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Mate it's going to be who the squiggle with thinks will rise and fall next year and this thread will add 20 pages.Maybe its who squiggle thinks is training the house down?
Will it fall for the Liam Jones types? Or predict the next break out?
You're the guy who tried to get me to do an NFL one. Sorry, not going to happen. You're welcome to apply the squiggle algorithm to different leagues/sports (like this!) but I'm not going to do it.
Not sure about WCE but for 3 of hawks losses we were substantially behind. Then came back to be in winning positions in 2 of them (dons and swans games)The other side of the coin is Hawthorn and west coast were so good that their losses were by small margins. For all we know they could have tried to reel back a massive deficit and fell short.
West coast and Hawthorn are attacking teams and would have been able to win in a shoot out.
Meanwhile freos gameplan relies on strangling their opponent defensively while rarely ever getting too far ahead of their opponents on the scoreboard.
So while you may call it luck, it has more to do with their differing styles of play. You can't just look at it from a quantitative perspective
Freo the obvious ones to look at there. Could be interesting as their KPF issues are probably worse - Pav is 1 year older. And Geelong should shoot up given their recruiting, not part of the squiggle. Collingwood also interesting on their recruiting.Good to see you've got your priorities straight Seppo.
Although if I'd known how it was going to come out, I would have done it sooner!
2016 Ladder Predictor
Play with live squiggle here - same as last year, you can drag teams around to new locations and generate new predictions. Also you can click through every match of 2016 to see the squiggle tips.
This is all based purely on 2015 match results plus the 2016 fixture. That is, there is NO accounting for trades, delistings, retirements, drafting, injuries, returns from injury, or anything else that happens in the off-season. (Which is why it's similar to the 2015 ladder for most teams.) You have to factor that stuff in as and where you think it's significant.
Fremantle is low because the squiggle genuinely thought the Dockers were that average by the end of 2015, based on the scorelines they were delivering. Likewise, it thought Port were pretty good, despite missing finals. Although the Power may be Top 4 only because they got to finish their season off by thumping Fremantle's B-team.
Two more seconds and the Hawks would've won that game and finished top.Then there's Hawthorn. Like the Eagles, their average winning margin was enormous, but they lost most of the close ones:
- R2: loss to Essendon by 2
- R4: loss to Port by 8
- R6: loss to GWS by 10
- R8: loss to Sydney by 4
- R14: defeat Collingwood by 10
- R19: defeat West Coast by 14
It could happen. Geelong finished with 17 wins and were 3rd on the ladder in 2014 and had a percentage of 113.8%. They had 8 games determined by 13 points or less and won all 8 of them to finish in the top 4. This year, they fell down to 10th, down by 7 spots since last season.Love the squiggle but simply cant see freo falling that low. Not with their home ground advantage and with lyon etc. They were very average towards the end of the season but still finished top four. Cant see them dropping 6-7 spots. Will be interesting to se how it all turns out, and hopefully nothing like the squiggle predicts.
Minor premiers to 10th seems almost impossible barring injuries or other disasterIt could happen. Geelong finished with 17 wins and were 3rd on the ladder in 2014 and had a percentage of 113.8%. They had 8 games determined by 13 points or less and won all 8 of them to finish in the top 4. This year, they fell down to 10th, down by 7 spots since last season.