6 times.

 

[NonPhixion]

Ive got a train (De Goey) a missile (Tomahawk) and a ship (Cox)

Yet why do I get the feeling it will be the crying game for me around 10pm tonight.

I don’t want to re enact scenes of the titanic later tonight!!

 

[GROTTO]

I don’t want to re enact scenes of the titanic later tonight!!

Get the feeling this is Buckley trying to steer the Cox ship tonight.

 

[Zook]

QTR time line looks tasty

 

[Browney2006]

Here's my bets for tonight.

Cox 2+ @ 5 (SB), 3+ @ 19 (TAB), 4+ @ 67 (SB).

Decided not to load up, only put a little bit on each, the odds seem too good to be true.

I know how illogical that sounds but I don't trust SB, their models and statisticians must know something I don't.

View attachment 982025

Three small SB 'lose one leg get money back' multis:

Coll SU, Under 118.5, Tuohy AGS @ 16

Hawkins 2+, De Goey 2+, Stephenson 2+ @ 25

Hawkins AGS, De Goey AGS, draw @ 90

And finally Collingwood SU @ 2.5, Collingwood 24.5+ @ 8, Collingwood 39.5+ @ 22

This seems to me to be at worst a 50/50 game for the Pies. I don't get why their odds are so out.

Greenwood to shut down one of the Cat mids.

Geelong's selected team is neither tall enough to quell the Pies size or fast enough to outrun them imo.

he’s drifted to $76 for 4+ now

you can actually SGM him scoring 2+, 3+ & 4+ for $88 ($103) boosted and be eligible for the bonus bet if one leg fails promo