Prediction Round 10 Changes vs. Essendon

[Deveraux]

Agreed, ill be pissed if omac plays over davies

 

[theGav56]

I also feel that we're not as reliant on Pearce's leadership in the backline compared to two years ago. Clark, Chapman and Cox are all very vocal.

Chapman is looking terrific. He seems much more aware of what weapons he has and wants to pull the trigger.

 

[heavho]

Bring in this guy for Pearce. Deserves to be out there going by marks and stats as a key defender. Done the job once given a shot too

 

[Heart Of Purple]

Maybe the question should be, do we have a back man that has the smarts to combat Gunstons smarts.
Pace may be a factor, but you have to be able to read the play as well as he does.

The supply he got early ... Nobody can stop that.
Even if you're quicker and read the play well enough to take out the obvious option, they had enough time and space as kickers to go to the less obvious option.

We were being best out the back, as well as on the lead up. Really had to gamble, and take away the easiest option, force the kicker to make the play ... But that doesn't work at the level unless there's pressure up the ground.

Only way to stop him early would've been to hold another player back, sitting in front of Gunston. Likely means someone else gets off the chain, and almost definately means we struggle going forward more.

 

[Flour bag punter]

Maybe the question should be, do we have a back man that has the smarts to combat Gunstons smarts.
Pace may be a factor, but you have to be able to read the play as well as he does.

Surprising that Chappie wasn’t considered for Gunston. Gunston plays as a lead up forward where height is not the critical factor but pace and agility is.
This is why Sam Mitchell was licking his lips with the Ryan and B Cox match ups, he pushed Gunston back deep and left it 1v1 to great effect.
Longmuir clearly didn’t want to lose Chappies rebound up the ground. My TV at home heard very clearly what I thought of our defensive choices on Gunston. We were outcoached by 6 goals there.

 

[Cesoir]

Bring in this guy for Pearce. Deserves to be out there going by marks and stats as a key defender. Done the job once given a shot too

Please take this post down, it lists his weight. Fat shaming at its worst!

 

[ubiquitous226]

Surprising that Chappie wasn’t considered for Gunston. Gunston plays as a lead up forward where height is not the critical factor but pace and agility is.
This is why Sam Mitchell was licking his lips with the Ryan and B Cox match ups, he pushed Gunston back deep and left it 1v1 to great effect.
Longmuir clearly didn’t want to lose Chappies rebound up the ground. My TV at home heard very clearly what I thought of our defensive choices on Gunston. We were outcoached by 6 goals there.

I think that's too simplistic, Mitchell often plays Gunston out of the F50 and isolates him.
If we'd gone more defensively we may have reduced that goal count against, and also highly likely reduced our goals scored.
On the flipside we may have ended up trapped in our D50 more and just copped more goals from Watson and their other small forwards.

We ended the first quarter ahead, then we couldn't contain their transition in that second quarter.
We made some adjustments but predominantly stuck to the structure, and asides from the early part of the third quarter we controlled the game from there, just couldn't execute, making poor mistakes and missing goals we'd usually kick.

 

[Lach72]

Surprising that Chappie wasn’t considered for Gunston. Gunston plays as a lead up forward where height is not the critical factor but pace and agility is.
This is why Sam Mitchell was licking his lips with the Ryan and B Cox match ups, he pushed Gunston back deep and left it 1v1 to great effect.
Longmuir clearly didn’t want to lose Chappies rebound up the ground. My TV at home heard very clearly what I thought of our defensive choices on Gunston. We were outcoached by 6 goals there.

Didn’t Chappy have Ginnivan on a leash a lot?

 

[Chris25]

I’ve been banging the drum for Davies since his draft year now, absolutely deserves his chance. But the fact we’ve named McDonald as the emergency recently is probably telling.

 

[Superkoops]

I’ve been banging the drum for Davies since his draft year now, absolutely deserves his chance. But the fact we’ve named McDonald as the emergency recently is probably telling.

Really hope they turn to Davies. You are right OMac emergency for the last two rounds (8/9), whereas Davies emergency for rounds 1 and 3. I do wonder if OMac was on standby as key forward with Voss returning from illness. OMac has been playing purely forward line for the last 2-3 weeks at Peel with Davies and Draper key defenders. Named again in the forward line for today.

