Polls Thread Mk III

[Forward Press]

Shorten has his critics but you cannot question how far he has brought the ALP since Abbott's election.

He seems boring and insincere but maybe the people just want stable government.

 

[Fire]

PPM numbers don't translate to votes at all, they're purely inside baseball. Primary and 2PP polls are the only ones that matter.

Exactly. Whatever effect it has on voters is already factored in when they are asked who they will vote for.

 

[Goldenblue]

 

[Generalissimo]

The tories are cactus. It's beautiful to see.

 

[NTRabbit]

Polls are pointing to a solid win for the Yes vote in the postal shenanigan as well, so if the Tory far right dig their heels in again and fail to pass the vote, the 15% or so of voters who want SSM but still intended to vote Tory in recent polls will start to slip, and we'll find a new floor.

 

[Benny78]

Has it ever gone as far as 40-60 or greater in history before?

I get the feeling Turnbull could commit more crimes than Hitler and the polls would still show like 38-62. Rather than 8-92. It seems no matter what him or Abbott do at least 1/3rd of the population will always support it.

 

[Fire]

Has it ever gone as far as 40-60 or greater in history before?

I get the feeling Turnbull could commit more crimes than Hitler and the polls would still show like 38-62. Rather than 8-92. It seems no matter what him or Abbott do at least 1/3rd of the population will always support it.

Yes welcome to politics. A good deal of people support political parties tribally, as if they were football clubs.

But these people are powerless. Its the third of people that swing that decide who wins.

 

[medusala]

I get the feeling Turnbull could commit more crimes than Hitler and the polls would still show like 38-62. Rather than 8-92. It seems no matter what him or Abbott do at least 1/3rd of the population will always support it.

Gillard had ALP below 30% of primary vote IIRC

 

[Ratts of Tobruk]

If you are talking about two-party preferred, it's not going to go to 8% anything. Or 30% as per Meds above.

That's not to do with people slavishly following a side (though, there are of course some like that), it's to do with a whole bunch of whackos and ideologues, plus even more people with genuine reasons to back one side (e.g. for the LNP they may want to pay as little tax as possible, or want socially conservative policies, or want Nationals in power because they think they speak for the regions, etc.). It's easy to get to a third of people that way.

And here's your standard reminder that a fair few of the people highly critical of the major parties have god awful opinions and just want to get rid of the centre.

There are always plenty of reasons to criticise. But there aren't many reasons to do something stupid like voting in right-wing nutjobs instead.

 

[Goldenblue]

 

[Goldenblue]

 

[Lebbo73]

https://www.google.com.au/amp/www.s.../19/labor-edges-ahead-in-yougov-poll.amp.html

What's a YouGov poll. It has both parties at 50/50.

 

[Lebbo73]

Your early celebrations are starting to look shaky. With the SSM bs soon to be passed through Parliament, I can see you panicking like an altar boy on Sunday!

 

[Showbags]

Your early celebrations are starting to look shaky. With the SSM bs soon to be passed through Parliament, I can see you panicking like an altar boy on Sunday!

So polls are the gospel truth now they say something you like, hey Lebs?

 

[Lebbo73]

So polls are the gospel truth now they say something you like, hey Lebs?

Where in that post did I say the polls are the gospel truth? I was just pointing out that the next election is far from decided. Something Goldenblue won't accept.

 

[GreyCrow]

Interesting result. I cant think of anything that would impact that unless it was the photobomb. I wonder if the next photobomb will be MT cuddling an alky while holding a sherry?

 

[Dry Rot]

I was just pointing out that the next election is far from decided. .

If so, it just shows what an utterly stupid country we are. Hope the North Koreans nuke us.

 

[Goldenblue]

Your early celebrations are starting to look shaky. With the SSM bs soon to be passed through Parliament, I can see you panicking like an altar boy on Sunday!

What ever gives you a hard on mate, make sure you share it with your mates in the goo thread called
Conservative safe thread. Right wing posters have at it

 

[Benny78]

Hahaha this country is full of low class blue collar cretins with double digit IQ's. Watching the polls over the last few years is like watching a petrie dish bacteria cycle from one side back to the other.

If LNP don't want gay marriage why don't they just tell the public to * off and forget about it? Why doesn't Turnbull just moon the opposition during QT on public TV as his answer to gay marriage? Is he paranoid swing voters might develop some sort of functional memory or moral centre this time round and see through his nice new cowboy boots?

Turnbull could come out wearing cowboy boots the next day and everything will be fixed. That's what he did with penalty rates and stuff iirc lol. Nowadays most employees don't mind bleeding for business, they're complacent saps and traitors to their fellow working man.

 

[Fire]

Hahaha this country is full of low class blue collar cretins with double digit IQ's. Watching the polls over the last few years is like watching a petrie dish bacteria cycle from one side back to the other.

Except the third party vote keeps on growing.

 

[tandino]

Has it ever gone as far as 40-60 or greater in history before?

I get the feeling Turnbull could commit more crimes than Hitler and the polls would still show like 38-62. Rather than 8-92. It seems no matter what him or Abbott do at least 1/3rd of the population will always support it.

Even the biggest beltings in the history of Federal polls are lucky to get over 55-45.

Political self interest is a powerful force and it's more likely than otherwise that it drags parties to an equilibrium.

 

[Number37]

What ever gives you a hard on mate, make sure you share it with your mates in the goo thread called
Conservative safe thread. Right wing posters have at it

That thread is comedy gold.

 

[Procrastinator35]

That thread is comedy gold.

It's the third of people that swing that decide who wins.

Swingers rule man.

 

[Southerntakeover]

Where in that post did I say the polls are the gospel truth? I was just pointing out that the next election is far from decided. Something Goldenblue won't accept.

The best result (any movement could be accounted for by margin of error) shows a landslide defeat.

Celebration time.

 

[NSWCROW]