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Bye Time Assessments

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Hey Mods, I’ve taken 1970crow off ignore and didn’t realise we had a bye thread, did you want to merge?

Just means I’ll have to keep him off ignore

Ahh never put anyone on ignore. Even the most annoying of us have some good points occasionally. Look at me. 😂
 
It’s been a frustrating first half of the season with a lot of frustrating games.

We’ve lost a lot of games we should have won (Bulldogs, Fremantle, Hawks) but we’ve also won games we probably should have lost (Port, St Kilda). Then there’s the okay performances we won/loss (Collingwood, Geelong, Carlton) and then two bad games (Bris and Rich). North probably the only game which we played really well.

We’ve had a lot of players injured and hard to get consistency with our best team. Somewhat related to injuries we have a lot of players playing below expectations (Thilthorpe, Murray, Soligo, Keays etc).

We have made some terrible selection choices and some terrible game plan choices.

And after all of that, we are only 1 win/loss difference at the bye vs last year.

If Curtin can find touch and get into the midfield which is what excited everyone so much preseason, Thilthorpe can get back to form after an extended break, and the other players lift + Keane back, I don’t think this season is lost.

I don’t think we’re winning the flag this year but a strong second half and a final win or two would be a huge positive and not completely impossible.

Unfortunately I think it starts with a loss to the Cats after the bye but I can see us beating WB, Mel, Port, West Coast and Suns. Lose to Sydney then an easier stretch of Collingwood, Essendon, Richmond before a difficult final 2 games.

It’s not all doom and gloom and think the team can turn it around. But will want to get a move on.
 

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Players who have improved in 2026
Milera
Macandrew
Rachelle
Berry
Cook (recent drop off a slight worry)


Players who have worryingly dropped off:
Thilthorpe
Worrell
Michaelanney
NMurray
Fogarty
Cumming
Keays
Soligo

Players who have stayed as is/have had injury lay offs
Curtin
ANB
Hinge
Dawson
Rankine
Peat ling
Draper
Laird
Taylor
 
Players who have improved in 2026
Milera
Macandrew
Rachelle
Berry
Cook (recent drop off a slight worry)


Players who have worryingly dropped off:
Thilthorpe
Worrell
Michaelanney
NMurray
Fogarty
Cumming
Keays
Soligo

Players who have stayed as is/have had injury lay offs
Curtin
ANB
Hinge
Dawson
Rankine
Peat ling
Draper
Laird
Taylor
I wouldnt think Cook's drop off is any form of worry.

Probably not a bad time to have a bye
 
Feels like this season may go the way of 2018-2019.

Hanging in there scrounging wins against weaker sides before we inevitably crash and have a real bad last half of the season
 


We already know that. So 6 of our 11 games have been decided by 9 points or less.

Our losses for the year - 6 points (hit the front last qtr), 8 points (hit the front last quarter), 2 points (hit front last quarter), 52 points and 9 points.

Our wins for the year - 14 points, 28 points, 1 point, 1 point, 37 points, 68 points.
 
I just wanted to get a handle on where we are really at now we are at the bye.

Not really a betting man but dabble from time to time. Just thought I would check out what the crows odds of top 6 and top 4 were - see below


In essence for those who don't bet, the odds for the crows to make top 4 are $8.00 (8:1). So therefore if you put $100.0 for them to make the top 4, you will lose $100.00. Hoping that has cleared things up

 
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