Analysis Which 2016 top 20 picks won't make it?

[bergholt]

This was apparently an amazing draft, top 20 was great, etc. But even if this the best draft ever, there will still be 5 or 6 of those top 20 who don't even go on to play 100 games. And more likely it'll be more:

Top 20 draft picks who played more than 100 games

• bergholt
• Nov 26, 2016
• draft

So my question is, on the basis of less than one day thinking about it, which of the players taken are most likely to be in that unlucky group?

 

[bergholt]

Todd Marshall out to an early lead!

 

[mightymouse75]

Tim English has got a way to go.

 

[THE_GUN]

#6 - Sam Petrevski-Seton

10

Sam Petrevski-seton

Age

26

Ht

182cm

Wt

81kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

16.2

4star

K

9.7

4star

HB

6.6

4star

M

3.6

4star

T

4.2

5star

G

0.3

3star

D

14.4

3star

K

9.5

4star

HB

4.9

3star

M

3.1

3star

T

2.0

3star

G

0.0

1star

D

13.4

4star

K

10.0

4star

HB

3.4

3star

M

2.8

3star

T

5.0

5star

G

0.4

3star

Kid really has an uphill battle
Being from remote area
dreaded pick 6 curse

 

[Donakebab]

#6 - Sam Petrevski-Seton

Kid really has an uphill battle
Playing for Carlton
Being from remote area
dreaded pick 6 curse

Carlton's last pick #6 made it to 100 games. Then he was traded to Richmond...

 

[citizen-erased]

Strong top 20. Reckon all kids will be decent footballers

 

[THE_GUN]

Carlton's last pick #6 made it to 100 games. Then he was traded to Richmond...

So we should look foward to sps in a few years then lol

 

[RUNVS]

I think the biggest risks in no particular order are

Florent
Marshall
English
Powell-Pepper

 

[Doggy]

Tim English has got a way to go.

Meh, he will make it

 

[snozulu]

What a cynical thread one day after the draft and already judging the players.

 

[therust]

English will make it.

What a cynical thread one day after the draft and already judging the players.

Reminder that you are on BigFooty. What were you expecting? A thoughtful thread?

 

[HARKER]

Nothing to say that they all won't make it........they just won't make it on the same levels.

More interesting would be as to which players will be the best of the draft.

 

[bergholt]

Nothing to say that they all won't make it........they just won't make it on the same levels.

History suggests they won't all make it. There have been at least 5+ players from the top 20 of every draft who don't even play 50 games. Pretty sure that in the AFL that's counted as "not making it".

 

[bergholt]

Some pretty sweet donkey voting in this poll from ronpingwins and the Ziebull. Good work dickheads.

 

[The Nostradamus]

Some pretty sweet donkey voting in this poll from ronpingwins and the Ziebull. Good work dickheads.

Just voting the truth

Thanks for coming saints keep up the poor drafting

If it makes u feel better I'll make a slight change

 

[Gumby2Hurley]

More interested in which of the 4 giants end up @ Carlton in 2 years.

 

[M Malice]

history is always a good indicator of the future. every year there are busts in the top 20.

there will be some busts from this draft, nigh on impossible to tell who, i went Marshall, English, Venables and Scrimshaw for no particular reason other than a gut feel.

 

[beowulf]

More interested in which of the 4 giants end up @ Carlton in 2 years.

It might be all of them....

 

[JADED]

Ainsworth.

 

[Donakebab]

It might be all of them....

Doubt all four will end up being starchy tubers.

 

[Thewlis Dish]

I think the biggest risks in no particular order are

Florent
Marshall
English
Powell-Pepper

I think Florent is one of the surest bets to be a good player actually - a really driven and mentally tough kid, and a jet footballer who lifted in the bigger games.

 

[adammania9]

Why does Venables have no many votes? Will be an absolute machine.

 

[My name geoff]

Here's what I see when I look at the top 20..

McGrath - Docherty/Judd
Taranto - Tom Mitchell/giannsiracusa
Mcluggage - cotchin/scully/bruest
Ainsworth - Elliot/Stringer
Setterfield - McCrae
SPS - P.Burgoyne/L.Neale
Scrimshaw - Yeo
Logue - Roughead
Brodie - D.Swallow
Bowes - D.Tyson/McCrae
Florent - Dahlhaus/K.Simpson
Simpkin- Dahlhaus
Venables - Shuey
Perryman - Laird
Gallucci - hartung
Marshall - Westhoff/J.Reiwoldt
Berry - Maynard
SPP - Rohan
English - Cox

Looks like they will all make it.

 

[Barry Zuckercorn]

#6 - Sam Petrevski-Seton

Kid really has an uphill battle
Playing for Carlton
Being from remote area
dreaded pick 6 curse

Shouldn't you clowns be concentrating on a top 4 finish?

 

[Bokonon_]

It might be all of them....

We'll let you know if you can have them in plenty of time