Prediction PAFC Punters' Thread

[LFC2010]

Anyone with a Ladbrokes account - they've got a promo offering $2 for Hawthorn tonight. Max is $20 I think but money is money!

This is basically giving you a $20 free bet.

 

[Rising Power]

This is basically giving you a $20 free bet.

I know, it's almost worth signing up with them - which is the whole point of their promo. I already have Sportsbet and a regular Tab account, I don't need another.

 

[TheFVK]

27/07/2015 Sportsbet
You have a Bonus Bet!
Hello Josh,

Just letting you know that a Bonus Bet with a value of $3.00 has been awarded to you. Go have some fun and good luck!

View here to see your sportsbet value statement.

Regards,
The Sportsbet Team​

$3.00 has been awarded to you


Go have some fun

 

[Zakk Wylde]

Fucjr ichmond led brokersled brokers

 

[PepeSilvia]

Of course Melbourne kicked 4.7 in the last quarter and only win by 37 when I had $5 on them to win by more than 40.

 

[Zakk Wylde]

Fucjr ichmond led brokersled brokers

LOL came here to post about losing my weekends bets and saw this. Don't remember posting that drivel.

 

[Janus]

Always beware of increased odds on favorites - bookies aren't in the business of losing money.

 

[TheFVK]

LOL came here to post about losing my weekends bets and saw this. Don't remember posting that drivel.

It was a good point and well made.

 

[tribey]

Always beware of increased odds on favorites - bookies aren't in the business of losing money.

You can of course take advantage of the resultant arbitrage.

- $20 on Hawthorn @ 2.00 at Ladbrokes (FNF favourite special)
- $20 on Richmond @ 5.00 at SportsBet (+ moneyback if your team leads at any break and loses special)

 

[Zakk Wylde]

You can of course take advantage of the resultant arbitrage.

$20 on Hawthorn @ 2.00 at Ladbrokes
$20 on Richmond @ 5.00 at SportsBet

I got done on both Hawthorn and the Broncos this weekend.

****en

 

[tribey]

I got done on both Hawthorn and the Broncos this weekend.

****en

I jumped on the prior example and cleaned up on Richmond at zero risk. A few years ago I wouldn't have. Dem lessons.

 

[TheFVK]

I jumped on the prior example and cleaned up on Richmond at zero risk. A few years ago I wouldn't have. Dem lessons.

Did the same on Richmond; sportsbet have brought back this loss leading special so will be flogging this til Round 23:

 

[tribey]

Did the same on Richmond; sportsbet have brought back this loss leading special so will be flogging this til Round 23:

^Melbourne was money for jam at $3.60, especially with the spesh.

 

[TheFVK]

^Melbourne was money for jam at $3.60, especially with the spesh.

Yup was on that one too

Richmond @ $5
Geelong @ $1.11
Melbourne @ $3.65
Adelaide @ $3.6
West Coast @ $1.09
Dogs @ $1.42
Port@ $1.19
Freo @ $1.21

Had West Coast lost, I would've got my money back.
Had West Coast won, I'd get my $1.09 return.
They drew. #flat

 

[Rising Power]

Sportbet offering $1.50 for Fremantle to beat St Kilda. Whaaa?

 

[tribey]

Sportbet offering $1.50 for Fremantle to beat St Kilda. Whaaa?

No Fyfe, Saints are Dome specialists and so forth.

 

[Forzaport]

Sportbet offering $1.50 for Fremantle to beat St Kilda. Whaaa?

Check out Freo's last 2 games vs the saints at Docklands and you'll know why.

Edit: actually, check out Freo's entire history vs Saints at Docklands.

 

[Rising Power]

Check out Freo's last 2 games vs the saints at Docklands and you'll know why.

Edit: actually, check out Freo's entire history vs Saints at Docklands.

Yeah I saw that after my post. They should manage to get within 10 goals this time, even with Fyfe out and Riewoldt in.

 

[TheFVK]

lol at my diabolical AFL bets, saved by the Sportsbet moneyback special (capped at $100 for each game)

Adelaide v Richmond $1.72 LOST- moneyback
Collingwood $1.20 v Carlton WON
Dogs v Port $2.35 LOST- moneyback
Brisbane v GC $1.52 WON
Geelong v Sydney $1.83 LOST- moneyback
West Coast $2.45 v Hawthorn LOST- moneyback
Melbourne v North $1.31 WON
GWS $1.24 v Essendon WON
St Kilda v Fremantle $1.50 WON

Result: +$177
without sportsbet special: -$223

One more month until this easy money's over

 

[Jakksynn]

GWS are $2,65 to beat us on Sportsbet. How.

 

[tribey]

GWS are $2,65 to beat us on Sportsbet. How.

They're abhorrent travellers and have only won 4 of their last 10 (St Kilda, Brisbane and Essendon at home, Gold Coast away).

If this was being played in Sydney they'd be monties. In Canberra it'd be a flip. At home we should be comfortable favourites, as terrible as we were last week.

 

[Jim Dixon]

lol at my diabolical AFL bets, saved by the Sportsbet moneyback special (capped at $100 for each game)

Adelaide v Richmond $1.72 LOST- moneyback
Collingwood $1.20 v Carlton WON
Dogs v Port $2.35 LOST- moneyback
Brisbane v GC $1.52 WON
Geelong v Sydney $1.83 LOST- moneyback
West Coast $2.45 v Hawthorn LOST- moneyback
Melbourne v North $1.31 WON
GWS $1.24 v Essendon WON
St Kilda v Fremantle $1.50 WON

Result: +$177
without sportsbet special: -$223

One more month until this easy money's over

I'm betting that they're betting that you'll keep betting, and they'll clean up in the long run.

 

[TheFVK]

I'm betting that they're betting that you'll keep betting, and they'll clean up in the long run.

Of course, it's a known loss leader. Just got to be disciplined enough not to throw a line in when the tide's shifted.

 

[BIG MATTY WHITE]

How are gws 4.00

I cant bring myself to bet against my own team..

But seriously 4 bucks for gws to win on the nose if it was any other team except us i would have no qualms with dropping 5k on this

 

[ploppy]

most possessions\most goals
h hartlett\j butcher 796\1
you know its going to happen.