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AE AE13 - Discussion

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Happens every Thursday night as if people think it's worth double or something.

I treat is as a normal game worth normal points and I rank it against the other games.

Agree, just doesn't make any sense to me either. Only thing is IMO you have to leave decent points for MNF (7+) so you can change your tip if need be for Next Duel
 
Agree, just doesn't make any sense to me either. Only thing is IMO you have to leave decent points for MNF (7+) so you can change your tip if need be for Next Duel


Thanks dude. I thought I was going nuts and there was some sort of special thing about it.
 

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Hardest week to tip EVER?

Honestly when you're considering the Titans as one of your top tips you know it's a tough week to be tipping NFL.

Makes you appreciate the NFL Herm Edwards even more.. :D I use to believe that 70% of games were 50/50... now I'm convinced that 90% of games are definitely toss of the coin jobs. Could well be 'secret' to finding those winners that logic doesn't allow.

Anyhow Albertonrob.. I trust you're still enthralled by the weekly challenges of the AE.. ;) I have more ND wins than you and I SUCK!! But I believe in something mystical... that keeps me thinking 'what IF' and ..... the Herm mantra
PlayWinGame_Track.png

Everyone is a chance still... just need to start flipping those coins to play the game on another level..


For the initiated here's where it at... Back in day there was a J-E-T-S HC who plead to his players to stop thinking like they were plebs and actually have a crack.. regardless of the odds stacked against you.HERM EDWARDS is that very guy from the school of hard knocks where a champion team is made from that united underdog force who love to play with a chip on their shoulder = Herm Manta = bringing on the upsets ... that's why they play the games because 'paper champions don't exist anymore in the NFL'.. a collection of varied rants..

 
Anyone going Tampa this week? I can't bring myself to do it but this does seem like the week.


It's one of those classic dilemmas. Sure, they'll win at some point, but good luck trying and bloody picking it. Kinda like Melbourne recently :(
 
Anyone going Tampa this week? I can't bring myself to do it but this does seem like the week.


Just do it, what's the worst that could happen? You be 100 points off the lead instead of 90 something.
 
WeebEwbankNDWeek10_POS_zpscc6f1423.jpg


Sblack holds CR score tie-breaker over Jonesy86
JeffDunne claims h2h tie-breaker over Tannehill17, Osmodiar & PeterBuch74.
Tannehill17 claims h2h tie-breaker over Osmodiar & PeterBuch74.
PeterBuch74 claims h2h tie-breaker over Danielz_23.
Osmodiar claims h2h tie-breaker over Marklar33

Art Monk claims h2h tie-breaker over Jezz281
Jezz281 claims h2h tie breaker over DogLee

Chock Nurris can clinch the Cris Carter Division title with a victory over Crowman23
Axis Miles03 can clinch the Willie Roaf Division title with a victory over RedRifle AND a loss by Statsman74 (vs Marcuz)
Arkie can clinch the Mike Ditka Division title with a victory over PeterBuch74.
Galactic can cinch the Jim Thorpe Division title with a victory over Tannehill17.
Billiever can clinch the Bart Starr Division title with a victory over BeLikeMike & a loss by Imation23 (vs Juggallo Balla).
Prawnographer can clinch the Lou Groza Division title with a victory over Arakaan.

EdSabolNDWeek10_POS_zps683ba1fc.jpg


Moo holds CR score tie-breaker over Tomatosauceling
Tomatosauceling claims h2h tie-breaker over Smiths
Fuey claims h2h tie breaker over both AC83 & PhillyCat
Raskolnikov claims h2h tie-breaker over Matt 897 & PhillyCat
Balmainforever claims h2h tie-breaker over GeeCats07
GG claims h2h tie-breaker over Rocco S

Sven can clinch the Mike Singletary Division title with a victory over Swannies
Blacky can clinch the Pete Pihos Division title with a victory over Bgt2110 and a loss by Eagleoz83 (vs Primetime Pricey)
Beez can clinch the Jack Christensen Division title with a win over GG
Quin_Stick can clinch the George Blanda Division title with a victory over Raskolnikov
Lukozade can clinch the Jimmy Johnson Division title with a victory over Larkis
Larkis can clinch the Jimmy Johnson Division title with a victory over Lukozade and a loss by Sergio's Realm (vs Superfreak).
 
Just for a quick summary regards the ND play-offs this season.

Week 12
Each Conf : 7 Div winners + 3 Best WildCards Records = Bye
Extended Wildcard Qualification Round
Next 10 Records play-off for 6 wildcard spots each Conference
Determined by Highest Scorers amongst those SIX
in Week 12 ( refer to wildcard tie-breaker below)

ND WC Tie Breaker
1. Win-Loss-Tie (percentage) record <Overall>
2. Head to head (if applicable)
3. Win-Loss-Tie record (percentage) <Division>(if applicable)
4. Win-Loss-Tie record (percentage) <Conference>
5. W-L-T record vs common opponents (if applicable)
6. Strength of Victory (total wins of opponents beaten)
7. CR Points
8. Countback of Weekly Scores starting week ten

Bottom line: Sixteen participants from each conference go thru.

The tie-breaker criteria for ND Play-Off qualification as follows:
1. Overall W/L/T % record
2. H2H** indifference among 3 or more opponents is offset (invalid)
3. Divisional Record (W-L-T % record) if applicable.
4. Conference Record (W-L-T % record)
5. H2H only in a two team basis
6. CR score
7. Common opponents if applicable
8. Aggregate total of five highest scores (from Weeks 1-10)
9. Countback of CR weekly score
 

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I use to believe that 70% of games were 50/50... now I'm convinced that 90% of games are definitely toss of the coin jobs. Could well be 'secret' to finding those winners that logic doesn't allow.


somewhere in between
83%, the exact % that teams who win the game also cover the spread in the history of the NFL, a person flipping coins on who will cover the spread is going to very close to 50% after a large enough sample so there is my reasoning

edit: I am not too sure that even makes sense
 

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Moo today officially retires from season 2013 with a torn brain and heart muscle


Got those and a sore anoos thanks to the Colts and Titans. Both at highest CR and they go down. I'm am more farked than Kelli Stevens.
 
Got those and a sore anoos thanks to the Colts and Titans. Both at highest CR and they go down. I'm am more farked than Kelli Stevens.

the good news is you're not on your own with those two picks.....
 

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