Round 4 Discussion

[Keg on legs]

It’s also very easy to get distracted as well
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[zucchini]

I'm giving Goldy another chance this week, everyone has a bad day.

Hopefully he's picked.

 

[Huttabito]

Proj score of 2,339 is huge for Rd4 - the rookies this year are mint!

 

[WaynesWorld19]

Proj score of 2,339 is huge for Rd4 - the rookies this year are mint!

That's huge ....but how accurate is the projections? ....i had one trade version with Richards traded in & i was predicted 2,300 & then the 2nd trade option was with Henry traded in .....yet the projected score was 50 points less

They were the only two variables ?? .....both Richards & Henry season ave was similar, with Henry higher ....but i'm projected 50 less by having the higher ave rookie ??

 

[Huttabito]

That's huge ....but how accurate is the projections? ....i had one trade version with Richards traded in & i was predicted 2,300 & then the 2nd trade option was with Henry traded in .....yet the projected score was 50 points less

They were the only two variables ?? .....both Richards & Henry season ave was similar, with Henry higher ....but i'm projected 50 less by having the higher ave rookie ??

The average projected scores for premiums probably even out given it's based on recent form/history. Some will score more, others less. The projected for the rookies is more or less what they are averaging so it has Doedee @ 95, Kelly @ 108 and Holman @ 90. Hard to see these guys keep it up so it's more than likely a slight overestimate on their behalf but given the fact people are averaging 2300+ over the first 3 rounds, it seems like a decent guesstimate.

 

[WaynesWorld19]

The average projected scores for premiums probably even out given it's based on recent form/history. Some will score more, others less. The projected for the rookies is more or less what they are averaging so it has Doedee @ 95, Kelly @ 108 and Holman @ 90. Hard to see these guys keep it up so it's more than likely a slight overestimate on their behalf but given the fact people are averaging 2300+ over the first 3 rounds, it seems like a decent guesstimate.

But how do you explain my differential of 50 points between two Rookie trade options Richards & Henry?

 

[Huttabito]

But how do you explain my differential of 50 points between two Rookie trade options Richards & Henry?

Would depend who you are shuffling on/off field given they are different positions?

 

[WaynesWorld19]

Would depend who you are shuffling on/off field given they are different positions?

Same player out in both instances, Brayshaw .....the only 2 variables were the two incoming rookies ?

 

[SavDog23]

I'm projected 2400+. Which is complete bullshit and I'll be more likely to score 2100.

 

[WaynesWorld19]

Still liking Hogan & Petracca with these numbers

According to Champion Data, Petracca is spending 61.6 per cent of games in the midfield this year. Hogan is spending just 9.1 per cent on-ball, but is playing higher as a forward.

Then there’s Oliver. While he is spending almost all of his time in the midfield, he copped a heavy tag from North Melbourne shutdown machine Ben Jacobs last Saturday.

Melbourne was forced to improvise. The Demons made Oliver their deepest forward — where he spent nearly 30 per cent of the second half — and it paid dividends.

 

[Daniel McL]

Still liking Hogan & Petracca with these numbers

Hogan’s one for next year for me, imagine the same role but with Melbourne kicking more goals in 2019 Already got Petracca

 

[WaynesWorld19]

Hogan’s one for next year for me, imagine the same role but with Melbourne kicking more goals in 2019 Already got Petracca

I'm going to ride the Hogan train & then jump ship if it derails ......i'll take the $45K price increase this week, plus Deledio was too stinky

 

[WaynesWorld19]

WOW ....is this the statement of the season so far

 

[Marlowe]

Same player out in both instances, Brayshaw .....the only 2 variables were the two incoming rookies ?

Since Brayshaw is a mid, you've moved someone else around too.

 

[Daniel McL]

WOW ....is this the statement of the season so far

I haven’t listened to what he said but I can definitely see Geelong not making the 8. Our defence isn’t that good & our midfielders and forwards aren’t helping with just letting the opposition waltz through the middle. With Henderson & Taylor out, quite a tough draw for the next 4-5 weeks before those two guys will hopefully be back, but let’s say we lose every game or only win one of them we could just be too far back to make it.

Collingwood making the 8 on the other hand...

 

[WaynesWorld19]

Since Brayshaw is a mid, you've moved someone else around too.

Only Garlett from fwd bench to midfield bench ?

 

[WaynesWorld19]

I haven’t listened to what he said but I can definitely see Geelong not making the 8. Our defence isn’t that good & our midfielders and forwards aren’t helping with just letting the opposition waltz through the middle. With Henderson & Taylor out, quite a tough draw for the next 4-5 weeks before those two guys will hopefully be back, but let’s say we lose every game or only win one of them we could just be too far back to make it.

Collingwood making the 8 on the other hand...
View attachment 481954

Think with COLL it depends on whether they can ever get a full squad on the park ? ......to me Reid is a critical piece to the puzzle

 

[Faz 2000]

Think with COLL it depends on whether they can ever get a full squad on the park ? ......to me Reid is a critical piece to the puzzle

Let's not get carried away. Pies are 1-2 and looked good last week - against navy blue parking cones. There's not much to suggest finals side yet.

 

[vast]

Heads up guys there are gonna be changes tonight.

P.Keane mega flog.

 

[KardiniaPark]

The average projected scores for premiums probably even out given it's based on recent form/history. Some will score more, others less. The projected for the rookies is more or less what they are averaging so it has Doedee @ 95, Kelly @ 108 and Holman @ 90. Hard to see these guys keep it up so it's more than likely a slight overestimate on their behalf but given the fact people are averaging 2300+ over the first 3 rounds, it seems like a decent guesstimate.

Oh people are averaging 2300 are they. Is that right. Well, you know what? **** people.

 

[WaynesWorld19]

Would depend who you are shuffling on/off field given they are different positions?

Since we last discussed this, my side's projected score has risen 70 points ? .....and i haven't touched it at all .....if i keep waiting, i'll pass your projected score

 

[vast]

Just acknowledging the 1 year anniversary of Fagasuarus dropping Barrett. Lets hope there is no similiar carnage tonight.

 

[Papa Caz]

okay who do i play on field

fwd : garlett/fritsch/venables (1 spot)
mid : L Fogarty/brayshaw/banfield/barry (1 spot)

 

[pincrusher]

okay who do i play on field

fwd : garlett/fritsch/venables (1 spot)
mid : L Fogarty/brayshaw/banfield/barry (1 spot)

Fritsch/ Banfield. If Barry is dropped you can loop Banfield with Fogarty.

 

[Huttabito]

Since we last discussed this, my side's projected score has risen 70 points ? .....and i haven't touched it at all .....if i keep waiting, i'll pass your projected score

Maybe someone is crunching numbers, who knows ¯\_(ツ)_/¯