Draft Watcher Smythe's 2021 Draft Thread - Full Phantom with pick swaps post #295

[briztoon]

29, 36 and 50 > 14 by 280 points

Typically that’s not enough. Especially when WB might not actually be able to use pick 50, depending on other trades they do, to bring picks in.

And then you have to factor in the Daicos bid, because that will move picks around.

Pick 29 will move back one spot to pick 30, and lose points.

Pick 36 will stay at 36.

Pick 50 should move up three spots to pick 47.

So I think that trade is worth 1462 points, when factoring a potential Daicos bid, if he bid on first.

All depends on what the Bulldogs get offered for Lipinski.

If I were the bulldogs, I wouldn’t make a pick swap trade until after the trade period.

 

[Joao]

However holey our defense may or may not be, comparing it to our forward line is like comparing a button hole to the grand canyon.

 

[Smythe]

OCTOBER TOP 40

1. Nick Daicos
2. Jason Horne-Francis
3. Sam Darcy
4. Finn Callaghan
5. Josh Ward
6. Neil Erasmus
7. Jye Amiss
8. Mac Andrew
9. Josh Gibcus
10. Ben Hobbs
11. Nasaiah Wanganeen-Milera
12. Josh Rachele
13. Arlo Draper
14. Tyler Sonsie
15. Josh Goater
16. Matt Johnson
17. Matt Roberts
18. Jacob Van Rooyen
19. Josh Sinn
20. Campbell Chesser
21. Darcy Wilmot
22. Zac Taylor
23. Sam Butler

Multiple players found. Use birthday to differentiate. eg [PLAYERCARD="23/11/1962"]Joe Smith[/PLAYERCARD]

24. Josh Fahey
25. Mitch Knevitt
26. Mitchito Owens
27. Tom Brown
28. Marcus Windhager
29. Toby Conway
30. Judson Clarke
31. Jesse Motlop
32. Rhett Bazzo
33. Blake Howes
34. Brody Hough
35. Jack Williams
36. Lewis Rayson
37. Morgan Ferres
38. Eric Benning
39. Angus Sheldrick
40. Hugh Jackson

 

[year of the cat]

Typically that’s not enough. Especially when WB might not actually be able to use pick 50, depending on other trades they do, to bring picks in.

And then you have to factor in the Daicos bid, because that will move picks around.

Pick 29 will move back one spot to pick 30, and lose points.

Pick 36 will stay at 36.

Pick 50 should move up three spots to pick 47.

So I think that trade is worth 1462 points, when factoring a potential Daicos bid, if he bid on first.

All depends on what the Bulldogs get offered for Lipinski.

If I were the bulldogs, I wouldn’t make a pick swap trade until after the trade period.

If Cats secure a couple of 20’s picks courtesy of a Clark trade they’ll likely be in the market too for the Dogs first pick.

 

[philthy05]

If Cats secure a couple of 20’s picks courtesy of a Clark trade they’ll likely be in the market too for the Dogs first pick.

If cats secure a couple of picks In the 20’s?

For Clark?


Alright.

 

[Smythe]

If Cats secure a couple of 20’s picks courtesy of a Clark trade they’ll likely be in the market too for the Dogs first pick.

Cannot see that happening, maybe some sort of pick swap and Darcy Tucker involved in the trade

 

[year of the cat]

Cannot see that happening, maybe some sort of pick swap and Darcy Tucker involved in the trade

Via a pick swap I mean.

 

[philthy05]

Via a pick swap I mean.

What pick swap are you going to give them to make them give up both of their second rounders?
Your second rounder? Lol.

Freo will be keen to keep a pick in the 20’s and have a shot at one of the wa players who may still be available there. Can’t see them giving up 2 2nds for Clark and a late pick of that’s what your implying.

 

[year of the cat]

What pick swap are you going to give them to make them give up both of their second rounders?
Your second rounder? Lol.

Freo will be keen to keep a pick in the 20’s and have a shot at one of the wa players who may still be available there. Can’t see them giving up 2 2nds for Clark and a late pick of that’s what your implying.

All hypothetical of course as every trade is atm. Freo get pick 25 as part of the Cerra trade. We get 25 and their 27 for pick 32 plus Clark.

We trade 25 and 27 for 17. Something along that line.

 

[Smythe]

If

All hypothetical of course as every trade is atm. Freo get pick 25 as part of the Cerra trade. We get 25 and their 27 for pick 32 plus Clark.

We trade 25 and 27 for 17. Something along that line.

if freo end up with 4 picks under 30 I think they use them or double one up with late picks to keep benning etc.

 

[briztoon]

All hypothetical of course as every trade is atm. Freo get pick 25 as part of the Cerra trade. We get 25 and their 27 for pick 32 plus Clark.

We trade 25 and 27 for 17. Something along that line.

 

[year of the cat]

Thanks for your worthwhile contribution

 

[Smythe]

Phantom draft will be done after trade period ends, and keep an eye out for the Big Footy phantom draft in the future

 

[RedmanWasHere]

Phantom draft will be done after trade period ends, and keep an eye out for the Big Footy phantom draft in the future

Hope it's in podcast form.

 

[Smythe]

ELITE - High ceiling, high floor

HORNE-FRANCIS
DAICOS

TIER 1 - High ceiling, medium floor

CALLAGHAN
DARCY
WARD
ERASMUS
HOBBS
RACHELE
SONSIE
AMISS
ANDREW

TIER 2 - Potential high ceiling, medium floor

GIBCUS
WANGANEEN-MILERA
DRAPER
JOHNSON
ROBERTS
VAN ROOYEN
GOATER
SINN
CHESSER

TIER 3 - Exciting traits, low floor

WILMOT
TAYLOR
BUTLER
FAHEY
KNEVITT
OWENS
BROWN
CLARKE
HOWES
WINDHAGER

TIER 4 - Medium ceiling, low floor, good traits

CONWAY
MOTLOP
HOUGH
BAZZO
WILLIAMS
RAYSON
FERRES
BENNING
SHELDRICK
JACKSON

 

[year of the cat]

Connor MacDonald not in at least tier 4?

 

[Gee Class Loco]

If Cats secure a couple of 20’s picks courtesy of a Clark trade they’ll likely be in the market too for the Dogs first pick.

Tigers have that pick already in their pocket... IMO.
Heaps of points in the bank. 28/40/42 and even 47.
They'll walk into the draft with picks 7, 15 & 17 plus 26 i think.

 

[Gee Class Loco]

Connor MacDonald not in at least tier 4?

CRAZY.

 

[Smythe]

Connor MacDonald not in at least tier 4?

Yes he is, this is just tiers for my top 40, funny you mention him as, no joke, he is 41 on my board.

 

[Smythe]

CRAZY.

He is tier 4, but not in my top 40.
This is a top 40 tier list.
He was 35 last month but with others getting more exposure they rose above him and he is 41 on my board.

 

[year of the cat]

Tigers have that pick already in their pocket... IMO.
Heaps of points in the bank. 28/40/42 and even 47.
They'll walk into the draft with picks 7, 15 & 17 plus 26 i think.

They are certainly the most equipped at the moment to do that deal.

 

[Smythe]

Nasaiah Wanganeen-Milera currently playing well in SANFL reserves grand final

 

[SumTingWong]

Nasaiah Wanganeen-Milera currently playing well in SANFL reserves grand final

how are you viewing this?

 

[Smythe]

how are you viewing this?

live stream. Subscription. Now on 7plus for league, wwt v Glenelg

 

[blueiris]

live stream. Subscription. Now on 7plus for league, wwt v Glenelg

7plus is great isn’t it televised both SA and WA GF‘s