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Crows Big Footy

[ Wayne Milera - Magic Moments Compilation ]
2020 Promising FS/NGA/A Candidates​
2019 DRAFT​
Hamish Ogilvie at the Crows​
2018 DRAFT​
* Rory Sloane is an RFA in 2018 ???
* Crows' game style
* dogs105's athletic Some testing results resource
- 20 metre sprint times, Vertical Jump, etc.​
* Some Crows Defining Events
- MacGregor v Pavlich
- Pavlich - the one that got away
- The Sando Years
- Davis, Bock and the start up teams
- Gibbs-Borlase Roach Irony
* The Chapman Legacy
- The Tipp
- The Mind Camp
- Crows' 2018 Season (from He!!)
- The Kangatech Kock Up
- Season 2019 (of farewells)
- Campo Sacking
- Burton Sacking
- In a nutshell...

Adelaide Crows
* List Management
- Justin Reid
- Media Reports of AFC Player Contract Amounts
- courageous_tom - TPP management

-- Tom Doedee [post Brisbane 20180721 game]
-- Rory Sloane [post Brisbane 20180721 game]
-- Don Pyke [post Brisbane 20180721 game]
* Crows and drafting
- Selecting the best available talent​
- What does it take to draft and successfully developing Elite footballers?​

AFL - Draft / Trade
* Lore's Resources, Rules and Regulations: A Guide to the Draft, Trading and Free Agency in the AFL
.... everything you could possibly need or want to know
* Finalised AFL Premiership Ladders
*
Draft Misc Items
.... Picks for matching bids 2020
.... Pick Trading Back between 2 Clubs
.... Rookie Elevation - 2021 Once Off Rule Tweak
.... Previously Delisted Players Become Free Agents
* Draft pick blowout myth

* League adds safety net to draft future picks - matching bids
* Bid matching
.... points deficit limit [Emma Quayle, The Age]
.... a club can trade their next draft pick to another club to match a bid [Matt Balmer, foxsports]
.... a club can use its 5mins to trade picks, move down order, then match bid with later picks [afl.com.au]
.... The 2/4y and Trade Future First or Rest Rules
.... How can Geelong not have 2015, 2016 & 2017 1st round picks
.... Clubs notorious for avoiding r1 draft picks
.... How did Geelong build their 2007/2009/2011 Premiership lists?
.... What about Hawthorn and their 2013/2014/2015 Premiership lists?
.... Premierships ... luck of the bounce
.... Don't just stack list with draft talent [Golumless]
.... On-field support of youth
.... Knightmare on GWS, GC & Carlton
* Pick #1 history
.... WCE 1992

AFL - Misc
.... New rule tweak provides relief for clubs on list flexibility [20201124]
.... AFL confirms 2022 list sizes, tweaks rule for rookies [20210804]
* Football dept spending:
* Gil McLachlan

* Midfielders: inside vs outside
.... my post 6379
.... AFL Midfielders: A Guide to Positions, ...
.... AFL POSITIONS EXPLAINED - GUIDE BY RIVALRY

Big Footy
.... Crows' Approach
.... Talent Identification
.... Player Development
.... Veteran Leadership
.... Midfielder Types
.... Scorpus' Statistical Analysis

Pooer
* Swampland happenings
.... 2009 Internal Disunity & Captaincy
.... Wazza 1 vote
* Olive ball
 
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I think there's not much on the "finalised premiership ladder", because it doesn't really have much meaning. As in, nobody really cares for that sort of thing!
In AFL it's pretty simple:
Minor rounds - you want top 8
Major rounds - you want top 2 (these will be the only teams remembered henceforth)
If you lie outside this range in either Minor or Major rounds - fans/players/coaches/wives/babies -> no care!

You don't need to go back very far looking for reasons. Take the Bulldogs last year, just scraping in ranked 7th on minor round ladder, then having the best 4 weeks of their lives and voila! First prize! On the flip side, a team can have the best number of games won and best percentages, but then having 2 stinkers in a row and bow out of the Finals! So in reality, the finalised standings are just a reflection of who performed better in the Finals series, but not the overall season.
 

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Finalised AFL Premiership Ladders

Curiously, there does not seem to be many web pages which list the final AFL Premiership Ladder after finals series are completed even though there are many that list the pre-finals ladder, perhaps I'm just not searching using the right keywords.

I was also interested in the way in which teams are ranked when they get knocked out of finals matches, and again I wasn't able find a link which covers this (I'd be interested to know if you do)

Based on looking at the ladder positions after the last minor rounds, the finals matches results and the initial draft selection order, the final rankings of clubs in the top 8 positions seemed to be decided (up until 2016) as follows, where losers of the:
() Elimination Finals are finally ranked 7 & 8​
() Semi Finals are finally ranked 5 & 6​
() Preliminary Finals are finally ranked 3 & 4​
according to their final minor round positions.

Example: North and WCE lost 2016 EF matches and as WCE was 6th and North 8th pre-finals, North ended up at 8th and WCE at 7th.

Draft pick points

Draft Points [e].jpg
From: Bidding System Review -- F/S and Academy (May 2015)


1. Geelong
2. Sydney
3. Collingwood
4. Brisbane Lions
5. Melbourne
6. Fremantle
7. Richmond
8. Western Bulldogs
9. Carlton
10. St Kilda
11. Port Adelaide
12. Gold Coast
13. Hawthorn
14. Adelaide
15. Essendon
16. GWS
17. West Coast
18. North Melbourne

1. Melbourne
2. Western Bulldogs
3. Port Adelaide
4. Geelong
5. Brisbane Lions
6. GWS
7. Sydney
8. Essendon
9. West Coast
10. St Kilda
11. Fremantle
12. Richmond
13. Carlton
14. Hawthorn
15. Adelaide
16. Gold Coast
17. Collingwood
18. North Melbourne

1. Richmond
2. GWS
3. Geelong
4. Collingwood
5. Brisbane Lions
6. West Coast
7. Western Bulldogs
8. Essendon
9. Hawthorn
10. Port Adelaide
11. Adelaide
12. North Melbourne
13. Fremantle
14. St Kilda
15. Sydney
16. Carlton
17. Melbourne
18. Gold Coast

1. West Coast
2. Collingwood
3. Richmond
4. Melbourne
5. Hawthorn
6. GWS
7. Sydney
8. Geelong
9. North Melbourne
10. Port Adelaide
11. Essendon
12. Adelaide
13. Western Bulldogs
14. Fremantle
15. Brisbane Lions
16. St Kilda
17. Gold Coast
18. Carlton

1. Richmond
2. Adelaide
3. Geelong
4. GWS
5. Sydney
6. West Coast
7. Port Adelaide
8. Essendon
9. Melbourne
10. Western Bulldogs
11. St Kilda
12. Hawthorn
13. Collingwood
14. Fremantle
15. North Melbourne
16. Carlton
17. Gold Coast
18. Brisbane Lions
1. Brisbane Lions
2. Fremantle (received from Gold Coast via Lachie Weller trade)
3. Carlton
4. North Melbourne
5. Fremantle
6. Collingwood
7. St Kilda (received from Hawthorn in 2016)
8. St Kilda
9. Western Bulldogs
10. Carlton (received from Adelaide via Bryce Gibbs trade, originally received from Melbourne via Jake Lever trade)
11. Greater Western Sydney (received from Essendon via Devon Smith trade)
12. Adelaide (received from Brisbane Lions for Charlie Cameron, originally received from Port Adelaide in 2016)
13. West Coast
14. Sydney
15. Brisbane Lions (received from Richmond via pick swap, originally received from Geelong in 2016, via Carlton and GWS on-trades)
16. Western Bulldogs (received from Carlton via pick swap, originally received from Adelaide via Bryce Gibbs trade)
17. Richmond

2017 Indicative National Draft Order
GWS lose 2017 first-round draft pick as consequence for Lachie Whitfield drugs scandal

1. Western Bulldogs
2. Sydney
3. Geelong
4. Greater Western Sydney
5. Hawthorn
6. Adelaide
7. West Coast
8. North Melbourne
9. St Kilda
10. Port Adelaide
11. Melbourne
12. Collingwood
13. Richmond
14. Carlton
15. Gold Coast
16. Fremantle
17. Brisbane Lions
18. Essendon
1. Essendon
2. GWS (from Brisbane)
3. Brisbane Lions (originally from Fremantle)
4. Gold Coast
5. Carlton
6. Gold Coast (from Richmond)
7. Fremantle (originally from Collingwood)
8. Gold Coast (from Melbourne)
9. Sydney Swans (from Port Adelaide)
10. Gold Coast (originally from St Kilda)
11. North Melbourne
12. West Coast
13. Adelaide
14. Port Adelaide (originally from Hawthorn)
15. GWS
16. Brisbane Lions (originally from Geelong)
17. Port Adelaide (from Sydney)
18. Western Bulldogs

Final draft order: Every club, every pick

1. West Coast
2. Hawthorn
3. Fremantle
4. North Melbourne
5. Sydney
6. Adelaide
7. Richmond
8. Western Bulldogs
9. Port Adelaide
10. Geelong
11. Greater Western Sydney
12. Collingwood
13. Melbourne
14. St Kilda
15. Essendon
16. Gold Coast
17. Brisbane Lions
18. Carlton
1. Carlton
2. Brisbane Lions
3. Melbourne (from Gold Coast)
4. Essendon
5. Essendon (from St Kilda)
6. Gold Coast (from Melbourne)
7. Melbourne (originally from Collingwood)
8. Carlton (from GWS)
9. Adelaide (from Geelong)
10. GWS (originally from Port Adelaide)
11. Carlton (from Western Bulldogs)
12. Richmond
13. Adelaide
14. St Kilda (from Sydney)
15. Hawthorn (from North)
16. Gold Coast (from Fremantle)
17. North Melbourne (originally from West Coast)
18. Hawthorn

Final draft order: Which picks is your club taking to this year's draft?

1. Hawthorn
2. Sydney
3. Port Adelaide
4. North Melbourne
5. Geelong
6. Fremantle
7. Essendon
8. Richmond
9. West Coast
10. Adelaide
11. Collingwood
12. Gold Coast
13. Carlton
14. Western Bulldogs
15. Brisbane Lions
16. Greater Western Sydney
17. Melbourne
18. St Kilda
1. St Kilda
2. Melbourne
3. Melbourne (free-agency compensation)
4. Greater Western Sydney
5. Collingwood (from Brisbane)
6. Greater Western Sydney (from Western Bulldogs)
7. Greater Western Sydney (from Carlton)
8. Gold Coast
9. Collingwood (father-son pick)
10. Geelong (from Adelaide)
11. West Coast
12. Richmond
13. Fremantle
14. Adelaide (from Geelong)
15. Gold Coast (originally Geelong compensation)
16. North Melbourne
17. Essendon (from Port Adelaide)
18. Sydney Swans (academy pick)
19. Carlton (originally from Hawthorn)
20. Essendon (moved from pick 12, sanctions)

Indicative order for 2014 NAB AFL Draft

1. Hawthorn
2. Fremantle
3. Geelong
4. Sydney
5. Port Adelaide
6. Carlton
7. Richmond
8. Collingwood
9. Essendon
10. North Melbourne
11. Adelaide
12. Brisbane Lions
13. West Coast
14. Gold Coast
15. Western Bulldogs
16. St Kilda
17. Melbourne
18. GWS
1. GWS
2. GWS (from Melbourne)
3. St Kilda
4. Western Bulldogs
5. Gold Coast
6. Collingwood (from West Coast)
7. Brisbane Lions
.. < Adelaide pick sanctioned >
8. North Melbourne (father-son pick)
9. Melbourne (from GWS)
.. < Essendon pick sanctioned >
10. Collingwood
11. West Coast (from Collingwood; f.a. comp.)
12. Richmond
13. Carlton
14. GWS (from Port Adelaide)
15. Sydney Swans
16. Geelong
17. Fremantle
18. St Kilda (from Hawthorn)
19. St Kilda (from Hawthorn, f.a. comp.)

Final selection order for the 2013 NAB AFL Draft

1. Geelong
2. Collingwood
3. Hawthorn
4. West Coast
5. Carlton
6. Sydney
7. St Kilda
8. Essendon
9. North Melbourne
10. Western Bulldogs
11. Fremantle
12. Richmond
13. Melbourne
14. Adelaide
15. Brisbane Lions
16. Port Adelaide
17. Gold Coast
1. GWS (start up 1)
2. GWS (start up 2)
3. GWS (start up 3)
4. GWS (<< GC)
5. GWS (start up 5)
6. Port Adelaide
7. GWS (start up 7)
8. Brisbane Lions
9. GWS (start up 9)
10. GWS (<< Adelaide)
11. GWS (start up 11)
12. Brisbane Lions (<< Melbourne)
13. GWS (start up 13)
14. GWS (<< Richmond)
15. Richmond (<< GWS [start up 15])
16. Fremantle
17. Western Bulldogs
18. North Melbourne
19. Essendon
20. Fremantle (<< GWS << St Kilda)
21. Sydney
22. Carlton
23. West Coast
24. Gold Coast (<< Adelaide [Gunston] << Hawthorn)
25. St Kilda (<< GWS << Collingwood)
26. Richmond (<< Gold Coast << Geelong)
27. Adelaide (<< Gold Coast PP)
28. West Coast (<< Port Adelaide PP)
29. Fremantle (<< Hawthorn << Brisbane PP)
30. Brisbane Lions ( << Fremantle Compo [Palmer])

1. Geelong
2. Port Adelaide
3. North Melbourne
4. Collingwood
5. West Coast
6. Hawthorn
7. Sydney
8. Adelaide
9. St Kilda
10. Brisbane
11. Fremantle
12. Essendon
13. WB
14. Melbourne
15. Carlton
16. Richmond

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_AFL_season

1. West Coast
2. Sydney
3. Adelaide
4. Fremantle
5. Melbourne
6. WB
7. Collingwood
8. St Kilda
9. Richmond
10. Geelong
11. Hawthorn
12. Port Adelaide
13. Brisbane
14. North Melbourne
15. Essendon
16. Carlton

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_AFL_season
1. Sydney
2. West Coast
3. Adelaide
4. St Kilda
5. Geelong
6. Port Adelaide
7. North Melbourne
8. Melbourne
9. WB
10. Fremantle
11. Brisbane
12. Richmond
13. Essendon
14. Hawthorn
15. Collingwood
16. Carlton

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2005_AFL_season
1. Port Adelaide
2. Brisbane
3. St Kilda
4. Geelong
5. Sydney
6. Essendon
7. Melbourne
8. West Coast
9. Fremantle
10. North Melbourne
11. Carlton
12. Adelaide
13. Collingwood
14. WB
15. Hawthorn
16. Richmond

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_AFL_season
1. Brisbane
2. Collingwood
3. Port Adelaide
4. Sydney
5. Adelaide
6. Essendon
7. Fremantle
8. West Coast
9. Hawthorn
10. North Melbourne
11. St Kilda
12. Geelong
13. Richmond
14. Melbourne
15. Carlton (banned from round 1&2 picks, but got priority r1 pick anyway)
16. WB

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_AFL_season
1. Brisbane
2. Collingwood
3. Port Adelaide
4. Adelaide
5. Essendon
6. Melbourne
7. North Melbourne
8. West Coast
9. Geelong
10. Hawthorn
11. Sydney
12. WB
13. Fremantle
14. Richmond
15. St Kilda
16. Carlton

2002 AFL season - Wikipedia
1. Essendon
2. Melbourne
3. Carlton
4. North Melbourne
5. Brisbane
6. Hawthorn
7. Geelong
8. WB
9. Richmond
10. Sydney
11. Adelaide
12. Fremantle
13. West Coast
14 Port Adelaide
15. Collingwood
16. St Kilda

2000 AFL season - Wikipedia
1. North Melbourne
2. Carlton
3. Essendon
4. Brisbane
5. WB
6. West Coast
7. Port Adelaide
8. Sydney
9. Hawthorn
10. St Kilda
11. Geelong
12. Richmond
13. Adelaide
14 Melbourne
15. Fremantle
16. Collingwood

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1999_AFL_season
 
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We had a plethora of picks at that time.. Port made the call to trade one of their stars in wingard to eventually land rozee... while we sat back and did nothing... massive failure. Probably so confident in our drafting as we had made some good calls previously. Turned to shite...

My view on AFC's 2018 draft
... "shortcut" to post below
We just came out of a grand final and weren't ready to dismantle our list. Clubs don't give up their list readily when they get it to a state to contend for a flag.

We had some good picks - yes - but I think we were after GC's pick 2 or 3 and our picks (plus future picks) then might have been good enough to trade for GC's picks.

Had we tried to trade for intermediate picks to try and move up, we would have lost draft capital along the way and unlikely to have enough to get pick 2 or 3. Have to remember the Poo paid quite a bit - players and picks - just to get to pick 7.

It was one big jump to GC's pick 2 or 3 for Rankine, and nothing in between for us.

My question is when did we find out GC weren't going to trade one of those picks to us? I think if we knew that from the start, we might have tried to trade up for a pick that might have gotten us Rozee.

Comparing Crows & The Poo

Just before the 2018 trade period, clubs had picks (from Lore's post):
AFC: 7, 15, 19, 37, 69, ...
PAP: 9, 21, 27, 45, 46, ...

Some priority picks bumped the above picks down some spots.

The following is a summary of Poo's trading from Poo board:
Did we? We paid a bloody lot to get Rozee.

The starting point was
Polec + Pittard + 48 ----> to North for 11 + 2019 Rd 4 NM
11+23+30+49 ----> to Freo for 6 + 2019 Rd 3 Freo
Then it was
6 + 35 + 2019 Rd 3 Freo ------> 5 + Sam Mayes
The side deal to get 35 was Wingard trade + 2019 Rd 3 PA ------> Burton + 15 + 35 + 2019 Rd 4
So in a round about way to get Rozee we gave up Polec + Pittard + 23 + 30 + 49 + a small bit of the Wingard deal.

Going into the 2018 draft, clubs had picks (from Lore's post):
AFC: 8, 13, 16, 21, 73, ...
PAP: 5, 10, 15, ...

Joined AFC Nov 2006 east coast recruiting scout

DRAFTS

2007

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Rookie Draft
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2008
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Rookie Draft
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2009
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Rookie Draft
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2010
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Rookie Draft
* # (r)


2011
--- GWS start up concessions
  • Sam Kerridge (Vic) #27 (pp)
  • Mitchell Grigg #41 (r2)
  • Nicholas Joyce #46 (r2)
  • Cam Ellis-Yolmen #4 (r3)
Rookie Draft
  • Rory Laird #5 (r1)
  • Dylan Orval (Vic) #23 (r2)
  • Tim McIntyre #41 (r3)
  • Will Young #58 (r4)
Trades
  • Luke Brown
  • Tom Lynch (Vic) (2008 draft #13)
  • Josh Jenkins (Vic) (2010 rookie draft #12)

Adelaide Crows replace Matt Rendell with Hamish Ogilvie (Mar 2012)
- as lead recruiter

2012
  • Sam Siggins #62 (r3)
  • Rory Atkins #81 (r4)
Rookie Draft
  • Kyle Hartigan #14 (r1)
  • Jack Osborn #36 (r3) - basketball
  • Tim Klaosen #42 (r4) - basketball

2013
  • Matt Crouch #23 (r2)
  • Riley Knight #46 (r3)
Rookie Draft
  • Charlie Cameron #7 (r1)
  • James Battersby #24 (r2)
  • Jake Kelly #40 (r3)
  • Alex Spina #52 (r4)

2014
  • Jake Lever #14 (r1)
  • Harrison Wigg #35 (r2)
  • Mitch McGovern #43 (r3)
  • Harry Dear #58 (r3)
  • # (r)
  • # (r)
Rookie Draft
  • Reily O'Brien #9 (r1)
  • Keenan Ramsay #27 (r2)
  • Anthony Wilson #44 (r3)

2015
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Rookie Draft
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Trades
* Paul Seedsman (2010 draft #76)

2016
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Rookie Draft
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2017
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Rookie Draft
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2018
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Anyone was able to sign him to the NSW Scholarship program. Once we did then we were the only ones who could draft him (and were obligated to do so) but anyone could have signed him up if both parties agreed.

