AFL 2020 - AFL Grand Final (no aftertiming allowed)

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The_Steadier

Norm Smith Medallist
May 6, 2009
7,906
17,022
AFL Club
St Kilda
I reckon there's value to be had on SB's 'wire to wire' market.

$2 for the game to have anything other than the 1 team leading at every change in what I'm expecting to be a close, low scoring contest?

Can multi w NS too- sign me up $13(boosted) dangermouse.
 

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demon_fanatic

Club Legend
May 8, 2006
2,326
672
bayswater
AFL Club
Melbourne
Have a feeling Geelong will win this - they will be even more motivated than Richmond to win, to send Gaza off on a high! It will all be about him and his family and the team will lift for this. 5years trying to make the GF, they will be highly motivated. Other sign is the odds, 2.10 for Geelong. I mean why are Richmond not shorter odds? Is it the Gabba factor. I cant believe Richmond is not 1.40.

Every team lately at 2.10 has been winning. The big boys will come in on Friday/ Saturday and hammer Geelongs odds down to 2.00 or maybe even 1.90. This year 2020 has been one of those years, lebron doing it for Kobe, so can see the Cats winning for good old Jiblets.

Having said that - I have gone big on Richmond and unders. But got a feeling it will be Cats that get up in a low scoring slog.
This would have to be the most confusing thing I've ever read on here haha!! You have a feeling Geelong will win but ask why aren't Richmond $1.40😁😁 then you say Geelong will win for Ablett and refer the Kobe thing but oh by the way I've gone big on Richmond and unders...whatttttttttt 😆
 

The_Steadier

Norm Smith Medallist
May 6, 2009
7,906
17,022
AFL Club
St Kilda
Where can you multi NS bets? On SB and Lads it seems to be a 'singles only' market.
See my earlier posts in this thread.
(Choose the separate NS market in AFL futures on SB, not the NS market embedded within all the other SGM etc markets)

You can only multi with 1 GF leg, but it's doable.
 

LIONS15v

Debutant
Oct 12, 2020
121
98
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
Tell me joel selwood AGS @ $4.5 on SB is not one of the best value bets.

All you need to see is his record in finals..
 

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Peter Doherty

Premiership Player
Dec 18, 2007
3,087
4,701
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Sports bet have a BYO for a draw then Geelong to win in extra time, pays $51.

Same game multi option allows you to select Geelong as the winner and the winning margin as a draw, pays $97.50.

Stupid question, are these the same bets?
 

LIONS15v

Debutant
Oct 12, 2020
121
98
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
Sports bet have a BYO for a draw then Geelong to win in extra time, pays $51.

Same game multi option allows you to select Geelong as the winner and the winning margin as a draw, pays $97.50.

Stupid question, are these the same bets?
yes, sometimes you just get better value doing your own SGM instead of taking the BYO
 

Peter Doherty

Premiership Player
Dec 18, 2007
3,087
4,701
Arcadia
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Adelaide
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yes, sometimes you just get better value doing your own SGM instead of taking the BYO
Cheers.

Was only paying $41 for the draw, but pays $114 and $117 (after power thing) each for the draw/Tigers and draw/Cats.

If anyone wants to put a draw bet on, probably best to just do two bets, cover the final result.
 

GROTTO

Hall of Famer
Jul 5, 2013
46,766
54,684
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¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Welcome Ladies, Gentlemen and degenerate gamblers.

I am proud to present the Final bets for the coveted title of Inaugural AFL Punter of the Year 2020.

This is it.

NonPhixion vs iluvparis Grand Final death match.

There is no tomorrow for the loser. Winner takes home the trophy. TBH Im upset you guys posted your bets, as I wanted the title myself by default.

2020 Grand Final (Cats) NonPhixion v ( Tigers) iluvparis
$100/bet
NonPhixion BetsMax ReturnActual Return
Gary Ablett AGS $2.10 - B365
$210.00​
1st Half U57.5 $1.90 - TopSport
$190.00​
SGM - Danger 15+, Duncan 15+, Richmond H2H, Highest scoring half 2nd. $4.75 - SB.
$475.00​
TOTAL
$875.00​
Iluvparis BetsMax ReturnActual Return
SGM - Richmond H2H/ Hawkins AGS @ 2.25
$225.00​
SGM - Q3 Line Richmond (-0.5) / Highest Scoring Half - second half @ 1.79 AMENDED TO $3.30
$330.00
NSM - Martin @ 4.50
$450.00​
TOTAL
$1005.00





Chism balmainforever
 
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Robo87

Club Legend
Aug 3, 2014
1,468
1,437
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
Wet and slippery and backing 2+ goals is never a good combination
its the last AFL game of the year so....

Thinking could use one sb sgm specials to aim for bonus bets as a fallback if bolton 2g+ fails, but better odds if the 2g+ succeeds:
could do something like - dusty 15+, guthrie 15+, bolton 2g+ @8.90 sb boosted
only trouble is there's no more AFL games this year after the GF to use bb on. #firstworldproblems

Have already done the same with 'miers AGS @2.85' on lads. (miers ags is into $2 now tho)

Teams are in. no changes from last week.
 
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Pacman82

Club Legend
Oct 24, 2011
2,205
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Brisbane Lions
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I'm well aware of his recent record, I do my research before posting/taking bets.

He still got to 15+ in each of his last few games, did he not?

And what are the chances selwood, the captain in a GF against a team conceding the 6th most disposals of any team in 2020, has no/little disposals in the first quarter again? Very, very slim I would say. He has value. And he will be giving it his all in a grand final. He's a champion player, never write them off.
I passed on him, he had a sore finger or something goin on last week against us, was strapped up.
 

lids2richo

Team Captain
Sep 11, 2008
340
280
melbourne
AFL Club
Richmond
This would have to be the most confusing thing I've ever read on here haha!! You have a feeling Geelong will win but ask why aren't Richmond $1.40😁😁 then you say Geelong will win for Ablett and refer the Kobe thing but oh by the way I've gone big on Richmond and unders...whatttttttttt 😆
Sounds like what Ricky Nixon does so he can say "told ya so" after either gets up
 

jikost

Club Legend
Oct 9, 2003
1,448
60
AFL Club
Melbourne
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Melbourne
Forecast keeps getting worse. Was 30% chance of rain, then 40% and now 70% with up to 6mm and a possible thunderstorm. Guaranteed to rain at stages during the afternoon so gonna be slippery and wet either way. Dangerfield Over 2.5 tackles, Guthrie Over 4.5 tackles, Prestia Over 4.5 tackles and Selwood Over 4.5 tackles all look likely in a contested scrap.
 

NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
4,183
5,351
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Collingwood
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Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Forecast keeps getting worse. Was 30% chance of rain, then 40% and now 70% with up to 6mm and a possible thunderstorm. Guaranteed to rain at stages during the afternoon so gonna be slippery and wet either way. Dangerfield Over 2.5 tackles, Guthrie Over 4.5 tackles, Prestia Over 4.5 tackles and Selwood Over 4.5 tackles all look likely in a contested scrap.
reading my mind
 

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