Greyhound Thread

[Poizun]

6 - On My Behalf is a definite for multiples IMO. Healesville form is very underrated and last start he ran 18.79. Normally that would bolt in a maiden race considering B.O.D was 18.65. Has been placed 11 of 18. Not good for the win necessarily, but its only a matter of time he does it.

Reminds me of Barcarol from Lismore who went around 23 times before it won but still cashed about 15 cheques prior that win...

 

[rizzo]

Race 10 Bendigo -

Little Miss Hot, In there, Major Nova, Dixie Dew - My top 4....top 2 should battle, but just a small leaning towards Little Miss Hot with its early toe.

Good race

Thanks for your thoughts

I thought you were pretty unlucky at Shep last time out Rizzo.

Bendigo Race 10 ~ Race in three here. But we can't see them finishing too far in front. That is why this race will be a quinella. Because we know that we can see the Top 2. But we are unsure of which order. And since we cant see them finished 3-4l ahead of the rest of the field, then there is more chance of an upset. I have #3 on top because I can see it leading here, but #5 IN THERE is the other who can lead and finishes off nicely. Hence why I have 0.25l seperating them

3 LITTLE MUMMA HOT $3.35
5 IN THERE $3.72
4 MAJOR NOVA $5.67
1 STEALTHY FLASH $13.16
2 BULLBAR TOOTS $16.25
7 ROYAL DRILL $18.06
8 DIXIE DEW $27.52
10 HUNTER JOHN $37.75

335 Quinella

Thanks mate, I agree the 3 is the danger. I think if we can jump and cross we might be a bit to strong towards the end.

It will be good to get his fitness up as he has box 1 at Shep on Monday

 

[Oaksnaf]

And.... Mad Caper wins @ $4.40. Well done Poizun. Cromlah Cracker never in it.

 

[Poizun]

Yeah..and he bombed the start ... Cant believe 3-1 exacta paid $46... goly.....

Hassell was ultra dissappointing at Maitland..

 

[Poizun]

Perennial Placegetting in the next at Bendigo in Ocky's Boy. If he starts around $8 mark he is def worth an each-way ticket

 

[Poizun]

Well..Started at $6.50 so hopefully no-one listened as it doesnt pay 4th haha

 

[Poizun]

Off to Sandown for the night.. Good luck all and happy punting!!

 

[Oaksnaf]

Next up is your Value selection KREBS.

A few others I have talked too seem to think Corporal Bond will cross the #1 in the early stages of the race. Hmmmmmmm.

 

[cleveland]

In There going around again in Race 10 tonight at Bendigo. Pretty confident! Looking forward to seeing what you say Oaks!

Box 5 not ideal but he runs straight so if he can get a clear run is a great chance. Needs to jump a bit better today than he did at Shepp.

The kennel has Sheoak Ian engaged in a semi of the Adelaide cup. Would be nice for 2 out of 3 for the day

 

[Poizun]

Next up is your Value selection KREBS.

A few others I have talked too seem to think Corporal Bond will cross the #1 in the early stages of the race. Hmmmmmmm.

Corporal will hassle it for the first 100m guaranteed.. He is pretty weak at the end of races... Its a really tricky race with inside 4 boxes ALL having a claim and the only dog i like out wide has drawn the pink so its more me trying to anticipate the price of each starter and how the race will run, as opposed to the best dog naturally.. Anyway... We will see....

 

[tazlgnd]

Very Excited to watch Bucket of Beer go round tommorow.

Already my favourite dog I have bought into and he hasnt even raced yet

 

[maxlad]

solid 53:1 start to the quaddie, damn

 

[rizzo]

Very Excited to watch Bucket of Beer go round tommorow.

Already my favourite dog I have bought into and he hasnt even raced yet

Can't wait to see him race tomorrow either mate

 

[Poizun]

Looks a lock quinella/exacta coming up with the top 2 fancies in Bernie Beetroot and Storm Surfer who will be flying late

 

[Oaksnaf]

Meadows Race 1 ~ Early speed from 7 has it crossed. Needs a bit of trouble behind to hold on though.

7 SCOTTIE WOO $3.40
1 PENSKI ILLUSION $4.67
2 COOL WABBIT $5.76
6 SUPER ED $10.84
3 INDIAN CHIEF $13.38
5 DYNA FLECTHER $14.87
9 DAELAN BALE $22.66
4 BARELEN STORM $25.18


340 QUINELLA

 

[Oaksnaf]

Meadows Race 2 ~ Can see Cosmic Planet finally leading. Bit disappointed in its last start effort from box 5. Gets out and leads and from there Hanifys Legend (tote fav) to do all the chasing. #7 gets best chance to place with the early speed and all the box favours.

4 COSMIC PLANET $3.17
6 HANIFYS LEGEND $3.92
7 MAXIMUM RIDE $9.10
1 ALLEN SHAUL $11.23
5 FREDDIE BALE $12.48
3 ARVOS CHILL $13.87
2 HUEY SAGE $21.14
8 GOTHAM BALE $32.22


317- Quin

 

[sblack]

When you say quinella according to your ratings. Do you mean your Top 2 selections, or a box of your Top 3. Or a standout with your fav ... Just wandering.

 

[Oaksnaf]

Neither.

The Quinella bet is based on the most likely set of outcomes.

