Preview The return of the Brisbane Lions v Geelong Cats Preview (Round 3, Post-Alfred!)

[DaRick]

I'm sending out messages to my American friends who have experienced more severe hurricanes/cyclones (by US standards, Alfred will likely be a pretty strong tropical storm, so not severe, although there's an outside chance of it being a weak Category 2 on the Simpson-Saffir system).

I'll post anything I get.

 

[MacMum]

I've been watching the latest media vids posted on YouTube...dear god, the enormity of this thing is terrifying.

Yes we've seen other cyclones etc hit FNQ and the destruction it leaves, but this is a whole different beast.

Its hitting directly onto a major city with massive population, damage and flooding expected.....then there is the Gold Coast.
The damage there will be catastrophic in places. Some of those High rises across from the beaches there would have to be impacted if the beaches are washed away..

Obviously I want everyone to be safe but thinking particularly for our BF family and all players and staff.

What I've seen around the coastal, rivers and canal areas of both Brisbane and the GC already is pretty frightening, but
what is to come is just horrifying ..

Good luck every one of you, and please be safe. We down here are thinking of you

 

[Bosh Jootsma]

I’ve got the lions fixture synced into my work calendar and just noticed tomorrows original game is gone.

I looked forward a couple weeks and noticed Brisbane vs Geelong is scheduled in my calendar as Monday 31 March 7:50pm.

I’m not sure the validity of where this is syncing from, but the specification of the date on the calendar seems intentional.

I understand both teams have a bye that week so why not sometime between Thursday - Sunday. I figure this is because broadcasters, channel 7 will not accept losing a prime time fixture, nor would Foxtel want 7 encroaching on their super Saturday.

Just a theory at the end of the day.

 

[Elixuh]

I’ve got the lions fixture synced into my work calendar and just noticed tomorrows original game is gone.

I looked forward a couple weeks and noticed Brisbane vs Geelong is scheduled in my calendar as Monday 31 March 7:50pm.

I’m not sure the validity of where this is syncing from, but the specification of the date on the calendar seems intentional.

I understand both teams have a bye that week so why not sometime between Thursday - Sunday. I figure this is because broadcasters, channel 7 will not accept losing a prime time fixture, nor would Foxtel want 7 encroaching on their super Saturday.

Just a theory at the end of the day.

Didn’t someone say Channel 7 is trading our game to Fox in return for the GC/Ess game later in the season. Which would presume a Saturday night fixturing. Monday night would be just our luck…

 

[Bosh Jootsma]

Didn’t someone say Channel 7 is trading our game to Fox in return for the GC/Ess game later in the season. Which would presume a Saturday night fixturing. Monday night would be just our luck…

I’m out of the loop there, take my theory as just reading into a calendar event sync and thinking about broadcasting impacts.

We are beholden to the broadcast overlords at the end of the day.

 

[Gadzorks]

I've been watching the latest media vids posted on YouTube...dear god, the enormity of this thing is terrifying.

Yes we've seen other cyclones etc hit FNQ and the destruction it leaves, but this is a whole different beast.

Its hitting directly onto a major city with massive population, damage and flooding expected.....then there is the Gold Coast.
The damage there will be catastrophic in places. Some of those High rises across from the beaches there would have to be impacted if the beaches are washed away..

Obviously I want everyone to be safe but thinking particularly for our BF family and all players and staff.

What I've seen around the coastal, rivers and canal areas of both Brisbane and the GC already is pretty frightening, but
what is to come is just horrifying ..

Good luck every one of you, and please be safe. We down here are thinking of you

Infrastructure and buildings in FNQ are built to different cyclone proof standards, which makes this extra scary here. Especially for those high rises you mentioned.

We'll all know how well our homes are built by Monday.

 

[3KZ is Football]

I think the AFL missed an opportunity here. If the game went ahead we would have had the unique spectacle of the team who won the toss electing to kick with a 120 Goal Wind. The team kicking against the wind would have done well if they held their opponents to 60 goals for the quarter. Good old fashioned football. Someone almost certainly would have been flying home with a wet sail.

 

[DaRick]

I'm sending out messages to my American friends who have experienced more severe hurricanes/cyclones (by US standards, Alfred will likely be a pretty strong tropical storm, so not severe, although there's an outside chance of it being a weak Category 2 on the Simpson-Saffir system).

I'll post anything I get.

As an addendum to this, I spoke to a Florida resident. His words:





Note that a bad Category 3 on the Simpson-Saffir Scale is something akin to Cyclone Larry (maybe fractionally weaker), which occurred 1500 km/h north of Brisbane and which was notoriously destructive.

Officially, Cyclone Tracy is a bad Category 3, but the damage there was so comprehensive that I always found that reading suspect.

Johnny Bananas

 

[PattyKwasagun]

I’ve got the lions fixture synced into my work calendar and just noticed tomorrows original game is gone.

