Cricket World Cup

Sep 4, 2003
11,417
13,706
in the local tab
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Richmond
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phewww got on new zealand live around $1.63 when South Africa were still struggling making runs about 30 overs into their innings, woke up with New Zealand needing basically a run a ball 24 from 24 , they made hard work of it after the guy batting with Richardson went out, suddenly needing like 13 off 8 balls, thank god their skipper is a bloody star!
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ash_1050

Club Legend
Nov 21, 2009
2,469
3,857
Melbourne
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Essendon
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Melbourne Victory and Arsenal
living big off my win on Australia winning the coin toss today.
Interesting choice to go with Australia winning the toss. They've lost all 4 tosses this world cup and on an oval like Nottingham with the air temperatures and ground conditions it's highly likely they could have lost the toss today as well. Couple that with the fact the Aussies traditionally don't do well winning a toss away from home and it's even more reason why you'd generally back the favourite rather than the outsider. Good bet!
 

ricardogp

Club Legend
Jun 26, 2012
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Carlton
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Couple of markets I'm interested in...

If Aus bat first then Maxwell over 43.5 performance points ($2.10 lads) looks good. Probably makes it to the crease and likely to be given strike in death overs if so. Also usually takes a boundary catch. If BAN are chasing then there might be a few opportunities.

If BAN bat first then expecting a low total, in which case Carey might not get much crease time (if any) , so under 26.5 runs looks interesting (he is 50/50 on this at the WC anyway).

Not sure what happens if he doesn't bat though... Void?


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Haha... Carey bet came in but took the other. Betcha Maxi doesn't :rolleyes:

Interesting seeing BAN at $34 live. The worm shows them neck and neck. Was expecting to see them around the $10/12 mark. But I'm too tired to bet...

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ricardogp

Club Legend
Jun 26, 2012
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Could just be me being soft but don't mind Afghanistan at $3.85 tonight. Did well against India... Had them worries for a bit. Know how to put some pressure on batsmen and should be easier for them to score runs tonight.

Was expecting to see them about $3, so good enough for half a unit.

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ricardogp

Club Legend
Jun 26, 2012
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Carlton
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Aus v Eng: 2u Aaron Finch under 37.5 @ $2 (BetEasy)

Going to oppose Finch again. He has been in good form however that form has inclused run fests against Bangladesh and Sri Lanka.

Lords has only been used once in the tournament so far so I'm hoping that there will be some life in it, but the forecast is also overcast which usually helps the bowlers.

In the last 2 years, against England in England Finch has only broken this line 1/5 times, and he's also never faced Archer, so a bit of an unknown in the mix.

Given that Sportsbet's line is 33.5 and Ladbrokes is 36.5, BetEasy offering $2 at a higher line is good value IMO.

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mouncey2franklin

Club Legend
Jun 16, 2018
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North Melbourne
Good tournament for fun punting so far. Right now all of the favourites are still $3+ to lift the cup.

And take a look at the futures markets for top runs and top wickets.

Right now Shakib is still paying $8 for top run scorer, despite currently sitting top of the run scorer table.

He has 30 runs on 2nd (Warner) and 50 on 3rd (Root) but one less group match to play.

And of course it seems unlikely that the Bangers will make the finals... unless England lose tonight.

In which case, unless England can beat either India or New Zealand, then all the Bangers have to do it beat Pakistan to progress.

It is similar with the leading wicket tacker. Ferguson is one wicket behind Amir, but Amir won't be playing finals.

Ferguson at $6 with a game in hand is huge value, especially if England (Archer) don't make the finals.

Without England in the finals, Ferguson's only competition will be Starc.

If you think the Aussies will win tonight, consider betting on non-Poms for leading wickets and leading runs.
 

ricardogp

Club Legend
Jun 26, 2012
1,750
694
AFL Club
Carlton
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McLaren
Aus v Eng: 2u Aaron Finch under 37.5 @ $2 (BetEasy)

Going to oppose Finch again. He has been in good form however that form has inclused run fests against Bangladesh and Sri Lanka.

Lords has only been used once in the tournament so far so I'm hoping that there will be some life in it, but the forecast is also overcast which usually helps the bowlers.

In the last 2 years, against England in England Finch has only broken this line 1/5 times, and he's also never faced Archer, so a bit of an unknown in the mix.

Given that Sportsbet's line is 33.5 and Ladbrokes is 36.5, BetEasy offering $2 at a higher line is good value IMO.

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Ffs... Survives 2 fingertip chances and an LBW decision.

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99 Problems

Team Captain
Aug 4, 2016
337
266
AFL Club
Sydney
On total match runs under 539.5 at toppy. If anyone can get on at 365 they first wicket to fall under 32.5 @1.9. Higher total than being offered for either side individually at most books. Would think either Aamir or Boult find one early in the overcast conditions and against ordinary opening pairs. Unfortunately haven’t seen that market anywhere else though.
 

Red Dog Styles

All Australian
Feb 13, 2017
733
368
Ferntree Gully
AFL Club
Hawthorn
On total match runs under 539.5 at toppy. If anyone can get on at 365 they first wicket to fall under 32.5 @1.9. Higher total than being offered for either side individually at most books. Would think either Aamir or Boult find one early in the overcast conditions and against ordinary opening pairs. Unfortunately haven’t seen that market anywhere else though.
Haven't used toppy before but sounds good.
You've got 99 problems but your analysis aint 1

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