Round 23

[twarby]

Thanks Ace

"genuine" is certainly not in his vocabulary

he would have said

"Clokey will smash it"

 

[KardiniaPark]

"genuine" is certainly not in his vocabulary

he would have said

"Clokey will smash it"

yep looks good

 

[Damarus]

@5bucks - I thought Cloke looked the one. They will get a ridiculous amount of inside 50's against the worst team Freo has put out for many years. He's been clunking everything of late and don't see why he cant get 20+ and 6-7 goals. Buddy is always a chance but im willing to take him on this week.

McPharlin kept Petrie to 0 scoring shots last week despite a 98 point demolition. His form against tall forwards this season puts me off Cloke despite the fact that you are right - there will be a ridiculous amount of inside 50's.

 

[Thedeftouch]

Great value here:

Lions v Eagles: top goalscorer "any other player" @ 11 on Centrebet.

They don't have Cornelius listed, Brisbane's best goalscorer at the moment (listed at 8s on Sportsbet). You also get all the midfielders, late inclusions etc.

 

[5 Bucks]

the most Barlow has ever got in his career is 34

Swan will have that in 3 quarters tonight

I didn't say Barlow will have more possessions than Swan, just that he will rack up 30 for himself.

 

[Lensen]

Most Goals tomorrow:

0.43 units Tutt @ $26 (Sportsbet, a ludicrously inaccurate $4.66 )
0.07 units Giansiracusa @ $17 (TAB, $11.90)

0.3 units Hawkins @ $15 (Centrebet, $12.69)
0.07 units Reid @ $41 (Centrebet, $26.43)
0.07 units Ottens @ $34 (Sportsbet, $26.43)
0.06 units Bird @ $41 (Centrebet, $31.72)

0.4 units Milne @ $5 (Sportingbet, $4.58)
0.1 units Harvey @ $26 (Centrebet, $20.17)

0.4 units Any Other Player @ $11 (Sportsbet, I have McGrath at $10.05) - Cornelius, Banfield, Power, Karnezis, Retzlaff, Polkinghorne, Staker, Leuenberger, Kennedy, LeCras, Nicoski, Embley, Lynch, Shuey, Cox & Naitanui listed. McGrath's my main pick but also includes Ebert, Hurn, Rich, Drummond
0.1 units Banfield @ $26 (Centrebet, $20.11)

 

[Vince Masuka]

Hawks -41.5/Essendon -69.5
10 units @ 3.64 (bet365)

Coll/Haw/Geel/Adel/Ess top scoring quarters
10 units @ 3.07 (bet365)

 

[Donkson]

What does top scoring quarters mean?

edit - I see

 

[DESTRUCTOR]

Hawks -41.5/Essendon -69.5
10 units @ 3.64 (bet365)

Coll/Haw/Geel/Adel/Ess top scoring quarters
10 units @ 3.07 (bet365)

You've been betting decent unit amounts for a few bets for the past few weeks, is it a confidence on those particular bets, therefore hit them hard, and is this a normal betting style?

 

[Vince Masuka]

You've been betting decent unit amounts for a few bets for the past few weeks, is it a confidence on those particular bets, therefore hit them hard, and is this a normal betting style?

Both confidence and when I think a bet is overs. I haven't been seeing much value in many bets the last few weeks, so the ones I liked, I have gone a little harder at.

 

[baywatch5]

ROUND 23 FRIDAY NIGHT

ATS - DOCKERS +70.5 (x2)

 

[Dingster]

Collingwood 60pts+ @ $1.53 against the Freo kids.

 

[Damarus]

As embarrassing it is to have placed this bet against my own team, got on Collingwood 100+ @3.95 earlier in the week...

Pies should be fine tuning ready for finals, we're looking for a hole to hide in.

 

[denitofinito]

Liking the HT -35.5 line tonight. Thinking the Pies will take the foot off after a probable 50+ lead at 3qtr time and be thinking about the Cats next Friday.

 

[JuddyBuddy]

Coll/Haw/Geel/Adel/Ess top scoring quarters
10 units @ 3.07 (bet365)

I've gone Coll/Geel/Adel/Melb @ 2.68

GL

 

[JuddyBuddy]

And...

Coll/Freo - Over 188.5 @ 1.90

Gone over 5 of the last 6 and Collingwood certainly know how to kick a big score. Good weather. Hopefully Freo are good for 8 or 9 goals.

 

[DESTRUCTOR]

Am I the only one who think GC are serious overs against Melb? Even though the game is at the G, Melb have only shown they can play a third quarter in the past two matches, plus I hate Melbourne.

 

[midnight_toker]

Hawks -41.5/Essendon -69.5
10 units @ 3.64 (bet365)

Coll/Haw/Geel/Adel/Ess top scoring quarters
10 units @ 3.07 (bet365)

What's the top scoring qtr bet ? is that each team v's their opponent?

 

[JuddyBuddy]

It's which team will kick the highest single qtr score of that particular match.

 

[The Royal Sampler]

2 units - Sidebottom > Broughton DT @ $1.87

Rusty hasn't been great these last couple but will play further up the ground now with Krakoeur back in. Subi suits his endurance and ability to find space. Broughton's scores have suffered since Barlow returned and he went back, and the press doesn't allow cheap stats to half-backs. The danger is if we do allow Freo a loose man simply because Leon doing the same at our end will be more damaging... but then Broughton would have to be that guy which is still no sure thing.

 

[5 Bucks]

Being keen to play himself into good form and coming off a 30 possession game last week, Alan Didak seems like value @ $8 in group B most possessions.

 

[Krooooze]

Ess 60+
Adel Win
WCE Win
Geel 25+
Haw 25+
Coll 40+

2 units @ $5.46

Pretty confident about this one

 

[2notepockets]

Bock v. Martin in DT 1.87 a piece on Sporting, 1.6 bock - 2.3 martin on centrebet

 

[happy punter]

Just a small one tonight

Dockers +71.5 over Pies @ 1.92 (2 units)
Dockers over Pies @ 21 (0.1 unit)

GL

 

[Sasquatch]

Scumpies -69.5 @ $1.91
Over 100 points @ $4

No excused for the Scumpies tonight. None. If they don't flog the purple ****s then it would be a poor performance.