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Can Hawthorn succeed while ignoring the elite end of the draft?

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In all likelihood they miss this year, bet on it at the start of the year. Mind you I backed Demons top 4 so you win some you lose some.

Interesting to see what the predictions are for 2020 though, depending on off season list changes and recruitment, I'd still have them missing finals next year, pending who they bring in/lose.
 

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In all likelihood they miss this year, bet on it at the start of the year. Mind you I backed Demons top 4 so you win some you lose some.

Interesting to see what the predictions are for 2020 though, depending on off season list changes and recruitment, I'd still have them missing finals next year, pending who they bring in/lose.


IN
Mitchell
Coniglio
Patton
Scrimshaw
Top 10 draft pick


OUT
Roughead
Puopolo
Birchall
Smith

The ins are better than the outs! :$:thumbsu:
 
Hawthorn lost by a kick to the Eagles after kicking 9.17.

On the weekend they kicked 7.18 and were in control for the majority of the day.

You were in control for 15 minutes to start the game but like a mid tier team you were not able to convert your chances. (As an Essendon fan I know this feeling)

After that you were forced into hard shots on goal by Brisbane (with a few exceptions) whereas you let them walk into to easy goals down the other end.
 
You were in control for 15 minutes to start the game but like a mid tier team you were not able to convert your chances. (As an Essendon fan I know this feeling)

After that you were forced into hard shots on goal by Brisbane (with a few exceptions) whereas you let them walk into to easy goals down the other end.
That’s certainly an alternate viewpoint.
 
Hawthorn are playing a very risky strategy


They are relying on the cache of Clarkson to get free agents to come and save them.

Good luck with that, up to now all they have been able to attract are perennially injured mercenaries .

IE JOM, Scully. Wingard has been disappointing. Frawley Henderson, Sburger Birchall on their last legs

Worpel is a limited football, Mitchell Lewis hasn't really done much, and that's about it.

The fact that Clarko has somehow made it look like they are an attractive destination for free agents has been the best marketing spin I can remember.

They are cooked .
 
Hawthorn are playing a very risky strategy


They are relying on the cache of Clarkson to get free agents to come and save them.

Good luck with that, up to now all they have been able to attract are perennially injured mercenaries .

IE JOM, Scully. Wingard has been disappointing. Frawley Henderson, Sburger Birchall on their last legs

Worpel is a limited football, Mitchell Lewis hasn't really done much, and that's about it.

The fact that Clarko has somehow made it look like they are an attractive destination for free agents has been the best marketing spin I can remember.

They are cooked .

Lynch arrived injured. Clubs know what they are doing
 

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that's fine

These views aren't really controversial... unless you go Hawthorn

Worpel is top 6 in the league in clangers, and at the same age, Cleve Hughes averaged more goals per game than Mitchell Lewis

Except he isnt, and behind Fyfe, Martin, Dangerfield. staganation
 
Hawthorn are playing a very risky strategy


They are relying on the cache of Clarkson to get free agents to come and save them.

Good luck with that, up to now all they have been able to attract are perennially injured mercenaries .

IE JOM, Scully. Wingard has been disappointing. Frawley Henderson, Sburger Birchall on their last legs

Worpel is a limited football, Mitchell Lewis hasn't really done much, and that's about it.

The fact that Clarko has somehow made it look like they are an attractive destination for free agents has been the best marketing spin I can remember.

They are cooked .

That’s like your opinion man.

4 premierships in 11 years - we are meant to be cooked.

This year the Hawks will have elite draft talent and free agents. They might just jump back a little faster than you all would like.
 
For sure, Lion's were much more efficient going inside 50, which they should be given where they are at compared to us.
I was responding to the suggestion that Clarko was out coached.

Fagan and Hodgey have got him in the past but yesterday was not one of those times where our game plan was the issue, we went out with a plan that restricted Brisbane's scoring opportunities and gave us enough to win, the difference was conversion in front of goal, Brisbane got that right and won, we missed easy shots and paid the price.
Cats at the Cattery I am nervous about, simply because WC historically plays poorly there.

At the MCG, it is whichever team turns up on the day.

The only opposition team I don't want to play is Brisbane. They have that young team confidence of having a free hit (Hawthorn 08, Dogs 16) and like WC have a lot of scoring power. Unlike WC they are consistently strong at contested ball and midfield pressure. Even if WC do as Hawthorn did and find a way to restrict their supply, they could still win.
 
That’s like your opinion man.

4 premierships in 11 years - we are meant to be cooked.

This year the Hawks will have elite draft talent and free agents. They might just jump back a little faster than you all would like.

not sure what any of that stuff that happened historically has to do with the reality of the present.

This time last year Tom Lynch was a hawk, sanity prevailed.

You will get free agents no doubt, you have TPP room, the question remains, will they be like Scully and Wingard? IE limited
 
Cats at the Cattery I am nervous about, simply because WC historically plays poorly there.

At the MCG, it is whichever team turns up on the day.

The only opposition team I don't want to play is Brisbane. They have that young team confidence of having a free hit (Hawthorn 08, Dogs 16) and like WC have a lot of scoring power. Unlike WC they are consistently strong at contested ball and midfield pressure. Even if WC do as Hawthorn did and find a way to restrict their supply, they could still win.
West Coast are in the box seat for the premiership imo. Settled game plan, mature squad without being too old, reasonable run with injuries, MCG holds no fears.

Brisbane do look good, but you do wonder whether they’d be overawed.
 

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Six defeats this season when 1.5+ years older than the opposition. Has happened 25 times previously.

There are a few exceptions where a premiership was won soon after (West Coast 2017, North Melbourne 1997 and 1975), but none of the other clubs in this boat won a flag in the following eight years, with most being anchored in the bottom half of the ladder.
 
West Coast are in the box seat for the premiership imo. Settled game plan, mature squad without being too old, reasonable run with injuries, MCG holds no fears.

Brisbane do look good, but you do wonder whether they’d be overawed.
Richmond in my opinion should be favourites.

Geelong and Brisbane next, then WC.
 
Six defeats this season when 1.5+ years older than the opposition. Has happened 25 times previously.

There are a few exceptions where a premiership was won soon after (West Coast 2017, North Melbourne 1997 and 1975), but none of the other clubs in this boat won a flag in the following eight years, with most being anchored in the bottom half of the ladder.

Over that period, how does the premiership strike rate compare to the rest of the teams? eg the strike rate is 1/18 in 2018 and 1/16 in 2004
you mention as strike rate of 3/25 which is 1/8 ? not sure if I've interpreted you correctly (honestly)
 
not sure what any of that stuff that happened historically has to do with the reality of the present.

This time last year Tom Lynch was a hawk, sanity prevailed.

You will get free agents no doubt, you have TPP room, the question remains, will they be like Scully and Wingard? IE limited

History is everything. It is the reason the Hawks are where they are. Winning has a price and the Hawks are currently paying it.

The question is will they have to pay as much as others have had to?

And history says they won’t.
 
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