Prediction Giants BF Board 2022 Mock Draft

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This is the GWS Mock Draft order for the GWS Board Mock Draft.

Reminder, we'll select 3 rounds - as we get close to that (after a number of bids & matches, the last 'third round pick' will come earlier, I'll assess where we actually finish.

Reminder to tag me into any trades, bids & matches, and I will update the draft order after any bid matches (with an explanation of the matching cost & impact on draft order - based on my imperfect understanding of the AFL rules!). Also tag the next poster once you've selected your player.

I will pin this post & also update selected players as I can.

RoundPickPicks after 2022 TradesPointsWith DiscountPlayer selected
Round 11Brisbane30002400Will Ashcroft (bid match)
Round 12GWS Giants25172014Harry Sheezel
Round 13North Melbourne22341787George Wardlaw
Round 14North Melbourne20341627Aaron Cadman
Round 15Essendon18781502Elijah Tsatas
Round 16Gold Coast Suns17511401Reuben Ginbey
Round 17Hawthorn16441315Mattes Phillipou
Round 18Geelong Cats15511241Jhye Clark
Round 19West Coast Eagles14691175Cameron Mackenzie
Round 110St Kilda13951116Bailey Humphrey
Round 111Carlton13291063Jedd Busslinger
Round 112Western Bulldogs12681014Oliver Hollands
Round 113West Coast Eagles1212970Ed Allan
Round 114Melbourne1161929Matthew Jefferson
Round 115Sydney Swans1112890Lachlan Cowan
Round 116GWS Giants1067854Jacob Konstanty
Round 117Brisbane1025820Jaspa Fletcher (bid match)
Round 118Essendon985788Josh Weddle
Round 219Sydney Swans948751Brayden George
Round 220GWS Giants912715Charlie Clarke
Round 221GWS Giants878681Coby Burgiel
Round 222West Coast Eagles845648Elijah Hewett
Round 223Western Bulldogs815618Lewis Hayes
Round 224Essendon785588Alwyn Davey Jr (bid match)
Round 225Collingwood756559Harry Barnett
Round 226North Melbourne729532Olli Hotton
Compensation Pick27Hawthorn703506Henry Hustwaite
Round 228Collingwood677480Isaac Keeler
Round 229West Coast Eagles653456Darcy Jones
Round 230Adelaide629432Max Michalanney (bid match)
Round 231GWS Giants606409Harry Rowston (bid match)
Round 232Collingwood584387Mitch Sybkowski
Round 233St Kilda563366Harry Lemmey
Round 234Carlton542345Max Gruzewski
Compensation Pick35Fremantle522325Sam Gilbey
Round 236St Kilda502305Adam D'Aloia
Round 237Port Adelaide483286Ethan Phillips
Round 238Melbourne465268Jakob Ryan
Round 339Western Bulldogs446249Jaiden Magor
Round 340North Melbourne429232Harvey Gallagher
Round 341Hawthorn412215Billy Dowling
Round 342Sydney Swans395198Jed Hagan
Round 343North Melbourne378181Cooper Harvey
Round 344Fremantle362165Jed Adams
Round 345Gold Coast Suns347150Noah Long
Round 346St Kilda331134James Van Es
Round 347Hawthorn316119Kaleb Smith
Round 348Essendon302105Anthony Munkara (bid match)
Compensation Pick49Hawthorn28790Jaxon Binns
Round 350Carlton27376Casey Voss
Round 351Collingwood25962Blake Drury
Round 352Carlton24649Will Verrall
Round 353Richmond23336Luke Teal
Compensation Pick54GWS Giants22023Pass
Round 355Geelong Cats20710Tom McCallum
Round 356Adelaide1940Cooper Vickery
Round 357Port Adelaide1820Jason Gilbee
Round 358Richmond1700Phoenix Foster
Round 459Geelong Cats1580Pass
Round 460Adelaide1460Tom Scully
Round 461Carlton1350Pass
Round 462Fremantle1230Nick Sadler
Round 463Western Bulldogs1120Pass
Round 464GWS Giants1010Pass
Round 465Sydney Swans900Pass
Round 466Fremantle800Harry Boyd
Round 467West Coast Eagles690Hudson O'Keefe
Round 468Port Adelaide590Ted Clohesy
Round 469St Kilda490Pass
Round 470Carlton390Pass
Round 471Western Bulldogs290Pass
Round 472Richmond190Archie Lovelock (tentative)
Round 473Fremantle90Pass
Round 474Melbourne00Toby McMullin
Round 475Sydney Swans00Pass
Round 476Port Adelaide00Pass
Round 577St Kilda00Pass
Round 578Richmond00Pass
Round 579Melbourne00Pass
Round 580Brisbane00Max Knobel
Round 581Brisbane00Pass
Round 582Brisbane00Pass
Round 583Essendon00Pass

Rioli2Rioli, Orange crush, PMBangers, sydney_gws, Andre the Giant, GWS Goose
 
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Now I’ll be bidding for Alwyn Davey Jr.

