Finals 2026

[scott2clarkson]

We have to get there before talking about that F word.

 

[FlyHigh18]

We’ll only win one, maybe two more games this side of the bye.

Go on to finish the season on 9-11 wins.

Top 8 easy next year.

 

[scott2clarkson]

Reckon if we keep winning games of footy and not lose many then we can start talking about us being in the top 10

 

[big_e]

Just get to 12 wins....

 

[Dinkers]

On exposed form we can beat the Tiger, Blew, *, WCE and Poorts anywhere. Not saying we will, but we can.

Then early days even before yesterday, beating GC in Melb wouldn't shock me.
And the other sides struggling, Saints, Pie and GW$.

Not sure how many games we have against the above to come but they're our best chance currently.

And I'm not suggesting we finish top ten, and should we not, I won't be claiming the year to be a success.

 

[Reginald0]

The top 10 is new
It is a big change
Arguably it is all for show as has anyone not Top 4 won like ever ?
Plus the top 6 get a week off making the wildcard winners job harder

Just an observation as to how this will actually play out in reality

in recent history if a team was out of contention they would play youngsters repair the old blokes so there were uncompetitive games at the back end
Digression: Pretty sure we gave everyone a rest before the finals a decade ago?

Short version
Recently 10th won 10/11/12
But this seems likely to increase as the spot is more valuable
I’m guessing there is an economic Scarce Resource thing going on
(Put that last bit in to scare off the Nuffies)

 

[Passmore]

Love it

Sports are about dreaming - why can’t we do.
Every win builds confidence/chemistry and what to do in the pressure situations

Indeed. Live at little.

As long as one has the emotional capacity of a proper adult to deal with it if it doesn't.

 

[amaz199]

Just get to 12 wins....

View attachment 2573926

2016 trauma why you do dis

 

[tales129]

We’ll only win one, maybe two more games this side of the bye.

Go on to finish the season on 9-11 wins.

Top 8 easy next year.

GWS Collingwood and st kilda games all feasibly 50/50 if we come switched on.

I reckon the dees get us at marvel on current form.

Tough trot to finish the year with 4 straight losses but wildcard a possibility if we win the top 3

 

[koshari]

I can't be the only one already camping out for GF tickets?

Nah, will be plenty of footcray and brions fans with you.

 

[koshari]

We’ll only win one, maybe two more games this side of the bye.

Go on to finish the season on 9-11 wins.

Top 8 easy next year.

Lot riding on good recruiting at seasons end. But yes if we can get a bit of depth and build a buffer where we are not forced to rely on the likes of ccj we will definitely be in better stead.

 

[Mighty Storm]

Not interested in this new nuffy finals formula,talk to me when we are ready to contend and make top 4

 

[Reginald0]

So a Bye update with 5 chalked up
If we don’t choke v WC again or Port over there we have a projected baseline of 9 counting Tiggs and Bombers
We play pies Ds and Sts and absolutely must be thinking all or any of the 3 are gettable

Unsurprisingly our fatal flaw has been the inability to stop the Run On
with those thrashings and a few close calls % is disappointing Playing the injury hit teams as they struggle is another opportunity to get into contention

 

[JZTIME!]

So a Bye update with 5 chalked up
If we don’t choke v WC again or Port over there we have a projected baseline of 9 counting Tiggs and Bombers
We play pies Ds and Sts and absolutely must be thinking all or any of the 3 are gettable

Unsurprisingly our fatal flaw has been the inability to stop the Run On
with those thrashings and a few close calls % is disappointing Playing the injury hit teams as they struggle is another opportunity to get into contention

I see the Pies as gettable as well. We should be running all over them in the 2nd half. Although we have short breaks against them and the dogs

 

[roos_fanatic08]

Had a bit of a play with a ladder predictor.

I reckon it will be a logjam from 8-13th with 6 clubs in contention for 3 spots.

Melbourne, WB, North, St.Kilda, Collingwood and GWS.

% is going to play a big part imo, wouldn't surprise me if a few clubs end up on the same amount of points but miss due to %

 

[TennisPlayerAndy]

Had a bit of a play with a ladder predictor.

I reckon it will be a logjam from 8-13th with 6 clubs in contention for 3 spots.

Melbourne, WB, North, St.Kilda, Collingwood and GWS.

% is going to play a big part imo, wouldn't surprise me if a few clubs end up on the same amount of points but miss due to %

With games to come against four of those, plus *, Rich, PA and WC the target has to be at least 11 wins.

Syd/Geelong/Hawthorn probably a bridge too far.

 

[Reginald0]

Spot on
We have let ourselves down but afl 2026 is totally designed for goal festivals
On Sat both teams had 10+ goalkickers

 

[Only Forwards]

Short version
Recently 10th won 10/11/12

How recently is recently?

In 23 the AFL moved to a 23 game season.

Tenth won:
25 - 12
24 - 12
23 - 11

Prior to that it was a 22 game season
23 - 11
22 - 11
21 - 10

10 wins will not be getting us to 10th spot. At minimum we would need 11.

From here we would need 6 wins.

In real terms between rounds 14 and 20 we play sides that you can make the case that we can beat or are legit 50/50. To make 11 wins we can only drop one of those games. To be basically assured a wild card we cannot drop any.

As it stands we play pretty well at Docklands but yet to break through anywhere else. In that run we would need to beat the Eagles and Port away.

The reprecussion of dropping one or any means that we would then need to win an unlikely victory over teams more advanced than us. Our best shot at that potentially comes vs Western as we play them at Docklands.

