Dees to play finals in 2011

[Jako 13]

Little bit of homework to stir debate.
I am new to the site but had to share this.
Finals for the dees in 2011.
Following the pattern of teams that have finished in the bottom 3 for 3 straight years since drafting came into our game Melbourne will play finals in 2011.
Since the Brisbane team of the early 90’s every team that has 3 straight years in the bottom 3 has then returned to finals within 2 seasons without fail. In 4 of the 5 cases the teams made it to the final 4

These were some seriously putrid teams, the Swans and Tigers of the early 90’s Pies and Saints of the early 2000’s and the Blues of this decade.
Of course there is more to making finals than just stockpiling picks from some bad seasons but if you remember how bad some of those teams were then you would have to agree we are looking alright as far as talent and potential. just have to wait and see how quickly these players can develop.
Share your thoughts.

Go Dees 2011.

Brisbane 1990- 1997 14 15 14 13 12 8 3 8
Carlton 2005-2009 16 16 15 11 7
Pies 1998- 2003 14 16 15 9 2 2
Tigers 1991-1995 13 13 14 9 4
Saints 2000-2006 16 15 15 11 3 3 8
Swans 1992- 1999 15 15 15 12 2 7 5 8
Dees 2007- ? 14 16 16 ? ?

 

[Crimson Azure]

I hope your right but lets hope its this year.

 

[ExTasDeeMan]

Of course he's right - he's Allen Freaking Jakovich!

 

[Supermercado]

Your username references the greatest man ever to live and you use the word putrid. Are we related?

 

[Demon 16]

Nice bit of research there Jako.

Gut feel for me is that we're still a couple of years off (2012) for finals but yours references are very interesting. Of each of these sides I only think St Kilda and Brisbane drafted significantly talented 'match winners' during their lower finishing years however.

I think 2012 because our list is just so young. Would be very interested to see the average age of each list during these periods compared to ours.

 

[00Stinger]

Nice research, however I notice that none of the teams there have won premierships in your stats

 

[Ghost of Grinter]

I havent given up on us playing finals in 2010.

7th and 8th will be a raffle and we couldve won a lot
more games this year and If we hadve - ppl would be
talking possible finals.

Im going to back us to make the finals this year, thats for sure.

 

[Jako 13]

Would love to see us get a role on in 2010 and sneek into the finals but it would be a huge turn around from 09.

I just hope they get as many games as possible into Watts, Scully, Trengove, Grimes, Blease. This is where our improvement will come from in the next few years.
Good to see some light at the end of the tunnel after some tough years.

 

[DemonJim]

I too hope you are right!

 

[Spluff]

Nice research, however I notice that none of the teams there have won premierships in your stats

Well Brisbane and Sydney got one eventually, but no team has ever won a premiership within 10 years of the spoon since the introduction of the draft - goes to show you don't want to be putting too much faith in history.

 

[jayceebee]

Whilst Jacko has done his research well- I think it will depend on the development of the players mostly. I feel that to make the finals in 2011 - players like Watts, Jurrah ,Wonaeamirri and Maric will have to come on and at least Spencer ,Fitzpatrick or Gawn will have to become competent for this to happen.