I looked forward a couple weeks and noticed Brisbane vs Geelong is scheduled in my calendar as Monday 31 March 7:50pm.

I’m not sure the validity of where this is syncing from, but the specification of the date on the calendar seems intentional.

I understand both teams have a bye that week so why not sometime between Thursday - Sunday. I figure this is because broadcasters, channel 7 will not accept losing a prime time fixture, nor would Foxtel want 7 encroaching on their super Saturday.

Just a theory at the end of the day.

The cats play Friday night that week (April 4), so I reckon you can safely rule the Monday out.

 

[Black Panther]

It's a lovely sunny day in Brisbane CBD with barely a breath of wind and a footy match was supposed to be played in 10 hours

 

[GenericUsername202]

extremely low chance of a cat 3 now. It's been downgraded. Likewise, there's more of a chance it will move into a cat 1 before making land. However, it remains a cat 2. It's also risen quite a bit higher over night and the zone of uncertainty has gone up to almost Bundaberg now. Pretty good news tbh, but cyclones are unpredictable. It could get a lot more weaker, but you can't rule it out getting stronger too. But recent data suggest that it will be less intense, but there will be more rain over a prolonged period of time.

 

[Lion_LegacyXL]

extremely low chance of a cat 3 now. It's been downgraded. Likewise, there's more of a chance it will move into a cat 1 before making land. However, it remains a cat 2. It's also risen quite a bit higher over night and the zone of uncertainty has gone up to almost Bundaberg now. Pretty good news tbh, but cyclones are unpredictable. It could get a lot more weaker, but you can't rule it out getting stronger too. But recent data suggest that it will be less intense, but there will be more rain over a prolonged period of time.

Best case scenario, it continues to weaken and make landfall at a category 1 or low category 2 ideally sometime during the day and passes before it's dark on Friday.

 

[Perrip]

It's a lovely sunny day in Brisbane CBD with barely a breath of wind and a footy match was supposed to be played in 10 hours

 

[SL16]

I will be so annoyed if its west coast means they would be doing it at like 11am

not just that but there'd be lots of people who had tickets for the geelong game for that reason, and may not have tickets for the WC game

 

[GenericUsername202]

Latest BOM update has it dropping to category 1 before coming into Brisbane. It's also even more delayed now.

Won't likely hit until early saturday now. It's also likely that it will be a lot less severe, but more rain should come from it. So those in flood zones should be cautious

 

[Nathan Barley]

Does it now start to impact our preparation for round 1?

 

[Black Panther]

The US Military runs it's own weather service and they have already downgraded Alfie to a Cat 1 and predict by the time it reaches landfall it will have fizzled out with max wind gusts of 70 km/h for Brisbane area and a max of 7.5 inches (190mm) of rain

A nice weekend for some footy

 

[Lion_LegacyXL]

The US Military runs it's own weather service and they have already downgraded Alfie to a Cat 1 and predict by the time it reaches landfall it will have fizzled out with max wind gusts of 70 km/h for Brisbane area and a max of 7.5 inches (190mm) of rain

A nice weekend for some footy

It's appearing as a cat 1 on this radar as well

 

[GenericUsername202]

Look at that data closely. It drops into a tropical low before it hits Brisbane. Meaning there's a chance it wont even be a category cyclone when it hits

 

[Black Panther]

Meaning there's a chance it wont even be a category cyclone when it hits

That is what the US Military weather service is now predicting

Bit of rain will fall, some places will get flooded but Brisbane will have worse thunderstorms on a regular basis than what Alfie will produce

But anyway, I'm off to try and shoulder barge some pensioners out of the way trying to get some sandbags

Biggest beat-up since covid

 

[GenericUsername202]

It's still going to be a lot of winds and probably even more rain than expected, but the winds shouldn't be anywhere near as dangerous as once thought. However, cyclones can change. A day ago it looked super dangerous. Today, less so. Tomorrow will tell us what we will really get, but i'm cautiously optimistic. However, i believe the real risk of this is the floods now

 

[Lion_LegacyXL]

 

[BangyBangy]

That is what the US Military weather service is now predicting

Bit of rain will fall, some places will get flooded but Brisbane will have worse thunderstorms on a regular basis than what Alfie will produce

But anyway, I'm off to try and shoulder barge some pensioners out of the way trying to get some sandbags

Biggest beat-up since covid

The media go overboard sure, they always do.

Still better to plan / prepare for the worst & hope for the best though.

 

[harimal12]

Stay safe up there!

 

[GenericUsername202]

The media go overboard sure, they always do.

Still better to plan / prepare for the worst & hope for the best though.

7 news acting like there will be 0 survivors. I get it, you want to scare people so they can prepare as much as possible and this cyclone is still going to be crazy, but things like this can really make people distrust the news.