Spring Racing

rideclutch · Oct 3, 2014

Didn't Sensibility run 2nd last year off an average maiden?

Might have come too soon, just think she's raw and untapped.

Keystone agony · Oct 3, 2014

Epsom - Like Laser Hawk think it can beat RD home, whether something else like HYM or Boban beats it, i dont know. Also dont mind Ninth Legion although hasnt really beaten alot. Also like Star Rolling last few have been disappointing though.

Metrop - Massive last run by Kingdoms, ill back it in at good odds.

Has Luke Nolen decided to ride Brambles over Lidari? iluvparis sethlad

iluvparis · Oct 3, 2014

I would assume so. Or automatically just gets put on whichever they think is their best chance.

Gavin Excell · Oct 3, 2014

top drawer racing at the Valley tonight

A11dAtP0w3R · Oct 3, 2014

Keystone agony said:
Has Luke Nolen decided to ride Brambles over Lidari? iluvparis sethlad

Dont read too much into it, Melham rides Moody's current best horse.

Keystone agony · Oct 3, 2014

Turnbull stakes - It seems both PDL and Happy Trails are primed like last year with PDL almost having the exact same preparation or track for another Turbull and CC run. These are the 2 for me, however i think Lidari could potentially come into calculations. Has been good this spring, gains a 3.5kg advantage on HT, basically lead in the underwood, so if it can sit back from barrier 11 which it should be forced to do than it could be some chance with less weight.

Likely replay of 2013 1/2 HT and PDL.

A11dAtP0w3R · Oct 3, 2014

Keystone agony said:
Turnbull stakes - It seems both PDL and Happy Trails are primed like last year with PDL almost having the exact same preparation or track for another Turbull and CC run. These are the 2 for me, however i think Lidari could potentially come into calculations. Has been good this spring, gains a 3.5kg advantage on HT, basically lead in the underwood, so if it can sit back from barrier 11 which it should be forced to do than it could be some chance with less weight.

Likely replay of 2013 1/2 HT and PDL.

Best run in last years Turnbull was a very unlucky Hawkspur coming off a very similar prep and form.

Keystone agony · Oct 3, 2014

A11dAtP0w3R said:
Best run in last years Turnbull was a very unlucky Hawkspur coming off a very similar prep and form.

You are quite right. Can it win in Melbourne though?

Exact same prep.

Its form also exactly echos last year aswell, quite amazing really.

I would have it ahead of LV after its last run, however at Melb im just not sure.

A11dAtP0w3R · Oct 3, 2014

Keystone agony said:
You are quite right. Can it win in Melbourne though?

Exact same prep.

Its form also exactly echos last year aswell, quite amazing really.

I would have it ahead of LV after its last run, however at Melb im just not sure.

Not for me this year, backed it last year though. Different race shape this year speed wise, plenty of lightweight chances this year as well. Melbourne way doesn't worry me, just a point for anyone who is looking at last years race as a reference.

Keystone agony · Oct 3, 2014

http://www.racing.com/form/2014-09-20/caulfield/race/6/results

Anyone think Albonetti is way over odds, came from a long long way back. Pitty it drew barrier 18. What a run was 3 lengths back at the bend and hit the line really well.

rideclutch · Oct 3, 2014

Needs another one to come out mate.

Gavin Excell · Oct 3, 2014

WFA racing is Australia is dreadful

Viva la Mattner · Oct 3, 2014

Anyone give Gris Caro a winning chance in the Turnbull?

Keystone agony · Oct 3, 2014

rideclutch said:
Needs another one to come out mate.

I see. Where can you find this info?

Just been looking on racenet, saying its been accepted. Can that mean just as an emergency?

No wonder its over the odds.

Keystone agony · Oct 3, 2014

Viva la Mattner said:
Anyone give Gris Caro a winning chance in the Turnbull?

I think entirely platinum is the better horse

Hard to guage its class compared to PDL, HT, Hawkspur ect

A11dAtP0w3R · Oct 3, 2014

Keystone agony said:
I see. Where can you find this info?

Just been looking on racenet, saying its been accepted. Can that mean just as an emergency?

No wonder its over the odds.

If you want to back it now you can, you will get your money back because its a final field if scratched.

Ran out of its skin last start but not for me in this race. Best $100 shot tomorrow for me is Tupac Amaru (sneaky $10ew but Araldo at $51 is easily my best result of the day in the same race), will get the trip, there a quite a few in the metrop that you can't say that about (including the favourite).

Keystone agony · Oct 3, 2014

A11dAtP0w3R said:
If you want to back it now you can, you will get your money back because its a final field if scratched.

Ran out of its skin last start but not for me in this race. Best $100 shot tomorrow for me is Tupac Amaru (sneaky $10ew but Araldo at $51 is easily my best result of the day in the same race), will get the trip, there a quite a few in the metrop that you can't say that about (including the favourite).

Can i still get 51 for Araldo anywhere?

A11dAtP0w3R · Oct 3, 2014

Keystone agony said:
Can i still get 51 for Araldo anywhere?

Best I've seen now is $31 on Sportingbet.

Wait until tomorrow morning 11-12 for Sportsbet Power Prices, currently at $26's there but they will wind it out to around 34 - 41's i would say.

rideclutch · Oct 3, 2014

A11dAtP0w3R said:
(sneaky $10ew but Araldo at $51 is easily my best result of the day in the same race)

The way he gets his head on the side and lays in shits me to tears. Reckon he's taking the piss.

Talent's there though, hope he gives a sight :thumbsu:

Keystone agony · Oct 3, 2014

A11dAtP0w3R said:
Best I've seen now is $31 on Sportingbet.

Wait until tomorrow morning 11-12 for Sportsbet Power Prices, currently at $26's there but they will wind it out to around 34 - 41's i would say.

Put some on at 31/9 just in case i cant get better odds

Aussie Assault · Oct 3, 2014

Rodd just copped a 7 day suspension starting tomorrow so Happy Trails will be looking for a new jock for the Turnball.

PureFooty · Oct 4, 2014

Talking of horses having similar preps to last year Happy Trails is fair dinkum identical. Ran midfield as a fav first up at home, then came to Melbourne and ran just fair, next start really improved, then 4th up won this race. I think it is great odds, I used to think it was just a horse that popped up and fluked a win, but it's clear Horse and Trainer are just guns at what they do, and I think him, PDL and Green Moon should give you a result. Not sure if I want to back PDL yet though, the other 2, definetely.

TBellicious · Oct 4, 2014

PureFooty said:
Talking of horses having similar preps to last year Happy Trails is fair dinkum identical. Ran midfield as a fav first up at home, then came to Melbourne and ran just fair, next start really improved, then 4th up won this race. I think it is great odds, I used to think it was just a horse that popped up and fluked a win, but it's clear Horse and Trainer are just guns at what they do, and I think him, PDL and Green Moon should give you a result. Not sure if I want to back PDL yet though, the other 2, definetely.

They're my three as well

Gavin Excell · Oct 4, 2014

Like Trails but the record of horses winning the Turnbull with 59 isn't flash.

its a little diff the Turnbull - not a WFA race but with WFA runners. I like the lower weighted emerging horses - Entirely Platinum, Stipulate and Lucia V fit the bill.

Didak_attack · Oct 4, 2014

In the first at Flemington Our red dog 51 into 10. Hope someone took some of it!

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