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JLT Ladder

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I remember back in the day the pre season comp was a good indication of how the team will travel in the year ahead but not anymore.

It might turn out to be a better predictor this year than than last few though (Hawthorn aside obviously :) ). There was a lot less experimenting with youth this year, and a lot more tuning up of your best available side for round 1. This is partly down to having only 2 games instead of 3. A couple of notable exceptions were Geelong leaving out their three best mids, and Essendon fielding a weak side after the club was apparently struck down with Gastro. I didn't see all the games, but from the others it seemed most clubs were putting close to their best available out there. Obviously coaches still play around with game plans, and players don't go 100% when 4 points are not up for grabs, but the latter at least probably evens out across the teams.

So, if you factor in the strength of the opposition, I'd expect JLT to be a better form guide than usual for how the early rounds will pan out. GC played a weakened Geelong and Brisbane is in many people's bottom 4, and Richmond played a weakened Essendon and a team also commonly picked for bottom 4, so I think the JLT ladder probably flatters them (especially percentage wise, Tigers looked in good form irrespective of opposition).

I think Saints and possibly West Coast would be the most concerned. Would have liked Hawks to get a win, but we did ok in most of the key stats in both our losses, so I'm not too concerned yet. Melbourne and Sydney have the most to be happy about for mine when weighing up who they played and how they went about it.
 
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Post here if you scored more points than Freo in your two combined JLT games and aren't the Reigning Premier's, you haven't been caught cheating or you dont sell your home games for food vouchers...

So what you are saying is if you exclude a bunch of other teams, you came first in something in the JLT.

Well Hawthorn doesn't have to resort to such shenanigans. We came outright first in total number of behinds. Smashed it.
 
I remember back in the day the pre season comp was a good indication of how the team will travel in the year ahead but not anymore.

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I wish that were true. I really do.
 

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Richmond played a weakened Essendon and a team also commonly picked for bottom 4, so I think the JLT ladder probably flatters them (especially percentage wise, Tigers looked in good form irrespective of opposition)
The Essendon one is pretty spot on as they really didn't care about that match. The North Melbourne one was good for a couple of reasons:
- We smashed a team expected to be bottom 4. We are hardly flat track bullies so to see us win by a sizeable margin was good.
- Rance and Riewoldt were subbed out by half time. Hopefully that means we are not too reliant on them.
- We kicked 5.4 (34) to 0.2 (2) after Dustin Martin was apparently taken off while Rance and Riewoldt were out and still looked pretty decent. Hopefully that means we can still function without them.

Not saying that we are Premiership favourites even without Rance, Riewoldt and Martin - just that we are hopefully not a side too reliant on them that we completely crash and burn with even one of them missing.

I also liked in the JLT how offensive we were. Wasn't a strong point in the first half of the H&A season for us last year.
 
I decided to do the ladder for last years 2017 JLT series to see how closely it ended up resembling the final ladder of 2017.

View attachment 468702

What does this mean? Either your JLT results will somewhat resemble your final season performance, or is no indicator at all. Flip of the coin, really.
Take a look at the 2013 Nab Ladder.

9A58B1C3-C27B-40DB-89AF-14BC7CDF0955.png
 

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