 

[apuchar]

Omac went back into defense today, coincidently, so I doubt they are only looking at him as a forward replacement. Not sure who they will pick, but history suggests McDonald especially as his last game in the AFL was very good.

 

[oldgoat]

The supply he got early ... Nobody can stop that.
Even if you're quicker and read the play well enough to take out the obvious option, they had enough time and space as kickers to go to the less obvious option.

We were being best out the back, as well as on the lead up. Really had to gamble, and take away the easiest option, force the kicker to make the play ... But that doesn't work at the level unless there's pressure up the ground.

Only way to stop him early would've been to hold another player back, sitting in front of Gunston. Likely means someone else gets off the chain, and almost definately means we struggle going forward more.

We had to stop his supply...and we did.

 

[Ysaye]

After today's Peel's game, my gut tells me:

• Scerri comes in for Pearce and Ryan takes a tall forward (Johnson and/or Erasmus to run on the half back line at times to cover rotations).
• IF they choose to rest Young (and that is a big ??? IF) then O'Driscoll comes in.

Davies whilst solid but blotted his copy book by dropping those marks and MacDonald was just average; neither looked like they were hungry for a go.

 

[Randomizor]

Bring in this guy for Pearce. Deserves to be out there going by marks and stats as a key defender. Done the job once given a shot too

These attributes are outdated, here’s the latest:

 

[Boomer93]

After today's Peel's game, my gut tells me:

• Scerri comes in for Pearce and Ryan takes a tall forward (Johnson and/or Erasmus to run on the half back line at times to cover rotations).
• IF they choose to rest Young (and that is a big ??? IF) then O'Driscoll comes in.

Davies whilst solid but blotted his copy book by dropping those marks and MacDonald was just average; neither looked like they were hungry for a go.

Eramsus at half back

 

[ubiquitous226]

Good chance to practice not making a mess in the bed at the MCG, need to not let complacency creep in and if all goes well get better at controlling games when we're in the lead.

Essendon board's preview is a bit depressing for them, they're not at West Coast levels though, alternating between pretty big losses and competitive outings, plus that Gather Round belting of Melbourne.
Their only hosting of an interstate side was Brisbane at Marvel so far, I highly doubt the MCG will be a cauldron but a great opportunity for our team while expecting we'll get the best version of Essendon.

 

[FreoGirl]

Would love to see O'Driscoll come back in - is it going to rain?

 

[FreoGirl]

 

[Righteo]

Essendon are in a pretty miserable position. Coming up on a quarter of a century since they won a final, they have a mediocre coach and unlike teams like Richmond and North they don't really have much in the way of promising youngsters which is especially grim with Tassie about to come in. Along with Carlton and West Coast they have one of the bleakest futures in the comp.

 

[ubiquitous226]

View attachment 2607515

Well that will be annoying.

 

[Midnite65]

Eramsus at half back

Banfield would be a better choice than Erasmus as a defender.

 

[Rockmelon]

Banfield would be a better choice than Erasmus as a defender.

Don’t threaten me with a good time

 

[Paracleet]

Out: Pearce.

 

[worsemim]

We're not going to rest Young; we basically never rest players.

We're going to pick Omac, exactly as we have before this year. We heavily prioritise experience when we have to bring in a player to cover injury.

 

[Patty_Moz]

Essendon away the bogeyist of bogey games, perhaps the Dockeryist game of them all.

3 times out of 20 attempts, once in every decade we’ve existed, we’ve managed to get over them away. Worse than our record against the powerhouses Cats, Hawks & Pies.

We’ve never beaten them at the G, though we’ve only played them there 4 times. Strangely enough they have beaten us there twice by 1pt with the exact same score 89-90.

Overall despite how irrelevant they have been for 20 years they still hold a commanding 17:25 win record against us. A strange stat exists with the Bombers - we have never beaten them by less than 16pts yet they have beaten us 10 times by a 15pts or less.

All I’m saying is that before you put your house down on the betting apps just remind yourself that this is Essendon away…