The folklore is that Walker lobbied us and we weren't that interested so he eventually talked to another couple of clubs (Collingwood was one from memory) and got some interest, and then told us "I have an offer on the table, sign me now or I'm taking it."

Also supposedly when Rendell came on board he tried to cancel our commitment but was told we'd already spent the money. This was shortly after Walker had just had an injury (motorbike accident? It's been a long time, I might be remembering wrong.)


DON'T DELETE THESE PIX ATTACHMENTS...

AFC 2017 Trades.jpg SA 2018 Draft - B.jpg SA 2018 Draft - A.jpg
 
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AFL makes changes to draft points system
Nov 18, 2020
...
Under normal AFL rules, clubs who are matching bids for northern Academy, Next Generation Academy and father-son players are only allowed to use draft points from the amount of picks that is equal to the number of their available list spots.
...
But clubs will not be bound by that rule at next month's national draft after the League gave clearance for clubs to use points from draft picks even if they are not going to use the selections to draft players.
...
The AFL will revert to its usual rule next year, having allowed the clubs a one-off change given some had prepared for matching bids by already trading out future selections during last year's exchange period.


AFL makes changes to draft points system [portadelaidefc.com.au]
xxx

AFL confirms 2022 list sizes, tweaks rule for rookies

covering moving players from the Senior list to Rookie list (among other things):
...
But the rule that allowed clubs to move primary-listed players to the rookie list between the first and second list lodgment periods to open up senior spots will not be permitted this off-season.
...
They will, however, be able to shift players on the senior list to the rookie list in the time between the national and rookie drafts if the player is contracted for 2022.
...


Means we wouldn't be able to shift players to free up spots on main list for the 2021 draft, but we can do that after the draft.

Borlase and newchurch ... Under the current rules these two lads can be on the list as cat B’s for four years and will both be given that 4th year ...
Actually... this might not be - according to THIS AFL article, it states:

... any player in their third season as a Category A or B rookie will be eligible to spend another season as a rookie in 2022 as a 'replacement' year. (for covid interruption)

This doesn't apply to Borlase and newchurch (actually any rookie drafted since 2020) - 2022 is their second year as rookies so 2023 is their 3rd and final year they can stay on the rookie list.

... unless the FL decides to make a rule change again.

That's interesting...did not know that. Begs the question, how the hell did you guys manage that if that's the rule...given how few list spots you had/how many picks you'd bundled for Fletcher and Ashcroft?
5 free list spots, hence we took 5 picks into the draft. Two of those spots were opened by delisting Lester and Cockatoo, and committing to re-draft them in the rookie draft (so as of right now, they're technically not on our list).

Once the draft begins, you're allowed to hold as many picks as you want regardless of list spots (i.e. you can pick up additional picks via trade). This is why you saw Brisbane make the 4 for 1 (and a future pick) trade with Hawthorn which took Brisbane up to 8 picks despite only having the 5 list spots.

AFL clarifies free agency compensation situation [LINK]

By Daniel Cherny, August 22, 2019 — 7.52pm

The AFL has clarified its rules surrounding compensation for clubs affected by recent changes to free agency rules.
The league changed rules for delisted free agents this year, meaning players who have previously been delisted become free agents at the end of every subsequent contract.
...
There had been some uncertainty in recent months – both at AFL headquarters and amongst clubs – as to whether a club would be eligible for a compensation pick if a former delisted free agent left under these new rules.
However the league confirmed to The Age on Thursday that clubs would be eligible for compensation as these former delisted free agents are classified as unrestricted free agents.
 
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Draft Tampering

[ copied from THIS post ]

Why would that be illegal. Which rule exactly would that be breaking. Why couldnt you write that into his contract. We could waive our right to his RFA and allow him to be a FA at the end of his contract. This would be similar to release fee written into soccer contracts.

Ok, I never quite understood why the Tiprat saga was deemed draft tampering so did a bit of oogling.

It looks like the "rule" (or more like a principle) being broken is that of fairness in the draft between all Clubs (... this action was contrary to the rules, as it circumvented the fairness of the draft. [1] ) and there are different ways this can be broken.

In our case, it was having it written in Tiprat's contract that we would trade him to another Club for a second draft (SEE... [2]), which is unders - and unfair to all other Clubs. This is what OOC wrote "Maybe we could guarantee that we will trade him for a low price or something?".

The "Veale Deal" (BF link [3], wiki link [4] ) was an interesting exercise where WB's having first pick the the PSD did a deal involving Hawks & Essendon to get Rawlings in the PSD closely scrutinised by the AFL. The deal was "within the rules, if not the spirit, of the trading period" [Jake Niall]
The Veale Deal, where unknown youngster Lochlan Veale was traded by Hawthorn to the Western Bulldogs in a lopsided three-way deal involving Essendon. In the deal Hawthorn gained Danny Jacobs, Essendon gained Mark Alvey and the number six selection in the draft and the Bulldogs officially only received Veale, and had an understanding Hawthorn that they would not trade Jade Rawlings to any other club, allowing the Bulldogs to select him with the first selection in the pre-season draft.
wiki link [4]

And another way for fairness to be violated is the Chalmers' case (... who had contacted most clubs in an effort to ensure that only Collingwood would draft him. [5])

The Chad Wingard Case

[ from www.afl.com.au ]
... said he had no option but to be totally up front with then senior assistant coach Mark Williams and coach Kevin Sheedy when the pair interviewed him ahead of the draft.
In what was a brave, considerate and mature move, he made it clear to the Giants they'd regret drafting him.
"I was pretty honest in how I was feeling," Wingard said.
"They're trying to build a team from nothing and if I lied to them and said 'yeah I want to be here and I'm going to be here for your future', they're putting all their chips on me [only] to find I want to go home in two years.
"They're pretty much going to lose me for nothing. [6]


As far as I'm aware - Wingard said he would serve that 2 years.
That isn't draft tampering.
[7]


References
[ ... from Wikipedia, 20180116]
Draft tampering
The 1992 draft suffered from three high-profile cases of draft tampering involving highly rated South Australian players: No. 6 selection Robert Pyman, No. 10 selection Brett Chalmers, and No. 13 selection Andrew McKay. Prior to the draft, all three players contacted AFL clubs which they did not want to play for, and told those clubs that they would remain in South Australia if drafted by them; at the time, the players could still play a respectable career and earn reasonable money in the SANFL, and would be tied to the AFL club that drafted them for only three years (after which they could re-enter the draft and be selected by another club), so they held a bargaining position to make these demands. However, this action was contrary to the rules, as it circumvented the fairness of the draft.

The most serious offence was by Chalmers, who had contacted most clubs in an effort to ensure that only Collingwood would draft him. He was fined $30,000, and was made ineligible to play for Collingwood for three years;[2] he never played a senior game for Collingwood, but later played for Adelaide and Port Adelaide. McKay and Pyman, who had warned only the AFL's struggling clubs (Sydney, Brisbane Bears, Richmond and Fitzroy) against drafting them, but had not contrived to end up at a specific club, were fined only $10,000 and were permitted to continue playing for their new clubs.[3] Brisbane Bears zone selection Nathan Buckleyand the North Melbourne Football Club were also forced to defend accusations that they had come to a draft-tampering agreement for Buckley to later be traded to North Melbourne, but after a long and costly legal battle both parties were found not guilty.[4]
[ from www.sydneyswans.com.au 20180116 ]
Tippett in trade limbo
Nick Bowen October 26, 2012 9:19 AM

WITH just hours of the Gillette AFL Trade Period remaining, Kurt Tippett is increasingly likely to be left in football limbo when Friday's 2pm deadline ticks by.

After playing 104 games for Adelaide since debuting in round one, 2008, Tippett announced he wanted a trade to this year's premiers, the Sydney Swans, earlier this month.

However, this week's explosive revelations of a side deal made by Tippett and the Crows when he re-signed with Adelaide in 2009 has not only made Tippett's trade to the Swans unlikely, but also exposed the Crows, Tippett and his manager, Peter Blucher, to an AFL investigation into possible draft and salary cap violations.

The Crows had been ready to send Tippett to the Swans in exchange for pick No. 23 and fringe Swans forward Jesse White last Friday, but got cold feet.

It was then that Crows CEO Steven Trigg disclosed the Tippett side deal to the AFL.

The deal stated that the Crows would trade Tippett to the club of his choice for a second-round pick at the end of his playing contract, an arrangement that might constitute draft tampering.

The deal also reportedly guaranteed Tippett $200,000 outside the playing contract lodged by Adelaide with the AFL, to be paid to him by third-party companies or the Crows.

If Tippett is not traded on Friday, he will most likely nominate for November's NAB AFL Draft or December's pre-season draft, when last year's two lowest finishers, GWS and Gold Coast, have indicated they could consider selecting him.
It's not so much "fairness" that the AFL judges, there's been a heap of lopsided deals since, it's only when clubs try to circumvent certain rules or exploit loop holes that they get in a huff, like with us supposedly writing into Tippett's contract that he was worth a "2nd rounder", also when there was a massive deal proposed that ended up with the mini draft pick that would land GWS Jaeger O'Meara.
[ from Wikipedia 20180116 ]
2003 AFL draft
...
The trading period also contained The Veale Deal, where unknown youngster Lochlan Veale was traded by Hawthorn to the Western Bulldogs in a lopsided three-way deal involving Essendon. In the deal Hawthorn gained Danny Jacobs, Essendon gained Mark Alvey and the number six selection in the draft and the Bulldogs officially only received Veale, and had an understanding Hawthorn that they would not trade Jade Rawlings to any other club, allowing the Bulldogs to select him with the first selection in the pre-season draft.[2]

...
[ from Wikipedia 20180116 ]
Draft tampering
The 1992 draft suffered from three high-profile cases of draft tampering involving highly rated South Australian players: No. 6 selection Robert Pyman, No. 10 selection Brett Chalmers, and No. 13 selection Andrew McKay. Prior to the draft, all three players contacted AFL clubs which they did not want to play for, and told those clubs that they would remain in South Australia if drafted by them; at the time, the players could still play a respectable career and earn reasonable money in the SANFL, and would be tied to the AFL club that drafted them for only three years (after which they could re-enter the draft and be selected by another club), so they held a bargaining position to make these demands. However, this action was contrary to the rules, as it circumvented the fairness of the draft.

The most serious offence was by Chalmers, who had contacted most clubs in an effort to ensure that only Collingwood would draft him. He was fined $30,000, and was made ineligible to play for Collingwood for three years;[2] he never played a senior game for Collingwood, but later played for Adelaide and Port Adelaide. McKay and Pyman, who had warned only the AFL's struggling clubs (Sydney, Brisbane Bears, Richmond and Fitzroy) against drafting them, but had not contrived to end up at a specific club, were fined only $10,000 and were permitted to continue playing for their new clubs.[3] Brisbane Bears zone selection Nathan Buckleyand the North Melbourne Football Club were also forced to defend accusations that they had come to a draft-tampering agreement for Buckley to later be traded to North Melbourne, but after a long and costly legal battle both parties were found not guilty.[4]
[ from www.afl.com.au 20180116 ]
Chad Wingard's Giant refusal in lead-up to draft
Harry Thring May 15, 2014 7:00 AM

AS CHAD Wingard's star continues to rise, most in the football world remain baffled as to how he was 'overlooked' by Greater Western Sydney at the 2011 NAB AFL Draft.

The Giants had the first five selections at the draft and despite the athletic 18-year-old from Murray Bridge being touted as a top three pick, he slipped to Port Adelaide at No. 6.

Wingard's first 50 games have seen All Australian selection, a John Cahill Medal as the Power's best and fairest and several match-winning performances; he's proving not only the best player from his draft but his accomplishments inside 50 games stand up to almost anyone in the modern era.

So how did the Giants miss such a rare talent? They didn't.

Speaking exclusively to AFL.com.au, Wingard said he didn't slip under their radar, he just didn't want to be part of what they were building.

He said he had no option but to be totally up front with then senior assistant coach Mark Williams and coach Kevin Sheedy when the pair interviewed him ahead of the draft.

In what was a brave, considerate and mature move, he made it clear to the Giants they'd regret drafting him.

"I was pretty honest in how I was feeling," Wingard said.

"They're trying to build a team from nothing and if I lied to them and said 'yeah I want to be here and I'm going to be here for your future', they're putting all their chips on me [only] to find I want to go home in two years.

"They're pretty much going to lose me for nothing.

"So I think that because I was so honest, they still got to pick someone else who wanted to be there and they didn't get nothing for their pick three, four or five which was what they would have had [me at]."

The Giants would instead draft Dom Tyson at pick No. 3, Will Hoskin-Elliott at No. 4 and Matt Buntine at No. 5.

Wingard's open and frank stance shouldn't be confused with arrogance.

Indeed, many stories about his perceived over confidence circulated upon his entry to the AFL but the Power star said those were based more on a lack of understanding than truth.

"I think I might have came across that way but I was actually really shy coming in," he said.

"That comes off as arrogance because you're really shy to talk to people, you don't have confidence and it comes across the other way – you come across as if you're cocky and arrogant and that you're too good for this team.

"The team that we have now, it doesn't have any space or time for that kind of ego, it's a really good space to be in, everyone's got each other's back."

...
I'm not sure how it is draft tampering.

As the rules stand a player who enters the draft is compelled to serve a 2 year contract with whomever recruits them.

As far as I'm aware - Wingard said he would serve that 2 years.

That isn't draft tampering.

Had he said he would refuse to go at all - then that is a different story.

Nowhere in the draft rules does it say you have to commit to the club after your two years is up.
 
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There are two separate rules relating to future trading:
1) "2/4y" rule - using two r1 picks in the draft in a rolling 4 year period
2) "F1/other" rule - trading a future r1 pick or other future picks (r2, r3, ...) but not both

2/4y Rule

Some interesting points:

* Clubs can trade one year in the future only. [1]

* Clubs must make at least two first-round selections in each four-year period. If they don't, they will face restrictions from trading any further first-round draft picks. [1]

* a r1 matched bid for Father-Son or Academy counts for a club's rolling 4y tally [2]

* an end-of-first-round compensation selection does not count in a club's rolling 4y tally [2]

* a club can apply for and receive special permission for an exception with the AFL weighing up the age of the players brought in and other draft selections used in that time [2]

* "The Hawks, however, can trade their 2021 first-round pick if they hold on to their 2020 top selection." [3] .... This is an interesting comment as in 2020, Hawks have only used 1 r1 pick in the previous 4 years so have violated the 2/4y rule - and remains in violation - until it actually uses a r1 pick in the 2020 draft and the comment implies Hawks are supposedly allowed to trade a future 2021 r1 pick.


References:
[1] Future trading given go-ahead but with restrictions [2015, www.afl.com.au]
[2] Trading first-round picks: Misunderstood rule explained [2018, www.afl.com.au]
[3] Hands tied: Why two big Vic clubs can't trade first pick [2020, www.afl.com.au]
How can Geelong not have 2015, 2016 & 2017 1st round picks

From this article:

...

The rules are complicated and can be hard to make easy sense of, especially as clubs keep finding new ways to work them, but any inquiry since future trading was introduced ahead of last year's trade period would have been met with the same response.

First, clubs must make at least two future first-round picks in a four-year period. Those that don't will then face restrictions.
...

Secondly, clubs that have chosen to trade out a future first-round selection are not permitted to trade any other picks from the same draft unless they have brought in a replacement. As the AFL reiterated on Wednesday, it's about the net result.

This brings us, first of all, to Geelong, who sought clarification midway through the trade period that they were allowed to trade their 2017 first-round pick to Carlton as part of the deal for Zach Tuohy.
...

The Cats had already traded their 2015 first rounder to Adelaide, in the Patrick Dangerfield trade. They had also moved their first pick in this year's draft to Carlton, for Lachie Henderson. The Tuohy trade makes it three in a row. But if the Cats are (somehow) able to trade two first-round picks back in next year, and use them, they will have made the necessarily two first-round selections. They also have their 2018 first-rounder to come.

If they're not able to take those two picks in the next two years, they'll be prevented from trading any further first rounders. But given it is not yet impossible for them to do that, they could not have been prevented from trading a third.

...
Clubs notorious for avoiding r1 draft picks

Haw - 2018 [0] 2017 [0] 2016 [0] 2015 [2] -- 2014 [0] 2013 [0]
Geel - 2018 [1] 2017 [0] 2016 [0] 2015 [0] -- 2014 [1] 2013 [1]
Port - 2018 [3] 2017 [0] 2016 [2] 2015 [0] -- 2014 [0] 2013 [0]

Geelong in 2018 need to acquire and use two r1 picks to not break the 2-r1-picks/4-years rule but technically haven't broken that rule prior to the 2018 draft so should still be able to trade future picks during the 2018 trade period.

Note: Exemptions from this rule can be given by the AFL if (paraphrasing based on published articles):

* first round picks traded out are for younger players (as compared to trading in older veteran players), and

* club has made draft selections with near round one picks (eg. second round picks)

The AFL have confirmed Geelong can trade out this year's and next year's 1st rounders.
All clubs can still apply for special league exemption to beat the future first-round pick clamp down even if they are fall into the restriction zone.

In an AFL document ‘Determination for the trading of future draft selections’ it says, “Exceptions will only apply based on the age of players traded for first-round selections and what other draft selections have been taken by the club in the relevant time frame.”
So what the hell is the point of this rule again?
Every AFL club can trade its future first-round pick with stricter rules to take effect in 2019
SAM LANDSBERGER, Herald Sun
April 16, 2017 7:30pm
Subscriber only
EVERY AFL club is free to trade its future first-round pick in this year’s exchange period.

The Herald Sun has clarified future-pick trading rules and the league has for the first time released its formal guideline document.

It had been widely believed that every club must use two first-round draft picks in every rolling four-year cycle.

But the rule addresses trading a future first-round selection only when a club has used fewer than two first-round picks in the past four drafts.

BLOCKBUSTER DEAL: AFL ADMITS TO JAEGER TRADE BLUNDER

Even then, clubs can apply to the AFL for an exemption.

And according to the October 2015 document, Determination for the trading of future draft selections, the first four-year block will not come into effect until the 2019 exchange period.

The delayed introduction of future trading rules was so as not to prejudice clubs’ existing long-term list strategies.

Exemptions will be determined based on the age of players brought in through trades and what draft picks the club has used
The future-pick document also demands that club boards authorise the trading of a future first-round selection before the trade period.

Geelong does not have a first-round pick this year, after trading it last year for Carlton’s Zach Tuohy, and last used one in 2014, drafting Nakia Cockatoo at No.10.

But the Cats are allowed to go another two years without using one.
They would also have a strong case for further leeway, after recruiting Patrick Dangerfield and using an early second-round pick last year.
It was reported last October that the Cats had to acquire an additional first-round selection this year or next year to comply with AFL rulesThe Herald Sun this month made repeated attempts to confirm this with the AFL and, after discussions, believed that was the case.

But the Cats then contacted integrity officer Ken Wood, who confirmed the relaxed rules.

After requests from the Herald Sun last week, the AFL handed over the rules, which were signed off by legal counsel Andrew Dillon
The document has never previously been made public.

Under what had been the prevailing understanding, the Cats would have had to trade in an extra first-round pick this year or next, after they traded their 2017 first-round pick for Tuohy last year.

Cats list manager Stephen Wells admitted last October he did not believe Geelong could offload a third consecutive first-round pick to land Tuohy.

“I must admit there was a perception we couldn’t do it here myself,” he said.

“But we did check with the AFL.”

The rules reveal the league is not opposed to clubs trading a string of early selections, as long as they act responsibly.

Hawthorn’s golden era was built on shrewd deals.

From 2009 to 2014, the Hawks used just one first-round pick — taking Isaac Smith in 2010 — as they traded for proven players.

Clubs are always free to trade draft picks in the current year.

http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/a...9/news-story/62ac5fa26bb74712ec0a6e84e2e92888

How did Geelong build their 2007/2009/2011 Premiership lists?

It's often thought Geelong benefitted greatly from Father-Son draft picks to build their dynastic list but a look at their draft picks in the preceding 10 years or so indicate good drafting (& trading) was probably more significant - even if they were able to draft GAblett and THawkins with picks #40 and #41 respectively as F-S picks.