IF you had a $1000 bank and bet 5% of that on the suggested bet your combinations and stake would look like:

4	6	$11.254
4	7	$4.476
1	4	$3.585
6	7	$3.458
4	5	$3.209
3	4	$2.877
1	6	$2.769
5	6	$2.478
3	6	$2.221
2	4	$1.857
2	6	$1.433
4	8	$1.217
1	7	$1.087
5	7	$0.973
6	8	$0.938
3	7	$0.872
1	5	$0.778
1	3	$0.697
3	5	$0.623
2	7	$0.562
1	2	$0.449
2	5	$0.402
7	8	$0.368
2	3	$0.360
1	8	$0.294
5	8	$0.263
3	8	$0.235
2	8	$0.152

Normally you would have a feel as to how many comibations are necessary to take. But as a general rule of thumb for quinella's I wouldn't take any more than 10.

Normally around the 6-7 mark. Sometimes 1-4 depending on the MARKET. Because the more clear cut your market, the stronger some combinations will be.

 

[Oaksnaf]

Race 6

1 PARAGON PATCH $2.84
7 KAY CEE POWER $5.34
2 BARNIK BOY $6.59
3 MISS OPIE $12.41
8 EXTRAVAGANT MISS $13.79
5 WOT PRICE GEORGE $15.32
6 KULU BUNYIP $21.01
4 FAST BOND $23.35

284- Exacta

Easy to find the top 3 here I reckon. From there its anyones guess. Miss Opie can show pace, likes inside draws and likes T/D. But is racing WELL below best. Extravagant Miss likes to lead, Box 8 is hard here as has to cross a few, including Kay Cee Power. Wot Price George has a good winning S/R. Gets a good box and can race forward. But I downgrade Traralgon form. Barnik Boy can ping and lead here, causing possible trouble for paragon who will come again in the finish in scenario 2.

Fast Bond gets the best box according to the stats.

 

[Oaksnaf]

Sale Race 3 ~ #3 pings the lids and has to be chased down. #5 sits off the heels and gets every chance in the final 50metres. #8 has to position up nicely as chases best when on the bunny. #4 is HIT/MISS. Could win this. #7 next best, but hard to see getting near the front.3rd at best.

We have found the Top 2 easy in this race, I believe.

3 RED SOLE $2.86
5 EAGLE BAY $4.35
8 BLACK BUST $7.38
4 MOLLYS BRINDLE $9.10
7 MEMORY CHIP $17.13
1 MAKE ME HAPPY $21.15
9 DESGRANDO $26.11
2 KID SNOWBALL $32.24

286 - Exacta

 

[Schmucta]

Sale Race 3 ~ #3 pings the lids and has to be chased down. #5 sits off the heels and gets every chance in the final 50metres. #8 has to position up nicely as chases best when on the bunny. #4 is HIT/MISS. Could win this. #7 next best, but hard to see getting near the front.3rd at best.

We have found the Top 2 easy in this race, I believe.

3 RED SOLE $2.86
5 EAGLE BAY $4.35
8 BLACK BUST $7.38
4 MOLLYS BRINDLE $9.10
7 MEMORY CHIP $17.13
1 MAKE ME HAPPY $21.15
9 DESGRANDO $26.11
2 KID SNOWBALL $32.24

286 - Exacta

I like the red at 20's.

Nice and fresh

 

[sblack]

Got bored at work so threw down a quick quaddie for Sale

2,7,8:1,7:1,3,5:2,5,7 @ 27.7%

 

[Oaksnaf]

Sale Race 5 ~ Hard to see anyone leading except #7 Daniella in this race. Been racing in good form since resuming.

7 DANIELLA $2.88
3 PURE SATIN $6.02
4 SIZZLIN SUZY $8.26
2 RUBY JANE $9.18
9 MEMORY CHIP $10.20
8 BIG MAC MIF $15.54
5 YANTABULLA LAD $19.19
10 SPOT CASH $23.69

288-Exacta

 

[Oaksnaf]

Well that wasn't a good race!

Sale Race 6 ~ Plenty of early pace. Vacant boxes and one who charges late. Can #8 swoop these in? I doubt it. #1,7 battle for lead early. #1 stronger.

1 OUR TYLER ROSE $2.68
7 EXTRA STRIDE $4.54
9 MAJOR SLICK $6.92
8 DOOLALY MAX $9.49
5 BLAZIN ARCH $10.55
4 STRIKE THE MATCH $16.08

268-Exacta

 

[Oaksnaf]

Shep Race 4 ~Olga Doll could start three's on here. But just leads and wins. Placegetters come from out-wide.


1 OLGA DOLL $1.74
8 SPRING TO EXCEL $9.40
7 WHERES SIS $10.44
6 JOCKS RAVEN $11.60
5 PRIMROSE VENUS $21.83
9 GUNBAR JILL $26.95
3 GIRL FROM TEXAS $33.27
4 SANCTIFIED $41.08


174- TRIFECTA


Race 5 ~Inside draws are heavily favoured at Shep. Dyna Saxon is a strong dog who will relish this draw. Inside is hit and miss, giving Dyna Saxon the rail. Will hold and push up strongly and power home. #7 Bosca Wabbit may look good on form, but at Warrnambool 6/1 the track was pretty quick and his time was nothing TOO special. Might lead, but will he hang on? #8 Jimmy Douglas is the one going to cause problems at the start. #1 Fast Forward can avoid all the carnage on the inside as 3,4,5 tangle.

2 DYNA SAXON $2.87
7 BOSCA WABBIT $4.38
8 JIMMY DOUGLAS $5.40
1 FAST FORWARD $12.55
3 BALTIC GURAN $17.21
9 COOL AUSSIE $26.24
4 RAGING HOUDINI $29.15
5 MIRACLE ACE $35.99

287 Exacta