Over to sydney_gws to match.

OK, Collingwood bids on Alwyn Davey Jr, which Essendon mtaches at pick #24. Cost is 588 points. Essendon uses picks #52 (246 pts), #58 (170 pts) & 63 (112 pts) to match, which totals 528 points, leaving a deficit to take into 2023 of 60 points to come from their second round pick (although, since they traded that to Collingwood in an earlier trade, I believe will come off their third round pick.)

I'll rearrange the draft order, but back to Pie 4 Life for Collingwood to pick again, at #25.
 
OK, Collingwood bids on Alwyn Davey Jr, which Essendon mtaches at pick #24. Cost is 588 points. Essendon uses picks #52 (246 pts), #58 (170 pts) & 63 (112 pts) to match, which totals 528 points, leaving a deficit to take into 2023 of 60 points to come from their second round pick (although, since they traded that to Collingwood in an earlier trade, I believe will come off their third round pick.)

I'll rearrange the draft order, but back to Pie 4 Life for Collingwood to pick again, at #25.
Not too sure but i believe small amounts of deficit are written off after the 1st round
remember reading something like that a few years ago. But not really important for this mock draft anyway
 

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Not too sure but i believe small amounts of deficit are written off after the 1st round
remember reading something like that a few years ago. But not really important for this mock draft anyway
IIRC, that was a first round pick being used to match a first round bid does not result in a new pick at the end of the draft order, but rather spare points are "housed" and able to be used for subsequent picks. I have looked in AFL rules subsequently for it, and can't find it clearly articulated (typical of AFL House!). I don't believe that it applicable here.
 
Pick 26 - Nth Melbourne
Olli Hotton

182cm/80kg
6/9/04
Sandringham Dragons/Vic Metro
Midfielder/forward


Profile - Hotton collected 25 disposals and kicked a goal in Sandringham's Grand Final win over Dandenong, with the midfielder then showing his high-end athletic traits at the Draft Combine. He finished in the top 10 in the 20-metre sprint (2.924 seconds) and the vertical jump (70cm), which comes through in his high energy and impactful game on the field. Hotton is the son of former Carlton and Collingwood big man Trent, although he is not eligible for either club as a father-son.

Rationale - Given the bizarre scenario of GWS taking Sheezel, Nth decide to boost their forward of centre stocks with the exciting fast and athletic prospect in Hotton. We feel with Cadman we have the best KPF and Wardlaw is the extractor so Hotton gives the speed and agility to compliment this and he can also work in the midfield. Surprised he is still available but rapt. Other players strongly considered include Darcy Jones and Henry Hustwaite.

Over to you Andre the Giant with Hawthorn and selection 27 😂
 
Interesting shape of selections in our mock draft. I reckon that both Hewett and Hotton are significantly below where I would see their value, but they've been picked where some amongst the various media and draft watcher commentators would have them. Which I think indicates what's been said many times, that the opinions on this draft class are quite varied. Certainly, it may leave some quality late pick-ups for some clubs.

Of course, the true test is how they go once they hit an AFL club!
 
Pick 27 - Hawthorn
Henry Hustwaite

194cm/84kg
20/7/04
Dandenong Stingrays/Vic Country
Midfielder


Profile - Hustwaite will be an interesting player for clubs given his skillset and size. A growth spurt saw Hustwaite shoot up in height and become a tall midfield option, and he averaged 23 disposals for the Stingrays this season. His kicking for a player his height is really good and Hustwaite can play in a number of positions as well, including a flank or wing.

Rationale - This was a really difficult situation as Hawthorn have just gutted themselves and are so weak in so many areas, they are destined for the wooden spoon. Hustwaite ultimately gets the gong primarily as he is a good user of the ball and with his height (194cms) he is very flexible and can cover a variety of roles. Mitchell values good kicks as he was himself and was taught by Clarkson who was the same. Hustwaite should be a valuable tool to fill in some of the numerous deficiencies that exist in this list.