2007(1st) HTaylor(#17), also had FS pick
2006(10th) JSelwood(#7), Hawkins(#41 FS)
2005(5th) Varcoe(#15), no F-S
2004(4th) also had FS pick
2003(12th) also had FS pick
2002(9th) Mackie(#7) Lonergan(#23)
2001(12th) GAblett(#40 FS) Bartel(#8) JKelly(#17 Melb trade), SJohnson(#24)
2000(7th) no F-S
1999(11th) JCorey(#8) PChapman(#31 Carl trade) CLing(#38) CEnright(#47 North trade) no F-S
1998 THarley(Port trade), JMooney(Syd trade), no F-S
What about Hawthorn and their 2013/2014/2015 Premiership lists?

Hawks finished 15th in 2004 and got priority pick #2 for Roughhead and their pick #5 got Franklin. Then finished 14th in 2005 got priority pick #3 for Ellis and had pick #6 (didn't have quite as prominent draft result that year).

They also traded Croad for Freo's pick #1 (a priority pick, to get Hodge), pick #20 and pick #36 (to get SMitchell) in 2001 when Hawks finished 4th - that was quite a move. They also drafted Campbell Brown at #32 that year.

Looks like receiving priority picks for finishing lowly for multiple years together with astute trading and drafting form significant bases for their dynastic list.
THIS afl.com.au article records how the Jaeger to Hawks trade kerfuffle involved Hawks trading their own future 2nd to bLoos after having traded their future 1st to Saints.

But because the Hawks also traded in a future 2nd from GWS, the ∀FL were able to claim the rules were not broken as "... treat transactions over the NAB AFL Trade Period as "a net result"." so it was ok - ∀FL must have collectively breathed a massive sign of relief they could spin it this way.

Weeds' post is about exchanging future 1st's as well as trading later future picks but the Hawks/Jaeger precedent probably means it should be allowable.
AFL rejects query over O'Meara trade legality
Ben Collins and Dinny Navaratnam
Oct 26, 2016 4:10PM

THE AFL has rejected a report that questioned the legality of the trade deal in which Hawthorn landed Gold Coast star Jaeger O'Meara.
News Corporation reported on Wednesday morning that the League had rubber-stamped the Hawks' wish to trade away its first two picks in next year's NAB AFL Draft – a move it claimed was in contravention of AFL rules – to clinch O'Meara.
News Corporation cited an AFL rule that states: "Should a club trade its future first round selection, it may not trade any other future selection for that same draft."
The AFL clarified that Hawthorn satisfied "the full wording of the rule", which reveals the League must treat transactions over the NAB AFL Trade Period as "a net result".
The complex sequence of events started when Hawthorn completed another controversial deal, trading its future 2017 first-round selection (and 2016 picks 23 and 36) to St Kilda in exchange for 2016 picks 10 and 68.
AFL CEO Gillon McLachlan said a minor error had occurred, and he had no problem with the trade.
"It was an administrative error. We're talking about a GWS second-rounder next year against Hawthorn's. I think it's a little bit over-hyped," McLachlan said.
He denied that AFL and club officials struggled to understand the rules regarding trading future draft picks.
"The rules are clear, the trade was perfectly legal and I don't think there was any grey in that. If anyone needed clarification and they spoke to (total player payments manager) Ken Wood during the process, they would have got pretty clear answers," McLachlan added.
In the frantic dying stages before the trade deadline, the Hawks then sealed a deal with Carlton for Greater Western Sydney’s future second-round pick.
This final move ensured O'Meara's passage to Hawthorn.
The AFL has conceded it then made an error by stating in its initial media release that Hawthorn had on-traded the Giants' future second-round pick, when in reality the Hawks had surrendered their own future second-rounder.
The League has since corrected this mistake, and the trade has been updated on AFL.com.au.
The AFL's media relations manager Patrick Keane rejected any suggestion the League had allowed Hawthorn to work outside the rules.
"The full wording of the rule says it is to be treated as a net result," Keane told AFL.com.au.
"If you trade out a (future) first-round selection, you must have a (future) second-round selection.
"So therefore, once they traded in a second-round selection, they were then able to trade out either that second-round selection or their own second-round selection.
"The club still retains a second-round selection in next year's draft."
Premierships ... luck of the bounce

...
He’s gotten a couple of clubs to grand finals including 2010 where he was very ******* unlucky
What sort of silly fellow would suggest a bad bounce for Milne means the game plan won’t stand up in finals
...

Add in toe poke from Scarlett
And Fyfe and co missing sitters in 2013 GF....

He could very well have been a 3 time premiership coach


.
 
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Crows List Management

It really, really doesn't surprise me you would have "a few run ins" with Reidy knowing the kind of bloke he is and your history of posting on this site.

People all too soon forget Reidy was very much instrumental in our 2 Premierships under Malcolm Blight, it was Reid that secured Blighty more through their friendship formed at the Woodville Football Club and their previous business associations than anything else. Sure in the end he f’ed up over the Tippett deal but it's doubtful Blighty would have seen the inside walls at the AFC without Reidy.
St Kilda pulled their list manager straight out of the banking industry. Anybody who thinks list managers act alone in determining who gets offered contracts, for how long and how much is kidding themselves. That is a committee decision influenced heavily from the coaching group based on where the committee view the list in terms of challenging. Reid is the negotiator and administrative instrument of the committee. As an ex player manager, what he brings that we didn’t have, was knowledge on the value of players across multiple clubs. That said, if culturally we think overpaying the middle of our list remains the way to go, then intel brought by Reid is largely meaningless.
I'm a little like this. I wasn't a fan of his dad as I'd had a few run ins with him. Don't know what Justin is like at all, so it's probably unfair to judge him based on his dad. But was he the right person for the job?
FFS, Reid is only 1 person on a List Management committee that included such luminaries as Brett Burton, Mark Ricciuto and Don Pyke. Campo probably pushed his influence into there as well. Such was his power at our club. 2 of that crew were sacked, even though it went against our grain. Reid is the least of our problems, it’s Chappo and Rooo that are crippling our club.
Yeah, whilst I wouldn’t say Reid has been amazing at his job, I think he’s at least competent and has the department functioning reasonably well.

Long term I wouldn’t say he’s a “can’t lose” by any stretch, but at this stage given the shape of football department, he’s a long way down on the list of concerns.

As you say, a lot of the major decisions that have been mentioned would have been committee decisions, not necessarily driven by Reid, it would have been his role to simply implement/enact these decisions or directions as you might say,
Media Reports of AFC Player Contract Amounts

Jordan Dawson

“The Adelaide proposal is $650,000 a year for five years, but this isn’t really about money - it’s about his family, his partner going home, him wanting to live in South Australia and wanting to build something from the ground up at the Crows.” [foxsports 20210922]

20210708

Advertiser listed the top 100 paid players in the AFL. Crows have

96th - Reilly O'Brien on $575,000-$625,000 (noted that incentives like winning B&F last year would have pushed this up)
81st - Daniel Talia on $600,000-$650,000
66th - Taylor Walker on $650,000-$700,000
55th - Matt Crouch on $675,000-$725,000
54th - Rory Laird on $675,000-$725,000
12th - Rory Sloane on $825,000-$875,000


Eddie Betts
Mark Bickley questions Adelaide Crows on Jake Lever contract negotiations ... That the Crows have Walker on about $1 million a year, with Jenkins, Sloane, Eddie Betts, Daniel Talia, and Sam Jacobs reportedly on more than $600,000 each, means ... [Jon Pierik, The Age, 12 July 2017, 2:37pm]

Brad Crouch (2016)
Brad Crouch rejects rival interest to stay at Crows ... The deal is believed to be worth up to $2.4 million over the four years. ... [www.afl.com.au].

Sam Jacobs
Mark Bickley questions Adelaide Crows on Jake Lever contract negotiations ... That the Crows have Walker on about $1 million a year, with Jenkins, Sloane, Eddie Betts, Daniel Talia, and Sam Jacobs reportedly on more than $600,000 each, means ... [Jon Pierik, The Age, 12 July 2017, 2:37pm]

Josh Jenkins (2016)
Josh Jenkins signs $550,000, five-year deal with Adelaide Crows ... Adelaide’s board — as predicted by The Advertiser — today signed off on a mega, $550,000-a-year deal locking in Jenkins, 27, until 2022, making it likely he will be a Crow for life. [Richard Earle, The Advertiser, July 21, 2016]
Jenkins inks new five-year deal with Crows ... AFL.com.au understands his new contract is in the region of $550,000 per season. ...


Tom Lynch (2018)
Star Crow inks new deal ... AFL.com.au understands Lynch could have commanded more than $750,000 per season on the open market with Carlton, North Melbourne, Collingwood and his former club St Kilda among the clubs who enquired about his services.
2018 contract.jpg Between $550K/yr and $650K/yr.

David Mackay (2014)
Dashing wingman David Mackay commits his future to Adelaide Crows ... Mackay on Wednesday left Bulldog Shaun Higgins as the only restricted free agent on the market by signing a lucrative four-year deal worth about $1.6 million. ... [Andrew Capel, The Advertiser, July 30, 2014 9:00pm]

Mitch McGovern (2017)
McGovern 'always wanted to stay' ... new deal with the Crows that will see him stay at West Lakes until 2020. [unspecified $value] ... [www.afl.com.au].
Mitch McGovern turns down Dockers, signs new Crows deal ... with Fremantle offering what was believed to be a five-year deal worth up to $750,000 a year. ... [thewest.com.au]

Wayne Milera (2017)
How heartache turned to joy for emerging Crows star Wayne Milera ... signing a three-year contract extension worth more that $1 million that ties him to the Crows ... [Andrew Capel, The Advertiser, April 14, 2017 2:00pm]

Rory Sloane
Mark Bickley questions Adelaide Crows on Jake Lever contract negotiations ... That the Crows have Walker on about $1 million a year, with Jenkins, Sloane, Eddie Betts, Daniel Talia, and Sam Jacobs reportedly on more than $600,000 each, means ... [Jon Pierik, The Age, 12 July 2017, 2:37pm]

Daniel Talia
Mark Bickley questions Adelaide Crows on Jake Lever contract negotiations ... That the Crows have Walker on about $1 million a year, with Jenkins, Sloane, Eddie Betts, Daniel Talia, and Sam Jacobs reportedly on more than $600,000 each, means ... [Jon Pierik, The Age, 12 July 2017, 2:37pm]

Taylor Walker
Mark Bickley questions Adelaide Crows on Jake Lever contract negotiations ... That the Crows have Walker on about $1 million a year, with Jenkins, Sloane, Eddie Betts, Daniel Talia, and Sam Jacobs reportedly on more than $600,000 each, means ... [Jon Pierik, The Age, 12 July 2017, 2:37pm]



Bigfooty Guesstimates

Richard Douglas
He'd be on $400k easily, probably closer to $500k ...


At various points of the season, before the draft, before the season etc. Clubs submit a detailed salary estimate to the AFL to show that they'll be under the cap. It's basically a spreadsheet where you enter in all of your players, their base salaries, and an estimate of the number of games each will play throughout the year. At that point, you won't actually have a full list yet, so some of the players might be 'pick 10' and 'pick 35' - but draftees are all on standard contracts anyway, so it's no trouble to estimate.

Lots of players will all have incentives around best and fairest results. Ie a bonus $50k for winning the BnF, $25k for second, $10k for third. You go through and add these in to random players. It doesn't really matter who wins, because you've got the $90k budgeted for in the cap.

There used to be a big loophole in the salary cap calcs which let you overspend the cap by 5%, where you could go through and assign 22 games 'played' in your estimates to all of your senior players who are on base contracts (no games bonus), and then only minimal games allocated to the younger players who are on match payments. This would have the effect of bringing you under the cap in your estimates, but required everything going smoothly throughout the year and no injuries. But in reality there would always be injuries to senior players, and a whole bunch of match payments would need to be paid to younger blokes who step in.

This would all be ok with the AFL however, who let you go over the cap and use an 'injury allowance' to bring you back under the cap. In essence though, this allowed you to be aggressive with your list management and basically gave you another 5% of spending money on top of the cap. This was something utilised heavily by the rich clubs, but almost unused completely by the poor clubs.

It might have changed in the past couple of the years, but being 'under the cap' was more of a theoretical excerise to show that you could put together a team of 22 players that could play 22 games, and they would be under the cap. If you couldn't do that estimate, then in theory you wouldnt be able to participate in the drafts etc. but obviously that never happens.
 
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Secondhand News About The Crows

Interesting rumours, opinions about the AFC from BF members ...


New Club Member Facilities
... We need a clubrooms, like we used to do. Somewhere the players and the fans can go back and mingle, where players hear stories about the fans memories of the club and gain a sense of the passion we have for them.
It's a small thing, and I know we are still looking for a base, but it builds that culture.
They are still looking, I know that for a fact.
I have heard weve been close on occasions but things have fallen through. Not 100% sure what the issues are but we are looking


.
 
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THREADMARK No.2
Victorian Media Bias


Media Numpties

Sam Maclure

Back when Campbell Brown first joined the TF panel - they introduced everyone as usual, "five time All-Australian.." etc, and "Award-winning journalist Sam McClure".
So, Brown (being the new kid on the block) asked the question that had been in my mind for some time: "hang on, what awards has he won?"
Embarrassed silence ensued.
They haven't used the "award winning" intro since. :D



.
 
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Swampland happenings

2009 Internal Disunity & Captaincy
It went a bit deeper than that

The story I heard a number of years ago was that there was a massive blow up between Kane and Chad and the indigenous players. I am not sure whether it was Kane or Chad or both, but they were supposedly massive finger pointers in the change room and were more than happy to point the blame at certain players for losing games or not playing well enough. Story goes that they were picking on one of the indigenous players after a loss (I think it might have been Daniel Motlop) so Peter and Shaun Burgoyne jumped to his defense, got up in their face and it apparently almost ended in a massive brawl.

From that moment the relationship between both sides was stuffed. So when Choco nominated Shaun Burgoyne to be the next captain the Board didn't like the idea because of the tension between both sides and thought that appointing either a Cornes or one of the indigenous players as captain was only going to cause further issues so they went for the Switzerland option. They went for someone that wasn't aligned to either camp which is how Dom Casissi ended up being the captain.

From that moment too the Cornes boys were also dumped from the leadership group, never to return and Burgoyne ended up leaving Port to go Hawthorn because of the constant tension amongst the playing group.

Pretty much how the story went, you did miss the part where Kane slipped behind his brother when the situation got heated. Personally, it's my favourite bit of the whole story so I'd hate for people not to know the fortitude of the guy


Wazza 1 vote
It's because Rucci keeps it all hidden, it's like "Wazza 1 vote" story that was only reported in Melbourne because Rucci kept it out of the press here.

When Montgomery was sacked and returned to the Bulldogs he started leaking stories about Port to the media, one of which was that not many players apparently liked Tredrea. After being acting captain in the premiership in 2004 Tredrea decided that he would challenge Primus for the captaincy in 05, but unfortunately for Tredders when the final vote was revealed it was discovered that there was only 1 vote for Tredrea and the rest for were Primus (I've always assumed the 1 vote he received was his own :D )

Rucci never reported on it, but I do remember Rucci writing a hit piece directed at Montgomery alluding to the fact that he was spreading rumours.

Jesus Christ Crows fans view the attached gif interchange 'he's' with Port and you've got reality move on ffs
Port are shit
we've underachieved for 4 years in a row
the chief architect is signed for fat coin for the next 3
odds are your wish will come true and we're done so please until that day just **** off...
590213_e1d268887d30adc77e939c42cd97add6.gif

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Propa English:

Should have vs Should of

MISTAKES + DIFFICULTIES
Should have vs Should of


The phrase should have indicates a missed obligation or opportunity in the past. In informal speech, it is contracted to should’ve, not "should of."

You should have (should’ve) called me!
You should of called me!

I should have (should’ve) known you were lying.
I should of known you were lying.

Tom and Pauline are so selfish, they should have (should’ve) been there for you.
Tom and Pauline are so selfish, they should of been there for you.

Should have should never be written "should of." However, the latter does exist: when should is followed by an expression that begins with of.

You should, of course, compare prices.
Past: You should, of course, have compared prices.

He should, of his own will, do the right thing.
Past: He should, of his own will, have done the right thing.​

The Bottom Line

The erroneous phrase "should of" likely came about from the very similar pronunciation of should’ve. Perhaps I should’ve mentioned this sooner.


Would Have or Would of?

Would Have or Would of?
Marko Ticak
BASICS
When spoken aloud, would of and its fellows should of and could of sound exactly like would’ve, could’ve and should’ve. But even if no one can tell the difference when you’re speaking, the mistake becomes obvious as soon as you write it down.

559969_2e12e1292af81e5e2e8483a41d78459a.jpg


The Right Way to Spell Would of, Should of, and Could of

When people write would of, should of, could of, will of or might of, they are usually confusing the verb have with the preposition of. So would of is would have, could of is could have, should of is should have, will of is will have, and might of is might have:

I would of come earlier, but I got stuck at work.
He would have stayed if he’d known you were coming.
You should of called yesterday.
You should have finished your homework by now.


This common mistake is likely caused by the similar pronunciation of the words ofand have, especially when have is contracted, as in should’ve. This mistake also happens with the negations of modal verbs:

Stella couldn’t of known she was going to win the lottery.
John couldn’t have come any earlier.


 
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Some Crows Defining Events

MacGregor v Pavlich
The story I heard was that McGregor was playing in the seniors and Pavlich was injured at the time. They asked Mark Mickan (Eagles coach at the time) which one he'd take at the time and he advised them to nab McGregor.

The rest is history and despite Pavlich having a far superior career if you compare Ken McGregor to some of the other bottom agers picked by the other clubs under that rule we were one of very few to get any value from our selection at all.
Pavlich - the one that got away
No, not a myth Colonel - just a very sad story.

Many years back I had the pleasure of spending an evening talking and drinking with Steve Pavlich who told me in detail of the happenings of 2002.

The Pavlichs were a very close family and desperately missed Matthew, who in turn was desperately home-sick.

At the end of 2002 he approached the Crows, saying that he wanted to come home to Adelaide, and would they request a trade from Freo for him to facilitate this.

He was told that the Club was concentrating at that time on a trade to get Carey to Adelaide and when that was completed, they'd get back to him, which they never did. Poor form and a huge mistake by Adelaide.

At the time he told me of the above, Matthew was heavily into a lass from Perth, and while Steve was still hoping Matthew would come home, he feared because of this that the battle was lost.

That proved to be the case and the rest is history.
Yes it was. Back in those days, the coach had a say in drafting - or at least Ayres did.

The Angwin fiasco was another Ayres special. All the Recruiting Managers were aware that while he was a talent he had some major personality deficiencies and Fantasia was opposed to drafting him. Ayres insisted we draft him saying he would sort him out because of a relationship through his Hawthorn days with his family.

We know how that turned out.

These days the coach says what type of player he needs and the List Management team do the rest.
Tyson Edwards
Tysons issue with the club are more than just Jackson.
When he fell out with Macca the club took sides and that left him with a bad taste in his mouth. The way he was treated by the club when he had cancer was another problem.
How did the club treat him? I don’t remember any bad publicity
Tyson Edwards had surgery for cancer during the pre-season. The club only agreed to extend his contract if he promised to play out the season in the SANFL if/when he was dropped. Edwards discovered that it was impossible to recover between games, while his body was still recovering from the cancer. As a result, his form fell away dramatically and he found himself dropped.

Instead of playing in the SANFL, as he'd agreed when signing his contract, he immediately announced his retirement. Safe to say that Neil Craig was not impressed, feeling that Edwards had reneged on his promise. As a result, the club initially refused to give him a farewell game.

Cooler heads eventually prevailed, and Tyson played one last game and was chaired off the ground as befitted a 300+ game player.
He had an outstanding final game - the only game I ever watched the Crows play at Football Park. It showed just how much of a difference having an extra week off made to his recovery, and why he was right to pull the plug when he did.
Craig supposedly 'forgot' that he was recovering from cancer

Those who know me would know I would do everything I possibly could to keep going," said Edwards, adding Craig had been supportive of his plight during pre-season training and offered him time off to get him-self right.

"After a few rounds, Neil phoned me to talk about the game and I explained that I was really struggling with my energy levels. The coach admitted he had forgotten about my condition.

"It was becoming extraordinarily hard for me to meet the weekly requirements.

