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Mega Thread The Random Thoughts Thread Part 1

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One of my favourite movies when I was a kid. I haven't seen it in aaages.

This one gets me every time.

Sir Lancelot: [Sir Galahad the Chaste is being seduced by an entire castle full of young women] We were in the nick of time. You were in great peril.
Sir Galahad: I don't think I was.
Sir Lancelot: Yes, you were. You were in terrible peril.
Sir Galahad: Look, let me go back in there and face the peril.
Sir Lancelot: No, it's too perilous.
Sir Galahad: Look, it's my duty as a knight to sample as much peril as I can.
Sir Lancelot: No, we've got to find the Holy Grail. Come on.
Sir Galahad: Oh, let me have just a little bit of peril?
Sir Lancelot: No. It's unhealthy.
Sir Galahad: I bet you're gay.
Sir Lancelot: Am not.
 
I wouldn't go as far to say it ended in a cliffhanger, see spoiler, but it certainly sends a clear message that there is more to come.

Rey handing back Luke's light sabre



'twas a cliffhanger to me, if you asked what I wanted out of a new Star Wars movie, other than "a good one", I would have answered "Luke ****ing Skywalker!".

Such a tease.





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Yesssss start hanging shit on star warssssd
 

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Would love to have a lightsaber and a length of eye fillet
 
At marion and some kind of pokestop near the cinema. Ridiculous amount of people hanging around it on phones/ipads. Groups of 18ish year old girls all there catching pokemon. Nerds of the world rejoice.

Chris+gyle+hd+pictures+2013+06.jpg


"Pokemon. Yeah, baby"
 
Some accurate facts re the election in the article linked below, but bottom line, the 2 major parties will have 96.7% of the seats in the House of Representatives and probably 75% of the seats in the Senate.

NZ got rid of their senate in 1951. In 1996 they introduced the Mixed Member Proportional system called MMP where you have some members elected by a seat, and others by a percentage of the vote. It effectively is like merging our house of reps ie seats, with the senate where senators are elected by the proportion of the vote that they get. They have 71 electorates/seats and 50 by portion of the vote called party lists. An NZ voter has 2 votes, one for his/her local electorate member and one for his/her party, which is basically like you get in Oz, but its for one house not two. NZ also have first past the post system and not preferential voting like in Oz.

And since MMP system was introduced in NZ for the 1996 election, NZ has had a coalition government since with the 2 big parties, Nationals and Labour having to form alliances and coalitions with smaller parties to get a majority.

So the current election is the new normal. The 2 big parties will have a disproportionate number of seats to vote in the house and 1 of them may or may not get a majority of seats, but no-one will get a majority in the senate and will have to deal with independents and small parties.

http://insidestory.org.au/the-upside-of-the-falling-big-party-vote
Malcolm Turnbull and Coalition spin merchants in the media have told that this was Labor’s second worst vote since Moses was found floating on the stream. They’re right – but that’s only half the story.

The half they’re not telling us is that the vote for the Coalition is also at historic lows. On current figures, it is 42.1 per cent – and that is the equal third-lowest vote the Coalition parties have recorded in the twenty-eight elections of the postwar era. It is not one side of politics that has lost support from voters – it is both. Sixty-five years ago, in the double dissolution election of 1951, 97.9 per cent of Australians voted for the Coalition or Labor; this time the figure was just 77.3 per cent. In 1951, only 2.1 per cent voted for someone other than a major party: this time 22.7 per cent did.

Is that because our politicians are out of touch with the concerns of ordinary Australians? Plenty of people think so.........
http://insidestory.org.au/the-upside-of-the-falling-big-party-vote

image.5c86d1e23d1321b64c9ca0d56c0acbda
 
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I feel like post punk might be coming back
 
Gee, Labor are going to have to reinvent themselves somewhat. Are they too mild?
They don't know what to be. they are losing blue collar voters to conservative parties because they aren't connecting with their aspirations to the same degree they did 30 years ago and highly educated people are moving to the greens and others.

But under preferential voting they know they are getting votes back from the greens and others. This blog from Antony Green shows what the preference flow has been at Federal elections between 1996 and 2013. The green voters give 75% to 80% of preferences to Labor over coalition.

http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2016/07/preference-flows-at-federal-elections-1996-2013.html
 
The Libs have a strong conservative base that is tolerating Turnbull at the moment. The Nationals are a conservative party and believe they have a much stronger say in the Coalition this time around given they held every seat and picked one up. Interesting times ahead for the Coalition with its bare minimum of 76 seats (even if Pyne and Brandis thinks they can get to 77).

It's a bit simplistic but the rise of Hawke/Keating saw the destabilisation of the left wing of the Labor Party which had a strong Victorian base in the ALP. Interestingly the Greens single HR seat is in Melbourne. While they attracted a small swing they gained no new HR seats. Still it is to be expected that they will preference Labor. But really there's no coalition there. Maybe an uneasy alliance.

The Greens have struggled in the Senate this time around with the micro-parties rising, usually around a recognisable figurehead. Hence the rise of the X-Team, Hanson's One Nation and Hinch.

I didn't mind Ricky Muir and Jacqui Lambie is an entertaining loose cannon.
 
It's a bit simplistic but the rise of Hawke/Keating saw the destabilisation of the left wing of the Labor Party which had a strong Victorian base in the ALP. Interestingly the Greens single HR seat is in Melbourne. While they attracted a small swing they gained no new HR seats. Still it is to be expected that they will preference Labor. But really there's no coalition there. Maybe an uneasy alliance.
Greens are steadily gaining in inner Melbourne seats, on trends if not next election then the one after they'll have at least 2 and possibly up to 4. They're only held at bay by the Liberals preferencing the ALP ahead of them.

This blog from Antony Green shows what the preference flow has been at Federal elections between 1996 and 2013. The green voters give 75% to 80% of preferences to Labor over coalition.

http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2016/07/preference-flows-at-federal-elections-1996-2013.html
From that the Coalition should be out saying they've heard the message voters want more choice and put forward optional preferential voting for the House as one of their early and key policies. With pushing that any attempt by the ALP to block it is forcing them to (eventually) vote for major parties they don't want to. Going on the 10-20% early exhaustion of votes in states with OPV the Coalition would have ended up with anywhere from 3-15 extra seats at this election.
 
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