No, you are saying there's a 1 in 10 chance and I'm saying that's way too pessimistic (and that I'm happy to take your money at the odds you quoted).
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Resource 2023 AFL Draft Discussion...
- Thread starter Mutineer
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dogs105
Sweet Kennels Proprietor
I'm not saying one in 10. I'm saying it's possible, and that risk isn't priced into the original trade proposal. At what do you put the chances of us and WC being close on the ladder?
Points don't reflect the actual draft capital needed to trade up, particularly to a top 2 pick.
And nobody will remember the picks we gave up if the gun mid we pick wins us a flag. Yes, it might not work and we might not win a flag. But I think there are bigger risks of it not working out if we keep taking mid teens picks.
2%
At what do you put the chances that the West Coast pick won't get us access to a top prospect?
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dogs105
Sweet Kennels Proprietor
In 2010, West Coast finished last, with 4 wins. In 2011 they finished 4th with 17 wins.
It's not likely, but it's not unheard of, and it's folly to to base a deal on the assumption it won't happen.
- Jul 27, 2023
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In 2022 we finished second last with 2 wins and in 2023 we finished last with 3 wins. Then we lost Shuey, Hurn and Nic Nat. Whilst I’m thoroughly, thoroughly enjoying this banter I’d like to apologise to the entire board for sending you down this deep, dark rabbit hole as of yesterday morning.
FWIW I think a very conservative approach to list management rarely wins you a flag. If Big Dub was your list manager, he might just jag you one. Goodluck in the draft, I’ve got a lot of respect for your footy club. I’ll see myself out.
FWIW I think a very conservative approach to list management rarely wins you a flag. If Big Dub was your list manager, he might just jag you one. Goodluck in the draft, I’ve got a lot of respect for your footy club. I’ll see myself out.
There is no guarantee in anything you do in the off season. Every draft pick you take is a risk of being a fail.
Our rebuild is going well, but most would agree that we are still 1 premium mid away from being a true contender. We are unlikely to have access to the pointy end of the draft now with our own picks, so we need to either trade one in or somehow get into the top couple of picks to have the best chance to grab one.
Obviously it depends on what we would need to give up to get their F1. I said in my first post that I wouldn't want to give up our 3 first rounders this year and our F1. But something like pick 10, 20 and our F1 I would be OK with. Still leaves us one first rounder this year. I would be more than comfortable to take the risk that we won't drop down the ladder much and they won't rise up much.
It is very unlikely any of this happens anyway so I'll stop posting about it after this.
Why do mock drafts keep linking us with intercept defenders? We let Doedee go as we are already fairly stocked down there and it’s likely we can get Petty next year anyway. Just doesn’t seem a major need with Murray back by mid year too, so Keane could then potentially play more of an interceptor role with Worrell.
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Because we could draft one. Will you change your mind to support the decision if we do?
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Actually can see this happening , not so much Gothart bit
The bid on Graham might be before taking Tholstrup
Instead of Gothard we take Goad ( or the one of other rucks )
Wilson, Tholstrup/DeMattia, Goad would be a good result.
It's not as good as Wilson and Osullivan but Connor might be surplus to needs if we get Petty next year.
Yep ideal scenario is O’Sullivan and Wilson even if it’s only 2 picks in end
I’d love to pinch Graham off GC - speed power size in midfield
No reason for GC to give up Graham.
I wouldn't have a problem with Gothard purely on talent, but probably not what we should be looking for, positionally (at that pick, anyway)
Mitch Edwards possibly sliding beyond the late 20's is wild to me, I'd snap him up like nobody's business at that third pick
Tholstrup more forward than midfielder, is midfielder label just thrown in?
Being a farmer, maybe he could buy into Murray and McHenry's farm, the new version of the Adelaide girlfriend or shares in the Alma?
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Think a genuine small forward is definitely a need. We have Rankine and we don't want him spending 100% in the pocket.
WaynesWorld19
Post-Human
AFL clubs pushing for the implementation of a concussion passport
Almost one in 10 AFL players admitted they hid a concussion last year and club recruiters fear it is happening in junior football. But a concussion passport could change everything.The concerning concussion history of several top prospects looms as a wildcard in next week’s AFL draft as clubs push for the implementation of a concussion passport.
That passport would be activated as soon as a junior began playing full contact sport and would later allow clubs to consider the state of a player’s brain before being drafted.
“They’re probably not going to self-report because it might limit their chances of getting a job,” one club’s AFL recruiter said.
Certain No. 1 pick Harley Reid sat out five weeks after suffering a concussion in May while top-30 ruck prospect Mitch Edwards returned 16 days after his mid-season blow.
Some clubs believe Western Bulldogs-bound father-son Croft has suffered as many as seven head knocks – but were unsure how many of those resulted in concussion.
Those close to Croft are adamant he has only one concussion, from 2021.
Would have had him pegged as Cam Rayner forward with some relief mid minutes but must say his combine testing result re Endurance / Agility gives me some confidence he can play some decent mid minutes in timeI went moreso on their roles at U18s leveland I see Tholstrup as a rotation option at his peak given the contested nature of his game
Would be happy with that bar Gothard
hopefully De Mattia or Goad is on the board still , would go Moir too if both gone
Would Tholstrup be a need? Listed as a midflield/Forward. We are already pretty stacked with players that can rotate forward and through the middle - Pedlar, Rachelle, Keays, Rankine. And then depth with Mchenry, Murphy and Berry.
I would rather us either go for a pure small forward or forward with x factor.