"So after round eight (when the Crows were struggling at 1-7) I had a meeting with Neil and said I would be happy for a young player to take my position for the betterment of the team and that I would retire immediately if that was the direction Neil wanted to take.

May I ask, can someone please give me a condensed version of the general argument between the Crows and the Edwards family that caused the fall out?

Once upon a time their were three guys called Andrew McLeod, Tyson Edwards and Lleyton Hewitt. Enter their wives.

Culminating in public cat fights between the wives, particularly at a BnF after party airing dirty laundry about cheating husbands.

McLeod and Edwards weren't on speaking terms for years before their retirements and both seem to think the club under Neil Craig and Stephen Trigg didn't support them enough.

When Edwards eventually retired mid season (testicular cancer I think) Neil Craig initially refused to guarantee him a farewell game after his 300+ game career. More bad blood.

Then we didn't take Luke's older brother Jackson as a father son in the national draft. Instead we took him late in the rookie draft. We then desisted him after 1 year. That year included the infamous Gold Coast camp, which Edwards was not happy about.

Tyson and Luke seemed a bit wary of the crows after that, making it known Luke was happy to play elsewhere and the crows decided not to lodge father-son paperwork for him.

Crows picked up the other Edwards' son Jackson a few years and he didn't really amount to much. The player himself, and his parents, were furious that the Crows apparently didn't give him a proper chance to develop. They also said that the Crows nominating him as F/S made other clubs wary about selecting him in the draft.

Long story short Jackson wasn't good enough, and still isn't, to make it at the AFL Level, but there was still lingering bitterness between Crows/Edwards family about the whole thing.

Fast forward to this year and Luke was asked several times about whether he'd want to be nominated as F/S and he was very non-committal and highlighted that he wasn't necessarily looking to go down the same route as his brother. Luke was definitely touted as a 1st rd draft pick leading into the start of last year, but his performances in his draft year literally fell off a cliff. Wasn't making that push into the senior team at Glenelg and didn't light the world on fire at the Combine.

The Crows were left with the decision to nominate him as F/S, and play him in a position where there are already developing players ahead of him.

They did the right thing by Luke and the Club in not nominating him.

So in Summary we didn't nominate him because:

- Was poor in his draft year
- Didn't publicly want to commit to the Crows, or show any real interest
- Poor at the Draft combine
- Would have been behind other players in terms of opportunity/development

A year or two out from the draft he was viewed as a possible first round pick, but ended up not developing that well, I guess. Again, it's not like we snubbed him by not taking him first round - nobody else took him until West Coast in the 4th round, and only 7 more players were taken after him. And if they hadn't traded out all of their earlier picks I don't know if they'd have taken him, either.

I think part of the issue is that when you commit to a player under the F/S rule, then you are obliged to draft that player. If we weren't planning on going any deeper than the second round and didn't rate him in the first 2 rounds (which nobody did) then there was no way to get him without paying overs. And that's before you start getting into whatever issues may or may not already be there between the family and the club.

So far I haven't seen much reason to wish we'd taken Luke instead of any of the other players we did draft. Whether that changes in 5 years I don't know, but right now I'm quite comfortable with passing on the opportunity to draft him.
The Sando Years
Do you know who our assistant coaches were in 2012. How we made 2nd in minor round with Sando is beyond belief. He must have had a good back up team. Some of the players had career best seasons.
If I remember correctly we had Milburn, Clarke, Campo, Bailey and Bickley next to Sando in 2012. It was a spike based on players going from ultra-complicated gameplan from Craig to a simple "crash in and boot it forward" style that worked perfectly cause we had an elite contested mark in the forward line in Tippett. There was nothing behind Sando once that got figured out though.
Davis, Bock and the start up teams
Both of the GWS & GC recruits (Davis & Bock) were signed before the Crows even had a chance to put an offer on the table. GC & GWS had massive salary cap advantages, and nobody to give it to - so both received Godfather offers which Adelaide had no hope of matching, even if they had been aware of them (which they weren't). There was nothing the club could have done differently with either of these players.

This is in stark contrast to the departure of Lever. Adelaide knew about Melbourne's offer. They had the capacity to match it. They chose not to.

With Davis & Bock they neither knew about the offers nor had the capacity to match.
"Once we found out what we were up against with Phil, we put an offer together ... that was way, way, way over any offer to a 20-game player in the history of this football club," Harper said.

"It still wasn't in the ballpark ... I don't think we as a club could have done any more to keep Phil here.”
Gibbs-Borlase Roach Irony
The massive irony is that Borlase apparently would have qualified as a f/s had Rucci not gone to the AFL about Gibbs.
Just went back and checked, my memory was correct.

https://www.adelaidenow.com.au/spor...s/news-story/945be9792a77af6b7e7bbb921633fc5a

Borlase was credited with 201 SANFL senior games when he played in the 1996 SANFL grand final – the cut-off for father-son picks for Port Adelaide that joined the AFL in 1997. But the AFL has stripped these 201 matches back to 177 by taking out Escort Cup games that are counted by the SANFL but not the national league’s scrutineers.

Delicious irony.


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The Chapman Legacy

The Tipp
Actually it was that attention to detail that got him strife in the first place. 😜

Balfours wanted a meeting re their sponsorship of showdowns. Phil met them for lunch. They tell him they don’t think they’re getting bang for their buck anymore with the showdown and they’d prefer to sponsor an individual player instead of the whole club. They said they wanted to sponsor Tippett. Of course we are not to organise 3rd party deals. But this is what Balfours wanted. So Phil, in his eagerness to dot t’s and cross i’s.... sent them an email confirming the changes THEY had requested. He felt, as they’d requested it, there was no need to advise the AFL. It was this email that sunk him.
It may well have been Reid's fu** up acting entirely on his own as you keep saying. However, a good 12 months before the s**t hit the fan, Caro was talking in the media about the issues with Tippett's contract. The club denied it strongly. At that stage surely Trigg and the Board look carefully at the details of the contract (if they hadn't already)

Any competent board would have met regarding the rumours in the media, no doubt asking Trigg if it was true. In that situation then either Trigg lied (in which case he should never have been protected) or the Board were fully aware ( which I believe) and they kept Trigg to protect themselves.

The other option would have been t com clean to the AFL at that point, but Trigg, the board, and the club decided to deny it and hope it went aWAY. Then, we reportedly had the opportunity to trade Tippett to Brisbane that trade period which would have got rid of the mess completely, but again, reportedly, Trigg vetoed the deal.

Then finally the following trade period, when we were trying to trade Tippett for Jesse White and pick 23 (or whatever it was) The AFL rightly thought it looked sus, and only at that point did we "come clean" and in Chapman's words "fully cooperate" We then sacrificed 2 years worth of 1st and 2nd round draft picks while everyone at administrative level walked away with their jobs intact.

Reid may well have "gone rogue" on that contract, but it's naïve to believe that with all the rumour and innuendo about the deal, the denials from the club etc, that everyone else at the club was blameless. In that situation, regardless of who f’ed up, leadership have to take the ultimate responsibility, and no one did. Chapman and the Board have been a cancer in the club ever since.
I reckon I've clarified this before... Trigg made the mistake of thinking a verbal handshake with Blucher saying that the deal was not acceptable, had dealt with Reid's parting gift. (Blucher later declared he was going through a marriage breakdown at the time and conveniently had "no recollection" of the Trigg conversation).

Trigg stupidly didn't put it in writing and had no leg to stand on. When the Board would have asked him "Is there anything in this" he would have responded "No, it's all good, I took care of it at the time" because he believed he had. It became apparent when he was O/S and things were coming unstuck with the Tippett trade, that he needed to come back and fix up the mess. There was absolute incompetence here no doubt about that, but I don't believe there was any intention to deceive.

I do agree with you though... Changes to both CEO and Chairman should have happened back then. I look forward to when Chapman walks away from the Board, and hopefully we also have a completely new coaching panel to take us forward. We desperately need new air breathed into the club at all levels.
The issue here, is that if this is actually true, then the levels of incompetence are staggering. They are running a professional football club, yet when Trigg discovers the dodgy aspects of Tippett's contract (which has/had massive ramifications for the club) he has a handshake deal with Blucher that the deal is not acceptable, even though the signed contract still has all details of the deal. Absolute incompetence to not put it in writing.

Secondly rumours come out in the media and Trigg says he dealt with it due to the handshake deal and the board accept that on face value as the situation being dealt with. Surely at that point Trigg meets with Blucher again and clarifies the clauses in the contract and then gets it in writing, or in fact discovers that Blucher has "no recollection" of the event and then deals with the situation. So once again incompetence of the board to blindly accept that a handshake deal has rectified the situation, and incompetence from Trigg to assume everything is ok despite all the reports in the media and not readdress the situation with Blucher.

If this turn of events is true, as opposed to a deliberate attempt to hide and deceive, then Trigg and the board should have been sacked for the incompetence alone. Yet as we know, all administrative staff kept their jobs.
Blucher flat out denies there was any rescinding of the deal. It’s a lot more than just no recollection
It wouldn't have mattered if the deal was annulled via handshake.

We had still used illegal inducements to gain Kurt's signature in the first place and hidden it from the AFL.

It's misdirection, the same as the "we didn't even go over the cap" nonsense.

Neither of those things matter.
lol, Trigg knew about it (even if after the event) & Noble had fixed it by agreeing to trade Tippett to Brisbane & Trigg vetoed it!

How stupid can you get...
I remember Trigg saying at the time he felt he could talk Tippett into staying. *sigh* A bigger sliding door moment there never was.
...
The rumours were out there the year before

Caro said that there's a side deal to trade Tippett to the club of his choice for a 2nd rounder

Huh? went the football world

From memory Trigg even publicly refuted the rumour (but chose his words carefully - would love to find the interview) and it died there, laying dormant for over a year.

12-15 months later when the shit hit the fan, board minutes from that earlier period leaked which showed our board had also asked Trigg the question about the rumours going around. He acknowledged that the clause existed, that it was the only way to gain Tippett's signature at the time but that it was now handled so not an issue.

The self reporting only occurred after things had blown up in our face.

ah look, every village has them and a couple of ours have obviously escaped

Tippett himself isn’t a very sympathetic character, but this isn’t his doing.

he wanted to go to Gold Coast under their original concessions where he could pre-sign a year out. We begged him not to, and threw a crazy (rule breaking) deal at him.

that moment the die was cast. It was our idea, it was stupid and worst of all it stitched our fortunes to a player (and his representatives) of less than the highest probity. What could go wrong?!?

that contract gave him the right to be the first virtual free agent before free agency came in. It gave him the option to shop himself not just to Gold Coast, but anyone. So he did

we were stupid to give anyone that sort of option, let alone him, and he was incentivised to screw us. So of course he did.

we believed he wouldn’t want to leave what we were building, and we believed that by ignoring the law of unintended consequences and because we didn’t understand how powerful that option we gave him was. He did.

so of course he went to market

and you guys bit.

not your fault, you didn’t do the deal.

BUT you did try and take advantage. Perhaps fairly too, I might argue you almost had a fiduciary duty to your club and supporters to drive a bus right through that window of opportunity. But anyway

however by this stage rumours were wildfire throughout the league, about this clause and all the OTHER shenanigans our polluted administration pulled with this deal.

so you need to appear innocent whilst also trying to maximise this unique advantage presented to you by him choosing you. If anyone believes the Tippett camp didn’t consider other teams you crazy, but you guys won his signature.

so to put people off the scent you offered much more than the clause specified, and much less than he was worth. It was a fine line, because if the clause is discovered then all bets are off, and you lose this magnificent opportunity. So you have to act like you don’t know about it, whilst holding back enough to benefit from it

your offer is so obviously below value, but suspiciously more than the rumoured clause that it makes no sense. Your offer attracts the attention of AFL House, and they step in and say they will not approve it. It fails the smell test

so yeah, your offer brought the house down. By that time though, nothing you could have done would have worked. There was no path through

the only way through, which wasn’t an option, was to pay Tippett his kings ransom and full market value. BUT what is your incentive to do that? Why would you pay twice?

in modern terms you were being asked to pay a full unrestricted FA salary, and a full trade value to acquire him. The only reason you had interest in him, at the contract price you offered, was the unprecedented opportunity to get him cheap.

you were not innocent but there was a reason the league chose to punish everyone else but you guys

you did try to take advantage, you did twist the knife, you did know all about it - what’s not clear is whether you really did all that much wrong.

So yeah of course our gurning idiots would like to strike back, but the blame is ours

and as for Tippett himself, caveat emptor!!!!! 😇
The Mind Camp

I think there’s enough evidence the camp was a disaster now isn’t there?

The strategy of Deny deny deny on behalf of the club and blaming a media beat up is long past it’s used by date
What’s the evidence?

As far as I know (I stand to be corrected) besides the club admitting that it was a miss there has been no one on record that has provided any insight on the camp.
Look, if you’ve still got your head in the sand and it’s all a media beat up, then there’s nothing I can say to help you.

It was an abject disaster that has fractured relationships which haven’t recovered.

It’s been a significant factor in the loss of trust in our football program by a number of players.
I am dismissing it, not totally but if our players are that turned off by it then why are most of them all still here ?? If im out there with someone who isnt giving their all because of a 3 day camp then I dont want them as a team mate
I've got this far in the thread, but I have to comment on this. You're missing the point. Trust was broken. It's not necessarily about what was said or what was done, these things do pass. But broken trust in any group, let alone one that needs to act cohesively with belief in each other and the system, is very hard to fix once it occurs. Throw in pressures from partners and family, media, player managers etc and I'd say broken trust is irretrievable.

The camp told the players that they had failed. The coaches didn't believe in them. The coaches and admin took no responsibility. The coaches and admin leveraged personal information to attempt pseudo psychology. It was amateurish and ultimately completely divisive. It broke a group that had been bonded by tragic loss. It was a MONUMENTAL misread of the playing group by the football department. This cannot be understated.

Forget the details, the camp irreversibly destroyed trust between the players and the football department. To say it's irrelevant is also a monumental misread of the whole clusterfluck.
CEY comments about the camp splitting the group kind of fits into what an AFC coach, who was on the camp, told me about the purpose of the camp.

There was a strong belief from the coaches, especially Pyke the players failed GF day and it was their fault.

Before the game they felt it was in the bag. Too much cockiness.

The camp was designed to break the players egos and build them back up again. But it was ran by cowboys and what they did was pit the players against each other.

I didn't get details on what happened, didn't want to grill him as we were at a wedding and the coach was not "at work".
A few friendships broken that weekend I guess

CEY: training camp ripped the heart out of Adelaide Crows

The aspect of the camp I have been told was the biggest issue was the truth telling session they had.

The guys had to sit in a circle and each had a turn to stand up in the middle with those seated telling them negative aspects of their lives. Not just Footy related.

A lot of trusts broken through that.

The CM guys berated the players into telling some pretty horrible things.
Season 2018 (from He!!)

Walking depth players out of the club is always a risk. You never know when the injury curse rattles the club. We managed 12 wins with one of the worst injury lists in our history which in itself is actually a fairly impressive achievement.

Makes you wonder how Richmond would have faired this season if they lost Dusty for 12 weeks (Sloane), Vlaustin for 18 weeks (Smith), Cotchin for 3 weeks (Crouch), Rance for 3 weeks (Talia), Caddy out for 5 weeks (Lynch), Astbury for half the season (Hartigan), Rioli for 4 weeks (Betts), Reiwoldt for 8 weeks, and the weeks he was back was at half speed (Tex), Prestia for the season (Brad Crouch) and had Nankervis running around at about 30% capacity for most of the season (Sauce).

That doesn't even account for injuries too Knight, Seedsman, Gov, Dougy, Mackay, Keath, Cheney, Brown, Doedee, and Milera....

Wow this year really was a absolute trainwreck when you map it out like that!

...
So to recap, this is now the sequence of events you have laid out in front of you (not speculation, actual verifiable data):

- 2017 GF, you guys lose the Grand Final and your mental fortitude is questioned

- Post 2017 GF, Charlie Cameron is traded to Brisbane and Jake Lever to Melbourne. Bryce Gibbs is traded in from Carlton.

- Post 2017 GF, you guys go on a pre-season camp with Collective Mind, and return to pre-season training.

- 2018, you lose your first game against Essendon, and go on to win 6 of the next 8.

- 2018, Round 10, you are absolutely belted by Melbourne, and don't even look like caring for most of the match.

- 2018, Post Round 10, it emerges that a sit down was had in Round 5 with players amidst rumours emerging surrounding events at the Collective Mind camp. Ties were severed to the camp after this meeting.

- 2018, it emerges that in between Round 9 and 10, Don Pyke reinstated ties to the Collective Mind camp, and said that players would be attending again.

- 2018, Rounds 11-23, you guys go on to have a 6-6 W/L record, and 12-10 overall W/L record. You miss finals marginally, after finish equal on points with 9, 10 and 11, but lowest on percentage.

- 2018, Mitch McGovern requests a trade to Carlton, the wooden spooner. This is despite being contracted until end of 2020. He cites the 'failed pre-season camp' as 'one of the reasons for the trade.' He also cites his relationship with assistant coach David Teague at Adelaide, as another reason.

- 2019, more details emerge about the camp. Crows miss finals again and finish 11th. This is despite having a decent injury run compared to the previous year. Lacklustre efforts show on field, and a disconnect appears to show between the players and the club.

- 2019 post-season, an independent review is ordered and interviews are conducted with players and staff that are kept confidential. Outcome finds that Brett Burton and Scott Camporeale will no longer be required at the AFC.

- 2019 post-season, Hugh Greenwood, Alex Keath, Eddie Betts, Sam Jacobs, Cam Ellis-Yolmen, all request trades or are 'forced out' for various reasons.

- 2019 post-season, Cam Ellis-Yolmen reveals that the Mind Camp, 'ripped the heart out of players' and 'divided the playing group.'

- 2019 post-season, Eddie Betts is asked about these comments in an interview and does not deny them. Rather he classily says that 'he doesn't want to talk about the camp' and wants to talk about the 'great opportunity' he has to 'come home to Carlton.'

- 2019 post-season, Hugh Greenwood states that he 'didn't agree with all the decisions they (AFC) made, and that 'I could feel things bubbling' and 'it was only a matter of time before the lid came off.'
...
The Kangatech Kock Up
So last year's review was where we discovered that Hass and Birdbrain had been reading the KangaTech data upside down so we needed to hire Saunders to show us how to use it?
Like what was the story behind Kangatech? One of those kings I completely missed in the news cycle
We adoped the technology in the 2018 pre-season under the "guidance" of Burton and Hass. We ended up destroying our players with soft-tissue injuries so the club hired Steve Saunders (the guy who invented Kangatech) to oversee the club's implementation during the 2019 pre-season. It seems to have had decent enough results. Our injury rate was better in 2019.
So what's this about we used it wrong?
I mean that's just speculation really. We adopt new tech and then half our team is out with soft tissue injuries and people just connect the dots. I'm not giving Birdbrain the benefit of the doubt though. He should have been sacked at the end of 2018.
Allegedly at the start of the 2018 preseason we brought Saunders in to advise on how to implement Kangatech. He saw what we were doing and raised concerns that we weren't doing it right, and that if we continued there would be a high rate of soft tissue injuries. Burton supposedly dismissed this advice and backed in his fitness program. Everyone knows what happened after that.
Correct.

Additionally, Burton and Hass weren’t the only ones reading the data. They had other staff also interpreting and providing advice, but chose to ignore that advice.
I can categorically tell you that KangaTech was implemented in a half assed manner. Prior to Kangatech, we used a whole bunch of spreadsheets developed over a period of seasons, to collate data and benchmark etc. When KangaTech was brought in, they tried to plug it in to the existing spreadsheet system they had, rather than buy/develop a proper interface, database, etc. In other words, as usual, we tried to save money on implementation and f’ed it up as a result.

KangaTech itself is not the problem and was not the problem. It was the manner in which we measured and used the data we got from Kangatech that was the problem, because KangaTech itself is not much more than a measuring and benchmarking tool. It was an idiot trying to implement technology on the fly that was the problem, and they had to get Saunders in to fix it, and engage a software company to write software to interface with it.

