16 wins for 2004

Au_Blue#24 · Mar 19, 2004

prediction # 1

I dont want to boast or anything - but my psychic powers are second to none !

Jabber · Mar 19, 2004

Originally posted by Au_Blue#24
prediction # 1

I dont want to boast or anything - but my psychic powers are second to none !

Prediction # 2 - AU_Blue#24 loses his psychic powers.

14 is my bet - It will get us top 4 which is all that matters.

Au_Blue#24 · Mar 19, 2004

Re: Re: 16 wins for 2004

Originally posted by Jabber
Prediction # 2 - AU_Blue#24 loses his psychic powers.

14 is my bet - It will get us top 4 which is all that matters.

I knew you'd say that

Streaker · Mar 19, 2004

Which 6 games are you predicting us to lose?

Au_Blue#24 · Mar 19, 2004

Originally posted by West Coast Stre
Which 6 games are you predicting us to lose?

1) essendon rnd 3
2) saints rnd 9
3) pies rnd 11
4) port rnd 17
5) brissy rnd 19

plus one of the derbies

Eagles4Ever · Mar 19, 2004

I would take 14 wins in a heart beat if offered right now.
Had a quick look through the home and away fixture and penciled us in for 13-14wins. We laso have a knack for getting involved in the "close ones" so a couple of draws aint out the question either

I'll predict 14wins 8losses - 56 pts (5th)

Mr Q · Mar 19, 2004

Lets not get too far ahead of ourselves or anything but

1. 28th Mar v. Western Bulldogs @ Dock
70% chance of winning

2. 3rd Apr v. Port Adelaide @ Subi
70% chance of winning

3.10th Apr v. Essendon @ Dock
20% chance of winning

4. 17th Apr v. Brisbane Lions @ Subi
70% chance of winning

5. 24th Apr v. Carlton @ PP
70% chance of winning

6. 1st May v. Fremantle @ Subi
50% chance of winning

7. 9th May v. Melbourne @ MCG
70% chance of winning

8. 15th May v. Sydney @ Subi
70% chance of winning

9. 23rd May v. Saint Kilda @ Dock
30% chance of winning

10. 29th May v. Richmond @ Subi
90% chance of winning

11. 4th Jun v. Collingwood @ Dock
50% chance of winning

12. 12th Jun v. Adelaide @ Subi
70% chance of winning

13. 20th Jun v. Kangaroos @ MO
60% chance of winning

14. 3rd Jul v. Geelong @ Subi
90% chance of winning

15. 10th Jul v. Hawthorn @ YP
40% chance of winning

16. 16th Jul v. Essendon @ Subi
70% chance of winning

17. 25th Jul v. Port Adelaide @ FP
20% chance of winning

18. 1st Aug v. Western Bulldogs @ Subi
90% chance of winning

19. 8th Aug v. Brisbane Lions @ Gabba
25% chance of winning

20. 15th Aug v. Carlton @ Subi
90% chance of winning

21. 21st Aug v. Fremantle @ Subi
50% chance of winning

22. 28th Aug v. Melbourne @ Subi
90% chance of winning

On average a 62% chance of winning any particular game thus we should win about 14 games.

I reserve the right to be completely and utterly wrong

Streaker · Mar 19, 2004

Originally posted by Au_Blue#24
1) essendon rnd 3
2) saints rnd 9
3) pies rnd 11
4) port rnd 17
5) brissy rnd 19

plus one of the derbies

I reckon 2 and 5 are both realistically winnable.

The Mission Man · Mar 19, 2004

Originally posted by Mr Q
Lets not get too far ahead of ourselves or anything but

1. 28th Mar v. Western Bulldogs @ Dock
70% chance of winning

2. 3rd Apr v. Port Adelaide @ Subi
70% chance of winning

3.10th Apr v. Essendon @ Dock
20% chance of winning

4. 17th Apr v. Brisbane Lions @ Subi
70% chance of winning

5. 24th Apr v. Carlton @ PP
70% chance of winning

6. 1st May v. Fremantle @ Subi
50% chance of winning

7. 9th May v. Melbourne @ MCG
70% chance of winning

8. 15th May v. Sydney @ Subi
70% chance of winning

9. 23rd May v. Saint Kilda @ Dock
30% chance of winning

10. 29th May v. Richmond @ Subi
90% chance of winning

11. 4th Jun v. Collingwood @ Dock
50% chance of winning

12. 12th Jun v. Adelaide @ Subi
70% chance of winning

13. 20th Jun v. Kangaroos @ MO
60% chance of winning

14. 3rd Jul v. Geelong @ Subi
90% chance of winning

15. 10th Jul v. Hawthorn @ YP
40% chance of winning

16. 16th Jul v. Essendon @ Subi
70% chance of winning

17. 25th Jul v. Port Adelaide @ FP
20% chance of winning

18. 1st Aug v. Western Bulldogs @ Subi
90% chance of winning

19. 8th Aug v. Brisbane Lions @ Gabba
25% chance of winning

20. 15th Aug v. Carlton @ Subi
90% chance of winning

21. 21st Aug v. Fremantle @ Subi
50% chance of winning

22. 28th Aug v. Melbourne @ Subi
90% chance of winning

On average a 62% chance of winning any particular game thus we should win about 14 games.

I reserve the right to be completely and utterly wrong

What an intriguing way of going about things.

Mr Q · Mar 19, 2004

Originally posted by The Mission Man
What an intriguing way of going about things.

Happy to be of service.

