Peaking too soon

[BigVic]

Last year, Collingwood were 10-2 after round 12 before a drop-off in the second half of the season and finishing with a 4-5 record in the second half of the 2025 season to end our home and away season.

Our season ended against the eventual premiers in the preliminary final. Sydney the previous year also peaked too soon and were found out in the GF vs 5th-placed Brisbane.

And if you look back, Geelong 2008 and Collingwood 2011 all peaked too soon. We have gone through this

 

[00Stinger]

Last year, Collingwood were 10-2 after round 12 before a drop-of in the second half of the season and finishing with a 4-5 record in the second half of the 2025 season to end our home and away season.

Our season ended against the eventual premiers in the preliminary final. Sydney the previous year also peaked too soon and were found out in the GF vs 5th-placed Brisbane.

And if you look back, Geelong 2008 and Collingwood 2011 all peaked too soon

2008 Geelong peaked all year, just kicked inaccurately in the GF

And 2011 Collingwood and Geelong were neck and neck all season

 

[fnerd]

Last year, Collingwood were 10-2 after round 12 before a drop-of in the second half of the season and finishing with a 4-5 record in the second half of the 2025 season to end our home and away season.

Our season ended against the eventual premiers in the preliminary final. Sydney the previous year also peaked too soon and were found out in the GF vs 5th-placed Brisbane.

And if you look back, Geelong 2008 and Collingwood 2011 all peaked too soon

Went you a west coast supporter?

Why didn’t you just say you think Freo (and Sydney as well for that matter ) aren’t going to win the flag this year in any of the other predictions threads, Instead of making yet another mundane one yourself?

 

[cactuscall]

Wow he turned his repetitive posts into a whole thread lol

Teams that have sat high on the ladder mid season have won and not won the flag. Unless BigVic knows something the rest of us don't?

 

[Fadge]

Much better to have the wins on the board than not, then you can manage your list through to the finals.

Geelong were the best team all year in 2022, and got the job done.

Collingwood got the wins in the bank early in 2023, looked to be faltering late in the home and away season, but still got it done when it counted.

You reference Collingwood 2025 and Sydney 2024, but the former were still right there when the whips were cracking late in a Preliminary Final against the eventual premiers, whilst Sydney still made it to the Grand Final.

For every Brisbane 2024 who surge late, finish 5th, and win 4 straight finals to win the flag, there are 50 similarly placed teams who don't even make it as far as a Preliminary Final.

 

[MadMaxx]

I think you will find it is called Beijing these days

 

[M Malice]

The Demons of early 2022 looked unbeatable, started 10-0, went out in straight sets.

 

[BigVic]

The Demons of early 2022 looked unbeatable, started 10-0, went out in straight sets.

Went 0-4 in two finals I remember

 

[estibador]

Seems you're still better off being 1st or 2nd than any other position.

With credit to this reddit user.

 

[shaqsuns]

2008 Geelong peaked all year, just kicked inaccurately in the GF

And 2011 Collingwood and Geelong were neck and neck all season

I wouldn't say they were neck and neck. Geelong beat Collingwood everytime they played which included 90 odd point win. There was not one point during that season that I thought Collingwood were the better team

 

[BigVic]

I wouldn't say they were neck and neck. Geelong beat Collingwood everytime they played which included 90 odd point win

We also started slowly in the Qualifying Final vs 4th-placed West Coast and Hawthorn pushed us in the prelim 2 weeks later

 

[Jim Prideaux]

Winning is better than losing, and top 4 is a must this season. Fremantle are taking pressure off themselves with every win. Only a moron of epic proportions would disagree

 

[TiggyTig]

C

Much better to have the wins on the board than not, then you can manage your list through to the finals.

Geelong were the best team all year in 2022, and got the job done.

Collingwood got the wins in the bank early in 2023, looked to be faltering late in the home and away season, but still got it done when it counted.

You reference Collingwood 2025 and Sydney 2024, but the former were still right there when the whips were cracking late in a Preliminary Final against the eventual premiers, whilst Sydney still made it to the Grand Final.

