Years since last premiership

[Glenhope]

As at the end of 2016 this is the number of years since each teams last premiership. (#) indicates total # of premierships. * indicates special case for newer teams without a cup yet.

0 - Footscray (2)
1 - Hawthorn (13)
4 - Sydney (5)
5 - Geelong (9)
5 - GWS* (0)
6 - Collingwood (15)
6 - Gold Coast* (0)
10 - West Coast (3)
12 - Port Adelaide (1)
13 - Brisbane (3)
16 - Essendon (16)
17 - North Melbourne (4)
18 - Adelaide (2)
21 - Carlton (16)
23 - Fremantle* (0)
36 - Richmond (10)
50 - St.Kilda (1)
52 - Melbourne (12)
----------------------------
295

I keep a spreadsheet tracking the elasped years between the silverware. In a competition that's trying to be more equal recently I measure the total aggregate years since each team won a cup. In an even competition each team should win every 18 years but the teams with the longest droughts reduce the aggregate the most.

The bulldogs win in 2016 reduced the aggregate from a record 339 in 2015 to 295 years. With the tigers being a chance this years a win by them would reduce the aggregate to 276. (295 + 17 - 36) Wins by either St.Kilda or Melbourne look less likely but would reduce the aggregate by more.

I can't get enthused about a GWS, Gold Coast wins yet because they are so new but Freo is now well overdue to break the duck.

With Adelaide going so well this year a win by them reduces the aggregate but only 1 but that's still better than an increase.

 

[theprospect]

And the point of this thread is....what?

 

[ApplecrossWC]

And the point of this thread is....what?

Chin up, still got the dees below you

 

[Glenhope]

And the point of this thread is....what?

...that in an even comp the aggregate needs to reduce year on year rather than constantly go up.

 

[Upgrayedd]

Strange with all this talk of collingwood being an absolute failure they still reletively had had recent sucess.

 

[MarcusP2]

Strange with all this talk of collingwood being an absolute failure they still reletively had had recent sucess.

They had a chance and they took it. That's the biggest contributor to these aggregates rising. Would look quite different if Crows won in 2006, Freo in 2013, Saints in 2009.

 

[Glenhope]

They had a chance and they took it. That's the biggest contributor to these aggregates rising. Would look quite different if Crows won in 2006, Freo in 2013, Saints in 2009.

Melbourne in 2000 St.Kilda in 2010

 

[MarcusP2]

Melbourne in 2000 St.Kilda in 2010

Melbourne were no chance in 2000 and if the Saints won in 2010 then the Pies aggregate would be +20.

Most teams are not Hawthorn, you don't get 5 years of trying. 1 or 2 shots at the top and that's it. Miss it and it can be a long time coming around again.

 

[PonsfordMagpie]

Strange with all this talk of collingwood being an absolute failure they still reletively had had recent sucess.

We've only failed in the last few years with us likely to miss finals again, which makes it four seasons without finals. We're going through our worst patch since the late 1990s where we missed the finals for seven seasons running (1995 to 2001).

We played in eight consecutive finals (2006 to 2013), and between 2002 to 2011 (10 seasons) we played off in 4 grand finals, for only 1 victory unfortunately. For consistency, we've been a top 5 side statistically speaking in the last 15 years along with Geelong, Sydney, Hawthorn and Adelaide.

Our last bottom four finish was in 2005 along with Hawthorn. Only Geelong and Sydney have better records in this regard with Geelong's last bottom four finish in 1986 and Sydney in 1994.

 

[HairyO]

I thought Geelong had way more flags. Or so they claim.

 

[Glenhope]

Melbourne were no chance in 2000 and if the Saints won in 2010 then the Pies aggregate would be +20.

Most teams are not Hawthorn, you don't get 5 years of trying. 1 or 2 shots at the top and that's it. Miss it and it can be a long time coming around again.

If your 22 guys run out to play on the last Saturday then you're a chance. Always! (cough 2008 cough)

 

[M Malice]

Melbourne in 2000 St.Kilda in 2010

Or the Lions in 2004.

 

[_Mike_]

I thought Geelong had way more flags. Or so they claim.

Not unless we start counting VFA, SANFL and WAFL flags.

 

[wagstaff]

Why not just use AFL Tables website instead?

 

[_Mike_]

Melbourne were no chance in 2000

I dont think any team could have beaten Essendon in the 2000 GF

Most teams are not Hawthorn

No team is like Hawthorn for keeping the lowest average return for premierships. That is an extraordinary feat

 

[half_back_flank]

And the point of this thread is....what?

Personally, I just opened this thread to see the 21 next to Carlton.

 

[Ricky Vaughn]

I thought Geelong had way more flags. Or so they claim.

The amazing thing about this shitfight, it can spill into almost any thread.

I thought the link here might be tenuous, but here we are.

 

[davos44]

I keep a spreadsheet tracking the elasped years between the silverware.

I have an XBox to keep myself entertained.

 

[Demon13304]

Okay *cries*

 

[footyfan1978]

1983
Carlton 1 year
Richmond 3 years
Hawks 5 years
North 6 years
St.Kilda 17
Essendon 18
Melbourne 19
Geelong 20
Collingwood 25
Footscray 29
Fitzroy 39
South Melbourne 50

 

[threesixpio]

Melbourne is such a reverse Hawthorn. All their flags more than 50 years ago. We had SFA 50 years ago and ....

 

[footyfan1978]

Melbourne is such a reverse Hawthorn. All their flags more than 50 years ago. We had SFA 50 years ago and ....

1964
Melbourne had 12 premierships
Hawthorn 1

Can you imagine a person from that time being told Hawks would win their 13th before Melbourne

 

[Scotland]

I keep a spreadsheet tracking the elasped years between the silverware.

I bet you are fun at parties.

 

[Scotland]

Melbourne is such a reverse Hawthorn. All their flags more than 50 years ago. We had SFA 50 years ago and ....

It's almost as though 'Hawthorn exceptionalism' wasn't a thing for the majority if your existence...

 

[threesixpio]

It's almost as though 'Hawthorn exceptionalism' wasn't a thing for the majority if your existence...

Almost