Rumour Draft Rumours 2025

[Mostyn]

Future picks are valued at the last pick of each round. If a club has multiple picks in a round, such as the first round, picks are valued at pick 18, then 17 and so forth.

However the 2027 draft has all the Tassie picks in it, so the last pick of the first round in 2027 is pick 25. So pick 25 + pick 24 is 1211 points.

If Walker is bid on at pick 1 in 2026, Carlton are on the hook for 2700 points.

2700 - 1211 as Carlton’s deficit “bank” = 1489.


Man you have to get your head around teams potential deficit banks.

Carlton have 1715 points banked in the 2026 draft to help pay for any bids this year.

Carlton’s true 2026 bank will be far greater when we roll in to the trade period next year, as it’s unlikely Carlton & Sydney are playing in next year’s grand final.

It will be interesting if the AFL decides to change deficit rules as part of the massive Academy bidding rethink.

 

[Giant Strides]

It will be interesting if the AFL decides to change deficit rules as part of the massive Academy bidding rethink.

Yes, you would have to think if they are going to limit bid matching to 2 picks only - that there will be no deficit banks.

Just unconscionable that the trade period was completed and the intention is the National Draft will be completed without clarification on next year's bidding rules. Complete amateur hour.

 

[TENACIOUS]

Carlton aren’t going to just bend over, for picks 9 & 11, because it’s a poor draft.

We have enough picks/points to get Dean, Ison and another player, which is our objective.

If you want picks 9 & 11 as usual you’d have to pay overs.

 

[perplexed]

Carlton aren’t going to just bend over, for picks 9 & 11, because it’s a poor draft.

We have enough picks/points to get Dean, Ison and another player, which is our objective.

If you want picks 9 & 11 as usual you’d have to pay overs.

Surely you guys will try and use those picks to live trade up ahead of the bid?

 

[Keystone agony]

Future picks are valued at the last pick of each round. If a club has multiple picks in a round, such as the first round, picks are valued at pick 18, then 17 and so forth.

However the 2027 draft has all the Tassie picks in it, so the last pick of the first round in 2027 is pick 25. So pick 25 + pick 24 is 1211 points.

If Walker is bid on at pick 1 in 2026, Carlton are on the hook for 2700 points.

2700 - 1211 as Carlton’s deficit “bank” = 1489.


Man you have to get your head around teams potential deficit banks.

Carlton have 1715 points banked in the 2026 draft to help pay for any bids this year.

Carlton’s true 2026 bank will be far greater when we roll in to the trade period next year, as it’s unlikely Carlton & Sydney are playing in next year’s grand final.

And what if the team doesnt have a future pick in that round?

I understand they have points with the 2 first, but they wont want to keep drifitng back each year due to deficit

 

[Stamos]

Surely you guys will try and use those picks to live trade up ahead of the bid?

I think there's only one feasible possibility for that, trading up to Essendon's second pick (currently 6, likely 9).
And that's going to depend on them being happy to have a small slide for a bigger trade up to our 11.

 

[Futbolista]

Not so much a 2025 rumour although it is happening now. (rumour has it)

Jed Hagan (Former WA 18's player) to move to Tasmania, represent their VFL side and all things going to plan - becomes an inaugural Tasmania AFL squad member.

It's a genuine rumour at least!

 

[daniel_4tw]

Carlton aren’t going to just bend over, for picks 9 & 11, because it’s a poor draft.

We have enough picks/points to get Dean, Ison and another player, which is our objective.

If you want picks 9 & 11 as usual you’d have to pay overs.

I don’t know about that.

No one wants into this draft as 2026 picks are seen as better. So you’re not going to get a better 2026 picks than current 2025 picks.

So Crows 16 + F1 might be the best offer if there are no other teams interested.

I think the real concern should be if Carlton need 2026 first rounders, they’re going to find it very difficult to get one next year. No one is going to be interested in 2027 picks due to TAS, so the only way to get one would be to trade out players.