For every Brisbane 2024 who surge late, finish 5th, and win 4 straight finals to win the flag, there are 50 similarly placed teams who don't even make it as far as a Preliminary Final.

Collingwood were ump assisted in 22

 

[Corn Cobbers]

Cats might have peaked too early

 

[lordbob]

2008 Geelong peaked all year, just kicked inaccurately in the GF

And 2011 Collingwood and Geelong were neck and neck all season

They kicked 11.12 (11 rushed behinds). League avg for that year was 53%. so they kicked pretty averagely.

 

[BigVic]

They kicked 11.12 (11 rushed behinds). League avg for that year was 53%. so they kicked pretty averagely.

They scored 78 points if you take away those rushed behinds with a 37-pt grand final loss instead of 26

 

[Purple Suit]

The Demons of early 2022 looked unbeatable, started 10-0, went out in straight sets.

They were also 11-1 in 2021 on top of the ladder and won their first flag in 60 years. Luke Jackson was also in that team so that means it’s going to happen again according to the OP’s way of predicting the future.

 

[RCAB]

Last year, Collingwood were 10-2 after round 12 before a drop-off in the second half of the season and finishing with a 4-5 record in the second half of the 2025 season to end our home and away season.

Our season ended against the eventual premiers in the preliminary final. Sydney the previous year also peaked too soon and were found out in the GF vs 5th-placed Brisbane.

And if you look back, Geelong 2008 and Collingwood 2011 all peaked too soon. We have gone through this

Another new thread by BigVic

this what you said less than a month ago

It's Geelong v Sydney in this year's grand final. Not watching a single minute of it and will give it a miss

The Australian Farmer's League is getting out of hand

 

[Young Redleg]

The Demons of early 2022 looked unbeatable, started 10-0, went out in straight sets.

It seemed that way at the time, but in hindsight we weren't playing very well during our 10-0 start. We were mostly limping over the line against weak or ordinary teams and would often rely on short bursts of goals to get the job done.

 

[Lunchtime]

Last year, Collingwood were 10-2 after round 12 before a drop-off in the second half of the season and finishing with a 4-5 record in the second half of the 2025 season to end our home and away season.

Our season ended against the eventual premiers in the preliminary final. Sydney the previous year also peaked too soon and were found out in the GF vs 5th-placed Brisbane.

And if you look back, Geelong 2008 and Collingwood 2011 all peaked too soon. We have gone through this

What it shows is that the most important part of the season, despite only lasting 4 weeks/one month, is Finals footy....not Home & Away footy.

Finals footy is the truest test of all....not Home & Away. Finals footy is when the expectation is higher...that heightened expectation comes from fans and the media and from the clubs themselves. Finals footy - the pressure goes up. It's a pressure that Home & Away footy simply can not replicate. Finals footy goes up a few levels...some players sink...other players swim and thrive.

Finals footy is when it truly matters. Not Home & Away footy. Forget the Brownlows and All Australians etc.....it's all on the line during Finals footy. The team who peaks at the right time will win the Premiership.

 

[Chronz]

Cats might have peaked too early

Maybloomers.

 

[lordbob]

They scored 78 points if you take away those rushed behinds with a 37-pt grand final loss instead of 26

I was more trying to disspell the idea that geelong would somehow have won the 2008 GF if they had kicked more accurately.

 

[Mitchell Madness]

2008 Geelong peaked all year, just kicked inaccurately in the GF

And 2011 Collingwood and Geelong were neck and neck all season

Kicked inaccurately? Remove those rushed behinds (which people still cry about), and hawthorn had more scoring shots

 

[iameviljez]

The Demons of early 2022 looked unbeatable, started 10-0, went out in straight sets.

Went 0-4 in two finals I remember

In four finals over 2022 and 2023, yeah.

And what's nuts about that is that in every single one of those finals, they won the i50 count.

Against Collingwood in 2023, they had 69 i50s to 37. You should never, ever lose with that. Then, the next week, they kicked 9.17 to Carlton's 11.7.

 

[JPetro83]

I think we are all waiting for Freo to drop off. i just cant see them winning at the MCG on GF Day. especially against VIC opposition. If they get Sydney, they are a chance.