Algorithm revisited, after finals, week 3

[Richo83]

Adelaide +24 v GWS
Geelong v Richmond +1
Port Adelaide +36 v West Coast
Sydney +46 v Essendon

A one point win in a final against a side the tigers haven't beaten in over a decade would be awesome, but I'm not sure my heart would take it.

 

[Hobbes]

Adelaide +24 v GWS
Geelong v Richmond +1
Port Adelaide +36 v West Coast
Sydney +46 v Essendon

3/4 - West Coast was just too hard.

1. Sydney 40.0
2. Richmond 31.9 (+1)
3. Adelaide 26.9 (-1)
4. Geelong 16.5
(5. Port Adelaide 8.3)
(6. Hawthorn 7.6)
7. West Coast 6.7 (+2)
8. GWS 5.5 (-2)

Now only listing the ratings as far down as the lowest remaining team.

Geelong v Sydney +18
GWS +11 v West Coast

 

[Hobbes]

Geelong v Sydney +18
GWS +11 v West Coast

Well, I got GWS right, like everybody did, and Geelong wrong, like everybody did.

1. Richmond 31.5 (+1)
[2. Sydney 31.1 (-1)]
3. Geelong 27.7 (+1)
4 Adelaide 22.2 (-1)
5. GWS 14.4 (+3)

Adelaide +1 v Geelong
Richmond +22 v GWS

 

[Hobbes]

Adelaide +1 v Geelong
Richmond +22 v GWS

I had a feeling that Adelaide were better than the algorithm predicts, since it's taking full account of the dead rubber game against West Coast.

Well, with the grand final approaching, the two highest-rated teams are in the big dance.

1. Richmond 32.1
2. Adelaide 28.4

Personally, I'm tipping Adelaide. But the algorithm has spoken, and it predicts:

Adelaide v Richmond +4.

(Note: I don't apply home ground advantage in the Grand Final)

 

[BTs Nana]

Adelaide +1 v Geelong
Richmond +22 v GWS

I had a feeling that Adelaide were better than the algorithm predicts, since it's taking full account of the dead rubber game against West Coast.

Well, with the grand final approaching, the two highest-rated teams are in the big dance.

1. Richmond 32.1
2. Adelaide 28.4

Personally, I'm tipping Adelaide. But the algorithm has spoken, and it predicts:

Adelaide v Richmond +4.

(Note: I don't apply home ground advantage in the Grand Final)

You are a traitor to your own people

 

[_DBF_]

Final Siren tipping the Crows and Hobbes tipping the Tigers.