Even this trade which isn’t great on paper only for Carlton only makes sense if Sharp or Cumming are still on the board, which is a big if.

 

[ctwenty1]

I don’t know about that.

No one wants into this draft as 2026 picks are seen as better. So you’re not going to get a better 2026 picks than current 2025 picks.

So Crows 16 + F1 might be the best offer if there are no other teams interested.

I think the real concern should be if Carlton need 2026 first rounders, they’re going to find it very difficult to get one next year. No one is going to be interested in 2027 picks due to TAS, so the only way to get one would be to trade out players.

Even this trade which isn’t great on paper only for Carlton only makes sense if Sharp or Cumming are still on the board, which is a big if.

16 and f1 just wont be happening for 9 and 11, unless carlton honetsly expects the crows to have a shitzen 2026

 

[txbyhull]

16 and f1 just wont be happening for 9 and 11, unless carlton honetsly expects the crows to have a shitzen 2026

There’s no way anyone actually thinks they could get that deal for both picks??? I was under the impression the talk was 16 + F1 for 9 straight up?

 

[ctwenty1]

There’s no way anyone actually thinks they could get that deal for both picks??? I was under the impression the talk was 16 + F1 for 9 straight up?

Then Carlton end up on top - 16 + F1 (lets say 16 again) is equivaent to Pick 5 and we wont be throwing extras in as we need the points this year and we dont have an F2 or F3 for 2026.

 

[txbyhull]

Then Carlton end up on top - 16 + F1 (lets say 16 again) is equivaent to Pick 5 and we wont be throwing extras in as we need the points this year and we dont have an F2 or F3 for 2026.

As they should do? End up on top that is? If Crows want to get back to the top end and grab a slider at 9 they have to pay for it

 

[ctwenty1]

As they should do? End up on top that is? If Crows want to get back to the top end and grab a slider at 9 they have to pay for it

Yeajh posisbly - guess it really depends on how the crows rate the player avaioable at 9 vs what they feel they could get next year.

I just feel the gap is too big either way ie 16+f1 for 9 is too much in our favour, and 16+f1 for 9 and 11 is too much in their favour - I think there maybe more that needs to be part of either trade

Time will tell!

 

[Keystone agony]

Lets say for arguments sake they (crows) finish the same spot their is argument for them to go worse but also better, so pick 12, ill push back by 1 for a compensation

Basically

20 + 13 (2026)
For
13 + 15

Isnt a mile off. But it might come down to, who else is offering more?

 

[ctwenty1]

Lets say for arguments sake they (crows) finish the same spot their is argument for them to go worse but also better, so pick 12, ill oush back by 1 for a compensation

Basically

20 + 13 (2026)
For
13 + 15

Isnt a mile off. But it might come down to, whos offering more?

How are you getting 13 and 15, wouldnt it be 12 and 14 post the 2xGC and 1x Bris matching bids?

Also that still leaves us short on points for this year as we woudl want to be sure that we have enough for Ison as well

But yes, how we value Adel F1 will drive the deal tbh

 

[Stamos]

Lets say for arguments sake they (crows) finish the same spot their is argument for them to go worse but also better, so pick 12, ill oush back by 1 for a compensation

Basically

20 + 13 (2026)
For
13 + 15

Isnt a mile off. But it might come down to, whos offering more?

This is taking bids into account in 25, but not in 26 though.
9, 11 and 16 all slide back, but whatever they slide back to, we're talking about moving 16 up by 7 places to 9.

This sort of upgrade usually costs an F1.

 

[daniel_4tw]

There’s no way anyone actually thinks they could get that deal for both picks??? I was under the impression the talk was 16 + F1 for 9 straight up?

My understanding the current rumour is it’s for both.

I’d throw in a F2 (and late 2025 picks if it helps Carlton with points). But that’s just me.

It’s a discussion of whether you need to pay a premium to move up or are you paying a premium to get into a stronger, less compromised 2026 draft.

It probably ends up a wash.

Again there’s really only two players crows would be interested in moving up and pick 9 and/or are going to be right on the cusp anyway.

