It's a simple question. The results are interesting, and mathematically true. I very rarely create threads, however thought I would share on this occasion as I feel this may impact the second half of the year.
I've been keeping a spreadsheet of the difficulty of opponent each team faces, each week, to take an understanding of which teams are having an easier run than others. If you were playing Collingwood in Round 11 your team would be awarded 1 point, and if you were playing the Eagles in round 11 your team would be awarded 18 points. This will likely be different each round, as teams move about the ladder.
For example, Geelong were 18th on the ladder in Round 3 and playing bad footy. As such, the Gold Coast Suns received 18 points for playing a poor Geelong at that point in time. Fast forward to Round 8 and Geelong are 6th on the ladder so Adelaide received only 6 points for taking on a more formidable opponent. Geelong lost their Round 3 game to the Gold Coast and won their Round 8 game against Adelaide so the points awarded for difficulty of opponent at that time were true.
Keep in mind, this is all about the position of the team you play on the ladder at that point in time, wins and losses are irrelevant to this.
The above table lays out where each team was on the ladder for each round. The below is a total of each teams opponents ladder positions/points added up.
This demonstrates that Adelaide has had the hardest run up until Round 11.
So what does this mean? Well, it means that finals positions may see a bit of movement yet.... in my opinion.
When we look at the bottom 5 here, being the teams which have had the easiest run, we surely think that there may be a tougher run home for them, right?
Sydney, Melbourne, Saints, Geelong, Bulldogs.
Would love to know your thoughts after reading the above, or am I off with the fairies?
I've been keeping a spreadsheet of the difficulty of opponent each team faces, each week, to take an understanding of which teams are having an easier run than others. If you were playing Collingwood in Round 11 your team would be awarded 1 point, and if you were playing the Eagles in round 11 your team would be awarded 18 points. This will likely be different each round, as teams move about the ladder.
For example, Geelong were 18th on the ladder in Round 3 and playing bad footy. As such, the Gold Coast Suns received 18 points for playing a poor Geelong at that point in time. Fast forward to Round 8 and Geelong are 6th on the ladder so Adelaide received only 6 points for taking on a more formidable opponent. Geelong lost their Round 3 game to the Gold Coast and won their Round 8 game against Adelaide so the points awarded for difficulty of opponent at that time were true.
Keep in mind, this is all about the position of the team you play on the ladder at that point in time, wins and losses are irrelevant to this.
The above table lays out where each team was on the ladder for each round. The below is a total of each teams opponents ladder positions/points added up.
This demonstrates that Adelaide has had the hardest run up until Round 11.
So what does this mean? Well, it means that finals positions may see a bit of movement yet.... in my opinion.
When we look at the bottom 5 here, being the teams which have had the easiest run, we surely think that there may be a tougher run home for them, right?
Sydney, Melbourne, Saints, Geelong, Bulldogs.
Would love to know your thoughts after reading the above, or am I off with the fairies?
