Discussion Remaining Fixture

[PostmanBish]

Yeah, that's the one I'm more worried about. I can see them coming out breathing fire, they have been sh*t but they are like a Ferrari that hasn't got out of idle. We are like HiLux with an engine knock right now. If GWS wanted too they could leave us behind in cloud of tyre smoke. We need to ram the fu** out of them.

I really hope Ratten & the match committee are going to throw the kitchen sink at this, and select our best available 22, regardless of attitude - no point saving people for "next week" when next week might never come.

 

[Diehard Saint]

It looks like it will come down to percentage with Melbourne for a spot if we lose to the Giants. The thing we don't want is a blow out to the giants or Melbourne to get a big win anywhere. Essendon had better show up against them.

Bombers getting smashed in the media - hope that helps.

 

[Diehard Saint]

Mummy was reported last night. When does the ruling on that come out?

 

[70s sainter]

If we lose tight one to GWS and our percentage stays roughly the same, Dees have to win by 45 points plus to jump our percentage.

They will know the maths by then so it’s very possible.
Their game plan will be towards that not just purely a win

 

[BrutThough]

Mummy was reported last night. When does the ruling on that come out?

Late today i think.

They tend to rotate weekly between Jacobs and Mumford anyway so won't have too big of an impact on them.

 

[Keg still on legs]

Late today i think.

They tend to rotate weekly between Jacobs and Mumford anyway so won't have too big of an impact on them.

Plus if Mummy misses we already lose out on the half dozen frees he gives away every week

 

[BrutThough]

Plus if Mummy misses we already lose out on the half dozen frees he gives away every week

Marshall would have done great things with those free kicks.

 

[Keg still on legs]

Blues' very slim chance is now gone as the Crows maintain their late season form.

Scratch one more off the list

 

[George]

 

[JG22]

If we lose Melbourne will know the equation of winning by 20... points or so.

And playing Essendon I think they will do that at will. We need to win.

 

[lewdogs]

If we lose Melbourne will know the equation of winning by 20... points or so.

And playing Essendon I think they will do that at will. We need to win.

Spot on. Our game is must win. Melbourne will easily account for Essendon.

 

[bird_man]

We are more likely to make the 8 than not, but the $9 sportsbet are offering seems like a lot.

Maybe I load up on that and end up with a win/win situation

 

[gringo2011]

Bombers getting smashed in the media - hope that helps.

Probably the opposite with them, they are mentally weak.

 

[mighty_sainters]

We are more likely to make the 8 than not, but the $9 sportsbet are offering seems like a lot.

Maybe I load up on that and end up with a win/win situation

I loaded up when we were paying $6 to miss the finals, going to drop another $50 now that it’s at $9.

Would walk away with about $1100 if we don’t make the 8 but I guarantee you it won’t soften the blow if we miss from here.

 

[Keg still on legs]

Well, the Herald Sun had gone and ****ed us good and proper

 

[TheEnsign]

To be fair, the bookies - who are right more than they are wrong obv. - have us at 93.5% chance to make the 8 and 10% chance to miss (which is weird because these are mutually exclusive outcomes, they should add to 100). So that's some comfort.

 

[SaintsSeptember]

We are more likely to make the 8 than not, but the $9 sportsbet are offering seems like a lot.

Maybe I load up on that and end up with a win/win situation

Put it on a multi with us beating GWS.

 

[bird_man]

We are more likely to make the 8 than not, but the $9 sportsbet are offering seems like a lot.

Maybe I load up on that and end up with a win/win situation

Weve dropped to 7 bucks now

 

[SaintsSeptember]

Well, the Herald Sun had gone and f’ed us good and proper

View attachment 960987

Damn, kiss of death.
I can so see it panning out that way.

 

[SaintsSeptember]

To be fair, the bookies - who are right more than they are wrong obv. - have us at 93.5% chance to make the 8 and 10% chance to miss (which is weird because these are mutually exclusive outcomes, they should add to 100). So that's some comfort.

I'm tempted to put a bet on for us missing.
That way i'll get some cash to pay for the heavy alcohol.
If i lose my money...yay we are in finals.

 

[TheEnsign]

Weve dropped to 7 bucks now

To be fair, at $9 that was a fantastic hedge for the disappointment if we miss. Seemed way too generous as well.

 

[StCicatriz]

am i right in thinking that if we win, we probably finish in 6th spot? if the pies beat GC but lose to Port? if pies beat Port we still finish 7th?

 

[BrutThough]

am i right in thinking that if we win, we probably finish in 6th spot? if the pies beat GC but lose to Port? if pies beat Port we still finish 7th?

Yep. We have a good 8% on the Dogs, so they would need to smash Freo by close to 100 to overtake us if both teams win this week.

 

[StCicatriz]

Yep. We have a good 8% on the Dogs, so they would need to smash Freo by close to 100 to overtake us if both teams win this week.

6th or 7th vs 9th

going to be a huge game!!!

 

[BrutThough]

6th or 7th vs 9th

going to be a huge game!!!

8th is still possible even if we lose, but that will be relying on Essendon actually putting in some effort so its a very small chance. And that would also mean West Coast in Perth which is the least desirable finals match up.