Others considered - we gave strong consideration to Darcy Jones but we are pretty happy with small forwards, Harry Rowston could be a good extractor but does he have enough class? Isaac Keeler could be a very interesting SA kid to pair with our first selection but does he have the work ethic to go with his talents?

Over to you Pie 4 Life with Collingwood and selection 28.
 
That's two players who are part-time rucks (at least), plus Cameron, Cox, Frampton. Can I ask what your thoughts are in those selections & Pies' list make-up?
They’re the two obvious selections in my eyes. Keeler will be forward, Barnett the pure ruck. Eventually both will take over the ruck/second ruck option. Cox has a year left max, Frampton will play defence. Cameron thr starting ruck eventually handing over the reigns. By the time Barnett is first choice, Cameron will be on the decline. We need to pick up at least two talls in this draft minimum.
 

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hmmm, hard one here because there's one I like more than 4 others I'm considering, but I've already loaded up on midfielders, so for list balance we'll go with

Pick 29 - West Coast Eagles - Darcy Jones

Astonishingly good combine testing saw Jones's name jump up in the media recently, but he's been putting in impressive performances for 2 years now, with the only concern of course being his size. At 174 cm and just 63 kg it's hard to see Jones ever fully transitioning into a midfielder at the next level, but with his athletic base and fundamental skills there's no way that he doesn't forge out a career somewhere at AFL level, whether that be as a small forward or a winger will depend on the club he ends up at, but it's hard to pass up the opportunity to add another WA boy to the Eagles list.

As I said off the top, this is a list balance selection, Szybkowski is the highest ranked player left on my board at 19, but with Mackenzie and Hewett already locked in, another inside mid probably just isn't as crucial to bring in when West Coast have holes all over the park. I also considered Max Gruzewski, Jakob Ryan and Sam Gilbey from a talent perspective, and Kaleb Smith from an accuracy POV, but think if Jones was here come draft night 2.0 that the Eagles couldn't add him quick enough

Pie 4 Life to come in and round out his poor draft
 
hmmm, hard one here because there's one I like more than 4 others I'm considering, but I've already loaded up on midfielders, so for list balance we'll go with

Pick 29 - West Coast Eagles - Darcy Jones

Astonishingly good combine testing saw Jones's name jump up in the media recently, but he's been putting in impressive performances for 2 years now, with the only concern of course being his size. At 174 cm and just 63 kg it's hard to see Jones ever fully transitioning into a midfielder at the next level, but with his athletic base and fundamental skills there's no way that he doesn't forge out a career somewhere at AFL level, whether that be as a small forward or a winger will depend on the club he ends up at, but it's hard to pass up the opportunity to add another WA boy to the Eagles list.

As I said off the top, this is a list balance selection, Szybkowski is the highest ranked player left on my board at 19, but with Mackenzie and Hewett already locked in, another inside mid probably just isn't as crucial to bring in when West Coast have holes all over the park. I also considered Max Gruzewski, Jakob Ryan and Sam Gilbey from a talent perspective, and Kaleb Smith from an accuracy POV, but think if Jones was here come draft night 2.0 that the Eagles couldn't add him quick enough

Pie 4 Life to come in and round out his poor draft
My solace is knowing you've hated every moment of your selections 🥰
 
I just can't believe you'd give up Wardlaw for Allan, it astounds me
Jimmy Fallon Lol GIF by The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon
 
Pick 30 - I'll bid on Max Michalanney thanks.

Over to Rioli2Rioli to see if they want to match

Matched P4L 's Bid on Mad Max

Adelaide traded out the early 2nd round pick in anticipation a bid would come earlier but yet to be seen in the real draft
cheers
OK, bid on Max Michalanney at #30, matched by Adelaide, requires 432 points. Adelaide match with #45 (347 pts) & #53 (233 pts), leaving a residual of 148 points, which will slot in at around #59.

I'll re-order the draft after dinner.
 
I’ll also bid on Harry Rowston being right on his range.

sydney_gws to match if so

I match the bid on Rowston.
Collingwood bid at #31 on Harry Rowston, cost is 409 points. GWS use pick #35, worth 522 points to match, leaving a residual of 113 points, slotting back in at #63.

(I would note that because GWS didn't us all of the points from that pick, its residual pick has essentially created an extra pick for GWS - not that GWS will actually use it.)

(P.S. Also, that risk of a pick before #31 - or wherever it ends up - is my I'd be selling that pick somehow to get better value from it. Whether it's moving up an earlier pick, or moving into 2023, either would be better value.)

Back to Collingwood's pick, now #32 Pie 4 Life.

After you've cut a bidding swathe through the draft!
 

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