 

[Keystone agony]

How are you getting 13 and 15, wouldnt it be 12 and 14 post the 2xGC and 1x Bris matching bids?

Also that still leaves us short on points for this year as we woudl want to be sure that we have enough for Ison as well

But yes, how we value Adel F1 will drive the deal tbh

For me i have Dean well inside 13th and 15th best player in the draft

Hes definitely inside the top 8-10 for me

So crows are getting the 13th and 15th best players in this draft pool if they get these picks. Obviously they never had access to the other 4 but that doesnt mean it doesnt diminish the quality of player at 13 and 15 which is what is considered at trade time (ie compromised)

 

[Keystone agony]

This is taking bids into account in 25, but not in 26 though.
9, 11 and 16 all slide back, but whatever they slide back to, we're talking about moving 16 up by 7 places to 9.

This sort of upgrade usually costs an F1.

Bidding is different in 26 though due to likely only allowing 2 picks

So that pick could actually come in depending on bid spot and pick location. But ive kept it as remaining

Ie crows have pick 13, C.Walker bid at 2 = picks 6 and 14 to match from memory. Means it remains, as essentially Walker replaces pick 6

 

[TENACIOUS]

I don’t know about that.

No one wants into this draft as 2026 picks are seen as better. So you’re not going to get a better 2026 picks than current 2025 picks.

So Crows 16 + F1 might be the best offer if there are no other teams interested.

I think the real concern should be if Carlton need 2026 first rounders, they’re going to find it very difficult to get one next year. No one is going to be interested in 2027 picks due to TAS, so the only way to get one would be to trade out players.

Even this trade which isn’t great on paper only for Carlton only makes sense if Sharp or Cumming are still on the board, which is a big if.

You want the picks.

I’d rather trade up with the Bombers or keep the picks.

 

[Crow till I die]

My understanding the current rumour is it’s for both.

I’d throw in a F2 (and late 2025 picks if it helps Carlton with points). But that’s just me.

It’s a discussion of whether you need to pay a premium to move up or are you paying a premium to get into a stronger, less compromised 2026 draft.

It probably ends up a wash.

Again there’s really only two players crows would be interested in moving up and pick 9 and/or are going to be right on the cusp anyway.

If we really are trying for picks 9 + 11, then if needed, we should be offering

16 + 48 + F1 + F2 for 9 + 11

If Carlton are happy to do a deal along those lines but want more points in this draft, then before we get to that on night scenario, we look to trade our F2 for a 2nd in this draft and hand that to them with 16, 48 & F1

But thats just me and I have no idea if carlton are seriously considering a trade for both picks?

 

[Keystone agony]

If we really are trying for picks 9 + 11, then if needed, we should be offering

16 + 48 + F1 + F2 for 9 + 11

If Carlton are happy to do a deal along those lines but want more points in this draft, then before we get to that on night scenario, we look to trade our F2 for a 2nd in this draft and hand that to them with 16, 48 & F1

But thats just me and I have no idea if carlton are seriously considering a trade for both picks?

I think blues absolutely take that

Are the crows allowed to trade F1 and F2 same draft? Not sure

 

[ctwenty1]

I think blues absolutely take that

I think we do too

 

[Crow till I die]

I think blues absolutely take that

Are the crows allowed to trade F1 and F2 same draft? Not sure

I asked that very same question on our board and apparently the rules have changed and its allowed.

 

[ctwenty1]

If we really are trying for picks 9 + 11, then if needed, we should be offering

16 + 48 + F1 + F2 for 9 + 11

If Carlton are happy to do a deal along those lines but want more points in this draft, then before we get to that on night scenario, we look to trade our F2 for a 2nd in this draft and hand that to them with 16, 48 & F1

But thats just me and I have no idea if carlton are seriously considering a trade for both picks?

I think we take it if the Dean bid is coming late

If the bid comes in at 5 we will probably need to hold onto one of 9 or 11 so then only one gets traded to Adelaide