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- #51
Withold won last night in the UK, back again to potentially do nothing
Bled in the Geelong cup from memory
Bled in the Geelong cup from memory
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Don’t see the fuss with Withold wasn’t it coming last based on the back of Northumberland plate form??Arb opportunity with Withhold. Plenty of backing on Betfair at $38 and some bookies have it at $51 (if you can get on).
I don’t think it’s the winner but I’m happy to cover it when an arb is readily available. It’s not even confirmed to be coming yet.Don’t see the fuss with Withold wasn’t it coming last based on the back of Northumberland plate form??
True back it now while before nomsI don’t think it’s the winner but I’m happy to cover it when an arb is readily available. It’s not even confirmed to be coming yet.
I reckon CC's two runs this European summer suggest he doesn't stay 3200 quite well enough over there. Both runs he has looked like he was just going to zoom past them but De Ex Bee has held him easily and run away from him in the last furlong twice now. I'd freshen him up and throw him in the Arc (not going to be good enough to win but could run a handy top 5).
He should be weighted out of the Cup down here this year if the handicapper is for real - dominant winner last year + reduction of weight allowance + proximity to Strad in recent runs - he'd have to be getting up towards 56.5/57 kgs now
would have to be top weight 58
name a better performed horse that will contest the race to get the minimum top weight?
besides he's already the peoples champ.
MAkybe Diva went 51 55.5 and 58 kgs and won races in between. She was thrown in every time
Cross Current has only had 2 runs since and not sure if he will run again until after weights are released? I would think he should get about 55.5 but who the **** knows
Think Big went 53 to 58kgs without winning a race in between so yeah thrown inPrior to her 2003 Melbourne Cup win these were her feature race performances
2002 Werribee Cup First
2002 Queen Elizabeth First
wasn't placed in a black type race until the Melbourne Cup
can't say she was thrown in based on that
Quite a jump of 4.5 kgs in 2004 based on her Melbourne Cup & Sydney Cup wins probably a reasonable weight.
2005 could certainly argue for a higher weight.
Also if not for a bob of the head in 2004 Caulfield Cup she probably ends up being only a one time cup winner, two at best.
Whats the WFA improvement he has to cop as well just for being a NH 3yo last year?
You also need to factor in the weights of the other horses in reviewing the weight discrepancy. Considering mares are given a 2 kg allowance she was weighted higher than Think Big and defeated one of the top Irish Stayers of all time too (twice)Think Big went 53 to 58kgs without winning a race in between so yeah thrown in
the 3rd time she was. not the 2nd time. She was thrown in!! and tracks watered for her too.You also need to factor in the weights of the other horses in reviewing the weight discrepancy. Considering mares are given a 2 kg allowance she was weighted higher than Think Big and defeated one of the top Irish Stayers of all time too (twice)