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Craig Bird's stats and development

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Some interesting stats on Birdy this year:

Averaging 15.6 disposals per game.
Averaging 5 contested possessions per game.
Averaging 2.8 clearances per game.
Averaging just 58% TOG this year.

Bird is not quite fit yet, and Roos seems hesitant to play him for long periods. However, if we were to presume that in a year or two, he'd be at a good level of fitness in which he could maybe spend as much time on ground as, say, Jude Bolton or Kirk, he'd then be averaging about 84% TOG.

If that was the case, even if Bird's role didn't change, and he didn't learn anything as a footballer (in other words, his development was otherwise nil), his average disposals would still be 22.4, contested possessions would be 7.2, clearances would be 4.1, and inside 50s would be 2.6.

At the moment, Bird plays primarily on the wing, often more as a link man than a genuine clearance-winning centre-circle midfielder. I think we'd all agree that he is best suited long-term to playing in the guts and winning contested ball and clearances, but at the moment we have Kirk, Jude Bolton, Ryan O'Keefe (spending considerable time right in the guts) and Jarrad McVeigh (who is unfairly branded as a purely outside midfielder, when he is more than capable of winning contested ball when required), so Bird can only be rotated through there on occasion. Even Goodes has had to take a back seat in regards to stoppages. And yet, if we were to scale Bird's stats up to what they'd be with typical game time, he's still winning 4.1 clearances, 7.2 contested possessions, and 22.4 disposals per game.

Now let's move forward two years. Bird's in his fourth year, he has built up a fitness base allowing him to play 84% TOG, he has played two more years of footy at the highest level, has had two more preseasons under his belt, and Brett Kirk has (in all likelihood) retired (:(). Bird steps into a more permantent ball-winning role. Then what happens to those stats? More contested situations = more contested possessions, closer to the ball = more disposals per game (let's face it, he's not the sort of player that best gets his possessions by running hard into space, so the more time spent close to the ball, the more ball he'll win), and more stoppages = more clearances.

Even against the Hawks last weekend (actually, this is what prompted the thread), I noticed Bird was rotated into the guts for a few minutes. He won three convinving clearances in a row, all within the space of about two minutes. I got chills just thinking about him doing that regularly in a couple of years' time.

I know this is all speculation, and that anything could happen from this point onwards, but the signs are looking very, VERY good!
 
i've always been amazed that people have questioned bird's talent and role in the side

the guy is a gem, and in most liklihood will captain the club at some point

I think we'd all agree that he is best suited long-term to playing in the guts and winning contested ball and clearances

well regarding that point, there are still question marks, at 179cm.... it's kind of unknown whether he'll be able to impose himself in the stoppages with bigger bodies around him

however he's still one of my favourites... and still is the best player to come out of the nsw scholarship program
 

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Good OP:thumbsu:

I admit:o... I was staggered that Roos persisted with continuous games with his very slow debut start and mistakes. Not so now!

As IF we ought doubt that they can pick em !(talent)...#14

Bird is clearly the best midfield prospect atm of the young group. Has evasive and all round skills and a footy brain.

Vezspremi & Meredith & Smith (others) might challenge or ADD but their fitness & body needs to be developed.
 
Taylor Walker is also very good.

But haven't you heard?

The Bird is the word

But in seriousness.... He is going to be a dead set gun....

I am amazed about just how good he is :thumbsu:
 
well regarding that point, there are still question marks, at 179cm.... it's kind of unknown whether he'll be able to impose himself in the stoppages with bigger bodies around him

Sam Mitchell goes alright. He is actually very similar to Mitchell, I reckon. With Bird, it's not a question of size. His strength is being able to find time and space amongst heavy traffic, rather than just barging though (although he looks pretty good at that as well).
 
Bird is an absolute gun. I always knew he was going to be good, but I remember last year at the ANZ Collingwood game, he kicked a goal on his left from the pocket, and I thought "damn, he's going to be so good".
Probably a bit off topic, but it was our only goal for almost 3 quarters!
 
That game has such good memories for me ironically. Sitting at a bar in Fiji watching it presumably delayed, with a group of Aussies getting pissed, and them all wanting the Swans to smash the Pies (think some went for the Bombers, Blues, etc.) and me having to defend the Swans, and then I remember standing up and screaming at the screen because of Bazza - though I had to be dragged away from something else I was doing at the time and informed of it - I missed the actual event. Was actually a great night. Last night of my holiday, and just got absolutely smashed before pulling an all-nighter and sleeping on the plane home.

Was a horrible game but I never actually got depressed about it. Made up for it by being there for Round 21. :(
 

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Added to that, stats are a good guide but so is watching a game and trusting your gut to see who the good guys were. You just needed to watch Bird on Sunday at the game to realise he was doing some good stuff and he when he was in a pack he was winning the ball and getting it out to advantage. Bird is top notch.
 
Get your hands on this pic a young craig Bird with Skilts and Kelly

http://www.theage.com.au/news/sport/whack-a-capper/2009/06/13/1244664895396.html?page=2

ON THE subject of the Swans, it's a big day on Tuesday for promising youngster Craig Bird, the current holder of Sydney's famous No. 14 jumper. As part of the build-up to and promotion of the club's inaugural Hall of Fame dinner in Melbourne on July 18, Bird will be joined in the SCG dressing rooms by previous No. 14s Bob Skilton and Paul Kelly for a photo session, which Pssst is tipping will lead to a hasty rearranging of pictures on walls in the Bird nest. The Brownlow medallists are travelling from Melbourne and Wagga respectively, but we can't confirm whether Bird is camping by his locker for the night to make sure he doesn't miss the 10.30am appointment.

I think the club think Bird is going to go far too and this picture for a promotianal shot in the lead up to the pies game of 2009 could well be worth something come 2019.
 

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