Toast On The Couch Premiership Window

[BigVic]

Voice of Paul Roos (Here it isssssss!)

The Fox Footy On The Couch Premiership Window is back for season 2025 after the first 8 weeks of footy.

 

[BigVic]

Last year it was a good model as they accurately predicted Brisbane

 

[Fadge]

7 rounds in, highly skewed by the opposition played.

Of the teams in the Top 8, Gold Coast have only played Adelaide.

Carlton's 'friendly' draw has been well documented.

Collingwood have possibly had the most difficult draw of all teams to date.

 

[BigVic]

Collingwood have possibly had the most difficult draw of all teams to date.

Our draw was the hardest and somehow we find ourselves 6-1 after the first 8 weeks of season 2025.

 

[jakson68]

Our draw was the hardest and somehow we find ourselves 6-1 after the first 8 weeks of season 2025.

Lets cool our jets lads.
Fantastic start but a very long way to go.
Another 9 wins and we can start thinking about what can be.

 

[kaiserchief13]

7 rounds in, highly skewed by the opposition played.

Of the teams in the Top 8, Gold Coast have only played Adelaide.

Carlton's 'friendly' draw has been well documented.

Collingwood have possibly had the most difficult draw of all teams to date.

No they have not.

 

[Fadge]

No they have not.

Which teams have had a more difficult draw than:
GWS in Sydney
Port Adelaide
Bulldogs
Carlton
Sydney (in Adelaide)
Brisbane in Brisbane
Essendon

 

[bzparkes]

7 rounds in, highly skewed by the opposition played.

Of the teams in the Top 8, Gold Coast have only played Adelaide.

Carlton's 'friendly' draw has been well documented.

Collingwood have possibly had the most difficult draw of all teams to date.

Our draw was the hardest and somehow we find ourselves 6-1 after the first 8 weeks of season 2025.

Lol, Collingwood haven't had the hardest draw to date, West Coast have.

 

[Bushdid911]

Lol, Collingwood haven't had the hardest draw to date, West Coast have.

To be fair, West Coast likely automatically get the hardest draw, because they don't get to play West Coast

 

[bzparkes]

To be fair, West Coast likely automatically get the hardest draw, because they don't get to play West Coast

That's a factor but their draw's been harder than Collingwood's.

 

[Sirlemsip]

Which teams have had a more difficult draw than:
GWS in Sydney
Port Adelaide
Bulldogs
Carlton
Sydney (in Adelaide)
Brisbane in Brisbane
Essendon

Hawks have had:
Sydney in Syd
Essendon
Carlton
GWS
Port in Adelaide
Geelong
West Coast

Not too dissimilar, before our training run last weekend I would have said ours was harder.

 

[Fadge]

Hawks have had:
Sydney in Syd
Essendon
Carlton
GWS
Port in Adelaide
Geelong
West Coast

Not too dissimilar, before our training run last weekend I would have said ours was harder.

So instead of Geelong, the Pies had Brisbane in Brisbane. And instead of West Coast, the Pies have had the Bulldogs.

Next...

 

[Sirlemsip]

So instead of Geelong, the Pies had Brisbane in Brisbane. And instead of West Coast, the Pies have had the Bulldogs.

Next...

Put your reading glasses on, I said before the WC game.

Obviously, ANY matchup is harder than that one.

 

[kaiserchief13]

Which teams have had a more difficult draw than:
GWS in Sydney
Port Adelaide
Bulldogs
Carlton
Sydney (in Adelaide)
Brisbane in Brisbane
Essendon

 

[STPer18]

View attachment 2298929

West Coast and North ending up with the hardest and 3rd hardest FIXture respectively thus far is either a seriously odd quirk with how the start of the season has played out or some kind of sick joke.

 

[kaiserchief13]

West Coast and North ending up with the hardest and 3rd hardest FIXture respectively thus far is either a seriously odd quirk with how the fixture has played out or some kind of sick joke.

You can't know that GC are going to improve, but facing Brisbane, GWS, Hawthorn (all away too) within first 7 games is rough.....Freo was always going to be an earlyish game for WC. Carlton also made finals last year and then Essendon as well. That's 4 out of 7 teams from finals in 2024 and 3 of those games away. Why the AFL couldn't schedule WC, North and Richmond to play at least one of each other within the first month of the season ????

 

[The hands of stone]

It isn't the same without Garry Lyon walking down 4 corridors to a random room where the massive screen with the chart is on.
Then he gets told what it all means .

it's a pass for me

 

[Jeremias]

View attachment 2298929

Careful. His head might explode.

 

[Bay53]

The premiership window is a pretty basic concept. The ladder is based on wins and losses, this ranks you by offence (points for) and defence (points against).

Stands to reason that in finals you need to be able to kick a score whilst at the same time stop the opposition from kicking one.

Going into the finals last year the Lions were 5th because they started the season poorly and they had bad quarters late in the season against GWS and Collingwood which saw them lose those two games narrowly and miss the top 4.

There wasn't too much else wrong with what they were doing.

 

[Del80659]

Our draw was the hardest and somehow we find ourselves 6-1 after the first 8 weeks of season 2025.

aren't all your games at the same place?

 

[Magpie Since 1986]

aren't all your games at the same place?

We have played in 4 different states so far, Port have played in 3. #SAbias

 

[Magpie Since 1986]

The clear bottom 4 is Melbourne, Richmond, North, West Coast.

Collingwood and West Coast are the only two teams not to play any of the bottom four.
West Coast will get to play Melbourne and Richmond over the next two weeks while Collingwood get Geelong and Freo in Perth.

I suspect once Collingwood actually get to play any of the bottom 4 our "attack" stat will be less skewed down and move up into this "premiership window", no point comparing until everyone has played much other teams.

 

[Del80659]

We have played in 4 different states so far, Port have played in 3. #SAbias

what does Port Adelaide have to do with it

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

Re fixture difficulty it's all a matter of who you played and when you played them.

Port without Butters were absolute traffic cones. Carlton in the first 4 rounds couldn't hit a target inside 50 if their life depended on it.

Not to mention who's been coming off shorter breaks, byes, interstate travel etc.

Pies fixture no where near the hardest so far.

 

[The Terrible Thinker]

The premiership window is a pretty basic concept. The ladder is based on wins and losses, this ranks you by offence (points for) and defence (points against).

Stands to reason that in finals you need to be able to kick a score whilst at the same time stop the opposition from kicking one.

Going into the finals last year the Lions were 5th because they started the season poorly and they had bad quarters late in the season against GWS and Collingwood which saw them lose those two games narrowly and miss the top 4.

There wasn't too much else wrong with what they were doing.

Try to reverse engineer their chart, it kind of looks similar but I think they also scale the points differential between teams. Not sure how to do that in excel.



Edit, Chart based on points not rank.