Soccer 2022 Betting Thread

[iluvparis]

Why in the double chance market is the either team winning market always shorter than the fave-draw market (see Tottenham-Liverpool tonight for an example)

 

[burge13]

Why in the double chance market is the either team winning market always shorter than the fave-draw market (see Tottenham-Liverpool tonight for an example)

Aren't that many draws. Think they back it to be a result but yeah mathematically it should be fav/draw as the shortest odds

 

[based]

also can be related to the expected goal total (draw less likely as scoring increases etc)

 

[pendlebury_10]

BYO Sportsbet - FIFA World Cup

Each team to score 2 or more goals @ $61

This actually hit back in 2018.

 

[iluvparis]

BYO Sportsbet - FIFA World Cup

Each team to score 2 or more goals @ $61

This actually hit back in 2018.

Do they mean the final? If so 2018 the first time it would have hit for an absolute age.

 

[based]

its every team for the entire tournament

 

[pendlebury_10]

Do they mean the final? If so 2018 the first time it would have hit for an absolute age.

For the entire tournament (basically need the minnows to manage two goals in their three group games).

 

[burge13]

We'll be lucky to score at all unless we jag a penalty. Qatar will struggle, Canada, USA, Japan in a hard group, Saudi Arabia

I doubt it happens

 

[based]

Thats missing a zero then imo

not really, any team that progresses to the final 16 is basically guaranteed to score 2+

obviously still unlikely with teams like qatar and lolstralia but i dont think its terrible at 61

 

[iluvparis]

Prior to 2018

2014: 2 failed
2010: 5 failed
2006: 3 failed

 

[burge13]

not really, any team that progresses to the final 16 is basically guaranteed to score 2+

obviously still unlikely with teams like qatar and lolstralia but i dont think its terrible at 61

I amended my post, its not that unlikely but i dont think it happens.

 

[pendlebury_10]

I amended my post, its not that unlikely but i dont think it happens.

Clearly more unlikely than likely, hence the $61 odds that come with it.

 

[pendlebury_10]

Prior to 2018

2014: 2 failed
2010: 5 failed
2006: 3 failed

Also more goals in general scored at the last two cups:

2018 - 2.64 (average per match)
2014 - 2.67
2010 - 2.27
2006 - 2.3

 

[ash_1050]

For the entire tournament (basically need the minnows to manage two goals in their three group games).

I'd be surprised if Australia scores two goals in one game let alone three games.

The odds of Australia alone scoring 2+ goals in each of their games should be $61.

 

[iluvparis]

I'd be surprised if Australia scores two goals in one game let alone three games.

The odds of Australia alone scoring 2+ goals in each of their games should be $61.

Its 2 goals in TOTAL across all matches played at the tournament

 

[ash_1050]

Its 2 goals in TOTAL across all matches played at the tournament

Oooooh yeah that's much more reasonable. Was wondering why anyone would chase 2+ goals per team per game.

For $61 there's certainly worse bets out there to chuck $20 on to keep the tournament fun.

 

[ash_1050]

Had a look at the Sportsbet BYO market and put some cash on 1 or more cards in each match @ $8.50.

2/64 matches didn't have a card in the 2018 World Cup.
5/51 matches din't have a card in the 2020 Euros.

 

[anabac]

Had a look at the Sportsbet BYO market and put some cash on 1 or more cards in each match @ $8.50.

2/64 matches didn't have a card in the 2018 World Cup.
5/51 matches din't have a card in the 2020 Euros.

Based on those stats I'd rather be on the 2 goals at $61

 

[NYRB]

I'd be surprised if Australia scores two goals in one game let alone three games.

The odds of Australia alone scoring 2+ goals in each of their games should be $61.

Against France probably 6/1

Denmark maybe 3.50

Against Tunisia around $3

Id price a bit close to around the mid 70's, 73.50 in my book.

 

[NYRB]

Australia gave a good account of themselves against France in 2018. Feel they might lift when playing them.

Australia v Denmark, shouldnt be too much difference between the sides. I know the Danes on paper probably have the better team, seem to have more players playing the Top 5 European leagues. That experience will no doubt be valuable.

Australia v Tunisia, might be an open game, if Australia have something to pay for in the final game.

Would be keen to have a look on

1st France
2nd Denmark
3rd Australia
4th Tunisia

as a straight Forecast bet

 

[ash_1050]

Based on those stats I'd rather be on the 2 goals at $61

Agreed, but sportsbet have had that market suspended for near on 24 hours now.

 

[Fabab]

Have had small bet on lautaro Martinez top goal scorer $22.

 

[based]

Australia v Denmark, shouldnt be too much difference between the sides.

Denmark beat france home and away in the nations league.

theres no way australia are close to them lol

 

[anabac]

Denmark beat france home and away in the nations league.

theres no way australia are close to them lol

While I agree that Denmark are clearly better than Australia, pointing to results in the nations league don't hold much weight. The countries, players and fans mostly hate it and the results are largely insignificant

 

[based]

yeah true ill ignore those results and look at games from 3 years ago instead