AFL Round 14: Hawthorn v Gold Coast Saturday 1:45pm AEST @UTAS

[Gralin]

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SUMMARY
Lest you think this will be a stroll in the park for Hawthorn, cast your mind back 12 months ago to when the Suns twice comfortably handled the Hawks, including an 86-point thrashing at Metricon Stadium. Gold Coast was impressive for three quarters against St Kilda before falling in a hole once again and will need to bring that dash and dare with it to chilly Launceston, this time for the full four quarters. The Hawks remain a work in progress, solid defensively and through the midfield, but are still trying to bed down the right forward structure. It clicked beautifully in the third term on Saturday night when they slammed on seven goals, but they managed just five in the other three quarters, despite dominating clearances and inside 50s. If those struggles continue, this will be closer than many anticipate.

WHERE AND WHEN: University of Tasmania Stadium, Saturday, June 23, 1.45pm AEST

LAST FIVE MEETINGS
R12, 2017, Gold Coast Suns 13.17 (95) d Hawthorn 12.7 (79) at the MCG
R3, 2017, Gold Coast Suns 21.13 (139) d Hawthorn 7.11 (53) at Metricon Stadium
R14, 2016, Hawthorn 12.14 (86) d Gold Coast Suns 8.12 (60) at University of Tasmania Stadium
R9, 2015, Hawthorn 14.9 (93) d Gold Coast Suns 6.4 (40) at University of Tasmania Stadium
R15, 2014, Hawthorn 17.14 (116) d Gold Coast Suns 10.3 (63) at University of Tasmania Stadium

THE SIX POINTS
1. When the teams last played the Suns had 54 more disposals, took 24 more marks and smashed the Hawks in the clearances 42-27. Gary Ablett was best on ground with 37 disposals, two goals and 10 tackles.

2. The Suns continue to struggle in most areas, ranked last for disposals per game, marks inside 50, goals per game and second-last for inside 50s and centre clearances.

3. The Suns continue to struggle to finish games. They have lost 11 of 12 final quarters, they have managed just 105 points while conceding 306 and have not kicked a goal in a fourth quarter since round eight.

4. The teams have played four times at University of Tasmania Stadium with Hawthorn undefeated; Gold Coast has lost nine of its past 10 and 12 of its past 15 interstate matches.

5. Hawthorn is ranked fourth for inside 50s averaging 56 per game but are 11thfor marks inside 50; it is equal sixth for goals per game and fourth for accuracy.

6. Gold Coast’s David Swallow is the 174th-listed player according to the Schick AFL Player Ratings.

IT’S A BIG WEEK FOR …
Having spent last Sunday wining and dining with the Hawks as a hero of their 2008 premiership team, Stuart Dew now plots to beat them. But first, he needs to find a salve for their horrific fourth quarters. In the Suns' last four games they’ve scored just 0.2 in their final terms.

PREDICTION: Hawthorn by 10 points
http://www.afl.com.au/match-centre/2018/14/haw-v-gcfc

 

[JoondalupJ]

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SUMMARY
Lest you think this will be a stroll in the park for Hawthorn, cast your mind back 12 months ago to when the Suns twice comfortably handled the Hawks, including an 86-point thrashing at Metricon Stadium. Gold Coast was impressive for three quarters against St Kilda before falling in a hole once again and will need to bring that dash and dare with it to chilly Launceston, this time for the full four quarters. The Hawks remain a work in progress, solid defensively and through the midfield, but are still trying to bed down the right forward structure. It clicked beautifully in the third term on Saturday night when they slammed on seven goals, but they managed just five in the other three quarters, despite dominating clearances and inside 50s. If those struggles continue, this will be closer than many anticipate.

WHERE AND WHEN: University of Tasmania Stadium, Saturday, June 23, 1.45pm AEST

LAST FIVE MEETINGS
R12, 2017, Gold Coast Suns 13.17 (95) d Hawthorn 12.7 (79) at the MCG
R3, 2017, Gold Coast Suns 21.13 (139) d Hawthorn 7.11 (53) at Metricon Stadium
R14, 2016, Hawthorn 12.14 (86) d Gold Coast Suns 8.12 (60) at University of Tasmania Stadium
R9, 2015, Hawthorn 14.9 (93) d Gold Coast Suns 6.4 (40) at University of Tasmania Stadium
R15, 2014, Hawthorn 17.14 (116) d Gold Coast Suns 10.3 (63) at University of Tasmania Stadium

THE SIX POINTS
1. When the teams last played the Suns had 54 more disposals, took 24 more marks and smashed the Hawks in the clearances 42-27. Gary Ablett was best on ground with 37 disposals, two goals and 10 tackles.