The fact that it is remotely on the table means that that block of 6 weeks has the very real potential to have us playing some brilliant football. In fact if we are only there abouts into the last 4 weeks it'll probably represent a fantastic challenge to see where our players are actually at. I cannot see us beating the Hawks (in fact my personal opinion is we will arrive as a side on the day we beat them because of what it actually represents).

However if we were to go into the last 3 weeks needing 2 wins it would make the Western game huge, win that and we would need to roll Geelong at Docklands or Sydney away on the eve of the finals.

At this stage I actually don't give a shit about making the wild marketing card round. It is clear progress that at bye round we are talking about the potential to make such a thing and not lamenting that we are achored to the bottom of the ladder again.

 

[justroyal]

How recently is recently?

In 23 the AFL moved to a 23 game season.

Tenth won:
25 - 12
24 - 12
23 - 11

Prior to that it was a 22 game season
23 - 11
22 - 11
21 - 10

10 wins will not be getting us to 10th spot. At minimum we would need 11.

From here we would need 6 wins.

In real terms between rounds 14 and 20 we play sides that you can make the case that we can beat or are legit 50/50. To make 11 wins we can only drop one of those games. To be basically assured a wild card we cannot drop any.

As it stands we play pretty well at Docklands but yet to break through anywhere else. In that run we would need to beat the Eagles and Port away.

The reprecussion of dropping one or any means that we would then need to win an unlikely victory over teams more advanced than us. Our best shot at that potentially comes vs Western as we play them at Docklands.

The fact that it is remotely on the table means that that block of 6 weeks has the very real potential to have us playing some brilliant football. In fact if we are only there abouts into the last 4 weeks it'll probably represent a fantastic challenge to see where our players are actually at. I cannot see us beating the Hawks (in fact my personal opinion is we will arrive as a side on the day we beat them because of what it actually represents).

However if we were to go into the last 3 weeks needing 2 wins it would make the Western game huge, win that and we would need to roll Geelong at Docklands or Sydney away on the eve of the finals.

At this stage I actually don't give a shit about making the wild marketing card round. It is clear progress that at bye round we are talking about the potential to make such a thing and not lamenting that we are achored to the bottom of the ladder again.

I’m hearing you onlyforwards, but are you saying we’re making it ?

 

[Only Forwards]

I’m hearing you onlyforwards, but are you saying we’re making it ?

Dunno I just want to take it in and see us keep improving.

If we did get to 12 wins and a practically assured spot it would mean that in a 24 week season we would have the same number of wins as we had between April 2 2022 and August 23 2025 or in 85 rounds of football.

 

[Possession]

Chances of Wildcard look slim to me at the moment, if we'd not dropped the Eagles game and one of GWS or Sydney (opportunity was right there in both) we'd be much better positioned right now. We would have to go on a post-bye tear where our form clicks together.

 

[FlyHigh18]

Chances of Wildcard look slim to me at the moment, if we'd not dropped the Eagles game and one of GWS or Sydney (opportunity was right there in both) we'd be much better positioned right now. We would have to go on a post-bye tear where our form clicks together.

yeah nah. we have one of the easiest fixtures for the second half. and we made up for the WCE game by beating GC.
we'll make 10 wins easy, one more scalp and 11 should do the trick.

$4.50 : 1.... get on!!!!

 

[ferball]

How recently is recently?

In 23 the AFL moved to a 23 game season.

Tenth won:
25 - 12
24 - 12
23 - 11

Prior to that it was a 22 game season
23 - 11
22 - 11
21 - 10

10 wins will not be getting us to 10th spot. At minimum we would need 11.

From here we would need 6 wins.

In real terms between rounds 14 and 20 we play sides that you can make the case that we can beat or are legit 50/50. To make 11 wins we can only drop one of those games. To be basically assured a wild card we cannot drop any.

As it stands we play pretty well at Docklands but yet to break through anywhere else. In that run we would need to beat the Eagles and Port away.

The reprecussion of dropping one or any means that we would then need to win an unlikely victory over teams more advanced than us. Our best shot at that potentially comes vs Western as we play them at Docklands.

The fact that it is remotely on the table means that that block of 6 weeks has the very real potential to have us playing some brilliant football. In fact if we are only there abouts into the last 4 weeks it'll probably represent a fantastic challenge to see where our players are actually at. I cannot see us beating the Hawks (in fact my personal opinion is we will arrive as a side on the day we beat them because of what it actually represents).

However if we were to go into the last 3 weeks needing 2 wins it would make the Western game huge, win that and we would need to roll Geelong at Docklands or Sydney away on the eve of the finals.

At this stage I actually don't give a shit about making the wild marketing card round. It is clear progress that at bye round we are talking about the potential to make such a thing and not lamenting that we are achored to the bottom of the ladder again.

I love the fact you're talking realistically about what we need to do to make "finals".

At the start of this year people laughed at that idea.

 

[HumphreyBBear]

At this stage I actually don't give a shit about making the wild marketing card round. It is clear progress that at bye round we are talking about the potential to make such a thing and not lamenting that we are achored to the bottom of the ladder again.

OF hits it right on the head. Nice, isn't it?

 

[Dinkers]

I see the Pies as gettable as well. We should be running all over them in the 2nd half. Although we have short breaks against them and the dogs

The Pie is a steaming pile of shite.

We will murder them and their 40 yr old games record holder.

Book mark it .