The net outcome of that fu** up was that we decided that the idiot should remain our GM Footy Ops, and his offsider should remain in our fitness department, PLUS we should hire Saunders full time. So we now have the cheapest assistant coaching staff in the comp because, rather than sack the idiots, we spend too much of our footy dept cap to keep them on and employ an extra person to fix it up.
Season 2019 (of farewells)
PLAYER DEPARTURES
Even if Greenwood or Keath were happy to settle for 2 years on reasonable money it really does nothing for us long term, the right decisions have been made here.

We have no need to keep this list together for a shot at a flag during their prime.

27+ can go, they won't be part of our next window, best to lose them while they have good value.

Our under 22 list is about 200 games experience behind Port, 300 behind Brisbane.

We are beyond topping up this list, we need to get our next group of players to the start of a 5 year period that with a new core that can go through that time together.

We keep Keath and Greenwood for what? Save us from falling to 15th-18th instead of 10th-14th?

Then some how we do get games into the next generation, our window opens and we have to replace them anyway? Or they become the next Otten/Douglas?

I'm happy with the calls made on these players, I've no doubt we could keep them if we wanted to.
Campo Sacking
Just on the downward spiral of Milera I would like to make the following comment;
As I have posted previously, I have heard that Pyke and Campo (mainly Campo) are super critical of players in their feedback. This combined with our desire to slow the game down and chip the ball sideways is what I think has destroyed Milera's confidence. We are asking to play a game style that is exactly the opposite of what would suit him, then tear shreds off him when he doesn't perform to a high standard.
...
Gibbs and Campo's relatiinship went completely south, you cant have clear messaging when the player doesnt want to engage with an arrogant coach

Matt Crouch has also had his issues with Campo and not just this season
The biggest issue with Campo is that he had strong relationships with long term players like Sauce, DMac, Tex, Lynch Douglas and Otten, much of this bond developed throughout the Phil Walsh tragedy

However with new coaches he was very command and control and didnt have as strong player relationships across the playing group outside of the players I mentioned
Burton Sacking
Riding on the back of Nick Poulos' program. Don't be misguided, the first real decision Burton made in the fitness Dept was to ramp up training loads in the 2018 off season. The second was to convince the club he could handle the KangaTech implementation. The third was to recommend CM when Don was looking for some mental conditioning programs.

Three strikes, he's out.
I'd agree with this assessment. I kind of think Roo as Football Director kind of "took over" in a football sense from Fagan, allowing him to focus more on the business side which had been floundering under Trigg. Unfortunately when shit's hitting the fan, people look to the leaders of the organisation for strong words and Fagan has been left looking like a dummy as he tries chat about the success of E-Sports and our Baseball team...

I have never had a problem with Fagan playing such a role, the trouble is we need a strong, competent, experienced Football Ops manager in this case, which is where Noble was good, but Burton needed the support of a strong footballing CEO given he was a "potential"/"learn on the job" type appointment. Pyke and Roo ended up picking up the pieces here, having to hold Burton's hand to an extent, with Roo simply having too many external committments and Pyke actually having a side to coach.


coachwoodford Instagram post

Look up the name “Brett burton” on the internet you would find words
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“Jobs for the boys”
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“Incompetent”
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“Self preservation”
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“Liar”
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I still can’t understand;
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1. He was hired as the “high performance manager” of the Brisbane lions immediately after he retired! I mean it’s not like it’s a big deal managing HP department staff or structure of entire physical preparation program for the entire year ..makes total sense to hire him
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2. Even after his poor performance (injuries) at the lions the fact that Adelaide hired him as their high performance manager and sacked a man who is actually good at his job (now at GWS) makes little sense. They literally fired a man who was actually competent and had vast experience for a guy who was a scrub with minimal experience
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3. Adelaide then “promote” Brett burton to the head of football ...they promoted him to a job he has no experience at and by all accounts communicates poorly and only cares about power/control 🤔 This is after how Adelaide literally had half their list with strained hamstrings ✔ Yet they keep a man who was the individual who was the main driver behind the program and the one who brings in another coach who he worked with in Brisbane (yes man) to take his old role as HPM! Taking the head of football gives greater job security than the role of the HPM which they can be blamed for everything
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4. Brett still keeps his job after that camp that no one wants to take responsibility for lol in what world would that be a good idea ? The fact that after all these issues the man kept his job is incredible
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I love how it just shows if you think that professional sport hires the best person/individual for jobs in HP you are kidding yourself. Literally - this man was incompetent and some how via his ability to self preservate and more than likely blame others for their downfall kept his job and his well paid salary. Just shows jobs for the boys mentality
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I am glad Brett helped our our industry by showing everyone that being a HPM is about really putting in the time & paying your dues (NOT)
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Well done Adelaide for getting some balls & Brett **** you for taking the piss out of something I love
In a nutshell...

I think the biggest issue for the club at the moment is the engagement with members and their media management.

They seem to genuinely think that the review is done and dusted and we are all happy now. Actually, NO that is not the case. We are still looking for explanations and clarifications. We are still wanting a sense of direction from the club and just maybe, even an acknowledgement that what they have done in the past is not working. I still feel like the main administrators of the meh think everything they have done so far has been right and it's only bad luck/outside agitators that are causing issues.

Let's look at some history;
  • Tippett disaster. Could have been avoided, but wasn't due to incompetence.
  • Self suggest sanctions. Get some of the most significant sanctions of all time.
  • No-one is held to account - except for Harper. We promise to reveal the truth about it. We never do.
  • We appoint a new position (I have no idea what the name is? Compliance officer??) to ensure this doesn't happen again.
  • Roo appoints his mate to a significant position despite clear evidence at Brisbane that should have caused questions.
  • Burton's fitness record at Crows is diabolical. When suggestions are made by supporters he should be sacked, he get's promoted to an even more significant role.
  • We avoid the Compliance officer deliberately and run a camp through a group of woefully unqualified people. Disaster ensues.
  • We try to avoid the issue for as long as possible. No-one is held to account.
  • We hold the worst press conference of all time.
  • We are eventually forced in to a review we clearly didn't want. Chapman tries to frame the results of the review before it starts. Roo tells supporters to go elsewhere.
  • Chapman tells everyone he was going to step down but can't now.
  • He later tells everyone he will step down soon, once he hand picks his own successor.
  • He later still suggested he might see out the transition time and be around for another year at least.
  • We promise to reveal review findings. We don't.
  • In the limited review findings we do release, we announce that Chapman has received significantly positive reviews. Despite the clear FACT that Chapman was never part of the review. WTF?? How is this allowed to go out?
  • To replace Roo's mate, who is sacked significantly later than should have been, we promote the only guy held to account for the Tippett disaster.
  • We don't bother to tell anyone about it.
  • As part of the review we announce a new Leadership & Culture position. We then don't actually appoint anyone for it. Is this the equivalent role to the compliance officer we announced after the Tippett debacle? A role named to seemly do something, but in reality we don't think anything was wrong so it's a name only and we will just ignore it?
  • We also announce we no longer need a Senior assistant coach, despite having possibly the most inexperienced coaching panel in the AFL and a rookie coach.
It's hard not to feel like the club is awfully managed when you read this is it? The one constant? CHAPMAN.

Unfortunately, the longer they hide announcements, the longer they go without coming clean to supporters, the worse they look. Sadly, I don't think we have learnt a single thing from the last 2 years. Not one.


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Selecting the best available talent

Return on investment

Adelaide > Grundy Free Agent 2020
The problem.with being SA insular is that you rely on SA producing good footballers and enough elite talent for us to have.

We (SA) don't.

You can't go down a.path where we ignore elite talent just because they were not born in our state.

The reality is we retain more quality than we lose. Look at our best 22 and how many are not South Australians.

But there is an issue in trading in non SA elite talent.
Crows are caught between a rock and a hard place.

We can't only draft local SA born players because we don't produce enough talent - our population being 1/6 of Victoria's (and relatively decreasing I'm guess) and we usually don't have good enough draft picks to get the SA prospects with high talent when they do turn up in the draft.

We draft the best of non-SA - usually Victorians - and we risk them wanting to go home. We generally have an uphill battle attracting non-SA born talent because, let's face it, why would you?

So what to do? Draft the best we can, develop them and hope they create an attachment to Adelaide and what it offers to want to stay long term.

If they become elite and still want to go home, we get draft picks in return better than what we used to get them in the first place and then get to draft SA-born talent, draft good players again, or trade in good players.

And hey guess what, that's what Crows seem to have been doing over the years ... maybe they've already thought this through?

Dangerfield is a good example of this ... drafted a player we thought had potential, turned into an elite and eventually traded for a pick we could get Milera with (even if we didn't get as much from the trade as we think we should have). Let's face it, if we didn't have the pick from the Danger trade to get Milera, we'd be watching Wayne tear it up at Geelong or somewhere else. Fog is another example of this.

This approach is slow but we don't have much choice for now.


Adelaide > 2019 Draft - now with poll!
Absolutely you can, but is being a professional athlete just a job? I don't think you're looking to be the best if you're treating it just as a job. Got it live and breathe it if you wanna get the most out of yourself. The only real exception I can think of is Dusty.

Do I think he can still have a good career? yes.

Haileybury boy, who has interests outside of football and doesn't just live and breathe footy.... feels like a Jack Gunston on our hands.
I'm starting to think a bit of go-home factor is actually not a bad thing for the Crows.

Providing we are good at identifying the right players with ability and developing them (and trading), this is the reason why we have had a larger proportion of top end picks in recent seasons - given the club seems to be always against finishing low on the table.

Drafting the best talent we can means if they end up being good players they stay with us and we are stronger, or we may get increased return if they want to leave.

We used pick 14 to get Lever and we got two r1 picks for him (ok, we wasted those picks on getting Gibbs but that's a different matter). With Gov we used pick 43 to get him and eventually got pick 13 back. Cameron was a rookie and we got pick 12. These are all picks on top of what we get on top of what we usually get based on our table finish. Having these extra picks let's us either use them or trade up further.

The downside is it does take time but it eventually pays off as our last few seasons show with more having picks at the r1 end than the r5 end.

What might be worse is if we put an emphasis on drafting local SA players who end up being serviceable but not very talented that other clubs arent too interested in - we end up with a dead end player.
Exactly.

And let's not forget we might not have rated a lot of the SA draftees as high as they eventually went this draft but those that went undrafted we also showed no interest in them in the rookie draft either and we weren't alone with the only SA players to go in the rookie draft were mature aged Brad Close and Port F/S Trent Burgoyne. Other than that Port downgraded list players Boyd Woodcock and Riley Grundy to their rookie list.

What does it take to draft and successfully developing Elite footballers?

Crows' Approach

The problem.with being SA insular is that you rely on SA producing good footballers and enough elite talent for us to have.

We (SA) don't.

You can't go down a.path where we ignore elite talent just because they were not born in our state.

The reality is we retain more quality than we lose. Look at our best 22 and how many are not South Australians.

But there is an issue in trading in non SA elite talent.
Crows are caught between a rock and a hard place.

We can't only draft local SA born players because we don't produce enough talent - our population being 1/6 of Victoria's (and relatively decreasing I'm guess) and we usually don't have good enough draft picks to get the SA prospects with high talent when they do turn up in the draft.

We draft the best of non-SA - usually Victorians - and we risk them wanting to go home. We generally have an uphill battle attracting non-SA born talent because, let's face it, why would you?

So what to do? Draft the best we can, develop them and hope they create an attachment to Adelaide and what it offers to want to stay long term.

If they become elite and still want to go home, we get draft picks in return better than what we used to get them in the first place and then get to draft SA-born talent, draft good players again, or trade in good players.

And hey guess what, that's what Crows seem to have been doing over the years ... maybe they've already thought this through?

Dangerfield is a good example of this ... drafted a player we thought had potential, turned into an elite and eventually traded for a pick we could get Milera with (even if we didn't get as much from the trade as we think we should have). Let's face it, if we didn't have the pick from the Danger trade to get Milera, we'd be watching Wayne tear it up at Geelong or somewhere else. Fog is another example of this.

This approach is slow but we don't have much choice for now.

Related threads/posts:
* Drafting SA kids as a priority
* Why we haven't won a men's flag since 1998 [#47] [#50] [#65]
* Crows V Weagles 21 Feb [#1490]
Talent Identification
Identifying players who have the greatest ceiling
- players who have already matured/reached their maximum growth in their draft year may not have much more potential to improve

Having the best draft pick could make it easy to take the easy path and draft the best performing player in their draft year (especially if a club does not have adequate talent identification resources (scouts, skilled evaluators) - but do they also have the potential to develop further?
Player Development
Veteran Leadership
Hawthorn/Sydney and other clubs having success developing talent have been able to do so for a few reasons.

Good coaching - head coach, assistant coaches, development coaches, fitness staff etc are all part of the equation.

A key those better clubs tend to have though is veteran leadership and a strong club culture developed by the examples these veterans provide. Hawthorn have the established culture because they've had Hodge and Mitchell.

Sydney have also always had that and have the likes of Kennedy, McVeigh, Jack and Hannebery lead the way.

It's no surprise with Brisbane adding Hodge that they've suddenly become a competitive side. He's turned their culture around massively. Alex Witherden wrote a great piece on this very issue probably a months ago now.
I have long felt that that veteran leadership is the greatest key to building a winning team. And you can really see/feel the difference, particularly how stark it is between the great teams and the teams that continue to go through rebuilding cycles and get nowhere.

Gold Coast are the team in need of those veteran leaders more than anyone. Carlton too. Particularly if they want to get the most out of their younger players.

It's no coincidence that a Selwood at 7 is the best in his draft going to Geelong, Pendlebury at 5 to Collingwood, Franklin at 5 to Hawthorn. Sure they'd in all likelihood be great at other clubs. But having those veteran leaders around them at the time they were drafted and in those early years of development. That's why they're among the modern greats.

Then you look at a Gold Coast where they draft David Swallow with pick 1 (consensus number one), get Jaeger O'Meara (mini draft pick 1) and Jack Martin the next year with pick 1 in the mini draft. Sam Day at pick 3 looked like he had all the tools and has never come along either. You would have thought you'd be talking about each of those guys as being among the premier players at the competition based on who they were projecting to becoming as juniors. It's obviously they've never had a Luke Hodge. Ablett is an all-time great player, but he's a lead through performance guy who needs leaders around him to lead the group. He's not one who does as Hodge has in one year with Gold Coast. Gold Coast NEED that guy and a few others who in addition can set that culture and start driving things forward.
Gold Coast's list position is the competitions most dire, but also the most interesting in the AFL at the moment.

Losing Lynch (will get pick 3 as compensation), May looking to go (could get Brisbane's pick 4 via Melbourne - to become pick 5 after Lynch compensation). Aaron Hall exploring opportunities and possibly joining North Melbourne (they should probably aim for North's 2019 first round pick). And then on top of all that somehow having salary cap issues due to overpaying so many.

What makes Gold Coast's situation so complex in my view is that it's one thing to have good young talent, but it's another to have the capacity to develop it.

Brisbane made serious inroads this year with Luke Hodge coming on board.

Gold Coast are set to lose their two 2018 captains after losing their 2017 captain. Cutting Barlow and retiring Rosa who also were this season part of that leadership group.

Gold Coast don't have the personnel on their list at the moment to develop young talent. It's an even worse situation than when they drafted D.Swallow/Day/O'Meara/Martin in those early years with none of them nearly reaching that best in draft potential each were believed to possess. As things are standing, if they draft Lukosius/Rankine/Rozee they're drafting Adelaide's Tom Lynch/Allen Christensen/Hayden Crozier. Whereas if those guys are going to a team that maximises the development of their players those guys could be Nick Riewoldt with a better kick/a forward leaning version of McLeod/prime Dale Thomas.

It's a special draft up the pointy end (that better 7/8) but Gold Coast really need to do something. Coax Sam Mitchell, Andrew Swallow, Jobe Watson and Brent Harvey out of retirement, get Brendon Goddard as a delisted free agent, rookie list Alex Johnson. It's going to take a number of those kinds of names and a few young emerging guys who can carry those lessons on long term with is that secondary leadership layer Gold Coast as say a Brisbane have again using them as a quick and easy example with Zorko/Beams and to a lesser extent Andrews and Martin there to lead with Hodge's guidance. Maybe a Touk Miller/David Swallow could be a couple of those guys, but they really need a few more. They'd do well to swing a trade for Moore and Langdon if they're willing to make a move to Gold Coast as two uncontracted players who haven't committed anywhere with that leadership potential who could help drive that, if they have those veterans to help develop them as leaders as per Hodge.
I see it as an issue that goes beyond coaching.

Coaching is part of it and you want good coaches, but you've got club culture, veteran leadership, professional example on the track - in the gym and on matchday. All those components play a part and you don't want to be deficient in any of those areas. And from a veteran leadership perspective it's going to be a challenge for Gold Coast with few really high quality established players and each of the clubs three captains gone.

The article written by Alex Witherden on Luke Hodge's impact around the club is a perfect example of how profound the impact of veteran leadership and the development of that club culture and player development.

I don't see Gold Coast having that guy to create that environment, and with Gold Coast's development of high draft picks not what it should be (despite what I consider good talent ID) it's going to be an ongoing challenge for the club with the club losing so much this offseason.
Midfielder Types
As we (supporters) collectively think, write and pass judgement about our list in general and our midfield in particular one thing that I think gets lost somewhat is that we focus too much on individual players and not enough on the right combination(s) that we need.

For instance in the midfield I think the criticism of us is that we're too 'same, same' and lack the right blend of players. I think the optimal combination for the centre square midfield (aside from the ruck) is:
  • The Bull
    • Damaging, breakaway speed mid who is unstoppable 1-on-1 and who can go forward with great effect and ideally is strong in the air.
    • Not always getting 30+ but has high impact for touches.
    • Prototypes from the last decade are Dangerfield, Dusty, Petracca and Fyfe
  • The All-Rounder
    • The highly reliable guy who can play inside and out, runs hard both ways (and ideally big-bodied strong tacklers to boot) and then in the best of this genre are damaging with their possessions.
    • I think this is guys in the mould of Oliver, Jack Steele, Cripps, and so on.
  • The Accumulator
    • The guy who knows exactly where to run and gets his hands on the ball at the source and all over the ground to set up scoring chains. Strong over the ball and hard to tag and makes those around him a better player.
    • This is guys like Lochie Neale, Boak, Tom Mitchell, Merrett, et al.
The very best midfields not only have a frontline that cover each of these types but they've got depth across the board as well.

For us we've clearly got Laird and Crouch (for now) who can fill that Accumulator role but we've never covered the loss of Danger as the midfield Bull. Our other current mids in Sloane, Keays and Schoenberg for me are all of that All-Rounder type but Schoenberg is the only one who can damage the opposition and Sloane sadly just doesn't contribute enough across all areas to warrant his level of midfield time (or salary).

That's why I think our drafting and trading needs to focus on this glaring gap (unless I'm selling Pedlar short and he is potentially this player) and why Horne-Francis was so appealing as he seems tailor-made to fill this hole. It even makes the short-lived experiment with Fog to see if he could turn into a Stringer-type bull slightly more understandable but it seems that he doesn't have that capacity in him. Going back further it also perhaps justifies the decision to let Lyons go as we already had (in Matt Crouch) our preferred Accumulator and maybe that's why the Lions midfield mix (2x Accumulators - Neale & Lyons) doesn't seem to stand up in big games.
Scorpus' Statistical Analysis
Anyway, here's a breakdown, for players still in the AFL system, excluding Academy and father/son selections

Elite Player Definition: Made the All Australian team, won the Coleman medal, won the Norm Smith or won the Brownlow medal

Players who have won at least 3 of these awards are highlighted in green

Picked Before Pick 8
Jarrad McVeigh
Brett Deledio
Jarryd Roughead
Lance Franklin

Jordan Lewis
Marc Murphy
Dale Thomas
Josh Kennedy (WCE)
Scott Pendlebury

Paddy Ryder
Travis Boak
Joel Selwood
Trent Cotchin
Nic Naitanui
Michael Hurley
Dustin Martin
Andrew Gaff
Chad Wingard
Lachie Whitfield
Jake Stringer
Josh Kelly
Marcus Bontempelli
Clayton Oliver

Picked At or After Pick 8
Shaun Burgoyne
Aaron Sandilands
David Mundy
Eddie Betts
Dale Morris
Shaun Higgins
Shannon Hurn
Grant Birchall
Kieren Jack
Ben Reid
James Frawley
Jack Riewoldt
Shane Edwards
Todd Goldstein
Robbie Gray
Nick Smith
Patrick Dangerfield
Harry Taylor
Alex Rance
Scott Thompson (NM)
Easton Wood
Cale Hooker
Steele Sidebottom
Luke Shuey
Hayden Ballantyne
Dayne Beams
Dan Hannebery
Rory Sloane
Tom Rockliff
Luke Breust
Daniel Talia
Nathan Fyfe
Jack Gunston
Max Gawn
Dyson Heppell
Tom Lynch (GC)
Brodie Smith
Luke Parker
Michael Hibberd
Jason Johannisen
Toby Greene
Sam Docherty
Elliot Yeo
Rory Laird
Brodie Grundy
Dane Rampe
Patrick Cripps
Matt Crouch
Zach Merrett
Jeremy McGovern
Tom Stewart
Leaving aside that you've set your terms to capture a definition of elite different to that which the rest were using, now post the total number of players drafted before and after pick 8.
Seeing as though you are interested in whether having higher picks is better than lower picks, here is the evidence, using a much harsher (although arbitrary) metric of elite. Period of data is from 2000-2014.

