Top 4/Top 8 thread

[Boyohboywowwee]

Boy who would of thought Sydney being in this conversation 6 months ago

 

[CountTraccula]

I still don’t think we’re any good but jeez losing 3 games by under a goal. Could easily have been top 4 at this stage of the season.

Idk if you will make finals this year, I haven't even looked at your remaining fixture. I'll tell you what though, your boys are gonna be premiership contenders very, very soon. Really good top end talent on all lines and some of your youngsters look like being future superstars. Nik Cox in particular is gonna be stupidly good. Also, good to see Parish finally break out and put himself firmly in the elite midfielder club.

 

[Angus Young]

The top 4 is tight..

One of Melbourne, Port, Geelong, Bulldogs and Brisbane has to miss it.

 

[Bluelegs]

The top 4 is tight..

One of Melbourne, Port, Geelong, Bulldogs and Brisbane has to miss it.

Port look the most vulnerable. Only been able to beat one top 8 side so far.

 

[Lynchy04]

Wouldn't count us out yet, got some of the troops back relatively easy run home. Our record for the back half of the season is impeccible can we do that again? Be pretty tight but we could get into 4th spot. The Geelong and Lions return games are massive.

 

[00Stinger]

Wouldn't count us out yet, got some of the troops back relatively easy run home. Our record for the back half of the season is impeccible can we do that again? Be pretty tight but we could get into 4th spot. The Geelong and Lions return games are massive.

that win v GWS has kept your top 4 chances alive

2 games and % is doable but if it was 3 games & % that would be close to impossible

 

[Angus Young]

Port look the most vulnerable. Only been able to beat one top 8 side so far.

Yeah but their remaining fixture is very nice.

 

[Bluelegs]

Yeah but their remaining fixture is very nice.

That's true they play the vast majority of their games against the good sides at home.

 

[Wojcinski]

Geelong's next 3 games will certainly give a better picture of how the top 4 may pan out.

Port at AO
Dogs at GMHBA
Brisbane at the Gabba

 

[00Stinger]

Geelong's next 3 games will certainly give a better picture of how the top 4 may pan out.

Port at AO
Dogs at GMHBA
Brisbane at the Gabba

**** that is a decent run of games

 

[schmuttt]

Dees dogs lions cats (Not necessarily that order) for top 4. Don’t see top 8 changing.

 

[baby pluto]

Richmond won’t make the 8.

 

[theyellowsash]

fu** that is a decent run of games

a run like that seems to be happening a lot this year. You play dogs and brisbane within 2 weeks, geelong plays top 5 clubs for 3 weeks in a row, and we played the current top 4 within 5 weeks.

 

[PCORF]

The top 4 is tight..

One of Melbourne, Port, Geelong, Bulldogs and Brisbane has to miss it.

And we know finishing 5th is usually a big penalty. Only 3 preliminary finalists (2007, 2014, 2018) from 5th under the current finals format and half eliminated in week 1.

 

[PCORF]

Geelong's next 3 games will certainly give a better picture of how the top 4 may pan out.

Port at AO
Dogs at GMHBA
Brisbane at the Gabba

If they win them all they certainly are contenders.

 

[Cotchins Hair Piece]

Richmond won’t make the 8.

If they finish ninth, natural order will be restored and coronavirus will disappear.

 

[Wojcinski]

If they win them all they certainly are contenders.

I'd be happy with 2-1, it's a very big ask though. 1-2 looking likely and 0-3 certainly possible

 

[theyellowsash]

And we know finishing 5th is usually a big penalty. Only 2 preliminary finalists from 5th under the current finals format and half eliminated in week 1.

i agree that its top 4 or you're not winning the flag, but in just 5 years (since the pre-finals bye) the dogs, melbourne and gws have made prelims from 5th or worse. Its been just over 1 every 2 years, ie 60% of the time there is a prelim finalist from outside the top 4. Looking at it slightly differently 15% of prelim finalists in 5 years have been from outside the top 4. That seems about right given the top 4 are supposed to be better teams, but can be beaten by other top 8 teams on their day.

Given it didn't happen last year its odds on to happen again this year, especially since 2 of sydney/geelong/port will be 5th and 6th.

 

[theyellowsash]

And we know finishing 5th is usually a big penalty. Only 3 preliminary finalists (2007, 2014, 2018) from 5th under the current finals format and half eliminated in week 1.

dogs and gws did well making the grand final without needing to play the prelim

 

[Angus Young]

Richmond won’t make the 8.

Yes they will.

 

[The Prosecutor]

Richmond won’t make the 8.

They will, WC is the only club at risk but should make it.

 

[Wojcinski]

I have Richmond finishing the season around 6th. I think the current top 8 is set for who makes it, no disrespect to Essendon but I think GWS is the only team currently not in the 8 that can challenge for a position.

 

[Kickpuncher]

If we can somehow snag a top 4 spot we'd fancy ourselves going into finals with Butters and Duursma to come back in.

Too be honest though I see it as more realistic we miss the top 8 entirely than make the top 4.

 

[Angus Young]

If we can somehow snag a top 4 spot we'd fancy ourselves going into finals with Butters and Duursma to come back in.

Too be honest though I see it as more realistic we miss the top 8 entirely than make the top 4.

no chance... absolute shoe in

 

[Angus Young]

GWS only chance to replace West Coast or Sydney

Port v Geelong is already a huge game for top 4 spot