Eagles4Ever · Mar 19, 2004

Originally posted by Mr Q
Lets not get too far ahead of ourselves or anything but

1. 28th Mar v. Western Bulldogs @ Dock
70% chance of winning

2. 3rd Apr v. Port Adelaide @ Subi
70% chance of winning

3.10th Apr v. Essendon @ Dock
20% chance of winning

4. 17th Apr v. Brisbane Lions @ Subi
70% chance of winning

5. 24th Apr v. Carlton @ PP
70% chance of winning

6. 1st May v. Fremantle @ Subi
50% chance of winning

7. 9th May v. Melbourne @ MCG
70% chance of winning

8. 15th May v. Sydney @ Subi
70% chance of winning

9. 23rd May v. Saint Kilda @ Dock
30% chance of winning

10. 29th May v. Richmond @ Subi
90% chance of winning

11. 4th Jun v. Collingwood @ Dock
50% chance of winning

12. 12th Jun v. Adelaide @ Subi
70% chance of winning

13. 20th Jun v. Kangaroos @ MO
60% chance of winning

14. 3rd Jul v. Geelong @ Subi
90% chance of winning

15. 10th Jul v. Hawthorn @ YP
40% chance of winning

16. 16th Jul v. Essendon @ Subi
70% chance of winning

17. 25th Jul v. Port Adelaide @ FP
20% chance of winning

18. 1st Aug v. Western Bulldogs @ Subi
90% chance of winning

19. 8th Aug v. Brisbane Lions @ Gabba
25% chance of winning

20. 15th Aug v. Carlton @ Subi
90% chance of winning

21. 21st Aug v. Fremantle @ Subi
50% chance of winning

22. 28th Aug v. Melbourne @ Subi
90% chance of winning

On average a 62% chance of winning any particular game thus we should win about 14 games.

I reserve the right to be completely and utterly wrong

My way was quicker... Same result

The game that stumps me most to pick a winner is Rnd 12 vs Adelaide at Subi.

ozzult · Mar 19, 2004

Nah man, WCE will win 23 games this year. Including the Grand Final. The only games we will lose are against Essendon at Colonial, and St Kilda at Colonial. And we will lose those two, just because we always do, and for no other reason than that.

WCE, premiers for 04 ... put your money on it now.

The Goods · Mar 19, 2004

Using my powers of logic I say we win 9 home games, square the derbies and win 4-5 on the road.

On the road we should beat the bulldogs, Carlton and Melbourne. And we have a good away record against Collingwood and the Kanga's.

We always get smashed by the Saints, Bombers and Power. We beat Brisbane last year, but that is a tough road trip and we would have to play at our best to beat them there again.

So, I think 14 - 15 wins is a fair assessment. Hopefully that means a top four berth and a real crack at the flag.

no1bankteller · Mar 20, 2004

Originally posted by The Mission Man
What an intriguing way of going about things.

Its an excellent way of explaining expected value theory.

Good Work!

Altum Volantes · Mar 20, 2004

16 sure is optimistic....

8-12 wins I think, depends on injuries, but even then I still think we're a mid table prospect.

materamagic · Mar 20, 2004

that prediction is a bag o ****e black jo jo!!!!!

15 wins it is, 3rd it will be, unoptimistic you shall not be for he who scans not a friend for he can see his microbe foibles, nahhhh

jod23 · Mar 20, 2004

I have no idea how many we will win but it will be enough to make the 8. From there it's anybody's game.

Goldenblue · Mar 20, 2004

13 wins, plus 2 derby losses.

Still to finish 5th overall.

Mead · Mar 20, 2004

Originally posted by materamagic
15 wins it is, 3rd it will be, unoptimistic you shall not be for he who scans not a friend for he can see his microbe foibles, nahhhh

I've read this sentence (?) several times, and each time it makes less sense to me.

Feck this, I'm going back to a more sensible thread to talk about tungs in bungs.

ImperialPurple · Mar 20, 2004

Originally posted by Goldenblue
2 derby losses.

music to my ears....

ozzult · Mar 20, 2004

Originally posted by Mead
I've read this sentence (?) several times, and each time it makes less sense to me.
Feck this, I'm going back to a more sensible thread to talk about tungs in bungs.

Tung in Bung. It's more of a reality than what you are aware.

Palace03 · Mar 20, 2004

18. 1st Aug v. Western Bulldogs @ Subi 90% chance of winning

Dunno bout that one, we finished bottom last year and u still didnt manage to beat us at home.

One of only two teams that didnt manage to beat the doggies last year. and by the reaction afta the game it was like u guys had jus won the grannie.

Altum Volantes · Mar 20, 2004

Originally posted by Palace03
...and by the reaction afta the game it was like u guys had jus won the grannie.

I think we were all just pretty stunned we managed to steal 2 priemership points from a team that was leading by 13 with a couple of minutes to go, it's not our fault the Dogs couldn't win, no matter how much they flogged their guts out.

Mr Q · Mar 21, 2004

Originally posted by Palace03
Dunno bout that one, we finished bottom last year and u still didnt manage to beat us at home.

One of only two teams that didnt manage to beat the doggies last year. and by the reaction afta the game it was like u guys had jus won the grannie.

Yes, and the next week we beat Brisbane at the Gabba by 69 points. That's why nothing's a 100% chance and nothing's a 0% chance either - you never know when you're going to have a shocker or play a stunning game.

As for the reaction after the game - Black JuJu put it perfectly.

carlyp · Mar 22, 2004

Originally posted by West Coast Stre
I reckon 2 and 5 are both realistically winnable.

Yeah I mean, we beat the Lions at the Gabba last year easily. I cant see why we cant do it again.

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