Position 2026 Rucks

[toxic]

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would crows be silly enough to have rob in leadership group & not play him

Someone has to lead the 2nds

 

[The_Steadier]

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would crows be silly enough to have rob in leadership group & not play him

Aren't they a happy bunch?!

They look like they could use a holiday.
Maybe a nice pre-season camp would have been a good idea?

 

[Pure_Ownage]

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would crows be silly enough to have rob in leadership group & not play him

The ironic bit is they give him a 3 year deal so he wouldnt leave as FA. He will spend it in the sanfl.

 

[Maybe Tomorrow]

Petrify

 

[Saints4ever]

Petrify

 

[Petrify]

Average hitouts per game last year: 82.

Average hitouts per game (excl the cancelled one) in the preseason: 76.5

Confidence intervals

• 95% CI: (69.9, 83.1) last year's 82 is just inside, so you can't reject "no change" at the 5% level
• 90% CI: (71.2, 81.8) -- 82 falls outside, so you can reject at the 10% level

The direction of the signal is fairly convincing. There's roughly a 95% chance hitouts have genuinely dropped. But 8 pre-season games can't tell you how much. The true drop could be 1-2 hitouts (trivial noise) or 10+ (a major structural shift). You'll need roughly ~19 games before you can pin down the size of the effect with any confidence. Also worth noting these are pre-season games where intensity/effort may differ from the regular season.

 

[nameless]

Reposting my post here from the rucks thread for visibility:

Average hitouts per game last year: 82.

Average hitouts per game (excl the cancelled one) in the preseason: 76.5

Confidence intervals

• 95% CI: (69.9, 83.1) last year's 82 is just inside, so you can't reject "no change" at the 5% level
• 90% CI: (71.2, 81.8) -- 82 falls outside, so you can reject at the 10% level

The direction of the signal is fairly convincing. There's roughly a 95% chance hitouts have genuinely dropped. But 8 pre-season games can't tell you how much. The true drop could be 1-2 hitouts (trivial noise) or 10+ (a major structural shift). You'll need roughly ~19 games before you can pin down the size of the effect with any confidence. Also worth noting these are pre-season games where intensity/effort may differ from the regular season.

How does this compare to previous preseason games?
Feel they always play differently to the real thing

 

[Deliverance]

How does this compare to previous preseason games?
Feel they always play differently to the real thing

Last year, only 2 preseason games had more than 76 hitouts. Both had 78.

 

[Dundalis]

Anyone else got Cox R2?

Much more interested in a forward line spot atm

 

[gutsroy]

First draft side has English and TDK purely on the idea that you want the atheltic types that can outjump their opponents and get involved in link-up stuff. Luke Jackson

9

Luke Jackson

Age

24

Ht

199cm

Wt

102kg

Pos.

F/R

Career

Season

Last 5

D

8.3

2star

K

3.3

1star

HB

5.0

4star

M

1.5

2star

T

1.0

3star

G

0.3

3star

D

8.3

2star

K

3.3

1star

HB

5.0

3star

M

1.5

2star

T

1.0

2star

G

0.3

3star

D

8.3

3star

K

3.3

2star

HB

5.0

4star

M

1.5

2star

T

1.0

3star

G

0.3

3star

would be another, I guess. Neiter at absolute top dollar. vs Xerri /Gawn /...

Is that the way to play it?

Other way of looking at it (from outside looking in) would be to go with lower priced scrubs and wait for prioce drops on the assumption that a bad match-up / a game where they get a few FAs will lead to all the topliners shedding value at some stage and then pick them up cheaper.

 

[Maybe Tomorrow]

First draft side has English and TDK purely on the idea that you want the atheltic types that can outjump their opponents and get involved in link-up stuff. Luke Jackson would be another, I guess. Neiter at absolute top dollar. vs Xerri /Gawn /...

Is that the way to play it?

Other way of looking at it (from outside looking in) would be to go with lower priced scrubs and wait for prioce drops on the assumption that a bad match-up / a game where they get a few FAs will lead to all the topliners shedding value at some stage and then pick them up cheaper.

Welcome back Scoops, been A LOT of hot air expended on the rucks this preseason. Canny move ignoring it all, canny indeed.

Short version, looks like the changes aren't as bad as first feared (as is often the way in such things) but also a small drop in stoppages should favour the rucks strong in transition. So your analysis is spot on as usual.

My two cents on the relevant rucks discussed recently.

