Except the CFA blame is by no means clear.
It's only clear to those fireys who let themselves be political pawns
It's only clear to those fireys who let themselves be political pawns
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Both issues arent even issues, just overblown media rubbish trying to find reasoning to turf Andrews out. Crime rates have gone down. The police came out and said that but the media dont want to write something that doesnt suit their own agenda. The problem with the CFA dispute is their hasnt been proper communication with what labor is trying to do and that has allowed the propaganda machine to spin their own message. The fault lies with andrews there because of that.From May onwards the Herald Sun's first edition (rural newsstands) will be daily headlines about the CFA and the second edition (suburban newsstands) will be all about Sudanese gangs. Just attack the weakest point over and over again.
Do you think the Labor party are also a deluded bunch of idiots for signing their deal with Transurban for the WD?You gotta hand it to michael o brien, coming out and bagging labor for communicating what their doing with the level crossing removal by using a few project members to get the message across which is perfectly reasonable imo saying its a gross waste of money and its a pattern. This coming from the man who along with napthine signed a dodgy deal under the table with the EWL that we are still paying the price for. They really are a deluded bunch of idiots.
From May onwards the Herald Sun's first edition (rural newsstands) will be daily headlines about the CFA and the second edition (suburban newsstands) will be all about Sudanese gangs. Just attack the weakest point over and over again.
I would imagine Labor. Although the age did play a roll in actually breaking the cfa story and even in recent weeks the bullying scandals, additionally the taxpayer rorts of driving MPs dogs across the state and living allowances. So the paper hasn't been afraid to call things out on the left when they are there.What side of the ledger will The Age newspaper be backing in next year's State election; the Coalition, or Labor as opposed to the Herald Sun?
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This is the thing with this election. I can't see it changing too much. There are large issues of entitlement issues, backroom deals and so forth, but for the casual observer they will be seeing new rail crossings being built, sporting facilities in Ballarat and Geelong, tech schools opening up, some tafe centres reopening, again 24 hour pharmacies, a new railway beginning construction, building the new western women's and children's hospital, fixing the vline carriages after shortcuts on the regional rail link wore out the wheels. The everyday things that people experience should at least keep many in the alp column.Can't find a link, but Antony Green once wrote up a piece mapping the remarkably consistent trend of state electors swinging against whomever is in power federally.
Unless there's a calamitous policy failure between now and election day, that trend should continue. Labor to perhaps gain one or two seats, with little net change.
From May onwards the Herald Sun's first edition (rural newsstands) will be daily headlines about the CFA and the second edition (suburban newsstands) will be all about Sudanese gangs. Just attack the weakest point over and over again.
This is the thing with this election. I can't see it changing too much. There are large issues of entitlement issues, backroom deals and so forth, but for the casual observer they will be seeing new rail crossings being built, sporting facilities in Ballarat and Geelong, tech schools opening up, some tafe centres reopening, again 24 hour pharmacies, a new railway beginning construction, building the new western women's and children's hospital, fixing the vline carriages after shortcuts on the regional rail link wore out the wheels. The everyday things that people experience should at least keep many in the alp column.
I don't see the point in the Liberals contesting those inner city seats though. The Libs voters generally preference Labor over the greens and having twenty percent liberal primary vote will just transfer to labor and they will get on top. Why spend money on a seat you know you won't win, when instead you can withdraw and see Labor sink millions into seats where the greens are putting the pressure on? The Libs save money while making the seat more marginal and letting the other two fight it out.The last CFA based campaign which failed to have any real impact on the last federal election result which saw basically every CFA based seat swing towards the ALP.
To answer the OP's question, in light of tonight's by-election and Victoria's habit of swinging against the government it looks like Andrews will have an uphill battle to get re-elected with both Brunswick and Richmond looking like possible Green gains and the Liberal Party would be absolutely mad not to contest the inner city seats because if they follow the trend of federal results then those inner city seats look like becoming Green v Liberal contests with the ALP reduced to third, we see this in the federal seat of Melbourne.
I don't see the point in the Liberals contesting those inner city seats though. The Libs voters generally preference Labor over the greens and having twenty percent liberal primary vote will just transfer to labor and they will get on top. Why spend money on a seat you know you won't win, when instead you can withdraw and see Labor sink millions into seats where the greens are putting the pressure on? The Libs save money while making the seat more marginal and letting the other two fight it out.
I don't see the point in the Liberals contesting those inner city seats though. The Libs voters generally preference Labor over the greens and having twenty percent liberal primary vote will just transfer to labor and they will get on top. Why spend money on a seat you know you won't win, when instead you can withdraw and see Labor sink millions into seats where the greens are putting the pressure on? The Libs save money while making the seat more marginal and letting the other two fight it out.
The Liberals not contesting seats would be a terrible, terrible look and would cost them Senate/Legislative Council votes in those seats.