2. The Suns continue to struggle in most areas, ranked last for disposals per game, marks inside 50, goals per game and second-last for inside 50s and centre clearances.

3. The Suns continue to struggle to finish games. They have lost 11 of 12 final quarters, they have managed just 105 points while conceding 306 and have not kicked a goal in a fourth quarter since round eight.

4. The teams have played four times at University of Tasmania Stadium with Hawthorn undefeated; Gold Coast has lost nine of its past 10 and 12 of its past 15 interstate matches.

5. Hawthorn is ranked fourth for inside 50s averaging 56 per game but are 11thfor marks inside 50; it is equal sixth for goals per game and fourth for accuracy.

6. Gold Coast’s David Swallow is the 174th-listed player according to the Schick AFL Player Ratings.

IT’S A BIG WEEK FOR …
Having spent last Sunday wining and dining with the Hawks as a hero of their 2008 premiership team, Stuart Dew now plots to beat them. But first, he needs to find a salve for their horrific fourth quarters. In the Suns' last four games they’ve scored just 0.2 in their final terms.

PREDICTION: Hawthorn by 10 points
http://www.afl.com.au/match-centre/2018/14/haw-v-gcfc

This is not 2017. And I always find we take a while to find our feet in Tassie games. But we usually come out with a win. I think we will handle The Suns ,but, that said, never take anything for granted , and Hawthorn won't, there's always 18 blokes on the ground from both sides, I hope we can have a comfortable afternoon. But we haven't set up consistency properly yet, we're on the way though.

We should whack them nicely , but be prepared!

 

[Upgrayedd]

We're just outside the 8 at a home ground with an opposition struggling and we must win this for finals chances so we have the luxuary to drop more then 3/4 games till the end of the season

yeah GC by 22

 

[RUNVS]

This game is going to get ugly for the Suns I think.

 

[Randomizor]

Go Suns!

 

[Old Stuckup]

Hoping for a Suns win but they’re almost no chance. Hawks should win by plenty.

 

[RUNVS]

Hoping for a Suns win but they’re almost no chance. Hawks should win by plenty.

I hope to win the lottery all the time and there is a chance I could win it.

 

[Off The Couch]

Phew, made it home in time for what should be game of the round

Hate games in tassie - always low scoring, boring as * games and today’s should be no different. Hopefully the hawks win but out record against the suns and qld sides hasn’t been flash lately so anything could happen

If you aren’t a supporter of either side I would be thinking your housebound if you choose to watch this one

 

[catpremier 07]

I reckon hawks might win this one

 

[Rob]

Well that's not good signs for a competitive match. Suns were really, really s**t then.

 

[Donakebab]

Tommy Lynch to signal he doesn't want to go to the Hawks by kicking a bag.

 

[JayJ20]

Cmon Suns!

 

[catpremier 07]

Good start lynchy

 

[Juggs Magnetic]

Suns looking really good early.

 

[Off The Couch]

Suns all over the hawks atm and they need to really tighten up or it’s going to be all over real early

 

[Great8]

Time to end this farce and remove the Hawks from Tassie. The locals clearly can’t give a stuff, I’ve seen better crowds and atmosphere at VFL games

 

[Cmarsh]

I think even we got a bigger crowd at Spotless the other week against GCS than the Hawks have got against them today.

 

[Off The Couch]

Time to end this farce and remove the Hawks from Tassie. The locals clearly can’t give a stuff, I’ve seen better crowds and atmosphere at VFL games

And why does that bug you

 

[Off The Couch]

Wow that was incorrect disposal against scissors

 

[PhatBoy]

I had umpire bashing but that was one of the worst non call I think I've ever seen.

 

[Scotland]

Tommy Lynch to signal he doesn't want to go to the Hawks by kicking a bag.

Wouldn't that just make them want him more?

If I was a Hawks fan watching Lynch play some meek 5 disposal game I'd be less enthusiastic about paying $1m+ to get him.

 

[Pakenhamsaint]

Gunston is clearly playing injured.
Why didnt they make a change before the bounce?

 

[gavaniacono]

Very good opening gambit, suns.
But as my wife has been known to inquire, can you keep this up longer than 15 minutes?

 

[TubbsFarquhar]

That non-free against Sicily is absolutely unjustifiable.

 

[Scotland]

I had umpire bashing but that was one of the worst non call I think I've ever seen.

#NoFreeKickAgainstHawthorn?

Doesn't really have a ring to it.