Scorpus 05.jpg

Picks 1 to 7: 12 elite players
Picks 8 to 21: 12 elite players

If you had pick 1: 24/315 players you'd reasonably select to pick are elite, so 7.6% of the pool

At pick 4 you're down to 16/270 or 5.9%

If you had pick 8 and 13. At pick 8, we're looking at 12/210, pick 13 7/135. So at pick 8, 5.7% of the players in the remaining pool are elite, and at pick 13 we're down to 5.2%.

Of course at pick 1, 8 and 13 you are able to take any player selected after pick 21 as well.
I've stated in the past there is very little difference in quality between pick 3 and all the picks up to 14 (using the above analysis). At pick 15 there is a decline in quality and it becomes a shitshow after that point.

Scorpus 06.jpg

Using a logarithmic trendline there.

So picks 1 and 2 are very high chances (>40%). At pick 5 you're down to a 30% chance on the trendline but that only drops to 20% by pick 14 or so.

Scorpus 07.jpg

Of course this data only accounts for how a player turned out, so after development, not how good a player was at the time they were drafted.

In fact there are some indicators that the better developers of talent tend to have lower/worse picks because they are naturally better run, more successful clubs. These better run clubs more often make the finals, hence their worse draft picks. Whereas teams that languish at the bottom of the ladder consume a large number of single digit picks

Picks 10 through 14 (generally these picks were made by teams that made the finals) has an average very good strike rate of 31%, compared to just 23% for picks 4 through 9 (teams that generally failed to make finals)


Interesting threads
Why its harder for us to retain players


. oooooooo oowoo ooo oo .._.. o
 
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Crows & SANFL


Viability
There's no commercial viability, especially with the financial burden COVID put on the league, for a national AFL reserves competition.

Additionally, the SANFL is still the 2nd best league in the country and the benefit the AFC and Port get from developing players in it is one of the few advantages both sides have over (most of) the rest of the comp. In turn, the SANFL would 100% lose any form of relevance and become a glorified amateur league if Port and Adelaide removed themselves.

The issue is that the deal we signed up to (which Olsen as SANFL President was responsible for) was ridiculous and designed purely to prevent any kind of on-field success, despite everyone's concerns about 'integrity of the competition' at the time.

The best result for all parties is to sort this out and realise it is to everyone's mutual advantage to find a way that keeps both teams in the SANFL, by allowing them to compete fairly for the premiership each year. Otherwise, everyone loses.
It is commercially viable for us, the $460-$500k fee we currently pay the SANFL would cover the costs of 20 weeks of travel and that is presuming the AFL charge us for our opponents traveling.

Just some of the benefits to OUR team:
  • travelling as a whole squad - makes the playing list feel more as one, less "us & them" our club has been plagued with.
  • gets the youngsters into the routine of travel, preparing and playing footy at AFL venues.
  • playing to the same rules (and same inconsistent interpretations) in reserves and seniors.
  • being able to recruit the best available "top ups" if the AFL dont increase list sizes.
  • playing against similar skilled/developing opposition.

Some of the reasons to stay in the SANFL
  • the SANFL would lose any form of relevance.
  • Ummmmmmmm
If you think the standard of competition in a national reserves comp would be beneficial to our players development, you're wrong. There's not enough players on each AFL list to field a competitive second team anymore like there was in the 90s.

Instead of playing against players in the 2nd best league outside the AFL, you would be playing a bunch of draftees and top-ups every week. The gulf between a national reserves comp and the AFL would not be much less than the current gap between the NEAFL (or whatever it is called) and the AFL.

Let's say the cost we pay the SANFL is $500k. For 22 weeks, that is $22,727 each week to travel or host a match. Unless the AFL subsidises this somehow, which they will not as they can't afford it and there's no demand for the content they can cash in on, that's simply not enough.

We would be paying more, and getting much less in return by way of development of our younger players. Which is the entire reason we have a team in the SANFL currently - to develop our players faster and better than we could previously.
I agree the restrictions the SANFL implements are disadvantageous to us and should be removed as they belittle the competitions integrity, given there's basically no incentive for us to try and win. I intimated that in my initial post and believe a better agreement between us and the league would benefit both parties.

I do not agree with the statement that the SANFL is no longer the best league outside the AFL. Without any cross-comp league or Foxtel Cup to prove it, it's purely subjective at this point, however the rate at which we have been able to develop our younger players and the speed they have adapted to the standard of play at AFL level after 40-50 SANFL games, is an area where I believe we have done better than our peers over the last 5-10 years. Giving that away because people are shitty with the standard of umpiring in the SANFL is what I disagree with.

The AFL signed a TV rights deal that spans many years. They do not get the money up front. Additionally, they are heavily in debt because of the COVID pandemic which they went into with an appallingly small amount of $$ in reserve, clubs are in very financially precarious positions, and they are highly risk adverse as a result. Additionally, outside of a few people on BigFooty, the average AFL fan is not that interested in a reserves comp, either on TV or in person, and if there was any interest you would have seen it included in the TV rights deal already.

You reckon $1,000 per player isn’t enough for return airfares and 1 night accommodation in a shared room? If we were to be paying more, it won’t be a lot more. Melbourne games could even avoid the accommodation costs.
It's not even close to being enough. How are the coaches, support staff, medicos and equipment getting there and back in your budget? Factoring in that we would also be playing in Queensland and Western Australia, not just Victoria.
It's not local footy, they're not all the same staff. And if they were, they wouldn't be able to do anything for the reserves because they'd all be busy getting the AFL side ready. Plus, all of that assumes both sides are playing at the same ground on the same day, and isn't possible if they're in different locations.
I would think in a properly organised national reserves comp the games would be scheduled to reduce minimise costs for the reserves. You wouldn’t need too large a gap between games to get the support staff to be able to attend both. Plus you’re ignoring the reality that you could recruit local support staff that don’t require travel/accommodation. Do you need to train in Adelaide to run water in Melbourne?
The competition you are describing doesn't exist. If we joined the VFL as it stands today then what happens when we are playing Southport and the AFL team is elsewhere?

Secondly, even if it did exist like that, you could not use the same staff on the same day unless there was a huge gap between games, which would mean no one would attend the early match. You would need almost two of everyone, including medicos. Even if you could overlap some roles, it's still extra people who have to travel. And be accomodated. And fed.

Thirdly, if you just recruit extra people, there is still a soft cap on the football departments. Recruiting extra staff in each state would count towards that.

And once again, it is not local footy. The 'water runners' are not people who didn't get selected or played in the early game. They're actually qualified as physios or in other professions and you can't just recruit randoms to do the job like it's the ammos because they happen to be geographically convenient and have running shoes.

There is no feasible environment in which this is commercially or logistically viable outside of this forum, and barely any interest in it either. Working out a better arrangement with the SANFL is the best route forwards for both parties, regardless of what anyone wants.


2019 Rules for the Crows & PAFC
New 2019 Rules for the Crows & PAFC ...so how do the Crows stay within a salary cap?

The SA Football Commission concluded the annual review of the licence conditions and list regulations pertaining to the Adelaide and Port Adelaide Football Club participation in the SANFL competition and has approved the following as players eligible for the AFL clubs supplementary lists:

  • Any South Australian player who is attaining the age of 19 or older and who is not on the Senior List of a SANFL Club (which is a list of 40 players).
  • One Leadership Player who has attained the age of twenty six (26) years prior to or during the calendar year in which he is first included on the supplementary list who has been on any AFL list in the season immediately prior.
  • A maximum of four players from interstate that have attained the age of 18 on January 1st in the year in which they are first included on the AFL club supplementary list (turning 19) but who have not attained the age of 21 on January 1st , each of which can be listed for a maximum of two seasons.
  • AFL approved Next Generation Academy (NGA) and Father Son players can be temporarily permitted during their 18th and 19th years (the years in which they are eligible for drafting with concessions) if nominated by the AFL club they are aligned to. It should be noted that this is subject to the player electing and agreeing to being nominated by AFC and PAFC for temporary permit.
    • In the 18th year, such a player can be permitted for a period of four games, but will not be eligible for a permit if they have already played League Football at their SANFL club. The SANFL Club will receive a fee in the sum of $2,500.
    • In the 19th year, a nominated NGA and Father Son player would be available for selection at AFC or PAFC only. At the conclusion of their 19th year SANFL club will have the right to list the player on their senior list. The SANFL Club will receive a fee, in addition to any fee received in the players 18th year, in the sum of $5,000.
Also, a player payment cap will be introduced for the AFC and PAFC in line with the other SANFL clubs, consisting of:

  • Match payments at a maximum of $400 per League match.
  • An upfront/base payment maximum (per individual) of $4,000.
  • Total upfront/base payments (collective) of not more than $20,000.
  • In addition, the Leadership Player can only be paid a maximum upfront/ base payment of $20,000 and match payments of $500 per match. If the player was drafted from a SANFL Club prior to his AFL listing, there will also be a transfer fee payable to the SANFL Club in the sum of $25,000, as is the case if the player were to play for any other SANFL Club.
The AFC and PAFC contracted supplementary list will include:

  • A maximum Contracted Supplementary List of 10 players (including NGA and father son players in their 19th year, such players in their 18th year would be excluded).
  • A contracted supplementary list player is protected and cannot transfer without consent of AFC or PAFC. Only supplementary list players can be paid a base or upfront payment. Contract period is limited to 12 months (or one season).
  • Any player otherwise eligible for the supplementary list can be registered to play on permit from their community club with AFC or PAFC. There is no limit on the number of permitted players.
The changes to the list regulations will provide developmental opportunities at the AFC and PAFC for South Australian Next Generation and Father Son eligible players and other aspirational players who are lacking opportunity at SANFL League level or who are not a part of the SANFL competition. It also allows for listing of interstate players that the AFL clubs have an interest in working with and whom they believe may develop into players who could be listed on their AFL lists.

The changes will ultimately increase the pool of SANFL League quality players and maximise the resource of AFC and PAFC for South Australian talent development.

It has also been agreed by the PAFC and the SA Football Commission that the PAFC will no longer field a team in the SANFL Reserves competition. This results in an eight team Reserves competition for season 2019.

2022 SANFL Rule Changes [sanfl.com.au 20211027]

SANFL adjusts lists rules for AFL clubs [sanfl.com.au 20221027]
.....for 2023

.
 
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Crows-Carlton 2019 Pick Swap
My heart is set on Pick 1.
Picks 1-3 is probably a good result, Pick 4-5 is break even.
Realistically, Pick 5 gives us the best pick we've ever had. We'd be disappointed that it wasn't better, but not outraged.
If it's pick 6-7 then Carlton have got one by us.
TL;DR: Break even is pick #3 if we finish 7th.

OTOH, Crows usually don't get anything close to a sniff of a top 5 pick so it should be worth it, given we had the luxury of extra high picks last year and Hamish being able to bring in what looks like talent at later picks anyway.

I think last year's pick #19 was actually worth #16 due to the 3 Academy picks parachuting in (GC's compo pick affected all picks from #3 on). Given that there were a few additional players draft watchers thought would be rated no.1 in other years, let's say the pick we gave up would be worth #14 this year, where the depth is not as high.

So if we were to finish at the bottom half of the top8, we've given up #14 and #12 for Carlton's r1 pick this year so what would you consider break even for giving up #12 and #14 this year?

Based on recent pick only trades (below), clubs seem to roughly follow the draft pick points system, allowing for the "buying" clubs paying a bit extra and draft circumstances. If we were trying to buy Carlton's pick this year, we might have had to pay #12 and #14 for something like pick #3. If we finished 4th, it will be #15 and #14 with break even at #4.


2018: Port traded 11,23,30,49 for Freo's 6 & 2019 r3 - if the r3 pick is worth around the 45, then 6 was worth 11,23,30 - Port paid 3060 for 2098 draft points wise. Port would have been keen for the trade so probably overpaid ( by pick #17 worth?) & also strong draft.
2016: Bris traded 2,31,51,60 for GWS' 3,16 - 3528 for 3301. Port traded 9,19,49 for Syd's 14,17,31 - 2704 for 2792.
2015: GC traded 3,10,43 for Melb's 6,29,2016r1(10?) - 3941 for 3799.
2014: Crows traded 10,47 for Cats' 14,35 - 1711 for 1683.


AFC Trades/Draft 2015-2018

I did say you did need to look at the trade closely......and the subsequent trade that happened because of us getting their 2nd rounder last year.
Which included having to give up our 2nd round pick.

Due to the shit season we had last year we only ended up with a slight 2nd round upgrade, once you get into the 2nd round a slight upgrade is negligible.

Here are the respective deals

Lever + Pick 35 (2017) + Pick 47 (2018) for Pick 10 (2017) + Pick 19 (2018) + Pick 67 (2018)

Gibbs + Pick 24 (2018) + Pick 44 (2018) for Pick 10 (2017) + Pick 16 (2017) + Pick 33 (2018)

The deals are very similar, you could very easily argue that it was a straight swap between Lever and Gibbs.

We're always quick to claim that we got two firsts for Lever, but hesitant to admit that we paid two firsts for Gibbs even though they're almost identical trades.

Please detail all Reid's trades...
Imo, only 1 we paid overs on.
2015:

Dangerfield and 50 for Gore, 9 (to become 11) and 28 (to become 37). Drafted Milera with #11 and ontraded #37 to Port who picked up Bonner.
Ugly, the only saving grace would be if that Milera becomes a star. He has all the tools, he just needs to keep fit and to be played in the right decision. Reid may not have control over Milera's fate but this was way unders.

2016:

Lyons to GC for 43 and 67 (picked up Poholke and Signorello with these picks)
Many weren't happy that we traded Lyons for effectively peanuts but, honestly, this board overrates him. He did well in his first year at the Suns (helped by being surrounded by a bunch of spuds) but then Dew offloaded him after his second season. He hasn't exactly set the world on fire at Brisbane either.

Put all the eggs in one basket to get Gibbs but didn't want to pay up two first rounders. Some were livid but others praised him for not caving in, only to do this deal a year later. Poor period.

2017:

Lever, 35 and 2018 3rd for 10, 2018 1st and 4th.
Tick, but then took a gamble on the 2018 Lever pick with Carlton.

Wigg, 54 and 2018 4th for 39 (picked McPherson)
Both injury prone players. Meh.

Gibbs, 77, 2018 2nd and 3rd for 10, 16, 73 and 2018 2nd.
Massive overs, but this is obviously the one you're alluding to.

Cameron for 12.
Tick.

Two good trades, one horrible one and one in the middle.

2018:
Stengle for 68
A young, promising small forward for peanuts. Even if Stengle doesn't turn out, he's done well here.

19 and 2019 first for Carlton's 2019 first
The other Lever pick we gave away. A gamble that looked good at the time but with the way we're going... tough call.

McGovern and 2019 3rd for McAdam and Carlton's 2019 5th as well as the Swans giving 13 for our 40 (and Carlton's 26 and 28)
Not bad on face value, probably about right.

The Stengle, Lever, Cameron and McGovern trades look good on face value, Lyons and Wigg neither here or there with Gibbs and Danger being blunders. Not great but, as you said, not the biggest problem the club has at the moment.

Gibbs
After the wash out, the outcome of the Gibbs trade turned out quite complicated.

2017 AFC-CAR trade:
  • Out: Pick 10, Pick 16 and AFC's 2018 2nd Rounder (Pick 33)
  • In: Gibbs, Pick 77, Carlton's 2018 2nd Rounder (Pick 24) and 3rd Rounder (Pick 44)
2018 AFC-GWS trade:
  • Out: Carlton's 2018 2nd Rounder (Pick 24)
  • In: Pick 30, Carlton's 2019 2nd Rounder (Pick 24)


So if I'm following this correctly, and ignoring the later round picks, wash up of trades:
  • OUT: 2017 Pick 10 (O'Brien - CAR), Pick 16 (Richards WB), 2018 Pick 24 (B Hill - GWS), Pick 33 (Jordon - Melb)
  • IN: Gibbs, 2018 Pick 30 (Hamil), 2019 Pick 27 (Worrel)

Last year the Gibbs deal was looking heavily one sided, but given what Hamil has shown this year, it's looking quite palatable.

Edit: Worrel instead of Schoenberg.
The final washup for both clubs is an absolute nightmare to work out because picks got traded a lot. To the point, there is a part of the deal which is still "live". However if you want every tether from this deal explained, I'll do it, because its kind of fun to see how much the league ended up getting changed because of this deal. Resulting player from these picks denoted in italics as I do want to note that just because they were selected does not mean they go at that pick if this trade didn't happen. There are some trades I didn't include as well because this job was becoming a mammoth task and these deals don't directly impact either Adelaide or Carlton but I've put the end result in brackets. I might come back to it later tonight and add all of those tentacles.

The direct result was:

Gibbs + 2018 2nd (24, on traded) + 2018 third (44, on traded) + Pick 77 (unused) for 10 (O'Brien) + 16 (on traded) + 73 (Schumacher) + 2018 2nd (33 on traded)


Now, all the trades that ended up occurring from this trade:

That 2018 2nd was traded to GWS (Bobby Hill) + 2019 fifth-round pick (unused) for pick 28 (Hamill) + 2019 second-round pick for Carton (which would be on-traded again).

The 2019 second-round pick in the previous trade went to Sydney (used for Gould) + a 2020 4th for pick 27 (Worrell) + 2020 third (Fremantle).

The 2018 third would be in the three-way swap with Sydney and Carlton:
Carlton gained: McGovern + 2019 third (on-traded)
Adelaide get: 13 (McHenry) + McAdam + 2019 fifth (no one)
Sydney get: 26 + 28. Naturally, both those picks were on-traded.

Sydney traded pick 26 to West Coast for a 2019 third round pick (51, on-traded ends up resulting in GWS getting Ricardi)
Sydney traded pick 28 + Hannebury to Saints for 39 + 2019 2nd round pick (naturally, on-traded - ends up getting linked the Sharp deal to Geelong)

The 2019 third from Carlton got split into 54 + 63. Both get on-traded for Pittonet + 61 (unused)

Pick 16 (Richards) for Carlton would be traded alongside pick 40 to the dogs for 28 + 30 + 2018 2nd round pick (dogs).
Pick 28 is traded to GWS for Matt Kennedy. Direct swap, thankfully.
Pick 40 ends up at the Lions in another trade with the dogs - another tentacle as this gets linked to the Josh Schace trade.
2018 2nd rounder was involved in the McGovern trade

The 2018 2nd (Jordan) was also traded to Sydney in that deal. Ends up at St.Kilda.


So the final washup with everything that is included (and all the things that got linked to the nightmare behemoth that is the Gibbs trade). Italics are the player selected from the draft picks. Other clubs aren't included on this list though the true winner of this trade is probably Geelong.

Adelaide gained: Gibbs + 2018 2nd (28, Hamill) + 2019 2nd round (27, Worrell) + 2020 third (Fremantle) + 2018 1st (McHenry) + McAdam + 2019 fifth (no one)
Adelaide lost: 10 (O'Brien) + 16 (Richards) + 73 (Schumacher) + 2018 2nd (24, Hill) + 2019 2nd (25, Gould)+ 2019 fifth round pick (unused) + McGovern + 2019 third (51, Riccardi)

Carlton gained: 10 (O'Brien) + 30 (De Koning) + 73 (Schumacher) + Kennedy + McGovern + Pittonet
lost: Gibbs + 2018 2nd (24, Hill), 2018 third (44, McInerney) + McAdam selection rights + 2018 2nd (26, Foley) + 2018 second (28, Jordan)

I think that's the summary of the two major clubs, but you'd be hard-pressed to find a trade which really changed the complexion of the league as much as this trade did. I gave up after a while chasing all the links because fu** that.

