Autopsy AFL 2025 Rd 24 - Pies v Demons - Fri August 22nd 7:10pm AEST (M.C.G.)

[VicBased]

Collingwood flat out putting Melbourne away. Won't be troubling finals this year .

 

[Pablito]

Logic not your strong suit i see.

I'll raise a glass to the Pies, and the Dees I like.

Collingwood supporters own glassware?

I think you mean raise a goon sack.

 

[samFFC]

Non factor.

Gold Coast will be third. Where Collingwood currently are.

Hence PERCENTAGE for 4th if Hawthorn win.

I did.

Collingwood 64 points
Brisbane 62 point
Hawthorn 60 points...

Hawks win that, it comes down to percentage. Ladder predictor has Pies coming 4th too. It's not out of the question

Fair point
But Hawks only have to win by 10 points to take it.

And the Suns have a free hit at Essendon, if they win tonight (might be a big if haha)

 

[samFFC]

Heck, the Giants can even catch the Pies.

Have to win by 120ish but it might happen.

 

[CrowToon]

Collingwood are currently third.

Gold Coast win the last 2, they will be third.

Brisbane wins, Pies are out of the 4. Hawks win, it will come down to percentage. Not too hard to understand.

That 4th spot is up for grabs.

Im sure someone will work out how much Hawthorn need to win by to not lose the requisite spot but I'd imagine it would be a very small window

 

[YeoShuey]

Fair point
But Hawks only have to win by 10 points to take it.

And the Suns have a free hit at Essendon, if they win tonight (might be a big if haha)

Hawks do need to win by a small margin but this will be a close match I feel. Could go either way.

 

[YeoShuey]

Im sure someone will work out how much Hawthorn need to win by to not lose the requisite spot but I'd imagine it would be a very small window

A score of 100 to 98 between them two lowers their percentage to 121.5.

Generally as the scores go up, the more they need to win by.

 

[situationz]

How are the Suns getting carved up by this garbage team

 

[bzparkes]

How much do they need to win by to retain that? As the scores go up, the more score you need generally.

I guess if it's a high scoring game that possibly might happen.

Very unlikely though.

 

[rdhopkins2]

Pies did enough in the end.

 

[CobberRodgers]

It's still a big achievement for the pies to have an elimination final at home, they could very well have been flying up to Sydney if they lost. Big question will be did they suffer any serious injuries tonight?

They might get to stay in Melbourne, but they might cop another Victorian team.

 

[Cyclops]

Collingwood supporters own glassware?

I think you mean raise a goon sack.

I stole some lovely whiskey tumblers!

 

[wingersclub]

All this chatter that Max Gawn is an all Australian is just rubbish. He is the captain of the most emotionally inept team in decades. Time after time they lose games like that. There is no leadership at that club on the field. Just when we need them to hold on they fail yet again like many times before.

Have you not footy this season because tiges aren’t top 4 or?

 

[Mr MysteryGuest]

I don’t even think the win at this margin works for them.

If GC hang on against Port, they’re going to flog Essendon next week and that means GC and either one of BL or Haw will jump the Pies and they’ll finish 5th anyway.

If Brisbane hhawks draw, they’ll get , pretty much the only way unless GC choke

 

[dean33]

...I like Essendon.

Suns might save you from the indignity

 

[samFFC]

Im sure someone will work out how much Hawthorn need to win by to not lose the requisite spot but I'd imagine it would be a very small window

Hawks win requirements to jump Collingwood
eg. 120-102 is enough, 120-103 is not enough

 

[Fadge]

Great game.

Great result.

Fair result.

How good is Harvey Langford? Oh boy.

 

[No SPIN]

If collingwood isn’t an old side in free fall off a cliff, I don’t know what is

Is that what you thought last week against Adel - you’re not much of a judge.

 

[No SPIN]

They aren't making the top 4 champ

Yes - I too would be hoping Coll don’t if I was an Adel supporter.

 

[Humblebob]

100%
Whichever of us wins Sunday will beat the Pies.

Won’t even make finals

Another quiet September out west

 

[CrowToon]

Yes - I too would be hoping they don’t if I was an Adel supporter.

Im more worried about the umpires than I am about an impotent footy team

 

[samFFC]

Collingwood will beat Adelaide in the QF.

Heard it here first….

You could be right!

 

[CobberRodgers]

If Brisbane hhawks draw, they’ll get , pretty much the only way unless GC choke

Choke like that? HUGE

 

[Humblebob]

Im more worried about the umpires than I am about an impotent footy team

The Victim mentality before a ball has been bounced, champion mindset!!

 

[samFFC]

Pies are no good
Cost themselves the 4, from a clear #1 position.
Sitting ducks- load up on whoever they play in the elimination final.

Gonna be hard to do that from 5th or 6th. (Lions or Hawks jump them, Suns jump them)

They are going to be $12-15 for the flag by the start of the finals.
So ok 7-10% chance, at best.

Oh well, I retract these statements.

Pies very likely to be top 4 now