TheGreatBarryB
Hall of Famer
Okay, so I've finally got around to crunching some numbers on the draft. Unlike last year where I tried to rank mock GMs on how close they nailed their corresponding team's draft picks, etc, using a convoluted formula, this year I've gone for a simple method of ranking the player mocked compared to where he was actually chosen and the gap between is the "pick value". A positive pick value means that the player was taken in reality earlier than he was taken in the mock; a negative pick value means (obviously) the reverse situation. Where a player was selected in the mock draft went undrafted in the real draft, I assigned pick 257 to that player (which is one more than the last pick in the actual draft).
The best pick-for-pick mock GM is neddy36, who averaged +31.67 pick value per player. The Bills only ended up taking three picks in the mock draft, and selected Stephone Anthony (pick 31 in the actual draft), Hroniss Grasu (pick 71 in the actual draft) and Sean Mannion (pick 89 in the actual draft). Unfortunately, larkis had the least valuable mock draft, with two players (Reese Dismukes and Anthony Harris) both going undrafted in the real thing.
The most valuable pick in the mock draft belonged to the Ravens, who selected Jeremiah Poutasi 158th overall in the mock draft. He was selected 66th overall in the real draft. The biggest reach in the mock draft belonged to LicoriceAllsorts, who selected Cody Prewitt in the second round (pick 59 overall) but he was undrafted in the real draft.
Here's a table, sorted by aggregate pick value, of how we all went in the mock draft:
Code:Rnk Team Mock GM Value Ave --------------------------------------------- 1 BAL pies_10/GG/DF +212 +30.29 2 SEA gaskin +151 +21.57 3 CAR Bucking Beads +135 +27.00 4 BUF neddy36 +95 +31.67 5 NYJ Dixie Flatline +51 +12.75 6 PHI Dixie Flatline +44 +7.33 7 ATL drd23 +36 +7.20 8 SDC geecats07 +27 +5.40 9 JAX catters078 +17 +5.66 10 OAK chewy316 -16 -3.20 11 STL blacky -21 -5.25 12 TB superfreak -44 -8.80 13 NEP monocle -57 -9.50 14 CHI greywind -61 -12.40 15 DET broken -74 -24.67 16 MIN sven -82 -16.40 17 ARI shade -92 -18.40 18 TEN striker475 -95 -19.00 19 NYG dagless -132 -26.40 20 WAS chadwiko -134 -26.80 21 NOS shermy -135 -19.29 22 PIT Woodson -139 -27.80 23 MIA mad prophet -145 -29.00 24 KCC thegreatbarryb -149 -29.80 25 CIN fuey -156 -22.29 26 CLE chris25 -181 -20.11 27 GBP aussiedude -220 -44.00 28 HOU bgt2110 -232 -46.40 29 DEN licoriceallsorts -265 -44.17 30 SF tennisplayerandy -287 -47.83 31 DAL dirty bird/GG -339 -67.80 32 IND larkis -560 -112.00
So dixie, what's my score adjusted for La'el Collins who I picked at #18? I assume that's +138 (256-18) which which change my score from -149 to -11.
What a draft for the Chiefs btw....
La'el Collins
Devin Smith
Mario Edwards Jr
Tyler Kroft
Steven Nelson............I should be working for these guys!