In terms of winner? It certainly wasn't football. That's for sure.
 
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Pardon me while I get a bit greedy grabbing some more reserved posts. :$



From
Post:.....

He created those off the back of some pretty handy concessions (namely the ridiculously Victorian-biased Father-Son rules the AFL had in place), and quite a few 1st and 2nd rounders in some really deep draft pools.

If you're referring to 2007 onwards, in that time we've lost six A-graders, before losing another potential A-grader this year in McGovern.

Name me one other club who has lost that many A-graders over such a short period of time and still won a flag? Please, indulge me.

Jack Gunston alone went on to win three flags (as many as Geelong in their period of gift-wrapped dominance) almost immediately after crossing to Hawthorn. He went on to lead Hawthorn's goalkicking in two successive years (including their last Premiership year). Gunston is an All Australian. Left us for pittance and played a key role in the Hawks side who defeated an undermanned Adelaide outift by less than a kick in the 2012 Prelim Final.

Kurt Tippett went on to play in a GF for Sydney and was twice the leading goalicker (once for us, and once for Sydney in the year they made the GF). Left us for pittance.

We were then left with a young Taylor Walker to spearhead our attack - who then did his ACL that same year. We were then left with the virtually untried Josh Jenkins and Tom Lynch as our KPF stocks.

Phil Davis went on to co-captain his club to three successive Prelim finals. He is regarded as one of the best Key Defenders in the AFL. We received a compensatory 1st round pick, while being left with an ageing Ben Rutten, and a 21 yr old Rising Star winner Daniel Talia to carry our entire backline on his young shoulders...

Nathan Bock was a B&F winner and All Australian CHB. Left us for pittance, left Ben Rutten to carry the entire defence as Andy Otten was on the comeback from his first ACL and Scott Stevens was a battler at best.

Otten would subsequently play as one of two underdone KPD's (Luke Thompson being the other) against Hawthorn in that 2012 Prelim, after Talia broke his arm.

Patrick Dangerfield is a Crows B&F winner, a two-time Geelong B&F winner, a SIX time All Australian and Vice Captain AA, a Leigh Matthews Trophy Winner, an AFLCA Player of the year and won a Brownlow Medal the year after leaving us for, you guessed it, pittance.

Do I really need to go into detail as to how much losing a player of Dangerfield's quality would hurt any club in the AFL? It cannot even be overstated.

We were also sanctioned during that time and subsequently stripped of two years worth of 1st and 2nd round picks for doing something Victorian clubs have been doing for decades and still do to this very day, yet STILL nailed our late picks those two years, bounced back and played in finals three straight years culminating in a GF appearance only four years after the ridiculous sanctions (only two years after our head coach was murdered, and one of our finest administrators in Dean Bailey passed away, in case you've forgotten).

What we have achieved as a club is nothing short of a miracle, given what we've been up against in the last decade alone (the first decade almost pales in comparison, but that in itself was hellish).

I am proud of our ability to identify and develop talent, I would obviously just like to see more of that elite talent stick around and actually achieve the highest possible success, together.

You said "has made finals 13/14 seasons without high draft picks" - Ok so define "high draft picks" because Adelaide have only had TWO "high draft picks" (inside the top 8 picks) throughout our entire existence... 28 years.... just think about that for a second.

If we're being reasonable here, let's use 1st and 2nd rounders as a qualifier, because to any Adelaide supporter - those are what we would generally define as "high" draft picks.

1997:
Rd 1
Pick 15 - Joel McKay

Rd 2
Pick 29 - Mark Woolnough (F/S)

Rd 3
Pick 38 - James Rahilly
Pick 40 - Matthew Scarlett (F/S)
Pick 54 - James Wood
Pick 61 - Tim Finocchiaro

TWO Father-Son picks on the cheap in a single year, like c'mon :rolleyes:


1998:

Rd 2
Pick 17 - Peter Street
Pick 21 - David Clarke (F/S)
Pick 24 - David Wojcinski

Three 2nd rounders is hardly anything to complain about :think:


1999:

Rd 1
Pick 8 - Joel Corey
Pick 15 - David Spriggs

Pick 17 - Ezra Bray

Rd 2
Pick 23 - Daniel Foster
Pick 31 - Paul Chapman

Rd 3
Pick 38 - Cameron Ling
Pick 47 - Corey Enright


Three picks inside the 1st round and FIVE picks inside the first two rounds :eek:

2000: All late picks (which included Josh Hunt at pick 44) and Max Rooke at Pick 41 in the Rookie Draft.


2001:

Rd 1
Pick 8 - Jimmy Bartel
Pick 17 - James Kelly


Rd 2
Pick 23 - Charlie Gardiner
Pick 24 - Steve Johnson

Rd 3
Pick 40 - Gary Ablett Jnr (F/S) - do I even need to say it?
Pick 41 - Henry Playfair

Rd 6
Pick 69 - Matthew McCarthy

Rd 7
Pick 81 - David Johnson

So FOUR picks inside the top 24 of a SUPERDRAFT, plus Ablett for a bag of crisps, as I've mentioned previously due to the draconian Vic-centric Father-Son rules in place at the time.


2002:

Rd 1
Pick 7 - Andrew Mackie

Rd 2
Pick 23- Tom Lonergan

Rd 3
Pick 36 - Tim Callan (F/S)
Pick 42 - Matthew Spencer

Rookie Pick 40 - Shannon Byrnes

Two high picks with your 2nd rounder being early, and yet another Father-Son.

2003:

Rd 1
Pick 7 - Kane Tenace

Rd 2
Pick 22 - Cameron Thurley

Rd 3
Pick 38 - Mark Blake (F/S)

Oh look another Father-Son late pick who went on to be a Premiership player! :rolleyes:


2004:

Rd 2
Pick 32 - Brent Prismall

Rd 3
Pick 48 - Nathan Ablett (F/S)

And another one...

2005:

Rd 1
Pick 15 - Travis Varcoe

Rd 2
Pick 31 - Trent West
Pick 35 - Stephen Owen

Rd 3
Pick 47 - Ryan Gamble

Rd 4
Pick 61 - Matthew Stokes

Another three picks inside the first two rounds for Wells.

2006:

Rd 1
Pick 7 - Joel Selwood

Rd 2
Pick 25 - Nathan Djerrkura

Rd 3
Pick 41 - Tom Hawkins (F/S)

Wouldn't you know it, yet ANOTHER cheap Father-Son who went on to play a key role in Geelong's flags...


So that's 22 Premiership players bolded of which:
7 came from the 1st round
4 came from the 2nd round (not including F/S picks)
3 came from the 3rd round (not including F/S picks)
1 came from the 4th round
2 came from the Rookie Draft
5 came from Father-Son picks who cost no more than a 3rd round pick - almost a quarter of the 22 listed...

That's without mentioning Harry Taylor, another 1st round pick to add to the seven previously mentioned Premiership stars taken in that round.

I did omit Darren Milburn, who Wells deserves great credit for taking late, in his first draft in charge no less :thumbsu:

But all in all, it's hardly "anything to boast about" as to the quality of recruitment. Without being disrespectful (as I do have respect for his body of work), he did have those F/S selections handed to him on a platter.

I also found it slightly ironic that you chose to use the time period 2007 onwards in your whinge regarding not having any high picks to work with, given the AFL had to revamp the F-S rules that year in light of Geelong already having benefitted more from the previous archaic F/S system than any other club in the history of the AFL.

I think it's important to take in the whole picture when attempting to sling mud from afar. I've given you an in depth look at both sides of the coin - perhaps you'll think differently when you look at Adelaide's achievements to date, perhaps not.

As a supporter who has learned to never take for granted our past successes, or present failures in the face of great adversity, I think as a Geelong supporter you're about to begin to very much assimilate with that train of thought over the coming years - this is when Mr Wells will truly earn his money.

.
Bicks

If we can't beat a depleted Essendon at home with finals on the line, we may as well pack it in.

But...

They have the game to beat us if they get enough of the ball. This game is all about whether we have a midfield worth caring about. Lose this and we may as well put the whole lot of them on the trade table.

Bombers by 9 points

As I suspected, the question has been answered.

Can we agree now how putrid our midfield is?

Really need to do is rebuild and have the balls to trade both the Crouch’s while they still have some value

Against Port you said our midfield was putrid because the clearances were 45 - 27 in Port's favour....and i50's were 66 - 42 in Port's favour.

Tonight you're saying our midfield was putrid when the clearances were 50 -28 in the Crows favour , Centre Clearances 17 - 9 in the Crows favour...and the i50's were 52 -50 in the Crows favour.

Think tonight's loss was an indication it's not the midfield that was particularly putrid, but our forward structure....and I think you'd have to agree apart from one gem of goal Tex was largely putrid tonight and Talia and Hartigan not far of it.

Simplistic. Check those same stats after half time, particularly at key points in the game.

We had 5-19 i50s in the third quarter, that's midfield, pure and simple.

Game was always going to be about our midfield. As predicted, they wilted under pressure. Clean them out.

Can we just get rid of the Crouch brothers now - there I said it

Our mids cant stop a player with a tackle. None of them.

Port and now Essendon just ran and handballs down the corridor without fear of being tackled.

It is not a speed thing either. It is poor tackle technique and defensive awareness.

All of our mids are one way.


But ,but, but it's that putrid midfield remember!!!

What the fu** would Paul Roos know anyhow hey?

Come on Bicks, its over. Ever wonder that maybe what Roos is saying is occurring because our entries are shallow, we miss targets consistently and we rarely go up the middle?

Your Ballarat boy is the laziest midfielder in the comp, and if you want to argue that point I've got a dozen examples to show you.


Get f’ed

Yeah nice effort. About as pea hearted as Brad.

Was he saying that when we were dominating the entire 1st half?

Game is won after half time. Our mids throw up their hands when coal face intensity lifts. The stats don't lie on this one.

Like your mate Pete the other day get double f’ed, at least Pete's a decent bloke not an a-hole like you.

Sorry Mrs Crouch...

PS Petes an arseh*le too, he wants both your boys gone 😘

I'll do better I'll be gone a-hole.

You've lost the plot. Go have a lay down.
 
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Member Recollections of Past Trades


GROTTO said:
Ayres screwed us. Taking a cooked Carey over a younger Pav was one of the biggest mistakes we made as a Club, imo cost us a flag.
Pav was definitely ready to come home at the time.
...
I knew his family and friends.

------------------------------

James_37 said:
Ayres screwed us. Taking a cooked Carey over a younger Pav was one of the biggest mistakes we made as a Club, imo cost us a flag.
Pav was definitely ready to come home at the time.
This was the big one. We had the chips in Pick 4 to potentially get the deal done, but then decided to pay massive overs for Carey.

Carey was worth at best a pick in the 20’s. As good as he was, he was coming off a year out of the game, his shoulders were shot and he was into his 30’s.

Pav should have been the number 1 target, not Carey. Get Pav and then grab Carey if the chips still fall that way.

You’d think so having traded pick 2 (was 3 when we traded it) but looking through the draft it was very average apart from Mackie at 7 , Jobe Watson at pick 40 - maybe FS?
Robert Shirley at pick 56 was reasonable by us.
It was pick 4 when we traded it. Carlton had the first 2 picks thanks to a PP. There were 2 standouts in that draft, Goddard and Wells, after that there was a fair drop off and history pretty much backs this up. The AFL screwed us, and Richmond for that matter, by waiting till after trade week to relieve Carlton of their picks. If it were pick 2, Richmond were on record as saying they wouldn’t have traded it to us for Johnson either.

The trade should be judged as pick 4 and not pick 2. Still though, we paid too much for Carey and shouldn’t have ignored Pav, but hey that’s what happens when you have Trigg, Ayres and Reid heading list management...

The other point to make with Carey, is that he was actually coming good in 2014 before the neck injury that ruined his career. Was on track for a 50 goal season and potentially had another year or 2 in him. Sure he wasn’t the Carey of the 90’s, but was still a bloody good forward (go watch the games against Hawthorn and Essendon in 2014 for proof of this).

It wasn’t all Ayres/Triggs/Reid’s fault though... The footy gods did not smile on the Carey trade for us, from the start we were getting screwed over with the draft pick issue and it continued with square posts and then freak neck injuries.

------------------------------

jumboprince said:

> I don't know if Carey would of got on with Craig.

Yeah he would have, Craig played with the Jumboprince himself, he knew what it was like to have a gifted player in the side. In a time Sturt had a ton of great players, they also had Davies, a player that read the way the play was going, ignored instruction and went there to influence play.

Pretty sure the story goes that Jack Oatey barked at the runner to find out why Davies was playing in the F 50 instead of a kick behind play, the runner went out to Davies, ad a chat, ran back and told Oatey on the phone that Davies said he was winning the bloody match for Sturt down there, that's what he was doing ignoring instructions and Oatey laughed and said of course he is, that's why he's a bloody champ.*

*Story may not be 100% word for word but is a legend of Jumboprince. Oatey was like Craig ( except the winning GFs bit), they all have their favourites when they have a dead set champ in the side.

I can understand people saying why did we get Carey but we were a game off the GF with our forward line needing improvement and the greatest CHF of the modern game became available, I just can't blame Ayres for putting all the eggs in one basket, at the time I'd probably have done the same. Sucks we didn't get Pav but that is 20/20 hindsight

------------------------------
 
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Rebuilding Player Lists 101

Finally someone gets it. Stack the list in a strong draft is the way to go. See who falls to our picks and take them. Luko and Rankine could do a knee in the pre season training, where does does that leave you?
Cost is way too much IMO. Rozee or Hately will be available @8 just stay put and their talent level is not to be sneezed at. Plenty of really good Vic talent around those picks as well. I've been around too long to get sucked in by the hype surrounding draft picks. Some are touted and bomb out. Mitch Thorp is a classic example.
I have a lot of issues with these two posts:

Firstly stacking the list with drafted talent is a terrible idea right now (as it is in a lot of situations), unless you believe this list should be slashed and burnt down to the ground in 2020. Now that's not going to happen as majority of our key players are in the side until the end of 2020-2021. This means that spots are going to be hard to come by (as you're relying on blooding spots) and stacking a list with talent in a situation where spots are hard to come by is only going to lead to under development of players, or players leaving after 2 years as simply put, they're caught up in that logjam and another team offers a quicker path (which is the single worse situation for a club to be in as you're forced into a loss). The amount of prospects any club has needs to be managed with how quickly a spot can be opened up, two prospects (3 to 4 if you include Fogarty/Gallucci who are a year/2 years advanced) can be managed rather easily. 4-5 would resign players to having no path until season 3-4 (especially if we get good talent in next year).

The second issue here is the payoff isn't as big as it could be. Sure Rozee and Hately may be nothing to sneeze at talent wise, however, Luko/Rankine is a step above that. Every club who has won a premiership has had a small core of superstars to build around. Not only that, but I would say potential superstars from SA should be such a priority for us as for three reasons - firstly this state has a track record that cannot be relied on, and this could just be a small oasis in the middle of the desert, secondly they are cheaper salary wise for their entire career if we draft them now (as you don't deal with the excess cost to attract them back, and you have them settled from the get go) and thirdly it is much easier to attract talents like Hately/Rozee back to SA as they aren't at the pinnacle talent wise.

The third issue is "what if they injure themselves" and the answer is so what? If you're worried about that you may as well fold as a club. What if Sloane has a knee reconstruction, are you going to be angry we signed him? It's a known risk and hell your plan could have every single one of them go down with knee recos week 1 of preseason. Similar to the "oh they could be the next Mitch Thorp" again the issue is really "so what?", you got the best talent you could have gotten and it didn't work out. That a shrug and move on thing as no one will ever begrudge a side for going for the best possible result it could get, nor has a side died wondering.

In essence this is being scared of a "risk" you're actually advocating a path that has much more risk and less payout.

...
Coaching aside , 4 things that can determine win/loss for the season season and Brisbane ticked every box. 1 Fantastic run with injury,2 traded in players prove great, 3 youth kick on and develop, 4 win close games .
So it can be done but very unlikely to get all 4 in a season. Following the Saints for decades I've seen when hardly any of the 4 come together
...
I remember everything. It's a curse.

I think that if you're going to have a rebuild you need to be rotating out your C and D grade players but keeping your elite talent. Half your midfield at least needs to be mature bodies otherwise your forwards aren't going to get a chance and your defenders will be under siege. Contending teams blood youngsters in non critical/structural positions, those young bodies at half back, half forward, forward pocket etc. Those positions don't rely on them winning their own ball, they can be fed the ball by the mature body that won it.

If you plan your rebuild to have one junior at each stoppage with two mature players there, then you're not going to get as smashed in clearances.

I'd be worried about a team that plays young players in both key defender spots, the ruck, both key forward spots, all three inside mid roles and either of the wing roles. Each specialty needs it's own skills, most require years of training, especially the high running wing roles. You'll get 3/4 out of a guy putting him on the wing in year one and smashed in ball movement late in every quarter.

And they do need to have players living the life, playing on the weekend with them, setting the example.
Knightmare's thoughts on GWS, GCS & Carlton list building

The real grand final in 2016 was the PF against the dogs, Ward was taken out very early, most giants fans would argue had he not been that's the maiden flag.
The following year we lost Shiel very early in the same game, in what was more arguably the real GF.

You are evaluating list management without proper recognition of the the circumstance effecting outcomes relating to that list management.
You have also neglected to mention the dramatic, unforeseeable (to the list management team when making choices) and early end to list concessions that forced us to give away players of note.
I love your work here in general, but respectfully the posts made here reacting to this topic are deficient compared to your normal levels of research.

My comment re. GWS winning 2 by now was solely relating to my prediction from before the club joined the AFL.

Naturally with time I've learnt a lot more about the game and how hard it is to win, how random the results can see sometimes.

That said, the past two years and I'll call it a third year now, for mine GWS on paper have had the best list and best 22 in the competition.

As with any club through the list building process, as I've acknowledge in my earlier posts, some things the club did well, in other ways I've felt the club have not made the most of their chances and made some strategic mistakes. And you name a team and I'll call out in detail where I feel they've gone wrong. No club is 100% right or perfect in their approach and do different things better/worse than the next.

So building a list from scratch and making 2 prelims is a failure in list management?
Your standards are high

Given the concessions - prelisted players, all the picks awarded over two years, mature agers who could be traded, all the zone picks and then academy picks. Absolutely.

Obviously they are doing much better than Gold Coast. Not that GWS have picked better than them, but at least from a list building perspective they have been able to attract a lot more quality opposition talent.

With GWS, few recognise the age profile of their list. They're in 2018 the third oldest team in the competition. Both 2017/2018 they have average ages over 24. With an average age of 24 and with the concessions GWS have and the list they have built. You have to expect premierships. There is no getting out of it. Particularly when you have more former first round and high first round picks on your list than any other club - even before counting prelisted players.

List management doesn't win you premierships. It gets you in the position to win them, it's the coaches, gameplan and mental fortitude that win the day.
Your constant subtle undermining of SOS is pretty odd. i'm guessing you two don't get along?
Anyways it seems you're just being stubborn and not seeing plain common sense because the vast majority of the footy world would rate the gws list as the best in the comp or close to the best at minimum.
They were a couple of kicks from a couple of grand finals and will have another decent run at it this year.
The list build worked.
Perfect and obvious comparison is GC. That build did not work.

Good list management is an essential component to winning premierships. But it's simply one ingredient. Coaching, veteran leadership, fitness staff, the culture being built, playing development. The more of those boxes ticked, as emphatically possible, that puts you in a winning position.

Re. SOS. It is my understanding of the history of the draft that has me at odds with his list management strategy. Where do the great key forwards come? They're in the most part first round picks or father-sons.

I've also had a long standing methodology with key forward identification and based on my pre-draft evaluations, SOS continually adds KPPs who rate poorly.
My formula as I've long shared is as follows:
Production (if they're not producing as juniors, they're not going to at AFL level)
Talent (looking at points of different)
Rate of improvement (year to year improvement is an essential component to successful KPF evaluation)
*Give it a 0/0.5/1 for each KPF.