Xerri - in trouble but has a dream first 2 months. Risky fade, but maybe not.
Gawn - should be fine, getting older though.
Grundy - looked great in the PS game, playing against spuds. Great pick imo
English - weak streak of pish, I'm starting him.
Jackson - Hodor, not for me
Cameron - Probably OK, bit boring
Dante Visentini - Great name, spud player. Some are keen as he's ahead of Sweet
McAndrew - Lock him in, rookie priced playing rucks are gold
Reidy - Potato, but will make money if he plays.

 

[St Steady]

First draft side has English and TDK purely on the idea that you want the atheltic types that can outjump their opponents and get involved in link-up stuff. Luke Jackson would be another, I guess. Neiter at absolute top dollar. vs Xerri /Gawn /...

Is that the way to play it?

Other way of looking at it (from outside looking in) would be to go with lower priced scrubs and wait for prioce drops on the assumption that a bad match-up / a game where they get a few FAs will lead to all the topliners shedding value at some stage and then pick them up cheaper.

think Jiska said it eloquently

Maximus is top dog until he's not, plus has no byes so if points were king, he's gonna score more in 4 games than those other 2 in 3.

math

 

[Hawkforce]

Quick question: would starting English and Grundy be a mistake because they share an early bye? Or can you hope that it can be covered by "Best 18" for a week?

 

[Lord De Goey]

Quick question: would starting English and Grundy be a mistake because they share an early bye? Or can you hope that it can be covered by "Best 18" for a week?

McAndrew would be able to cover one of them and maybe Reidy if we get lucky. It’s still less than ideal but it’s not the end of the world. Just depends if you still have the Bont, Gulden or trac types too

 

[Jiska]

Quick question: would starting English and Grundy be a mistake because they share an early bye? Or can you hope that it can be covered by "Best 18" for a week?

Depends what the rest of your team looks like. IMO, you only want a maximum of 2 premos missing in any one week, so if those two are your only >400k players missing that's okay.

 

[Scythe]

Stickman is now the #1 premo ruck by ownership %. Imagine saying that six months ago, lol.

 

[Scythe]

Don't pay too much attention to who I've picked just yet btw.

Will be one of the following combos:

• Gawn/English
• Grundy/McAndrew
• Gawn/McAndrew
• English/McAndrew
• Gawn/Grundy

 

[Ed_Gein]

What about Coleman-Jones? 66 from 31% TOG against Pies. Not much chance of getting in the team?

 

[Double the Fist]

Quick question: would starting English and Grundy be a mistake because they share an early bye? Or can you hope that it can be covered by "Best 18" for a week?

I think the early byes affect everyone. I tried and tried to avoid players from bye rounds but team was diabolical with too many question marks over Jackson/Serong for example with Young back. I think most top teams will have players sharing or spread over early byes. Its a pill we will all swallow I think. I would not let it worry you unless you were going for league victory.

 

[Petrify]

Stickman is now the #1 premo ruck by ownership %. Imagine saying that six months ago, lol.

View attachment 2540418

Crazy. He was so frustrating to own last year, think I was one of the few who started him and had to watch him all year. Spent nearly every week being upset that I didn't have Xerri/Gawn instead of him.

 

[crippler9]

Crazy. He was so frustrating to own last year, think I was one of the few who started him and had to watch him all year. Spent nearly every week being upset that I didn't have Xerri/Gawn instead of him.

supercoachers tend to over react. if cherry had scored 150 in practice game his ownership wouldn't be so low

 

[weltschmerz]

R3 - McAndrew is in flex. Is there a rookie DPP ruck who plays a lot of late games? Who plays the most Sundays this year?

 

[54Dogs]

R3 - McAndrew is in flex. Is there a rookie DPP ruck who plays a lot of late games? Who plays the most Sundays this year?

Kalani White from the Dees is 99K DPP, they don't play Thurs or Fri a heap

 

[jdstorm]

R3 - McAndrew is in flex. Is there a rookie DPP ruck who plays a lot of late games? Who plays the most Sundays this year?

I find the best R3 loop choice is a player on a WA team. They normally get late games

Edit: had a look and no RFs on the WA teams this year that won’t play

Seems like white is the only option at 99k

 

[JPod_31]

I think I’m getting more and more convinced to start TDK over Jackson and pocket the $85k.

TDK is the preferred ruck and seemed like he did quite well in the praco sharing a portion of the duties with Marshall.

Jackson seems like he’s the second ruck while getting throw around in the middle and up forward.

TDK seems like a low risk pick to me compared to Jackson who’s a bit of an unknown. Not considering the bye.

If Jackson was the undisputed numero 1, he’d be in my team in a heartbeat.

Worst case if TDK starts to stink it up (especially when King does come back in), can always upgrade him to the best scoring ruck at the time