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Coz pollsters use guesswork for preference flowsHow can ALP go up in primary, LNP go down, but ALP goes down on TPP?
How can ALP go up in primary, LNP go down, but ALP goes down on TPP?
Never trust a Morgan Poll!
Old MethodHow can ALP go up in primary, LNP go down, but ALP goes down on TPP?
Yes. The polling firms will ask people if they have already voted. If they say yes, they will ask who they voted for. If they say no, they will ask who they intend to vote for.Do the polls from here onwards include people who have already voted early or postally?
Explains Scotty from marketing's I can change, just give me another chance pity spiel.
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Explains Scotty from marketing's I can change, just give me another chance pity spiel.
Sent from my SM-G990E using Tapatalk
I think it's done.By this time in 2019 the polls had started tightening.
I still suspect they will but I don't think by enough to save Morrison
There's a potential they've gone to underestimating the result now that they have switched to using 2019 preference flows as opposed to what methodology they were using previously.
Is that overall or seat by seat?There's a potential they've gone to underestimating the result now that they have switched to using 2019 preference flows as opposed to what methodology they were using previously.
Poll for Chinese Australians (6093 participants)
ALP 75%
LNP 18%
This compares to 2019
LNP 61
ALP 28