Further to this. Do you want a dud KPF? What about 15 KPPs with more than 10 of them duds and wasting list positions? Each list position needs to be focused on identifying players to improve your best 22.

I don't consider SOS' methodology regarding drafting of so many KPPs - particularly when you're drafting them with the knowledge they're probably not even going to be best 22 with others already on the list more talented. It defies logic.

SOS has made some sound trade decisions. Bringing in Mumford to GWS was perfect. Likewise Shaw. Full marks. Same goes with bringing in the likes of Ward, Davis and the other young, established players. Full marks.

As with all list managers. SOS does some things well, but other areas he can improve, just as we all can.

Re. GWS' list. They've had the best list in the comp for the past 3 years. This year more than the last two they've more flawed, but still far more talented than any other. I do feel though that the process could have come along quicker. They're key players are in their mid 20s now. They're in that peak performance career stage, so they should be annihilating opponents.

I’ve enjoyed reading your posts over the years but what’s coming through loud and clear now is that you have 2 blind spots. One is Collingwood and the other Carlton. You can’t seem to evaluate either rationally.

Silvagnis logic in building a list is generally a pretty conservative approach. It’s not rocket science. I could go over it but there’s just no point as your mind appears closed. Especially in regards to silvagni who you have been very critical of in the past.

You also make such definitive one dimensional comments about players that it rings alarm bells about your judgement. Some comments above appear way off the mark. One example is MacReadie, one of the more athletic talls in the competition, who always attacks and runs with the ball when taking possession. But no, this guy provides no rebound, full stop. Will he make the grade, l don’t know, but your description appears poor and l can’t understand how someone who applies so much careful logic to the evaluation of draftees suddenly comes up with such simplistic comments.

We all have our biases but it is those that take the time to challenge them who ultimately make the best decisions.

Finally, and l guess lm at fault now, analysis of Carlton’s recruitment is over taking this thread and theres already endless analysis in the Carlton forum. Your views on potential draftees is far more interesting.

Regarding the Carlton players identified - I simplified for readability. I don't have the time to put together a player by player thesis. Macreadie I agree with you will show a willingness to run. To be more specific on him not rebounding - it's more out of the lack of ball he finds due to the focus on playing an accountable variety of game. Consider he only had 11 disposals and 2 marks last week in the VFL, 2 disposals the week before. Two of his three other games no more than 10 disposals or three marks.
To be an effective key defender today, you need to be a 100+ mark, 250+ disposal player per 20 games for a rough feel. Macreadie if he plays 20 games would not come close to achieving either of those standards.

I'm more than happy to break down where Collingwood are weak from a list management perspective and what they continue to get wrong, or any other team for that matter.

GWS and Carlton are the two topical teams, so they're the teams I have the opportunity to break down at the moment. SOS having been that major recruiter at both clubs unfortunately is on the other end of my analysis. But that's the way it goes when he's been a part of two of what are currently among the more interesting list management situations.

There is no one guaranteed strategy of winning a premiership and to allude that your approach will guarantee a flag in 2015 ( ie in their third season of afl football) is both wrong and arrogantly assumes your approach is the best.

Richmond is improving due to confidence in their system and having a deep list full of guys wanting to bust into that side ie a list of 30 players rather than just a best 22. Don't forget it has taken the tiges at least a decade to reach this point.

The basis for the Hawk three peat started before 2008 and specifically that period when they picked up hodge, lewis, buddy, roughhead, mithcell , ellis. This was 2002. They picked up experienced players after their kids had played 100 game each, they had already won a flag, and they had players who wanted to play at the hawks for reasonable salaries. So your hawks example actually disproves your strategy.

Established senior players outside of Sydney would have only wanted to play at GWS if receiving overs so there goes your salary cap. To suggest that you could get enough senior guys to propel the remaining young kids into a premiership in 2015 is mind boggling. Have you considered which foundations kids wouldn't have been there if they had traded some of those picks for experienced talent.

The strategy you suggest sounds like the GCS approach who brought in multiple experienced players - how has that ended?

Finally to suggest that if GWS wins a flag they will become a destination club, like a Hawthorn for example, does not into account the fact, because its not Victoria, they will have to pay overs to get senior players. Additionally I foresee that after they win their first flag it will hasten the number of guys wanting to go home.

Do remember my expectation of 2 premierships as a worst case scenario was my thinking before GWS had played their first game.

Regarding Hawthorn in 2008. They weren't the best team in the competition that year, Geelong were. But Hawthorn did have the leadership in place already. Hodge and Mitchell both were established leaders. They also still had Crawford. They had young up and comers, but also a nice blend of experience and players in that age bracket where they had enough years under their belts to win.

Regarding salary cap squeeze. You build a winner and players will take a discount if you're winning premierships. To ensure there is room to keep the list together, it just means those good players outside the best 22 can be moved.

The issue with GCS list strategy was - they didn't get young established players to grow with their list. They went other than Harbrow with guys who were not young enough to all be around for when they become contenders which was a mistake. Also the veterans they secured I wouldn't regard as the strongest leaders, so they didn't even tick that box with none of those guys coming on board those who help to elevate the games of your youth which is what their value needs to be beyond on field performance to be successful list additions.

We'll have to agree to disagree re. the logic of players wanting to go home after a premiership. If you're winning and potentially winning who knows how many flags in a row. Most in my view would want to stay and be a part of that something historic as GWS were at the time viewed as likely achieving. Not that that has come to fruition.

I used to think the Crows were just amazing drafters. But no team can get it right all the time via the draft. Its clear that they arent just good at identifying talent but they are amazing at developing it.

Lose Bock. Develop Phil Davis.
Lose Davis. Develop Talia.
Develop Lever.
Lose Lever. Develop Doedee.

that's not just a run of good fortune at the draft. that is incredible player development.

Regarding KPP development. Agree entirely about Adelaide. The other club I have in that conversation, though just a smidgen behind Adelaide is West Coast.
Kennedy/Darling/McGovern/McKenzie/Glass/Schofield/Lynch. They've done an incredible job over the years also.

I thought it was interesting that KM said that GWS should have been contending from 2014.

ie, the third season of the Shiel, Cameron, Coniglio group. Whitfield's 2nd season.

Whilst players can be very good by their 3rd season, the reality is that it isn't common. Not everyone develops at the pace of Oliver.

Most guys are reaching their peak by their 7th or 8th season. Which, as it turns out, would be the 2018 season for their initial drafted core.

The guys they brought in are and were seen as being of a quality that they could.

From season one they all were really good. Development not as linear as expected and a lot of them based on their talent really are underachieving.

Historically there are some all-time greats who have achieved their success early on. James Hird as a 22/23 year old played his best football. Michael Voss did as a 19-21 year old. Chris Judd played his best football at 22/23. I agree typically around 24-28 are those absolute peak years, but when we're talking about the quality we're talking about, these are the most elite guys from an all-time loaded draft class in 2011 when you bundle in all the zone and prelisted players. It's a group that on paper looked like it could win earlier, particularly with some already established young players joining them and the thought that others would be able to be recruited in future seasons to join.

...
GWS' concessions are not like any rebuild. If a club finishes last, they get pick 1. In an 18 man per side game, pick 1 doesn't move the needle all that far. The following concessions awarded to GWS is a different story and is an incredible amount more than just pick 1. And that's before assuming that after that first season, they're probably finishing right at the bottom having not played together.

Consider the following concessions:
"National Rookie access
GWS selected a dozen 17-year-olds born between January and April 1993. Most of these players relocated to Sydney and have been training full time with the club in 2011. These players can remain at the club in 2012 or can be traded for experienced AFL players in TRADE WEEK."

Tomas Bugg, Jeremy Cameron, Sam Darley, Tim Golds, Josh Growden, Jack Hombsch, Dylan Shiel, Adam Treloar, Gerald Ugle and Nathan Wilson

"2010 NAB Rookie Draft
GWS were given selections 1-8 in last year’s rookie draft. Rookies are selected as young, developing players who are under 23 and do not sit on the senior team at an AFL club. Most clubs have around six rookies who can be elevated to the senior team during the season if a player is injured or retires."

Steve Clifton, Jonathan Giles, Rhys Cooyou and Andrew Phillips.

ON THEIR WAY
"Players in the GWS’ Zone

GWS have zoned access to up to 16 NSW players from Southern NSW and the ACT. Some of these players have already arrived at the club and the zoned access continues from 2010 until 2013. The GIANTS also have zoned access to players from the Northern Territory from 2011 until 2013."

Kurt Aylett, Josh Bruce, Shaun Edwards, Curtly Hampton, Anthony Miles, Sam Schulz, Tim Segrave, Jacob Townsend and Mark Whiley

Traded: Jed Anderson

2011 NAB AFL Draft
GWS will have the first selection in each of the three rounds in this year’s draft, which will be held in western Sydney. In the first round of player selection, GWS have nine of the first fifteen picks including: 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13 and 15.

Jonathon Patton, Stephen Coniglio, Dom Tyson, Will Hoskin-Elliott, Matt Buntine, Nick Haynes, Adam Tomlinson, Liam Sumner, Toby Greene, Taylor Adams, Devon Smith and Tom Downie.

2011 NAB Rookie Draft
GWS will alternate with the Sydney Swans for NSW rookies and will have the first selection in this draft.

Sam Frost - passed on other opportunities in PSD + rookie draft.

AFL Listed Player Access
An AFL ‘List’ is a club’s team. There are two parts to this concession.
1. GWS can select 10 players who have been nominated for the AFL Draft in previous years or players who have been listed with an AFL club in the past (including retired players who have been delisted). The GIANTS have the opportunity to list these 10 players at the end of the 2011 and 2012 season.
2. GWS can sign up to 16 current uncontracted AFL players. They can sign one player from each AFL club unless a club agrees to trade more than one player to the club. These uncontracted players can be signed at the end of the 2011 and 2012 seasons. Clubs with uncontracted players who choose to play for the club will be given compensations draft picks from the AFL.

1.
2011:
Retained: Tim Mohr, Adam Kennedy
Traded: Luke Brown, Marty Clarke, Jamie Elliott, Steven Morris, Terry Milera, Adam Saad, Jarrad Boumann,
Traded: Tom Lee, Dom Barry

2.
2011: Phil Davis, Callan Ward, Rhys Palmer, Tom Scully, James McDonald, Sam Reid.
*Luke Power, Dean Brogan and Chad Cornes via trade.
2012:
*Stephen Gilham and Bret Thornton via trade.

Existing AFL players through ‘GWS mini-draft’
GWS have been given access to four 17-year-olds born between January and April 1994. These players WILL NOT be at the club. They need to be traded to other clubs during TRADE WEEK. The GIANTS can use these players to trade for established AFL players at other clubs. GWS can trade these four 17-year-olds in either the 2011 or 2012 TRADE WEEK."

Jaeger O'Meara/Brad Crouch/Jack Martin/Jesse Hogan - for trading.

--
With these concessions - assumptions that GWS would be a good side in 2014 is reasonable, understanding the names and chances they've had with 2015 onwards when they'd be thinking about competing for premierships. They could have retained a number of those mature agers, maybe they could have traded some of those mini-draft types for players. Maybe some of those who want to go home can be traded in moves for players and not just picks.

GWS did a lot of things right, but they also did a lot sub-optimally with some of these alterations perhaps meaning GWS claim the 2016 and 2017 premierships given the evenness both years and how little really separates the clubs.
 
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St.Kilda Supporter
Plenty of people support a different team than their parents/family. I've heard him speak many times about being a St Kilda supporter. When he first became CEO he toured all the Clubs and introduced himself to players and staff. One of his anecdotes was that while visiting the Saints, he got into a debate with the St Kilda list management team about their drafting and some of the fringe players on their list. He made it clear that he follows them passionately.

Also:


.
 
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in-progress 2 .png On Face Masks Use in-progress 2 .png

Face Mask Type - Respirators (eg. N95) v Surgical masks
*

Surgical/Medical masks

* They vary in thickness and permeability and are not certified to protect users from airborne infection. [1]

* Surgical type does not fully seal against aerosol-ised potentially virus containing liquid droplets from sneezes/coughs [>>]

* Surgical masks are used as a physical barrier to protect the user from hazards, such as splashes of large droplets of blood or body fluids. Surgical masks also protect other people against infection from the person wearing the surgical mask. Such masks trap large particles of body fluids that may contain bacteria or viruses expelled by the wearer. [2]


N95 Respirators

* are specifically designed to protect users from small airborne particles, including aerosols. Strict regulations dictate the filtration efficiency and breathing resistance of N95 respirators, which also require fit-testing to ensure a tight seal around the user’s face. [1]

* Respirators are designed to reduce a worker’s exposure to airborne contaminants. Respirators come in various sizes and must be individually selected to fit the wearer’s face and to provide a tight seal. A proper seal between the user’s face and the respirator forces inhaled air to be pulled through the respirator’s filter material and not through gaps between the face and respirator. [2]

* Respirators offer the best protection for workers who must work closely (either in contact with or within 6 feet) with people who have influenza‑like symptoms. These generally include those workers who work in occupations classified as very high exposure risk or high exposure risk to pandemic influenza. [2]



Applicable Use Of Surgical Type
* Protection against larger hazardous fluids in medical environments (when used together with face/eye protection)

Correct Use
* On removal of face mask, awareness that used face masks are likely to be contaminated with virus so after handling used masks, need to avoid touching mouth/eyes/nose until cleaning/disinfecting procedures carried out on hands

Drawbacks of using masks
* Wearers not wearing eye protection and the same time leaving eyes exposed to possible infection
* Wearers may have false sense security and engage in riskier behaviour

General public use of face masks
* Will people observe correct use procedures and necessary precautions
* Discomfort causing wearer to remove/reach under mask to rub/scratch face.


References

* [1] Effectiveness of Masks and Respirators Against Respiratory Infections in Healthcare Workers: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

* [2] WEB CACHED: Respiratory infection control= respirators versus surgical mask. OSHA Fact Sheet2009



I think the 1.5 metre rule is a slightly simplified and easier to follow rule to deal with the greater probability risk where virus is carried by droplets that fall to ground within 1.5 metres. But the risk of the virus remaining in the air for longer is also non-zero.

...
A study published in 2018 from researchers at Emory University and the Georgia Institute of Technology, with support from Boeing, said that although the 6-foot boundary accounts for 2 rows in front of, or behind, an infected passenger, the greatest area of risk may be even smaller — only a 1-row buffer. The researchers were considering respiratory diseases passed in “droplets,” or particles of water big enough to fall from a person’s mouth to the ground when they speak, sneeze or cough. Coronavirus is thought to be such an illness, passed primarily from person-to-person.
...

[ https://www.tampabay.com/news/health/2020/03/07/coronavirus-planes-may-not-be-the-sick-factories-we-think/ ]


The study referred to:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214999616307421


The new coronavirus can live in the air for several hours and on some surfaces for as long as two to three days, tests by U.S. government and other scientists have found.
Their work, published Wednesday, suggests that the virus can spread through the air as well as from touching things that were contaminated by others who have it, in addition to direct person-to-person contact.
...
For this study, researchers used a nebulizer device to put samples of the new virus into the air, imitating what might happen if an infected person coughed or made the virus airborne some other way.
The found that viable virus could be detected up to three hours later in the air, up to four hours on copper, up to 24 hours on cardboard and up to two to three days on plastic and stainless steel.
...

[ https://time.com/5801278/coronavirus-stays-on-surfaces-days-tests/ ]


The US gov work referred to:

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.09.20033217v1.full.pdf
 
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PICK TRADING BASED POINTS

There is a common view that the points value of draft picks mean nothing outside of Father-Son/Academy bid matching.

However, looking at pick trades that have occurred in recent drafts indicate that club list managers may, in fact, make use of the points value of picks in their trades.

In any trade, either both clubs are equally keen for the trade or one club is keener and needs to pay a premium on what they get in return in order to convince the other club to go ahead with the trade.

Whether the keener club is seeking a pick upgrade or downgrade result will also have an effect on the premium required. Trading multiple later r1 picks for an early r1 pick (upgrade) will require a much bigger premium than seeking to trade an early r1 pick for multiple later r1 picks (downgrade) as there would be more enthusiastic customers for a downgrade.

So the point of this post is to see whether actual pick only trades follow this principle or not.


Usually, one club wants to make a trade and needs to pay some extra i order to convince the other agreeing club(s) to agree to a trade.

How much extra needs to paid by the trade seeking club may depend on: how desperate they need trade to happen, ...


The following looks mostly at:
- pick only trades (and picks from the same draft) as the most clear indicator of pick points worth

and avoiding:
- future picks as estimating what they are likely to be worth is an added complication.
- player trades as their worth in terms of picks points are subjective


Some points
---
[] High picks refer to their points value, not numeric number - pick #1 is highest
[] Generally a trade seeking club's aim is to trade for higher picks using a combination of lower picks (though there have been exceptions)

Some conclusions

* Club wanting to downgrade their pick can do it with a more even points value trade
* Club wanting to upgrade their pick(s) need to pay more points value in trade


In the following trades, I am pretty much guessing at the motivations of the clubs involved and based on what was traded, come to a conclusion on which club instigated a trade and had to convince the other club to accept their offer.

2016

bris 2,31,51,60 = 3528
for gws 3,16 = 3301
- premium: 7%
- looks like Bris wanting to get another r1 pick by downgrading pick 2
---
From memory we also needed points for our academy kids and pick 16 was going to get chewed up on Perryman and Cumming. (I thiink they were the academy kids that year, but could have been Kennedy and Himmelberg) [->]
---
You had a couple of academy kids that were rated mid first round, and got back a few later picks from us for the points. [->]
---

stk 10,68 = 1454
for haw 23,36,2017r1(15?) = 2429
- premium: 67%
- looks like Hawks desperate to upgrade to a r1 pick

gc 26,80 = 729 [800]
for wb 35,43 = 900
- premium: 23%
- looks like fairly even, maybe WB want 26

gws 31 = 606
for syd 39,52 = 692
- premium: 14%
- looks like Syd wanting to get 8 pick upgrade to 31

port 9,19,49 = 2704
for syd 14,17,31 = 2792
- premium: 3%
- looks like port wanting two close mid r1 picks, both clubs have a small upgrade and a small downgrade of late r1 picks


2017

carl 16,40 = 1496
for wb 28,30,2018r2(28?) = 1983
- premium: 33%
- looks like wb desperate to upgrade for a r1 pick

bris 20,25 = 912+756 = 1668
for rich 15,52 = 1112+246 = 1358
- premium: 23%
- looks like bris wanting upgrade to a r1 pick


2018

bris 24,59,80 = 943 +#80(no points)
for gc 32,41,44,78 = 1358 +#78(no points)
- premium: 44%
- looks like gc wanting 12pick upgrade

port 11,23,30,49 = 3060
for freo 6,2019r3(#45?) = 2098
- premium: 46%
- this looks like port desperate to get pick 6

nor 31 = 606
for freo 47,49,55 = 810
- premium: %
- looks like wanting freo 16pick upgrade

stk 28 = 677
for melb 36,46 = 833
- premium: 23%
- this looks like mel wanting 8pick upgrade

geel 59,60 = 304
for coll 51 = 259
- premium: 17%
- looks like geel wanting 8-pick upgrade to r3

afc 19,2019r1(12?) = 2216
for carl 2019r1(8?) = 1551
- future trade, hard to tell value at the time but carl were keen on Stocker

freo 34,41 = 954
for wb 30,57 = 811
- looks like freo want small upgrade
- premium: 18%







However the other element to consider were the NFL Night Series between 1976 and 1979 which Norwood played 13 games

So he could have played in a total of 20 non-SANFL games for Norwood, and he missed the entire 1980 season with injury, so 19 games total
Do we trust wikipedia?

According to:



Norwood were involved in/played:

1976 - 3 games
1977 - 4 games
1978 - 2 games
1979 - 4 games
1980 - 1 game (Escort Cup)
1981 - 1 game (Escort Cup)
1982 - 1 game (Escort Cup)
1983 - 2 games
1984 - not involved
1985 - 2 games
1986 - not involved

7 games ... so maybe

s2-quickmeme-com-49d-05f-jpg.619796
 
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