Crows Chat That 'Doesnt Deserve Its Own Thread' Thread part 2

[arrowman]

FWIW I've just run the AFL Ladder Predictor - giving us every game from here on except for Geelong, and a scattering of "educated guesses" for the other teams. Of course it won't work out exactly like that, but the result is interesting.

We finish on 17 wins - and in 5th place (behind Sydney on percentage, but I didn't do margins other than the standard 12 points, so that's something). Which is pretty wild; I don't think there's ever been a season where 17 wins didn't get you top 2, let alone top 4.

Hawthorn, Sydney and GWS all 0-1 games ahead of us, Geelong 2 games which becomes 1 if we can beat them

Conclusions?
- Top 4 (even top 2) is within reach, if we produce our best and others stumble just a little bit. But we could win 17 games and still miss out.
- The top 5-6 teams are very even and a long way from the rest of the pack. There is a big gap between the top teams and the also-rans, perhaps more than most years. The final ladder might make interesting reading compared to previous years.

 

[Pdub]

I think the loss of Tippett will really hurt Sydney, they are already bottom 4 in the comp for converting inside 50s and Tippett has been good for them in the ruck, their backup ruckman are pretty average so I don't think they will play like a top 4 side for the rest of the season.

Squiggle has us as outright premiership favourites

 

[arrowman]

So, our flagpole is 22% longer than Port's then

- Which is pretty much the difference in home crowds, too?

 

[Mattrox]

So, our flagpole is 22% longer than Port's then

- Which is pretty much the difference in home crowds, too?

I hate flagpole measuring contests. Just when you think you are doing well, the weather gets cold.

 

[Dangarman]

Reckon You're right. How good would it be if we won the flag and Sloaney won the Brownlow? More jizzworthy than a room full of naked Victoria Secrets models while I was covered in Lynx deodorant.

Another 3 votes for Sloane??? I don't think Danger would have got any.

 

[dogs105]

In a moment of seriousness, well done to Chappy and Rooch

 

[Dangarman]

Another 3 votes for Sloane??? I don't think Danger would have got any.

9 more coaches votes. Only 2 behind Danger who won't be getting any during his week off with the bye. 3 votes to take the outright lead.

 

[Anzacpaul]

In a moment of seriousness, well done to Chappy and Rooch

Why does gooch always wear those horrible tracksuits.

 

[imadodgyumpire]

Terry Wallace brought up a cracking stat on SEN1116 a couple of hours ago. It was about Hawthorn's chances of winning the GF again. He dismissed it due to the percentage Hawthorn have ATM. He was going through recent history. The GF teams are almost always 1&2 in %. Rarely out of the top 3.

He then went to check Adelaide's % when the GFs were won (Those Adelaide teams are considered somewhat out of the ordinary). But he found that in those years, Adelaide had the best %!

 

[arrowman]

Why does gooch always wear those horrible tracksuits.

He's not the only one. When they cut to the 'crowd' on the post-match presser it's like looking at a homeless shelter. FFS I know they're not dressing to be on camera but sheesh, guys- a little pride?

 

[Messiah]

Terry Wallace brought up a cracking stat on SEN1116 a couple of hours ago. It was about Hawthorn's chances of winning the GF again. He dismissed it due to the percentage Hawthorn have ATM. He was going through recent history. The GF teams are almost always 1&2 in %. Rarely out of the top 3.

He then went to check Adelaide's % when the GFs were won (Those Adelaide teams are considered somewhat out of the ordinary). But he found that in those years, Adelaide had the best %!

That is basically very similar to the current idea of points conceded <86 (or whatever) and points attained > 100. If you can do that you'll probably have one of the best percentages anyway. This is not a new idea - it has been known for decades that % is usually a better indicator of talent than games won over course of a season. It was certainly discussed in 97/98. Trust Wallace to bring this up again and make out that he just invented the idea.

PS. Not having a go at you imadodgy, just TW. Thanks for pointing this out.

PPS. If you look at the squiggle (measures much the same thing) in 97 we were a bit light on attack compared with other GF winners but in 98 well up there.

https://maxbarry.com/squiggle/#

 

[1970crow]

Terry Wallace brought up a cracking stat on SEN1116 a couple of hours ago. It was about Hawthorn's chances of winning the GF again. He dismissed it due to the percentage Hawthorn have ATM. He was going through recent history. The GF teams are almost always 1&2 in %. Rarely out of the top 3.

He then went to check Adelaide's % when the GFs were won (Those Adelaide teams are considered somewhat out of the ordinary). But he found that in those years, Adelaide had the best %!

From memory we had some close losses to some of the better teams both those years and smoked some of the poorer teams. We were never too far away during the minor round.

 

[Pdub]

 

[Mego Red]

I wish tapatalk would actually display tweets.

 

[NikkiNoo]

Love this video from the weekend of Pods' coaching and a bit of an insight that we have one dedicated training session per week on the basic fundamentals. Very well worth a watch, especially Pods and Lairdy interactions.

 

[arrowman]

Every year Maxwell Wines release a "Where's Molly" Rose featuring their customers' dogs on the label. Our various dogs have featured last year and this - and this year, they are accompanied by 2 dogs owned by - drumroll....

Eddie Betts

The girls don't appreciate how famous they are.
PS 2013 apparently featured Taylor Walker canines.

(PPS Neither our dogs nor Eddie's are visible below - they're around to the left. You'll have to buy a bottle to see them!)

 

[chazwazza]

Do we have any Rising Star possibilities? The only one I can think that would be close would be Milera.

 

[GrommoT]

Do we have any Rising Star possibilities? The only one I can think that would be close would be Milera.

Maybe next year as he'll still be under 21yo and also only if he plays no more than 10 senior games this year (on 8 ATS).

He hasn't got a nomination this year yet and even if he gets one in the remaining games, doubt he would get the judges' votes at season end over the current nominees.

 

[VSTone]

http://www.afc.com.au/news/2016-07-06/where-are-they-now-brett-james



he absolutely dominated the defensive zone in the 97 & 98 GFs

might have to have a re-watch just to see the champ in action

 

[xazos79]

Just a quick question why we don't have some form of club colours/banner/players/guernseys down the edges of our screens in our forum?

 

[Silgni]

Perhaps I am pessimistic, but I am certain that we are going to drop a game. We're long overdue for a bad one. I think that on most days, we can beat Carlton, Collingwood, Fremantle, Port Adelaide and West Coast. But I don't think we will beat all of them. I'm particularly worried about the showdown, considering that we're coming off of a six-day break from a game in Perth.

 

[MarcusP2]

Just a quick question why we don't have some form of club colours/banner/players/guernseys down the edges of our screens in our forum?

We used to have a pic featuring Tippett :/

 

[xazos79]

We used to have a pic featuring Tippett :/

Oh... i understand.

 

[Anzacpaul]

Do we have a food thread? Was planning on sharing my intent to do a low and slow pulled pork neck for tomorrow's game.

 

[fabs33]

Can I just say this board's resident Portuguese Crow is very happy right now?!