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Someone has to lead the 2nds
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How does this compare to previous preseason games?Reposting my post here from the rucks thread for visibility:
Average hitouts per game last year: 82.
Average hitouts per game (excl the cancelled one) in the preseason: 76.5
Confidence intervals
- 95% CI: (69.9, 83.1) last year's 82 is just inside, so you can't reject "no change" at the 5% level
- 90% CI: (71.2, 81.8) -- 82 falls outside, so you can reject at the 10% level
The direction of the signal is fairly convincing. There's roughly a 95% chance hitouts have genuinely dropped. But 8 pre-season games can't tell you how much. The true drop could be 1-2 hitouts (trivial noise) or 10+ (a major structural shift). You'll need roughly ~19 games before you can pin down the size of the effect with any confidence. Also worth noting these are pre-season games where intensity/effort may differ from the regular season.
Last year, only 2 preseason games had more than 76 hitouts. Both had 78.How does this compare to previous preseason games?
Feel they always play differently to the real thing
Much more interested in a forward line spot atmAnyone else got Cox R2?